Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: thelema93 on February 11, 2014, 11:35:56 PM



Title: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: thelema93 on February 11, 2014, 11:35:56 PM
OK it's final, the recent halt of BTC withdrawals at Gox is not some kind of troll-inducing paranoia conspiracy plan to steal everyone's coins as so many people on this forum claim.

And here is the FINAL PROOF: http://www.coindesk.com/massive-concerted-attack-launched-bitcoin-exchanges/ (http://www.coindesk.com/massive-concerted-attack-launched-bitcoin-exchanges/)

A massive DDOS attack involving malformed transactions can effect some older bitcoind clients. So all the big exchanges are temporarily halting BTC transactions so they can make sure the bug is fixed.

"I would expect to see withdrawals flowing again within 24 and 72 hours, and in the meantime, any withdrawals that were cancelled will reappear in customer account balances,” Antonopoulos explained.

In a week or 2 times this whole thing will seem like it never happened.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 11, 2014, 11:46:27 PM
In a week or 2 times this whole thing will seem like it never happened.

How well has your wishful thinking served you up until now?

Will it be different this time?


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Holliday on February 11, 2014, 11:48:48 PM
In a week or 2 times this whole thing will seem like it never happened.

How well has your wishful thinking served you up until now?

Will it be different this time?

I can't answer for the OP, but my wishful thinking (if you want to call it that) has served me wonderfully.

I sure hope it won't be different this time.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: thelema93 on February 12, 2014, 12:44:34 AM
In a week or 2 times this whole thing will seem like it never happened.

How well has your wishful thinking served you up until now?

Will it be different this time?


"me being me" !!!! LOL you can talk!

My analysis serves me very well thanks. And on top of that I can actually read articles.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 12:48:46 AM
My analysis serves me very well thanks. And on top of that I can actually read articles.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.....

....


As I predicted 2 days ago - the BTC price is normalizing around $700. It will do that until October when it will rise to $5000 +

Would Bitcoin nose diving down to $530 be part of that 'normalising' process......before it shoots up to 5k?


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: podyx on February 12, 2014, 12:50:28 AM
My analysis serves me very well thanks. And on top of that I can actually read articles.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.....

....


As I predicted 2 days ago - the BTC price is normalizing around $700. It will do that until October when it will rise to $5000 +

Would Bitcoin nose diving down to $530 be part of that 'normalising' process......before it shoots up to 5k?

Again, the reason there was a drop for $530 was because of FUD


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 12:57:15 AM
Again, the reason there was a drop for $530 was because of FUD

Been hearing this shit all the way down from $1000.

FUD combined with the fact that Bitcoin is wildly overvalued....

.....and now, apparently has some entity out to fkn nail it, and doing a pretty good job so far.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Lloydie on February 12, 2014, 01:26:44 AM
Mat's just some poor kid living pay check to pay check, hoping to buy cheap coins.  The problem will be fixed because it has been identified as a transaction id problem.  There will be a software fix followed by a protocol fix a few months down the track.

As for the DDOS spamming, that is easily fixed as it has been in the past. Keep hoping Mat.   :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Ibian on February 12, 2014, 01:35:14 AM
So how much do you have on gox? Sorry for your loss and all that, but you appear to be hyperventilating.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 01:36:12 AM
Question needed to be asked: ->

#when bitcoin was spreading network it was 100% sure that there are going to be attacks, bad news, bitcoin trolls, price rise and price drops etc.

if someone though that using bitcoin will be totally safe, perfect and will never suffer any trouble was crazy at the beginning.

There are going to be more attacks, someone will lose bitcoins, some exchange crash, blockchain will vanish, hell know.
Just relax.

And ask yourself:
Do you want to use Bitcoin.
Do you see better future with Bitcoin.
Does it changes so much economy around whole globe for better?
It will change banks strategies! At last! (^%#@ banksters)
It is fast!
It is cheap!

It's great for you, for me, and for others who live better life because of Bitcoins!

So maybe would be such a great thing if haters became users and panic makers will just think about Bitcoin as a CRYPTO CURRENCY that you can use to pay for something in a very cool and fast and great way!  

Bitcoin is future of monetary system.
We can not lose it :)

Ok. I am not drunk and I stop now.

Cheers!





