Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: thedarksun on February 17, 2014, 04:08:20 PM



Title: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: thedarksun on February 17, 2014, 04:08:20 PM
What do you guys think. Finally now on the 20th, people will be able to withdraw after months of problems. Will that cause the btc to crash not only on gox but all of exchanges and then we are up for slow recovery to 1000 again throughout the year?


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: dropt on February 17, 2014, 04:17:34 PM
No way, $50 is far too much. More like 5$.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: derpinheimer on February 17, 2014, 04:20:05 PM
Logic fail

Gox price will rocket if/when withdrawals come back.

Other exchange may dip a bit after an initial rise


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: kooke on February 17, 2014, 04:20:50 PM
We would have to be hit by a truly catastrophic event for BTC to drop to $50. People withdrawing coins from gox and dumping on other exchanges probably won't have that profound of an effect.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: Cyberlight on February 17, 2014, 04:22:33 PM
No.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: RodeoX on February 17, 2014, 04:24:18 PM
The price of a bitcoin  no longer has anything to do with Mt.Gox. It is pointless to consider because the market there is so distorted by uncertainty. The Gox price is more of a bet about the likelihood of ever getting your money out after a sale.  


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: thedarksun on February 17, 2014, 04:27:02 PM
The price of a bitcoin  no longer has anything to do with Mt.Gox. It is pointless to consider because the market there is so distorted by uncertainty. The Gox price is more of a bet about the likelihood of ever getting your money out after a sale.  

Alright, then lets conisder the price on gox then.
There is no way the price will skyrocket if withdrawals are made possible. Ppl will sell off everything they have because they want to get out of gox ASAP. going down is the only logical possibility.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: derpinheimer on February 17, 2014, 04:33:54 PM
The price of a bitcoin  no longer has anything to do with Mt.Gox. It is pointless to consider because the market there is so distorted by uncertainty. The Gox price is more of a bet about the likelihood of ever getting your money out after a sale.  

Alright, then lets conisder the price on gox then.
There is no way the price will skyrocket if withdrawals are made possible. Ppl will sell off everything they have because they want to get out of gox ASAP. going down is the only logical possibility.

Box price is 350. If btc withdrawals are enabled, then people will buy to arbitrage to bitstamp, etc.

Only if $withdrawals only are enabled will the BTC price drop, and this won't happen.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: RodeoX on February 17, 2014, 05:02:13 PM
The price of a bitcoin  no longer has anything to do with Mt.Gox. It is pointless to consider because the market there is so distorted by uncertainty. The Gox price is more of a bet about the likelihood of ever getting your money out after a sale.  

Alright, then lets conisder the price on gox then.
There is no way the price will skyrocket if withdrawals are made possible. Ppl will sell off everything they have because they want to get out of gox ASAP. going down is the only logical possibility.

Box price is 350. If btc withdrawals are enabled, then people will buy to arbitrage to bitstamp, etc.

Only if $withdrawals only are enabled will the BTC price drop, and this won't happen.

Any of those scenarios are specific to Gox, and distorted by their bad situation. Why not say bitcoins are $800? That is what they would cost me using localbitcoins.com. 


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: proudhon on February 17, 2014, 05:14:46 PM
"BTC" on MtGox are not BTC in the sense that the rest of the world is using/trading.  "BTC" on MtGox are essentially an altcoin at this point and could easily crash to $50 or lower, but I personally don't really care because I don't own Goxcoins.  I own bitcoins, and I'm sorry for anyone who does own Goxcoins.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: jamesc760 on February 17, 2014, 07:23:40 PM
Even $5 a piece is too much at gox. Sorry to say but the sooner gox dies, the better it is/will be for bitcoin at large.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: dropt on February 17, 2014, 07:46:17 PM
gox annaunces 20th, tuesday,  ::)

important people says that gox does not impact strongly in the market, important people used say the same in 1929, black tuesday, the greatest crash of all


sorry for this bearish view, I hope that I'm completely wrong, but this does not smell good. at least a great buy opportunity arises.

20th is Thursday buds.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: gambit1 on February 17, 2014, 11:01:55 PM
Could I ask where they said 20th. I read their statements and couldn't see that.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: notme on February 17, 2014, 11:24:34 PM
Could I ask where they said 20th. I read their statements and couldn't see that.

They said Thursday.  However, they did not specify which Thursday.


Title: Re: On the 20th, we will see btc plummet on gox to 50 dollars and slow recovery?
Post by: traderCJ on February 17, 2014, 11:26:22 PM
Could I ask where they said 20th. I read their statements and couldn't see that.

They said Thursday.  However, they did not specify which Thursday.

They didn't say the year, either.   :P