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Alternate cryptocurrencies => Altcoin Discussion => Topic started by: Nullu on December 31, 2013, 01:21:03 AM



Title: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Nullu on December 31, 2013, 01:21:03 AM
There seem to be several alt coins released a day, now. So many coins infact that I've given up keeping track of them. A lot of them appear to be shallow instamine pump-and-dump coins, with very few offering anything unique. Even the names are becoming more banal.  

Fish Coin? I mean no offence, but come on..

Is this a trend or a bubble? To me it is most definitely a bubble. A lot of altcoins now seem to solely exist to make the devs rich and the instaminers who trade them off the most well off, leaving the coin pretty much worthless, and with little chance of ever hitting an exhange. I don't mind so much. In any capitalist system there have to be winners and losers, but isn't it just going to get to a point where even the newbies buying up new altcoins will be spread so thin that there'll no longer be any profit in instamine dumping?

And when the bubble does pop, what are we left with? There are some interesting coins out there, and some so blatantly a scam that it's almost depressing to watch the scrambling in the vain hope that *this* coin will be the one that makes a fortune.

I've only been here a few weeks, but it does look very much like a rat race now. I'm wondering if this will continue indefinitely, or if there will come a point that the hashing power will just be spread too thin, which unfortunately I think is more likely to kill off coins with genuine unique aspects and long-term profitability as it becomes a daily rush to mine the next new altcoin to palm off as soon as possible.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Reece523 on December 31, 2013, 01:23:45 AM
Probably at some point. Only question is when. I was sure Bitcoin was in a bubble when it first hit $200. Now I really wish I had bought those "bubble Bitcoins". It doesn't hurt to throw money you can afford to lose in some speculative investments. The returns many altcoins have seen since November put even Bitcoin to shame.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: black_swan on December 31, 2013, 01:24:06 AM
Usually after bubble it gets worst but altcoin are released all the time.
Some of them are premined scam, others instamine, others legit perhaps.
It will continue indefinitely, choose wisely :-)


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: duuuuude on December 31, 2013, 01:27:13 AM
in all market bubbles burst, the question is have you prepared yourself for it.


j


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: carajillu on December 31, 2013, 01:40:53 AM
Another question is: Do you consider LTC as an ALT?


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: usahero on December 31, 2013, 01:49:27 AM
Another question is: Do you consider LTC as an ALT?

LTC is THE ALTcoin ;)


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: gnode on December 31, 2013, 02:08:06 AM
I think you are forgetting a very important point.

Until a coin gets on an exchange it is basically worthless. If a coin gets on some exchange other than cryptsy it is on life support. Only when a coin gets on cryptsy does it have a chance to prosper and that is not a given.

So there is a culling process in place.

With that said, there are ways to make money each step of the way if you can pick the winners. But picking the winners is not easy.

None of this has anything to do with a "bubble" or with bitcoin or litecoin.

If thousands of alt coins were issued every day would more end up on crypsty? I doubt it.

The problem is if thousands were issued every day it would be that much harder to guess which would get on cryptsy.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Mr.V on December 31, 2013, 02:09:05 AM
one thing that I learned is that even scam coins can make you money. Megacoin taught me that. When it first launched I could have bought it for .000002btc, but there were a few ppl that mined Millions in the first couple days so I didn't invest, I came back here 6months later and Megacoin was worth $1 WTF was up with tht haha


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: gnode on December 31, 2013, 02:12:30 AM
one thing that I learned is that even scam coins can make you money. Megacoin taught me that. When it first launched I could have bought it for .000002btc, but there were a few ppl that mined Millions in the first couple days so I didn't invest, I came back here 6months later and Megacoin was worth $1 WTF was up with tht haha

this is true but you forgot to mention one important detail. Between the date of launch and when you checked on it 6 months later, it was listed on cryptsy! Cryptsy for better or worse is the king maker of coins.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Reece523 on December 31, 2013, 02:14:05 AM
Cryptsy is a godsend for altcoins. :)

It seems the more coins they add, the more their values increase. There has been a dip since the beginning of December but aside from that we are going ahead strong!

one thing that I learned is that even scam coins can make you money. Megacoin taught me that. When it first launched I could have bought it for .000002btc, but there were a few ppl that mined Millions in the first couple days so I didn't invest, I came back here 6months later and Megacoin was worth $1 WTF was up with tht haha

this is true but you forgot to mention one important detail. Between the date of launch and when you checked on it 6 months later, it was listed on cryptsy!


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: gnode on December 31, 2013, 02:15:30 AM
I agree 100%.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: tk808 on December 31, 2013, 02:24:23 AM
In a few weeks to months the amount of new altcoins out will make your head spin. Consider these the golden days of a small amount of altcoins.

You are 100% about the golden days, the entry into the alt-coin market is non-existant. 1-2 years from now, their will be a $$ barrier to launch and market a new coin.