This is XXI century. We are in the Internet. We are the Internet. Why not make this place better !!! BTCBTCBTCBTCBTCBTC


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: smoothie on February 12, 2014, 01:41:09 AM
Registered a few days ago....and already shilling for MTGOX. ::)


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: thelema93 on February 12, 2014, 04:20:03 AM
My analysis serves me very well thanks. And on top of that I can actually read articles.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.....

....


As I predicted 2 days ago - the BTC price is normalizing around $700. It will do that until October when it will rise to $5000 +

Would Bitcoin nose diving down to $530 be part of that 'normalising' process......before it shoots up to 5k?

Yes! Well done.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: bitcon on February 12, 2014, 07:24:49 AM
i have more faith in the security of my bitcoin wallet than the credit cards in my physical wallet. seems like every few days you hear about hackers stealing a shitload of CC and personal info stored on some corporate server.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: vokain on February 12, 2014, 07:30:35 AM
The problem will be fixed because it has been identified as a transaction id problem.  There will be a software fix followed by a protocol fix a few months down the track.

As for the DDOS spamming, that is easily fixed as it has been in the past. Keep hoping Mat.   :)


done

We already block most forms which can be blocked, this was a change in bitcoin 0.8 (that was, in fact, causing withdraws delays for mtgox because they produced transactions with invalid encoding).

The recent flood of transactions use a pushdata change. A patch to block it was written in September 2013, but didn't make it into the codebase until today. If your node is running git bitcoin, just update and you'll have it.




Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: RicePicker on February 12, 2014, 07:31:15 AM
i have more faith in the security of my bitcoin wallet than the credit cards in my physical wallet. seems like every few days you hear about hackers stealing a shitload of CC and personal info stored on some corporate server.

To bad your CC company will refund you 100% of the time and the authorities will make an attempt to catch the thief. Security is only one aspect of bitcoins. When you actually start using it daily to buy things rather than storing it in a cold wallet then say you have more faith in the security of your wallet compared to your CC. How many people in world have credit cards/ how many exist? When you hear CC and personal info being stolen compare that to the percentage of bitcoins that have been stolen or hacked?


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: thelema93 on February 12, 2014, 07:39:06 AM
The point of this thread was to make it clear that the recent turmoil is not due to Gox wanting to scam everyone as so many people think.
The coinbase article makes it clear that their really is a vulnerability which will be fixed soon.
Everything else is FUD


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: creekbore on February 12, 2014, 08:30:30 AM
The point of this thread was to make it clear that the recent turmoil is not due to Gox wanting to scam everyone as so many people think.
The coinbase article makes it clear that their really is a vulnerability which will be fixed soon.
Everything else is FUD

Did you read this?

http://falkvinge.net/2014/02/11/the-embarrassing-fact-mtgox-left-out-of-their-press-release/


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 01:01:47 PM
The point of this thread was to make it clear that the recent turmoil is not due to Gox wanting to scam everyone as so many people think.
The coinbase article makes it clear that their really is a vulnerability which will be fixed soon.
Everything else is FUD

Did you read this?

http://falkvinge.net/2014/02/11/the-embarrassing-fact-mtgox-left-out-of-their-press-release/

a good news :)



Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Carlos-e-spectra on February 12, 2014, 01:04:08 PM
nice


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 01:16:02 PM
nice

very nice :)

have a sticker!
http://i273.photobucket.com/albums/jj202/my99/profileabc/img/en-hn/good-job/good-job-17.gif


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 01:21:58 PM
Yes! Well done.

And what about twice testing $630 in the past 24 hours. Would twice testing a temporary support 10% lower than your prediction also be part of that $700 'normalisation' process?

And where from here thelema. Are we going further down or up? I ask you because since you have been wrong every single time up until now, law of averages states high probability of getting your next call right.

Did you read this?

http://falkvinge.net/2014/02/11/the-embarrassing-fact-mtgox-left-out-of-their-press-release/

But what about this?

https://www.bitstamp.net/article/bitcoin-withdraws-suspended/ (https://www.bitstamp.net/article/bitcoin-withdraws-suspended/)

Seems MtGox aren't the only ones being affected. Will Bitstamp, the most secure and respectable exchange out of them all be the last of it?




Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Gabi on February 12, 2014, 01:57:31 PM
So do you think price will drop to 0? Or it will rise? Bitcoin always faced tons of problem, always survived them all and then skyrocketed. This is not the first time and is not the last time something weird happens.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 01:57:55 PM
Omg :) this is like an old news :P

Yes Bitcoin is unders DDoS attack, is it strange?


