Bitcoin Forum

I'm trying to figure out 5 factors that may have a crucial impact on Bitcoin in 2018-2019
Already got 3 of them, what should I add in 4,5 ?

1. IPO Bitmain fin. results
2. One of the ETFs approved by SEC
3. China unban cryptocurrency trading
4. ...
5.  ...

We arent here to write your stupid article for you...

Just google it, surely some terrible site posted an article just like that already.

The only thing that affects bitcoin is the security of the bitcoin protocol...all the things happening around it don't matter.

The next element is: Facebook or google change the ban.
They have a huge impact on the bitcoin value.

Since you pointed out 5 factors by yourself, you should able to complete it. But to point out, I think there may be some stuff of regulated and also wide acceptance of bitcoin. All these will greatly benefits bitcoin at the long run.

- I would add the next halving. Considering it will come in 2020 it will probably start in to impact in 2019 we will see a hype around it. But historically we see the result of a halving a year after and it's the miners who are affected.

- The tech: LN, bulletproof,...

- Regtech: an approval or something around from a government or a central bank

- Economy: The crisis in Turkey

sure

Lightning Network getting released should be the next big thing for Bitcoin surely. Moreover, if some big guns from the industry step up, like the news of ICE joining crypto market with their own exchange also can change the tide of the whole crypto market.

Not only China, but also there are a lot of countries like India, Brazil, Russia who have either restricted the usage of Bitcoin or have totally banned it. Them, trying to either regulate it or legalize it might bring a huge change in Bitcoin's current market.

why would you need 5 factors anyways? are you trying to write some silly clickbait article on some website and then advertise it here?
there is only 1 factor which is important in the long run and that is adoption and it is growing. all the rest of them are only short term noise.

1. a mining company having an IPO has nothing to do with bitcoin price.
2. as i said this is only short term noise. in the long run an ETF is not going to change anything for bitcoin adoption and its long term price. not to mention that ETF is limited to one  country while bitcoin is global. it is not even direct investment in bitcoin!
3. China never banned cryptocurrency trading to want to unban it now! they banned shady exchanges.

Trade in crypto currency for Chinese citizens was not formally banned, but there were practically no legitimate ways for buying and selling. Cryptocurrencies are only exist by operating in a grey area.

Today I learned about the statistics, according to which 23% of the world's companies invest more than 10 billion in blockchain and it will be in 2019.

I think next blockchain hype wave will be in 2020

Not in that range of time but halving will have huge effect, also I think etf will boost the price of bitcoin in the long term.

the biggest thing to look forward to is Lightning Network and its adoption. we only need it to start being used seriously before we can see the next big price surge because of it happens.
for example as soon as we see the first exchange implements the first LN node and start allowing traders to use it then we will see a lot of merchants and other businesses follow and that will bring a lot of attention to bitcoin and can be the start of the rise towards $1 million

I agree this is very serious news and we are all waiting for approval or positive news! I would still add this to the legalization of the crypto market and new projects in India! the meeting will be held in September and the controlling bodies - will have to give their answer and a positive result!

There will not be ETF approval becouse of number of reasons. One is that it's not safe to store keys

I don't really know what that is, but what I know is that there are too many ico scams and rampant pros and cons from the local government

Many factors which impact on BTC but it's tough to define but you tried to predict them and wish you are right with your defined factor.

The missing points are that crypto trading will be accepted in India which is another large economy. Also Sharia acceptance of crypto trading will make it accessible to a huge number of investors, a new compliant exchange is opening up in the middle east soon.

I'd add Bakkt which IMO is much more important than ETFs. Most of the ETFs that OP has given as a second most important thing in BTC right now are not planning to buy BTC at all, so money flowing to those funds will not change anything for BTC. Those who are planning to hold BTC could potentially impact the price, but it's not certain. Why would people prefer someone else to hold their coins if they can do it themselves? There certainly are some rich and lazy people out there, but is there enough of them to take us back to 20k? I doubt it. If we go there it will be due to a naturally occuring bull market in a year or 2.

I think the breakthrough of technology in bitcoin will be an option. The launch of lightning network is expected.

Why don't you make your post 3 factors rather than 5 while you know you don't have it. Bitcoins price is not affected by any single action. It derive it price from traders sentiments base on several factors.

Looks like you made just a small research on your part. Let me add another good news for the whole cryptocurrency community. You haven't heard of this right? The South Korean government is keen on developing the infrastructure of a platform economy with a marked focus on blockchain, big data and artificial intelligence.

Link: https://www.ccn.com/south-korea-budgets-a-trillion-won-for-blockchain-tech-in-2019/

Bitcoin is fluctuated and decentralized. So, there are no one I mean third party to regulate this currency but there will be some factor which felt impact on it's market price. But it's not easy to find out these factor.

Base on so many ICO that about to build exchangers, there will be so many cryptocurrency exchangers to the  extent that transaction fees will reduce because the business will be competitive.

Ok :)

For example, regulation. This is important for two reasons.
First, the leading states of the world are not going to introduce a total ban on cryptocurrencies (positive influence, increases the price)
Secondly, large investment funds (with a capital of billions of $$$) are ready to enter the market immediately after it has clear rules of operation. (positive influence, increases the price)

You define this 3 factor which felt impact on BTC in 2018-2019 and want more 2 for complete it with 5. But factor can be changed anytime because anyone can be sure that these factors manipulate bitcoin this sesion

The factors are not complete, are you asking us to list the factors or you're telling us what the factors are.

Just to add more factors which you think are important

you forget one thing.
what if number 4 is a lot of ICO fraud, I think it also affects the current market price.

more global decisions on the type of adoption of bitcoin in retail calculations, accelerate bitcoin itself, reduce transaction costs

We need to differentiate if we mean what affects Bitcoin of the price of Bitcoin. You posted thing that may affect it's price, but not Bitcoin itself.

those factors will only give temporal impact on bitcoin price, like previous events. i think only reward halving will have impact on bitcoin, or bitmex shutdown (only my hope)

Why do you need to find additional two factors? If there are only three factors, let it be. And assuming there are five factors or even more, why don't you search for them on Google? Almost all of the answers that you will get here came from Google. 

the first crypto bank in Venezuela, then a high purchase. I think that will be an important factor that can influence volatility in 2018-2019.

the another one main impact on bitcoin is stand of indian government on bitcoin because supreme court hearing in September about regulation on bitcoin.

Everything is standard here: 4 this is good news because now there is not enough good news. And 5 Whales that make the weather on the market.

Bitmain trying to recover their lost to bitcoin cash.  :D

We shouldn't make that ETF approval a big deal for now, let's expect more of it as deniable requests because it did rejected some a year ago.

I'm no longer expecting that China will unban or if ever they do get back on the market, it will not create a huge impact anymore.

Can't think of an addition for this and next year, I'm thinking of 2020 halving.

Lightning Network and its adoption, are expected to have a positive impact on Bitcoin. we only need it to be used seriously before we can see the next big price surge because it happened. In addition, if some large weapons from industry increase, such as the ICE news that joins the crypto market with their own exchanges can also change the crypto market wave as a whole.