Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 06:54:16 PM



Title: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 06:54:16 PM
... good to see you again, please sit down for a moment  I see your friends $800, $900, and I think I see $1000 driving up now ...  ;D




enjoy it while it lasts folks, since there's no logic behind it that I could see I enjoy with caution


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: TPN on March 03, 2014, 06:55:01 PM
Skyrocket 8)


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: DGulari on March 03, 2014, 07:06:57 PM
... good to see you again,
since there's no logic behind it...
War always brings flight to safe currencies.  If Russia blows the shit out of Ukraine, price will be at $2000 before end of March.  Mark my words. 


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 07:29:41 PM
... good to see you again,
since there's no logic behind it...
War always brings flight to safe currencies.  If Russia blows the shit out of Ukraine, price will be at $2000 before end of March.  Mark my words. 

war bring flight to stable currencies, btc is farrrr from stable.   And given that the gox matter of the missing 800K btc is not resolved, btc is also not safe - you play at your own very high risk.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: bananas on March 03, 2014, 07:39:32 PM
... good to see you again,
since there's no logic behind it...
War always brings flight to safe currencies.  If Russia blows the shit out of Ukraine, price will be at $2000 before end of March.  Mark my words. 

war bring flight to stable currencies, btc is farrrr from stable.   And given that the gox matter of the missing 800K btc is not resolved, btc is also not safe - you play at your own very high risk.

Yea. Those 800k once released could quickly make the price one thounsand or make it 1 dollar.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: DrHardin14 on March 03, 2014, 07:47:44 PM
I don't get it, whats going on?


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Meuh6879 on March 03, 2014, 07:51:03 PM
go go go 1000 USD ... http://bitcoinity.org/markets/kraken/USD

http://www.reactiongifs.us/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/hyperventilating_fry_futurama.gif


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 07:56:10 PM
... good to see you again,
since there's no logic behind it...
War always brings flight to safe currencies.  If Russia blows the shit out of Ukraine, price will be at $2000 before end of March.  Mark my words. 

war bring flight to stable currencies, btc is farrrr from stable.   And given that the gox matter of the missing 800K btc is not resolved, btc is also not safe - you play at your own very high risk.

Yea. Those 800k once released could quickly make the price one thounsand or make it 1 dollar.

it will only go to $1 if the exchanges don't provide more stability, accountability, transparency, and security to the market, I'm encouraged that they will.


BTC will easily hit $1K if the missing btc are found because of the forensic analysis of the blockchain because that will proved that the btc protocol is safe, btc will likely surge to $1400 or there abouts if in addition to that the exchanges do as indicted above, and btc will likely go to $2K if the actual btc protocol is updated with massive security improvement, and all of the other items mentioned above are added.

So you see the good and the bad, it all depends on how safe the market place is to operate in.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 07:57:53 PM
I don't get it, whats going on?


there is no known logic attributed to the massive upswing, you either get in and hope it swings higher, get in and it swings back down, or just watch the wild and crazy ride

weeeeeeeeeee


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: aztecminer on March 03, 2014, 07:59:00 PM
... good to see you again,
since there's no logic behind it...
War always brings flight to safe currencies.  If Russia blows the shit out of Ukraine, price will be at $2000 before end of March.  Mark my words.  

war bring flight to stable currencies, btc is farrrr from stable.   And given that the gox matter of the missing 800K btc is not resolved, btc is also not safe - you play at your own very high risk.




if you keep your gold and silver in an exchange then you risk losing it if the company folds ..

if you keep your bitcoins in an exchange then you risk losing it if the company folds ..

if you keep your fiat money in a bank then you risk losing it when the bank 'bails-in' ..



Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: mayne on March 03, 2014, 08:10:17 PM
and it's gone


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: InCoinsITrust on March 03, 2014, 08:25:44 PM
If really Russia and Ukraine conflict correlates with this ?


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 03, 2014, 08:25:52 PM
and it's gone


booooooooo, cut that out, it's not gone yet, there's still positive movement ...

... hey there's hope for the dinner crowd, the after news crowd, and the late night crowd, don't give up ...

... eh your're right it's over

oh well, that was fun  :D


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Operatr on March 03, 2014, 08:28:27 PM
If really Russia and Ukraine conflict correlates with this ?

With the sharp downturn of Russia's stock market, collapsing Ruble, and Ukraine's economy tanking just as hard, you better bet investors are looking for a way out.

