Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: litepresence on December 13, 2013, 07:55:36 PM



Title: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: litepresence on December 13, 2013, 07:55:36 PM
http://i42.tinypic.com/1zyqgx.png


This info graphic contains data regarding both LTC and BTC as it is speculated that LTC will approach 1/10 BTC value by New Years.  Certainly relates to BTC value short and long, not sure which forum this belongs in; feel free to move.

Best of luck my friends.

litepresence


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Harley997 on December 13, 2013, 07:58:53 PM
yeah ok


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Carra23 on December 13, 2013, 07:59:20 PM
Nice charts with lots of figures. I sold everything after seeing that. I even borrowed Bitcoin from my friends and sold them.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: JimboToronto on December 13, 2013, 08:02:33 PM
Nice charts with lots of figures. I sold everything after seeing that. I even borrowed Bitcoin from my friends and sold them.

LOL


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: litepresence on December 13, 2013, 08:07:40 PM
http://i43.tinypic.com/2qlh2s5.png

I'll use this post for updates / modifications... try not to edit the original.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: GigaCoin on December 13, 2013, 08:09:44 PM
Thanks for the analysis Litepresence, always appreciated.

litepresence is actually a v good technicals/chart analyst, i know him since back in March 2013 from Btc-e. He has been pretty much spot on the vast majority of times, i def wouldn't underestimate his analysis / predictions.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: RodeoX on December 13, 2013, 08:11:56 PM
I would not call any of this speculation "analysis". It is guessing. But hey, some times guessing works ok.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Harley997 on December 13, 2013, 08:16:17 PM
Thanks for the analysis Litepresence, always appreciated.

litepresence is actually a v good technicals/chart analyst, i know him since back in March 2013 from Btc-e. He has been pretty much spot on the vast majority of times, i def wouldn't underestimate his analysis / predictions.

you are short-mid term bull, correct? hmmm.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Nolo on December 13, 2013, 08:18:23 PM
If LTC hits .1 BTC by New Year's I'll be the next to purchase a Lamborghini.  So yes, I hope you're right.  Not sure, but I hope :)



Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Xer0 on December 13, 2013, 08:22:40 PM
I even borrowed Bitcoin from my friends and sold them.
"trust me, pal, i'm just doing the best for you!"


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Harley997 on December 13, 2013, 08:23:57 PM
if i could make good analysis.... i would share it.... then maybe after some good calls, open subscription service.... no reason cant be self-interested and not manipulating


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: GigaCoin on December 13, 2013, 08:28:10 PM
Thanks for the analysis Litepresence, always appreciated.

litepresence is actually a v good technicals/chart analyst, i know him since back in March 2013 from Btc-e. He has been pretty much spot on the vast majority of times, i def wouldn't underestimate his analysis / predictions.

you are short-mid term bull, correct? hmmm.

Long term bull actually if you followed my posts. But that doesn't mean i don't believe Bitcoin suffers from dips and corrections along the way, which present excellent buying opportunities for buyers.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: rampantparanoia on December 13, 2013, 08:30:41 PM
i guess the question is... when does A start again?


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Harley997 on December 13, 2013, 08:33:19 PM
Thanks for the analysis Litepresence, always appreciated.

litepresence is actually a v good technicals/chart analyst, i know him since back in March 2013 from Btc-e. He has been pretty much spot on the vast majority of times, i def wouldn't underestimate his analysis / predictions.

you are short-mid term bull, correct? hmmm.

Long term bull actually if you followed my posts. But that doesn't mean i don't believe Bitcoin suffers from dips and corrections along the way, which present excellent buying opportunities for buyers.
not asking about long term position
thanks


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: litepresence on December 13, 2013, 09:17:41 PM
I never hold fiat.  Right now... 100% fiat.


I am a short bear on the moment and a mid bear since 7588y/btc


Long?

https://i.imgur.com/GOYWUMo.png



Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Nolo on December 14, 2013, 01:20:21 AM
litepresence, what is your basis for believing LTC will be .1 within 2.5 weeks?

