Bitcoin Forum

The year 2018 is going to be recorded as one of the years with the worst cryptocurrency market crash ever.
But hey, this is not the first time for the market crash (remember 2013) and it is not the end of a line for the cryptocurrency.
For me, all I see is another big opportunity to buy more bitcoins. Heck, the bitcoin cash looks awesome too :o plus some good looking altcoins.

https://i.imgur.com/MBBYEp0.png

The question is, how long will it take to recover?

The 2013 market crash took years to get back to the point where it was. Will we see a speedier recovery this time or are we here for a looooong loooong ride? I hope not, but history has shown that these big crashes take time to recover from.

But, as you said. It is also an opportunity to get on the train and get your wallets full of assets. But make sure you know that this might be a long-term investment which could easily mean 2-3 years.

the 2014 bear market (longest to date) took 14 months from top to bottom, followed by 9 months of sideways. we're currently 11 months into this bear market. so that gives us some idea of the possibilities.

i'd say we shouldn't expect a bull market to emerge for a good year from now.

i think this time would be better if we take advantage of opportunities rather than complaining. when prices crash means the opportunity to invest, if we still believe in cryptos

For me, I don't see any signs that it will recover in a year.
But later, of course it will

The rate is falling, and the volume of transactions is growing. Two days already. The volume of transactions on BTC is now twice as high as usual. This suggests that wanting to sell more than willing to buy, and that those who are now bought, lost their money, unless they are certainly not willing to wait for the growth rate of a year or two.

The fall of the BTC rate is a global trend. It lasts for almost a year, with periodic stops, and there are no reasons for its termination or change yet. The rate was speculatively inflated from about $ 900 to $20 thousand, and now there is a correction. No one knows how long this process will take and how fast it will be. It depends on too much.

Everything has now come to an end. There is no hope for us. Its price has gone down not stop. This is the intention of the manipulative organizations and I think they wanted to leave the market. We are near the brink of bankruptcy.

We are living in some interesting times for the cryptocurrency world.The BCH idiots are going to commit a suicide with their hard fork.This is good,but they are trying to push BTC to the bottom with them.
I believe that Bitcoin Core will survive this crash,even if the price goes under 1K USD.
The new ATH will happen somewhere around 2021.

maybe you are right! but I'm still afraid to trade bitcoin for a while because it's still downtrend,

2018 is the bloody disaster I've seen in Cryptocurrency trading, I will continue to remember this event,

since the end of 2017 the price of other Bitcoin and Crypto has dropped very sharply, I don't think the price of bitcoin will drop from $ 17K + to $ 3500 + - on November 25, 2018,

I will think again if I want to invest in crypto trading,

If the volume is high that means more people are willing to buy and to sell at the current price. There are two sides to every transaction so it's impossible to say that there's more upward or downward pressure from buyers/sellers based on volume alone.

I think we'll return to a bull market in 2020 or 2021, 2019 will be a slow and steady grind back to around $6k-$10k..

it is not even close to being the "worst" market crash of all times. the only difference which may make it look like the "worst" is the fact that today there are a TON of shitcoins available compared to olden days of crashes so the market seems like being bigger otherwise the total market is still the same thing but filled with a lot of garbage.

This is a very simple logic that every trader and investor should keep in mind. There are not many 'rules' in trading but there is one almost universal - upward and downward rallies differ. Bear runs are usually quick and sharp while bull runs are generally slower and less steep.

True. I am not sure what the worst was? As I recall we dropped from $32 - $2. That was brutal by percentage.

if we look at tracking the history of the development of the rise and fall of bitcoin from year to year, actually this is considered normal. Why ?
because indeed each year has a similar cycle, the percentage increase is very high and it also impacts when bitcoin goes down. now is the time for us to see later in 2019, will it really have a new chart, or will it repeat again and make a new ATH?

At the first starting in 2018 year, we got bitcoin price have drop and lower than at the end of 2017 year, many investor keep and sure at the new era of 2018 every thing about bitcoin and altcoin will be on the higher price, but all of them is wrong.

Yeah this is during 2011 and that was 95% in total. Those days when Mt.Gox was hacked.

I agree with them that this isn't the worst.

Analysis of 8 Historical Crashes (https://medium.com/@mccombkp/bitcoin-crash-e112ee42c0b5) this article is all about the history of those crashes and you may compare what's the worst for the past years.