Ukraine has already implemented capital controls, which is one step ahead of a Cyprus style robbery of their own depositors to save themselves.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 04, 2014, 02:34:08 AM
She's backkkkkk sweet and sexy $700, go ahead baby, do your thing ...  :P




Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dafar on March 04, 2014, 03:03:52 AM
Yawn.... Wake me up when BTC is $10k


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: DPoS on March 04, 2014, 03:11:35 AM
Yawn.... Wake me up when BTC is $10k

bread will probably be $40 then   :P


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 04, 2014, 03:35:37 AM
Yawn.... Wake me up when BTC is $10k

ahahahahaaa ... definitely a cryogenic awakening


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Bobsurplus on March 04, 2014, 03:36:20 AM
Cheers $700  :)


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: the_poet on March 04, 2014, 03:29:33 PM
https://i.imgur.com/upTsvz9.gif


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: antimattercrusader on March 04, 2014, 08:35:07 PM
haha 10k USD. I was just making fun of someone who said 1M by end of 2015 then I realized that releveant to the paper trash USD that may end up happening. Course a loaf of bread may require a truckload of cash at that time as well.

In today's purchasing power, however, I better get soem advil for the headache I'll have from that cryochamber.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dafar on March 04, 2014, 09:34:44 PM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 04, 2014, 10:10:56 PM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers

BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds.    Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide.  The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400. 

What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685?  Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app

The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: dani on March 04, 2014, 10:29:14 PM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers

BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds.    Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide.  The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400.  

What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685?  Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app

The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

requote this soon. :)


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dafar on March 04, 2014, 10:56:12 PM
The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

I completely disagree with you.


And the bold part, that's how ALL markets are


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dr. LY on March 04, 2014, 11:02:00 PM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers

BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds.    Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide.  The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400. 

What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685?  Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app

The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

Did you just pull $400 out of your rear or something? Why $400? Why not $380? Why not $182.25? Why not $5.75?


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 04, 2014, 11:41:15 PM
The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

I completely disagree with you.


And the bold part, that's how ALL markets are

There were many things that the btc market, with baited breath, was anticipating: some hoped for a revelation about Mark, one hoped for news about a big bank endorsement of btc, and I hoped for an announcement about a btc protocol security upgrade ...

That bank endorsement would have given btc a large hype boost, my suggestion would have provide a true market value boost, and the first option would have probably gotten a longer lasting positive market reaction than the app.

Hype is the primarily driver of btc market prices, has been since it broke $100, now that one tire is flat (the protocol security issue) the standard hype just doesn't go as far anymore.   The exchanges need to announce massive improvement to their business models, and the btc protocol must be significantly enhanced, if you want long-term sustainable growth.

Poloniex just got robbed, made a responsible public announcement which included draconian measures, including a forced loan from all btc holders (12%+ btc value) to help them recover.    Given the Mt Gox situation the community essentially welcomed the announcement with open arms -- mass PTSD.  



 

  

 


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: galbros on March 05, 2014, 12:57:08 AM
I was just sorry it could not sustain the 700 USD level for any meaningful amount of time.  I hope it's back up again soon.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 05, 2014, 01:28:44 AM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers

BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds.    Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide.  The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400. 

What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685?  Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app

The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

Did you just pull $400 out of your rear or something? Why $400? Why not $380? Why not $182.25? Why not $5.75?



Here's essentially what I did, I took the organic growth (meaningful development not influenced by gratuitous hype) of btc and projected it forward.    .  

Last month that number was $500, now it's $400, next week it will be $380.

It dropped from $500 to $400 because two of the vehicles I counted as meaningful developments for long-term sustainable btc growth proved less effective then what should reasonable be expected.  The first was the Bitcoin Foundation - a major development for btc which lost significant credibility when TWO of its founding directors resigned under clouds.  And the BitcoinTalk forum - a major development for btc (and the whole cryptocurrency community).  However, the community came up short in 3 ways:

1) the petition to remove Mark from the board should have gotten at least 1% of the membership within a week, it didn't
2) After Gox stopped withdrawals, organized efforts should have resulted in substantially less financial loss for the community,
3) the ongoing inability of the community to get from the blockchain what it needs to be reasonable informed, and subsequently being unable to receive adequate accountability, transparency, and security from the exchanges.

