|
Title: Question from a Bachelor in Econ Post by: sophyphreak on January 21, 2014, 05:23:16 AM I would love to see a P2P currency work, but I have serious doubts about current-day P2P currencies.
The most important thing any currency needs is (at the very least) day-to-day stability of value, and no P2P currency that I know about has that yet. The best way to create day-to-day stability would be to peg the value of the currency to a big currency or a basket of currencies, which is what most developing and/or small countries do--at least until the currency is stable enough to be allowed to float. I don't think it would be technically simple to create a P2P currency that works that way. That being said, does anyone know of a P2P currency that pegs its value right now? Title: Re: Question from a Bachelor in Econ Post by: hendo420 on January 21, 2014, 05:32:26 AM I would love to see a P2P currency work, but I have serious doubts about current-day P2P currencies. The most important thing any currency needs is (at the very least) day-to-day stability of value, and no P2P currency that I know about has that yet. The best way to create day-to-day stability would be to peg the value of the currency to a big currency or a basket of currencies, which is what most developing and/or small countries do--at least until the currency is stable enough to be allowed to float. I don't think it would be technically simple to create a P2P currency that works that way. That being said, does anyone know of a P2P currency that pegs its value right now? If the market cap of Bitcoin was near that of Gold, It would be very stable. http://www.numbersleuth.org/worlds-gold/ It will happen eventually. We are seeing mass adoption right now. ;D ;D ;D Title: Re: Question from a Bachelor in Econ Post by: sophyphreak on January 21, 2014, 12:07:58 PM I am still looking for an answer to my original question; however, gold itself is not stable enough to be a good currency. In the past year I believe gold's inflation rate is 25% while its deflation rate over the past 5 years is 9% per year. This is to say that gold is too volatile to act as a viably currency. Generally accepted economics today aims for an inflation rate of between 1 and 3 percent per year in order to keep away volatility, hyperinflation, and deflation.
Gold isn't stable, thus it is difficult to see how a Bitcoin market cap that is similar to a gold market cap would cause Bitcoin to have a stable price. Title: Re: Question from a Bachelor in Econ Post by: hendo420 on January 21, 2014, 10:07:50 PM I am still looking for an answer to my original question; however, gold itself is not stable enough to be a good currency. In the past year I believe gold's inflation rate is 25% while its deflation rate over the past 5 years is 9% per year. This is to say that gold is too volatile to act as a viably currency. Generally accepted economics today aims for an inflation rate of between 1 and 3 percent per year in order to keep away volatility, hyperinflation, and deflation. Gold isn't stable, thus it is difficult to see how a Bitcoin market cap that is similar to a gold market cap would cause Bitcoin to have a stable price. I think the fluctuation comes from the low market cap. If that is the case, Bitcoin just needs to reach a higher market cap. http://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/currency_12773.htm Total USD in circulation is $1.23 trillion Once BTC reaches near that it should stabilize. The way I see it BTC is still an infant. Once it grows up some more it will be alot more stable. Right now it just takes some balls and a willingness to assume risk to accept bitcoin as a payment method. ;) Drop a bowling ball in a pool and it will make a wave and ripples all the way to the sides of the pool. Drop a bowling ball in the ocean... Title: Re: Question from a Bachelor in Econ Post by: sophyphreak on January 22, 2014, 01:59:16 AM I'm sorry to break it to you, but stability does not a large market cap alone make. You sent me this link: http://www.numbersleuth.org/worlds-gold/ . It says the market cap for gold is $8.5 trillion, 7x that of USD in circulation. The USD is stable right now and has been since the end of stagflation.
A large market cap does not make gold stable; the gold market cap is much bigger than USD in circulation; thus, there is no reason to believe that a large market cap would make BTC stable. |