By Bitstamp prices:

-All time high: $19666
-Lowest price hit after ATH: $3474
-Crashed % = -82.33

Looking at the previous Bitcoin crashes:

https://i.ibb.co/nBNHv28/crashesss.jpg


It looks like we may be close to the final bottom and it would be another typical Bitcoin cycle completed. At $2474 we would be at -87 to match the MtGox crash.

It's been 344 days and MtGox crash was 411, so we would still have 67 days of bear market ahead until final bottom. Of course, no crash is 1:1 the same, that's just some stats, we could have already bottomed, we may go for lower lows quicker and recover faster. The bottom line is, we are close, everyone that was going to sold sold already, now people that still want to sell will wait for an higher price and dump, then that would be it. The next cycle will begin and next ATH will dwarf $20k.

That is 7 days worth of pure hell in the crypto markets--yikes!

I agree that it's probably a good buying opportunity for bitcoin, but I don't have any faith in BCH so I'd stay away from that one for the long-term.  Some of the other ones that might be useful in the future might be worth buying, but I still think bitcoin is where it's at. 

However, even with Bitcoin Cash, you probably could make a decent profit by trading it short-term.  I don't think it's dead or dying even if I lack the aforementioned faith in it.  Other investors probably DO have faith in it and thus will cause it to rebound.  I keep saying this, and it hurts:  If only I had money to buy!!  This is the kind of volatility that can make you big bucks by day trading.

I think that is the best thing to do. For crypto believers, staying positive and seizing the bear as an opportunity to buy into your crushing coins is the way we should go.

That’s what I am trying to say all the time, it is too early to bury blockchain and its future. "The blow bubble" predictions have bean said so many times and nothing happened, so I am just sitting and watching. Spoiling your nerves and FUDding is the last option.

You could be right but on the other hand it is just so hard to keep some postive view in this absolute panic selling what is going on now. This just shows that there is a very long way ahead of us towards some rational market recovery.

Yet another list of the history is being written since we had the longest bearish market this year.

How long will it take before we see a bull market, is it going to take 14 months too before we get to the bull market or is it longer than that?

Time will tell and of course it's up to the investors and traders if what would they do to make a change in this market.

Great graphic, great to get a visual of the various substantial crashes
bitcoin has gone through.
If that graphic is anything to go by we will be bouncing back very
healthily from this crash, bitcoin has always recovered stronger than
the previous high.

it looks like bitcoin will soon be replaced with another currency, like technology, first generation computers are replaced by the next generation, it could be that at this time there will be a generation of bitcoin that has better functions and services
Bear market conditions like this, it is better for me to calm down while looking for solutions to cover the losses I experienced with a more profitable real business

What bull market? Let's see where the bottom is; if the graphs from the previous page are of any value, we can still some months of corrections.

Good point! I do not think so that this bear market is nearly over, Bitcoin have more room to go down and we did not see capitulation candle yet which is with larger volume. Beside that, 2018. year is not over yet, one month in crypto is something like one year in stocks market.

It's merely possible to happen mate, and normally after a great crash I can visualize that everything here in crypto was a balanced situation. When you encounter downfalls, eventually after certain struggles you'll be able to sustain and recover back what has been lost.

It's really history baby, bitcoin drops to its lowest price this year plus an 11-month long bearish period. What makes this very difficult is that we came from an all time high last year.

crypto potential continues to increase and also many people already know crypto well but the trend has actually declined in 2018 and prices look bad, reaching $ 3900, but this is an opportunity to add to the investment portfolio and will satisfy in the next few years

Yet investors are still waiting for the bottom. Bloody but this drops is promising for high returns everyone  should start accumulating slowly now before the prices gets wild, Maybe we will never see this 4 digits price of bitcoin again next year, who knows? These events are keep on repeating and this is a once in a lifetime opportunity and I believe that crypto is here to stay.

Some individual investors and institutions are starting already to increase their portfolio considering the down market. They don't wait for the bottom to reach they just keep on acquiring those coins. Actually, you don't need to wait for the bottom, just keep on buying whenever there is a price drop, then just get the average, they might still ended up at huge discount. This year, 2018, is really go down to the history of cryptocurrency.

if this cycle ends up mirroring 2011, the target is close to $1200. :o it would be pretty depressing to see bears threatening the 2013 ATH!

i'm hopeful the crash will end by 85%, near the $3000 support. whatever happens, it probably won't parallel either the 2011 or 2014 cycles to the tee. markets rarely repeat things exactly.