And if you believe this, why are you 100% in fiat?


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: ferda2mx on December 14, 2013, 01:37:28 AM
I never hold fiat.  Right now... 100% fiat.


I am a short bear on the moment and a mid bear since 7588y/btc


Long?


If you believe in this graph (and future extrapolations), you may just hold and in 20 years buy the United States  :P


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Harley997 on December 14, 2013, 03:01:35 AM
btce price -- what about other exchanges?  :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: Voodah on December 14, 2013, 10:45:25 AM
litepresence, what is your basis for believing LTC will be .1 within 2.5 weeks?

And if you believe this, why are you 100% in fiat?

Yup, this model is based entirely on that assumption.

Where is it coming from?


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: GriTBitS on December 15, 2013, 02:56:46 PM
I never hold fiat.  Right now... 100% fiat.


I am a short bear on the moment and a mid bear since 7588y/btc


Long?


If you believe in this graph (and future extrapolations), you may just hold and in 20 years buy the United States  :P

 thats my plan


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: BitchicksHusband on December 15, 2013, 04:06:56 PM
Hey, at least for once this guy is putting his money where his mouth is.  I can respect that, even though I think he's going to be left behind if he waits too long.

But I would love to pick up a couple more BTC for cheap before we take off like a rocket in January, so here's to hoping it's true.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: GigaCoin on December 15, 2013, 06:20:19 PM
Hey, at least for once this guy is putting his money where his mouth is.  I can respect that, even though I think he's going to be left behind if he waits too long.

But I would love to pick up a couple more BTC for cheap before we take off like a rocket in January, so here's to hoping it's true.

I definitely think if we have a major dip (below $600), we're looking at a "last chance to buy low" kind of scenario. I would advise anyone here to keep some fiat ready and buy up some more coins, it will help you with cost averaging and accumulation.


Title: Re: Bitcoin to $551/btc btce before Christmas: Interpolation Infographic
Post by: litepresence on December 15, 2013, 09:08:24 PM
litepresence, what is your basis for believing LTC will be .1 within 2.5 weeks?

And if you believe this, why are you 100% in fiat?


7588y/btc was the entry into a long decline to 3300y... (ultimately the biggest bear trap known to man; long) .  Price will rise again out of 3000 to 15 000 or more.

So.  At price point 5950y I dumped 100% to fiat.

(also dumped topside pre 7588 @ 7400, and ran a short on the first bounce from 5000-5950; but that's another story and I hedged ten ways :) )

We've been as low as 5002y as of this morning; 5232y last.


I have interpolated multiple short events and all show the same clear price point (and common bull/bear pattern) to me.  See this one for example, which played out about 3 hours ago on 1 minute candles:

Here you see it overlayed, projecting on our 12h chart:

http://i43.tinypic.com/289zzgi.png

it was taken from this event on 3m  seen here:

http://i43.tinypic.com/2mm5w68.png


if you see the support lines in first image; you'll also see $550/3300y represents a "decent guess" projecting linearly from previous support.

Also, I note Bitcoin long = 0.59% daily on average since day 1.

August 2012, April 2013, and November 2013 are the only month long periods where price has gained for 5% daily.  I recall what happened after August and April clearly.

Things certainly seem to lean "cresting" since 7588y these days.


Bottom bounce medium scale

3300y

$550

Ultimate bottom February $360

I say we tap $650+ between

Our 0.59% daily long puts us back at $1000 in August of 2014; I suspect hype will bubble it to $2000 or more by then though,  Only to repeat, recycle, etc.


So I dumped my 6000y crypto and I'm gonna pick up some 3500y crypto.

That's why

:)


Now regarding why LTC is Bulling BTC

Just have a look at the 12h LTC/BTC:

http://i41.tinypic.com/2yla4ya.png