As of last week, everyone knows or should know that what occurred to Mt Gox could easily reoccur multiple times, yet there has been not meaningful upgrades to the btc infrastructure.  Nor has the exchanges filled in that 'insecurity gap' with assurances, guarantees, bonding, insurance, certification, proof of solvency, etc ... as such the $400 will decrease to $380 next week.   Follow that forward, without meaningful change in a month the true value of btc will be $100.

A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.





Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: bananas on March 05, 2014, 01:36:53 AM
There is nothing going on other than massive dirt on bitcoin name, the tendency is of value decline.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dafar on March 05, 2014, 01:55:29 AM
A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.


And non of that was seen in your post. You are talking out of your ass


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 05, 2014, 03:46:25 AM
A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.


And non of that was seen in your post. You are talking out of your ass

you're a moron ... what was it that you didn't see?

- you didn't see the valuation?
- you don't understand what "based on" means?
- you need someone to spoon feed you charts, and links to media and forum hype? 
- do you even know what 'critical thinking' and or 'logical reasoning' is?


don't even bother to answer you're on ignore ...



Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Dafar on March 05, 2014, 05:16:37 AM
A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.


And non of that was seen in your post. You are talking out of your ass

you're a moron ... what was it that you didn't see?

- you didn't see the valuation?
- you don't understand what "based on" means?
- you need someone to spoon feed you charts, and links to media and forum hype? 
- do you even know what 'critical thinking' and or 'logical reasoning' is?


don't even bother to answer you're on ignore ...

Lol you upset? It's not my fault you are incapable of a decent analysis after all that typing


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: rohnearner on March 05, 2014, 06:07:08 AM
Yawn.... Wake me up when BTC is $10k
haha now thats optimism , and i like it..! btw its still in between 650$-700$.


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: frobley on March 05, 2014, 09:28:12 PM
Seriously, we are excited about $700 now? We were over $1000 just 3 months ago... we are aiming too low my brothers

BTC in all reality has an true market value of $400, it's unreasonable to appraise it any higher on practical grounds.    Given that the gox matter is not finally resolved we are exremely lucky it isn't on a perpetual downward slide.  The simple fact is most of btc's success is hype driven driven so hard it stuck (no one does it better than dodgecoin), if you remove the media hype and all other hype btc is worth $400. 

What do you think raised the market value from avg $565 to present avg $685?  Certainly not the app, it was three things:
1) the market movement,
2) the hype ABOUT something new to come
and
3) to a far less degree the app

The market responded MOST to NOTHING -- was was actually people trading because the market was rising, and responded least to the actual app, what a shame that the news about 'something about to be announced' garnered more market appreciation than the actual news -- the very definition of anticlimactic.   You could expect the market to shave off some %s in the coming days unless there is sustained hype until some meaningful changes is applied to the protocol or how exchanges are fundamentally doing business.

Did you just pull $400 out of your rear or something? Why $400? Why not $380? Why not $182.25? Why not $5.75?



Here's essentially what I did, I took the organic growth (meaningful development not influenced by gratuitous hype) of btc and projected it forward.    .  

Last month that number was $500, now it's $400, next week it will be $380.

It dropped from $500 to $400 because two of the vehicles I counted as meaningful developments for long-term sustainable btc growth proved less effective then what should reasonable be expected.  The first was the Bitcoin Foundation - a major development for btc which lost significant credibility when TWO of its founding directors resigned under clouds.  And the BitcoinTalk forum - a major development for btc (and the whole cryptocurrency community).  However, the community came up short in 3 ways:

1) the petition to remove Mark from the board should have gotten at least 1% of the membership within a week, it didn't
2) After Gox stopped withdrawals, organized efforts should have resulted in substantially less financial loss for the community,
3) the ongoing inability of the community to get from the blockchain what it needs to be reasonable informed, and subsequently being unable to receive adequate accountability, transparency, and security from the exchanges.

As of last week, everyone knows or should know that what occurred to Mt Gox could easily reoccur multiple times, yet there has been not meaningful upgrades to the btc infrastructure.  Nor has the exchanges filled in that 'insecurity gap' with assurances, guarantees, bonding, insurance, certification, proof of solvency, etc ... as such the $400 will decrease to $380 next week.   Follow that forward, without meaningful change in a month the true value of btc will be $100.

A valuation based on empirical evidence, critical thinking and logical reasoning makes sense.


this 2 month old account should know,
recorded for posterity


Title: Re: Welcome back $700 BTC ...
Post by: Armis on March 06, 2014, 11:47:01 PM
Come on $700, come to daddy ...  :D