Perhaps this crash will encourage new investors to buy Bitcoin or other crypto currencies. Many people said they regret that they didn't buy BTC in early times when its price was low. Now some of them are likely to be coin holders. New money may appear on the crypto exchange markets due to this collapse. I heard that several trading analysts warned of a bubble in this economic field.

Yeah, crash not only happening this year but also it already happened from the past, mesning even though theres a lot of fud and negative thinking out there about bitcoin crash, i still have more faith in bitcoin, i already missed the ride last time, so i dont want to miss it again.

always taking chances in the midst of uncertainty is one extraordinary trading technique, not all traders can master the situation if prices continue to fall, because most traders always seek profits from time to time, but if they can hold for a while by starting infestations on when our prices fall so we can get a good profit in the future, but all we can do if our finances are healthy, not with the money we owe to the bank, because we will be very burdened with the daily expenses that we have to pay.

I think that in this outgoing 2018 many events occurred in the world of cryptography, and these events will be the impetus for the further development of cryptocurrency. Many investors call the year of failure in the market, but it is not. The market is vibrant and evolving.

You should have sold all the coins very early, so the market crash has almost no loss for you, but many people who entered the cryptocurrency market this year are desperate, and they are anxiously waiting for the arrival of the bull market.

Exactly, looking at the past price movement of this market we already incur a lot of market corrections during the early stage of cryptocurrency. Well, this is my first time to experience a crash in cryptomarket but I don't get discourage about it because I know this market will rise again. You are right, another opportunity for a newbies to buy more and for a new investors to start adapting this technology, soon the price will start to recover and this market trend will be part of a great history of cryptocurrency.

This will depend on you, whether you will cut your loses or you will keep on holding while the market is crashing. We cannot force people to sold their token simply because they believe in this technology, I personally holding since the 2nd quarter yes I loss money but I don't regret on holding because I know it will rise again.

I think my craziest scare was back in 2013, when it dropped from $1 151 <2013-12-04> to $576 on <2013-12-18> in less than 2 weeks.  :P  

This was a make or break moment for a lot of Bitcoin hoarders, because many people thought that it was going to fail, but we kept things together and we pushed through it and only 4 years later, most of those people were rewarded with 800% to %1000 profits on those coins.

A long-term vision and goal for this technology, seems to be the best strategy for most investors and supporters of this experiment. Just forget about the short-term dumps and focus on the long-term rewards.  ;)

While those crashes were much worse in terms of percentage loss. This is the biggest crash in terms of overall market value loss. There's also one other reason I consider this to be the worst of the crashes and that's because it's much more in the public eye. Truth be told, only a select few people knew of bitcoin in 2011, whereas now it's been plastered all over the news for the last 2 years.

In a market you are likely to be a loser whatever you end up doing.

I see a lot people now regret having held their coins instead of selling them, but that's nonsense talk after the price has gone down. What if you sold at $19,000 and the price kept going up to $50,000 by now? You would be dealing with the same form of disappointment. Losing money for most people is psychologically no different from losing out on potential profits by selling way too early.

People's main problem is that they are too dependent on the money they invest in crypto. It's either borrowed, or their life savings. No wonder they feel horrible.

I still remember when bitcoin started his bull run after 2013's fatal MtGox crash which is the biggest crash ever on bitcoin including the current one (well actually there was one even worse in 2011 I think, a 90% crash). Anyway, the point is, I remember when the price started going up and then approaching the $1300 former ATH a lot of people were saying to sell because wouldn't break it, or it would quickly collapse. We will see something similar when we are near $19k again.

And remember that many analysts got it wrong. Tone Vays said $7500 best case scenario for 2017, so we are going to once again see a new ATH that blows everyone's minds and most people will sell way too early.

I honestly don't see this as anything out of the norm for bitcoin.

Last year was full of FOMO buying and a bubble resulted, lifting prices up to levels that were way too high to sustain. This year is just the correction of that. If people expect bitcoin to continuously go up all the time then they are absolutely crazy, because no asset class can ever offer that kind of returns.