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 01:58:37 PM
So do you think price will drop to 0? Or it will rise? Bitcoin always faced tons of problem, always survived them all and then skyrocketed. This is not the first time and is not the last time something weird happens.

Exacly. Thats what I want people to understand. Problems are with us always and forewer.
Just need to keep strong :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: cryptoanarchist on February 12, 2014, 02:03:13 PM
The point of this thread was to make it clear that the recent turmoil is not due to Gox wanting to scam everyone as so many people think.
The coinbase article makes it clear that their really is a vulnerability which will be fixed soon.
Everything else is FUD

The only thing you made clear is that you're full of BS. Anyone who's studied the issue understands its an issue with Gox's custom wallet, and not with bitcoin. I don't have any problems withdrawing from BTC-e.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: cryptoanarchist on February 12, 2014, 02:06:26 PM
Will Bitstamp, the most secure and respectable exchange out of them all be the last of it?


NOT. I had to wait 2 weeks to get my coins out of that government honeypot.

Right now, BTC-e is the "most secure and respectable exchange out of them all".


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: roslinpl on February 12, 2014, 02:12:31 PM
Will Bitstamp, the most secure and respectable exchange out of them all be the last of it?


NOT. I had to wait 2 weeks to get my coins out of that government honeypot.

Right now, BTC-e is the "most secure and respectable exchange out of them all".

I am using Bter and Vircurex with NO problems.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 02:17:44 PM
NOT. I had to wait 2 weeks to get my coins out of that government honeypot.

Right now, BTC-e is the "most secure and respectable exchange out of them all".

Don't you mean government 'honeytrap'? If so, why?

Are you in the US?

I deal with Bitstamp via a Euro denominated bank account. I get my withdrawals within a few days.

BTC-e, was one of the two exchanges affected by the $100 flash crash. The dodgy as fuck $100 flash crash, whereby the exchanges stop responding to MT4, which meant lots of people who should have gotten cheap but-ins, never got cheap buy-ins. I used to trade on Bitfinex, but would always look to route stop losses through Bitstamp as the Bid/Ask walls on here were just so much more reliable and dare I say, 'honest'. After Bitfinex withdrew Bitstamp routing option, setting Stop Losses was practically an invite to bot farmers to rob you blind.

Sorry, but Bitstamp for my money is the most stable, reliable, and trustworthy exchange out there. When has Bitstamp been affected by dodgy shit that ends up costing people money and/or ends up in the server getting robbed and being forced to operate on an insolvent basis? It seems to me that Bitstamp has the 'cleanest' track record and has managed to set itself up and operate in such a way that it has avoided any federal/establishment fingers being wagged at it.

If you have information to the contrary then I would be glad to hear it.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: cryptoanarchist on February 12, 2014, 02:31:05 PM


Sorry, but Bitstamp for my money is the most stable, reliable, and trustworthy exchange out there. When has Bitstamp been affected by dodgy shit that ends up costing people money and/or ends up in the server getting robbed and being forced to operate on an insolvent basis? It seems to me that Bitstamp has the 'cleanest' track record and has managed to set itself up and operate in such a way that it has avoided any federal/establishment fingers being wagged at it.

If you have information to the contrary then I would be glad to hear it.

Its all right here in the forum. Just read through their main thread and see the hundreds of complaints. Not to mention how lame it is to ask for govt ID to withdraw bitcoin, when that hasn't even been made a requirement by ANY government. Or the fact they're currently halting withdraws because of the malleability issue - which shouldn't be an issue and amounts to more BS.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: creekbore on February 12, 2014, 02:38:14 PM
Yes! Well done.

And what about twice testing $630 in the past 24 hours. Would twice testing a temporary support 10% lower than your prediction also be part of that $700 'normalisation' process?

And where from here thelema. Are we going further down or up? I ask you because since you have been wrong every single time up until now, law of averages states high probability of getting your next call right.

Did you read this?

http://falkvinge.net/2014/02/11/the-embarrassing-fact-mtgox-left-out-of-their-press-release/

But what about this?

https://www.bitstamp.net/article/bitcoin-withdraws-suspended/ (https://www.bitstamp.net/article/bitcoin-withdraws-suspended/)

Seems MtGox aren't the only ones being affected. Will Bitstamp, the most secure and respectable exchange out of them all be the last of it?


Mat,
I'm struggling to understand what your position with regard to all of this.