This in turn, will make several alt-coins now highly popular and valuable.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: carajillu on December 31, 2013, 02:24:36 AM
I think you are forgetting a very important point.

Until a coin gets on an exchange it is basically worthless. If a coin gets on some exchange other than cryptsy it is on life support. Only when a coin gets on cryptsy does it have a chance to prosper and that is not a given.

So there is a culling process in place.

With that said, there are ways to make money each step of the way if you can pick the winners. But picking the winners is not easy.

None of this has anything to do with a "bubble" or with bitcoin or litecoin.

If thousands of alt coins were issued every day would more end up on crypsty? I doubt it.

The problem is if thousands were issued every day it would be that much harder to guess which would get on cryptsy.

Crypstsy? I don't even use that.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: MicroGuy on December 31, 2013, 02:28:04 AM
Another question is: Do you consider LTC as an ALT?

I consider BTC an altcoin. :D


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Reece523 on December 31, 2013, 02:30:32 AM
Cryptsy can choose at whatever point they want to start severely restricting the number of new altcoins they accept. This may very well increase the price of existing altcoins as more and more people become exposed to altcoins thanks to new altcoin startups and then look to invest their money in altcoins which aren't entirely speculative (e.g. because they are listed on Cryptsy and thus develop a real market or at least have a real opportunity to do so).


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Kungfucheez on December 31, 2013, 02:30:49 AM
I think you are forgetting a very important point.

Until a coin gets on an exchange it is basically worthless. If a coin gets on some exchange other than cryptsy it is on life support. Only when a coin gets on cryptsy does it have a chance to prosper and that is not a given.

So there is a culling process in place.

With that said, there are ways to make money each step of the way if you can pick the winners. But picking the winners is not easy.

None of this has anything to do with a "bubble" or with bitcoin or litecoin.

If thousands of alt coins were issued every day would more end up on crypsty? I doubt it.

The problem is if thousands were issued every day it would be that much harder to guess which would get on cryptsy.

Crypstsy? I don't even use that.


It's because I believe Cryptsy just started to get in the whole alt-coin market earlier in the year and decided to add a shit load of alt-coins to it's exchange, and since then has been adding more all the time.

Many people dislike Cryptsy, many like it, but for better or worse, it's the best place the new miners get to dump their coins and exchange it for btc. No other exchange even has near the amount of coins they do to trade. So it's not like many people really even have a choice


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: hvezdasmrti on December 31, 2013, 03:00:13 AM
simply said:

90 percent of coins are shitcoins and will be purged
 9 remaining percent are coins which get some community and popularity, surviving for a longer time and being really used for trading and not only for speculative bubbling
 1 remaining percent is litecoin... The slowest and most obsolete altcoin...

From the new coins i think only 1 - 2 can be among the 9 percent cathegory. Earthcoin and maybe dogecoin. Or just none.

But you could not be unhappy from altcoin spamming, the market is working and if something appears worthless it always gets out of any value. IF there are 100 coins and 99 appear useless, you still will get huge profit at the one which will succeed. Thats why people still jump into new bubbles. Many of them take it as a hazardous game - we will buy shitloads of cheap coins and hope the pyramid wont fall until we get out. Dont forget that there is still empty seat for "bronze" coin with fast transactions which will be finally usable for microtransactions and fast payments which can be finally utilized for shopping as visa-card alternative. BTC even LTC are slow as hell. E. G. earthcoin with diff retarget every block is showing us a way (its really fast compared to other coins).



Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Reece523 on December 31, 2013, 03:06:03 AM
That's the thing -- if someone spread their money around, say, 0.1 BTC in every cryptocurrency listed on CoinMarketCap.com at the start of November, the have achieved an ROI that far outstrips that which Bitcoin has achieved over the same timeframe. The thing is, it's impossible to be sure which coin is going to go up so the only real way to be sure you will pick the winners (should there be more) is to invest in all of them. If I had to pick a loser 3 weeks ago, I would have said DOGE and look at it now. I didn't understand the whole meme thing but clearly other members of BitcoinTalk.com did.

simply said:

90 percent of coins are shitcoins and will be purged
 9 remaining percent are coins which get some community and popularity, surviving for a longer time and being really used for trading and not only for speculative bubbling
 1 remaining percent is litecoin... The slowest and most obsolete altcoin...

From the new coins i think only 1 - 2 can be among the 9 percent cathegory. Earthcoin and maybe dogecoin. Or just none.

But you could not be unhappy from altcoin spamming, the market is working and if something appears worthless it always gets out of any value. IF there are 100 coins and 99 appear useless, you still will get huge profit at the one which will succeed. Thats why people still jump into new bubbles. Many of them take it as a hazardous game - we will buy shitloads of cheap coins and hope the pyramid wont fall until we get out. Dont forget that there is still empty seat for "bronze" coin with fast transactions which will be finally usable for microtransactions and fast payments which can be finally utilized for shopping as visa-card alternative. BTC even LTC are slow as hell. E. G. earthcoin with diff retarget every block is showing us a way (its really fast compared to other coins).




Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: hypostatization on December 31, 2013, 03:11:24 AM
I am more worried about small scale mining collapsing as a result.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: atp1916 on December 31, 2013, 03:12:15 AM
Altcoins will never collapse.

They are a way around the mining difficulties of LTC / BTC.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Nullu on December 31, 2013, 03:12:37 AM
I am more worried about small scale mining collapsing as a result.

I think eventually the only people really profiting will be those who invest in the hardware. I hope to make a few BTC next year. All of it will be going into hardware.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: hypostatization on December 31, 2013, 03:13:25 AM
Altcoins will never collapse.

They are a way around the mining difficulties of LTC / BTC.

If that is not true, then does that mean that small scale mining itself may be heading toward a collapse?


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: MisO69 on December 31, 2013, 03:18:24 AM
I think this will continue on for quite some time. There are many people coming into the crypto scene now with all the publicity Bitcoin and DOGE has been getting. People are going to see the money. I just seen a post titled "I heard devs make a lot of money releasing alt coins" or something like that. So get ready its going to get crazy. Bitcointalk is going to have to upgrade servers soon.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Viperbass on December 31, 2013, 03:51:47 AM
The 2 alt Coins that have a future and I have invested into is tagcoin, this is my safe bet.
The other is Doge, so much going on for this coin that once the block reward is halved we will see a price rise.

Then I have a speculative bet on iCoin, very much under the radar atm but the name alone is great and it's not being hyped like other coins. The balance of power
is split between miner and investor because of the block reward rate but 500 mil coin will be produced over a long period of time. 100 coin reward every block and
block rate to settle on every 10 minutes. So more coins then feathercoin but coming out at a slower rate.

So miners will never be in full control like Dogecoin but the coin will be more valuable for it.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: player01 on December 31, 2013, 04:08:41 AM
Yes, the alt-coin frenzy of late 2013 early 2014 will come crashing down.

If everyone has their own currency and are only exchangeable for BTC or LTC it just makes the big two bigger. Right now there are multiple pools in development that mine junk coins that are inflated, then it converts over to BTC or LTC and pays out to the miners that way.

As more scrypt miners get on-board with a bot picking the best coin to mine, the newer alts will all flatten out faster and faster until cryptsy and the like will be hesitant to exchange them, when that happens, there will be a spike as the door is closed on new coins, a door of opportunity for someone to make a site that only trades junk coins between one-another, which will become another bubble and burst, (if someone takes up the challenge writing a program that figures out how many IFX it takes to buy a QRK automatically for instance)

Once that is done, it's done. People will still make coins for their high school or town perhaps, but that will be that.

Everyone currently speculating on crazy-eye-coin and shitcoin and the like will be left holding the bag if they hold it for more than a day or two after cryptsy lists it.

Current hole in the market is an autotrader app for businesses that takes alt-coins and dumps them on cryptsy automatically for a flat percent to be paid buy the guy who wants to buy a candy bar with his 10000000 IXC


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: markm on December 31, 2013, 06:15:09 AM
It is just like tulips.

So likely it will never collapse just like tulip mania never collapsed...

Or collapse just like tulip mania collapsed.

Whatever did happen with the tulips, anyway?

You can still buy them in flower shops...

-MarkM-


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: kalus on December 31, 2013, 06:22:32 AM
In a few weeks to months the amount of new altcoins out will make your head spin. Consider these the golden days of a small amount of altcoins.
+1

look what's been released in the past 10 days.   ::)


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Mr.V on December 31, 2013, 06:25:45 AM
I think pretty soon big companies like Microsoft is going to start making their very own coins. Even if ppl hate Microsoft they'd still by Microcoin


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Starlightbreaker on December 31, 2013, 06:57:00 AM
In a few weeks to months the amount of new altcoins out will make your head spin. Consider these the golden days of a small amount of altcoins.
+1

look what's been released in the past 10 days.   ::)

yeah?

make it 2 years.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: Bigeyeone on December 31, 2013, 07:07:45 AM
many altcoins will collapse, but altcoins are here to stay, too many people around the world with GPU's that want to make money with them, and they will keep the altcoins going.


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: hvezdasmrti on March 01, 2014, 09:33:23 PM
I have many kitchen robots and i want to make money with them. But robotting gives me 0 BTC, wtf?


Title: Re: Will the Altcoin bubble collapse?
Post by: pagona on March 01, 2014, 11:04:44 PM
I have many kitchen robots and i want to make money with them. But robotting gives me 0 BTC, wtf?


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