Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: teetertotter on February 14, 2014, 07:05:55 PM



Title: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: teetertotter on February 14, 2014, 07:05:55 PM
Isn't this fast rise in price due to the influx of liquidity from Bitstamp allowing withdrawals again? Maybe I'm way off on this.

Can someone explain it to a rookie?


Title: Re: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: adam9317 on February 14, 2014, 07:15:54 PM
I would reckon it is but i'm not totally sure myself either mate!


Title: Re: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: MatTheCat on February 14, 2014, 07:30:48 PM
It would be reasonable to assume that such a rapid rise in price in amongst a shit-storm of bearish indicators came about as some kind of bullish euphoria to the ray of light poking through the dark clouds, that was Stamp re-enabling BTC withdrawals.

What remains to be seen is how the market psychology responds now that this outburst of positive market emotion has played out. For me, to turn bullish, I want to see a rise and trend above $700, testing and turning that $700-$720 into a clear support level as opposed to a resistance level. This is the same rule that I have stuck to all the way down, and every single time so far, that crucial resistance level which I am looking to be turned into a support level, is shifted further and further down the price scale. Assuming that Bitcoin isn't headed for it's grave, the trend reversal will come and their will be a time when cautious bears like myself really will have missed the bottom. Perhaps this is that time? Unfortunately it just so happens that there are no other clear pivotal price points in between $540 and $700, which means missing out on a lot of upside due to waiting for confirmation of trend reversal (at least going by the TA 101 that I apply).

My suspicions are however, that we are not yet 'there'. It would be unorthodox for such a bear trend to end with a spike down to a price some $200 lower than the next clear pivotal price range. I suspect that like the two previous bitcoin post crash markets prior to this Dec 2013 post crash market, that the lowest low will be waved under out noses allowing plenty opportunity for investors to pick up coins. This could only come about if sentiment amongst many Bitcoin holders is in the garbage bin, after all, enough people have to feel like it is a good idea to sell Bitcoins at the absolute bottom. Despite the fear and uncertainty that has been going around, I just don't feel that much pessimism in the air yet.....

.....but as always, I will be prepared to lose the opinion and go with the flow if the markets can prove and confirm my opinion as wrong...i.e. $700-$720 resistance level confirmed as support.



Title: Re: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: cooldgamer on February 14, 2014, 07:39:09 PM
The reason it fell in the first place was mostly because it stopped, so it would make sense to go back up once they let you withdraw again, as the people that were only holding fiat because it could be withdrawn now can trade back into BTC


Title: Re: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: MatTheCat on February 14, 2014, 07:42:28 PM
The reason it fell in the first place was mostly because it stopped, so it would make sense to go back up once they let you withdraw again, as the people that were only holding fiat because it could be withdrawn now can trade back into BTC

Says who? Some two-bit bulltard YouTube blogger?

And what was the reason for the $350 bear trend before that?


Title: Re: Temporary rise due to Bitstamp?
Post by: EuroTrash on February 14, 2014, 07:55:13 PM
1. Your coins are not hostage of the exchange anymore. Effect: releases selling pressure. Price stops falling sharply.
2. You might want to withdraw your coins. Effect: reduces supply of coins. Increases volatility. Price rises short term.

As for the medium term trend, no one knows whether today's punch up was strong enough to cause a reversal or not. Stay tuned.