What we're seeing is the bearish stage of the bitcoin market cycle, exactly what we have seen in 2014-2015. I do expect this bear market to continue for at least a few more months, but there is really no reason to panic sell. I think that contrarian investing at this stage of the bear market where prices are near the floor would be a good strategy. Start buying, before the next bull market swings by again and the same thing happens.

most people who say that won't actually buy when the time comes. during bear markets like this, new investors won't come near this market with a ten foot pole. that's how sentiment tends to work: during the bull run, everyone wants to buy. after the price has crashed, most people are too scared to buy.

newbies are usually weak hands too. they're much more likely to sell the bottom than to buy it. :P

Analysts are lazy ass parasites. Tone Vays isn't much different. They keep guessing till they are right, oh boy, what was Tone happy with his $5000 prediction this month. Because of how the price just didn't want to drop below $6000 he was nearly at a point he would adjust his prediction upwards, and now acts like he said it would happen, lol.

I am pretty certain that the next bull run might peak out above $1 trillion in market cap for Bitcoin. That being said, we all know that reaching crazy price levels isn't a problem for Bitcoin, supporting them is. If it tanks with 80-90% again, that would be quite something. I'm not sure how many more times Bitcoin can pull off something like that, because eventually it should be able to mature in that regard.

As I thought so, whether it is the worst year or not I believe bitcoin will fall so deep. But, after that, the price will soar, even little by little, it will hit the top again. I can't guarantee that since there's no pattern or certainty of when it will take, or how long the worst period will end, but I do believe that Up-Down are common in bitcoin, they take turn. Nobody knows when, but it's true happen. In this situation, keep patient and careful of what step we choose is very important.

I think this was a lot harder to achieve compared to any other market crash in bitcoins history.

When the prices dropped back in the day it was easily understandable because there was not enough volume at all and the price dropped only couple hundred in total, maximum of a thousand dollars at most.

However right now, it must have been a lot harder considering the price was at around 20 thousand dollars at the start of the year and it must have required so many billions of dollars to be sold and bought in order to drop the price this significantly.

I have seen a lot of people compare this drop to some other ones but never in bitcoin history there has been this much of a drop with this much volume at hands. Even during its peak volumes at 2013-14-15 years the volume wasn't even remotely around these levels. Lets hope we can get out of this soon.

This is a history, yes even though things like this often happen but maybe for some people who are new to the crypto world then this is history. the significant price reduction is a reason why we have had a tremendous surprise. This history will continue to be recorded and I'm sure all crypto users will recognize the sad events like this. 2018 It is indeed not a good year, but we must continue to strive and hope that in the following year the situation will be much better.

I would put a recovery only after may 2019, and a new ATH only in 2020.

Only if you get stuck with that thinking will you be a loser. The people who are winners are the ones who focus on processes around decision making instead of on the success of a decision. There is no such thing as perfect information in this market or any other free market so you can only ever make the right decisions at the time, if they turn out to be wrong then you have to accept that you did the best you could.

We already see some grow of bitcoin price, maybe this can be the sign that bull run will start soon or maybe not, i don't know what to say, but i think that bitcoin will grow and next month will be at least over 6000$ again.

if you think about it, that's been true of every previous bull cycle too. when bitcoin crashed in 2014, the amount of distribution in dollar terms was unprecedented, just like it is now. every cycle is unprecedented in a lot of ways, so we shouldn't be surprised.

anyway, we've now seen a nice 25% bounce from the carnage a few days ago. shorts haven't dropped at all, so i imagine this will push higher. i'm skeptical the bear market is over, but i think we may have seen the worst in terms of percentage losses.

This is not even a matter of FUD; this is more like the market writing another history. Just as the picture posted by cellard above, a time will come in this market when people rather than worrying will be looking at this market and saying a time like this when the price dropped from $19800 to whatever you can think in your head right now.

But that is it, just plain history as we all know that in the long run, this market will recover and we will definitely get to see the market back on its feet with even more interesting values to cover as we move on. The same scenario will happen again, some will buy even at higher prices, and then we will see how we will get back relating to this moment eventually.

Well it's a cycle alright and it happens not just with crypto but even with stocks and forex. And these kinds of heavy volatility are normal for any industry that's just starting up. We may recover and we may have an even greater decline in the future with more losses. It's just how things go.

There is a lot of positive view to keep here if I am asked. Considering the aspect where you are getting to buy at a lower price than earlier this year or late last year, I guess that is a huge positivity one can easily relate to. You know a lot of people may not see it that way, as they let themselves get blinded by what is going on in the market rather than looking at the future to determine the actions they will be taking now.

If you concentrate too much on now, the chances of missing the now opportunities is something that is practically bound to happen. This is indeed a huge crash, and basically, one thing the market has given is an opportunity which I believe taking advantage of it should be a thing.