For me the malleability issue is one that has been well known to those 'in the know'.  Attackers/hackers have used it not to steal funds but simply to sow mischief (I have yet to see a report of funds being stolen) by 'double entering' payments.  As the article I posted above stated this wouldn't be the case if Gox had kept their code up to date.  And surprise, surprise other exchanges either wanted to check they had the exploit covered or discovered they were in the same position.  People are busy making money and cutting corners doing so, this comes as little surprise.

While the fundamentals of BTC are good, the infrastructure surrounding it has (IMHO) long been recognised as lacking.

Your posts seem to be very 'anti-bitcoin' as well as being personally aggressive towards individuals.  I won't speculate why that is but if you are so against bitcoin I'd suggest not spending so much time here arguing with people.  It's not healthy.

peace


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 02:49:15 PM

Mat,
I'm struggling to understand what your position with regard to all of this.

For me the malleability issue is one that has been well known to those 'in the know'.  Attackers/hackers have used it not to steal funds but simply to sow mischief (I have yet to see a report of funds being stolen) by 'double entering' payments.  As the article I posted above stated this wouldn't be the case if Gox had kept their code up to date.  And surprise, surprise other exchanges either wanted to check they had the exploit covered or discovered they were in the same position.  People are busy making money and cutting corners doing so, this comes as little surprise.

While the fundamentals of BTC are good, the infrastructure surrounding it has (IMHO) long been recognised as lacking.

Your posts seem to be very 'anti-bitcoin' as well as being personally aggressive towards individuals.  I won't speculate why that is but if you are so against bitcoin I'd suggest not spending so much time here arguing with people.  It's not healthy.

peace

Good Post.

I am not a technical person, at least not when it comes to coding so only have a layman's understanding of how Bitcoin works.

It isn't healthy arguing with people but I seem to have gotten addicted to it. It kicked off in earnest on this forum at least when I turned bearish when Bitcoin was still at around $1050 on Stamp. I got absolutely ridiculed at the time yet as we know, was proven absolutely 100% correct. I never even knew what a MACD was back then and my change in stance was based purely on instinct. The fact that I was laughed out the house, so to speak, yet thankfully stuck to my guns and was both proven correct and financially rewarded for it, has triggered some kind of hyperphobic response in me and now I am lurking around these forums just waiting for someone to say Bitcoin is going North, when it clearly isn't, so I can't pounce upon them and start attacking them. It is like a kind of mental immune response going into overdrive.....like an allergic reaction.....and as you say, it aint healthy.

But fuck me, there is such an overdose of idiots on this forum that it is beyond belief.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: chesthing on February 12, 2014, 03:45:13 PM
Well to be fair Matt, after the December crash to $400 then stalling in the $600's for a few days you as well as me expected continued low prices. The nutters as you like to call them kept saying buy now because it's going to rise swiftly, and your response back then was the same today. Fuck me if it didn't almost hit $1000 within a month, and fuck me for not listening to them instead of the bears here, which I was certainly one of.
Bottom line is you aren't always right, and they aren't always wrong. No one knows what is going to happen, thinking you got it figured out is foolish.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 03:54:50 PM
Well to be fair Matt, after the December crash to $400 then stalling in the $600's for a few days you as well as me expected continued low prices. The nutters as you like to call them kept saying buy now because it's going to rise swiftly, and your response back then was the same today. Fuck me if it didn't almost hit $1000 within a month, and fuck me for not listening to them instead of the bears here, which I was certainly one of.
Bottom line is you aren't always right, and they aren't always wrong. No one knows what is going to happen, thinking you got it figured out is foolish.

I remember that well and remember being badly butt-hurt due to losing my nerve on the bounce after I caught the knife too high, as a result of being persuaded by the Bitcoin Nutters that my $400 buy-ins were unrealsitic and moving my tranches up $100.

I was totally wrong right from $490 right up to $700, but changed my tune from $700 upwards, and profited from it.

Going forward, I expect to be continually proven right, until I am proven wrong again, at which point I will again change my tune, and hopefully again profit from it.

I am not going to be one of those who will be likely to catch this bottom. This is a cornered market and only precious few people have any realistic idea of predicting where the reversal is going to be.



Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: chesthing on February 12, 2014, 04:05:21 PM
Do you believe it will rebound back up toward a grand again? or do you think there is a fair probability it's headed down to nothing?


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Torque on February 12, 2014, 04:17:38 PM
I am not going to be one of those who will be likely to catch this bottom. This is a cornered market and only precious few people have any realistic idea of predicting where the reversal is going to be.

And that right there, is THE solid point that a lot of folks are missing.  Everyone thinks that the price is going to hit a bottom of $400, and stay there for a long time so that everyone will have a chance to get coins at that price.  But just like the flash crash to $102 on btc-e, the likelihood is that it will flash crash to $400-$350 for only a millisecond.  Very few will be able to catch coins at that price.  The majority of Joe Bitcoiners won't.  So the realistic BOTTOM price that most will be able to catch coins at the stable price just before and right after it bottoms out.  And I'm guessing we're nearly there.... my guess is between $550-500.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 04:18:20 PM
Do you believe it will rebound back up toward a grand again? or do you think there is a fair probability it's headed down to nothing?

In most likelihood, I think Bitcoin is going to test $500 and perhaps spike down to $380 range. Whilst I would love to short if I could do so on Bitstamp (I trust nobody else), I have learned a valuable lesson about playing the catching the falling knives game. i.e. I don't have the nerve for it and it isn't for me. My game plan is to wait for signs of confirmed trend reversal. Providing the integrity of the technology remains intact, then I see no reason why Bitcoin won't continue to grow after the market has found a fair(er) price level after this crazy ramp up, which has been based largely on future hopes and limited supply.

However, I do have some very low buy-in tranches starting in low treble digits and staggering all the way down to zero. This is a wild-card 'just incase' outside bet, where I am willing to risk losing a lot for the potential for huge gains. If Bitcoin gets as low as some of my buy-ins are set, it will surely be standing on the Brink of it's own death, so my bet really would be an all or nothing thing....if I would even have the nerve to leave these buy-ins intact should such events unfold during waking hours.

So I wouldn't say that there is a fair probability that it is headed down to nothing, but I do think their is a possibility.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: raid_n on February 12, 2014, 04:32:57 PM

I am not a technical person, at least not when it comes to coding so only have a layman's understanding of how Bitcoin works.


I think this is a big issue with many speculators.
If you know what is going on you can make much better decisions


Do you believe it will rebound back up toward a grand again? or do you think there is a fair probability it's headed down to nothing?

See the above. Bitcoin could fail but if so then the malleable transaction issue is almost certainly not it.




Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: Ibian on February 12, 2014, 05:01:08 PM
The point of this thread was to make it clear that the recent turmoil is not due to Gox wanting to scam everyone as so many people think.
The coinbase article makes it clear that their really is a vulnerability which will be fixed soon.
Everything else is FUD
Just sent btc to kraken, sold, rebought with a small profit, withdrew. No problems and as fast as ever. Gox is down because gox is incompetent, scammy, or both. It's just how it is.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: theonewhowaskazu on February 12, 2014, 05:07:35 PM
My analysis serves me very well thanks. And on top of that I can actually read articles.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.....

....


As I predicted 2 days ago - the BTC price is normalizing around $700. It will do that until October when it will rise to $5000 +

Would Bitcoin nose diving down to $530 be part of that 'normalising' process......before it shoots up to 5k?

Gox Bitcoin price is irrelevant. You can't withdraw either BTC or fiat, the price is meaningless.

Bitstamp is $150 higher than that, making it look not much like a nose-dive. And yes, as we've seen in the past, normalizing usually does require a double-bottom on some major exchange. The bottom is $520 - that's $57. We still need to visit the new $61. That's what we're in the process of doing. That's the high $500s, ON STAMP, not gox. Gox could easily see $400 again.


Title: Re: Bitcoin-wide DDOS attack - NOT GOX SCAMMING!
Post by: MatTheCat on February 12, 2014, 05:41:52 PM
I think this is a big issue with many speculators.
If you know what is going on you can make much better decisions

The flip side of that is that if you think you know what is going on, but actually don't know what is going on, then you are liable to make much worse decisions.

Gox Bitcoin price is irrelevant. You can't withdraw either BTC or fiat, the price is meaningless.

Bitstamp is $150 higher than that, making it look not much like a nose-dive. And yes, as we've seen in the past, normalizing usually does require a double-bottom on some major exchange. The bottom is $520 - that's $57. We still need to visit the new $61. That's what we're in the process of doing. That's the high $500s, ON STAMP, not gox. Gox could easily see $400 again.

If I am not mistaken, Bitstamp did spike down to $530 and has since struggled to get and stay back up it its previous $700 trending range.