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Hey,
I'm offering soccer betting information. I'm not offering "fixed" matches. My betting information is on bankrupt teams.

How it work?

I'm using a lot of data with past matches about specific teams on specific leagues. My tips are focuse on bankcrupt teams. I'm using algorithms for avarage goals and winrate/loserate (respectively about bankrupt team) for specific "rank" teams (I'm using rank system for teams about specific position in tabble and info about "motivation of the team" as promotions and more). I'm using solid financial information about bankrupt teams.

Strategy

I'm betting with special strategy. I will tell you only concept and basic things about my betting strategy (full strategy for subscribers only). I'm betting 7% of whole bank (amount of betting account) and using auto close bet at ~1.50 odd. I'm saying "around", because most of the times, auto close bet closed bet with more then 1.50 odd.


Free trial


I will share tips for 1 month, to gain bitcointalk's community turst. Tips will be free (trial) until 12.05.2019.

Tips archive

Google Spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1foR3moDe-qb6sNjE92n9oHipNmUjYp_GLRRpsObGVWc/edit?usp=sharing)

Thank you.

Feel free to ask questions in this topic.

------------

UD Los Garres-CD Algar
Tip: 1
Info: Algar is bankrupt team. They lose on average with one goal difference.

This should be moved to the gambling discussion board here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=228.0 . You can do that clicking the link at the bottom left labeled "move topic". There is also a lot more than that wrong with this post like the fact that you never mention your win rate. As a noob the only way you'll get people to use your service is by somehow establishing a public record of your win rate. For example you post 50-100+ free picks over time and have a positive roi. As a mathematically minded person I'd be fairly doubtful even at 100 public picks unless they had a phenominal win rate. The variance on a small sample like 50-100 means that even a losing handicaper can show a profit over that small of a sample.

Well, then post it here and let's see if you are consistent enough to gain our trust.

and this one.


Kindly elaborate more.

Hey,
I'm back. We losed first match posted here, but here we go. This is second and third match for today.

Germnay Oberliga Hamburger

SC Victoria Hamburg-Wedeler TSV
1 (-1.5,-2 asian handicap)
Wederler is bankrupt team.

Ireland Devision 1

Wexford-Bray
2 (-1.5 asian handicap)
Wexford is bankrupt team.


Thank you for comment. I dont think so, because this is a service as well. I will post 1 week for free here and then I will start with membership.



Good luck!

If you took the time to look you would find nearly identical threads in that board but none in this one. I'm not sure why a mod hasn't moved this already but regardless of if you call it a service or not it is gambling related and it should be in the gambling discussion board with the rest of the identical posts.

Ahh, yes, you are right, bro. Now, I checked and saw that there is Gambling section in Economic. Thank you!

I was on holiday and this is the reason that i do not post any info in topic.
Now, let's throws clarity on my information as well. This info matches must be cashed out with 1.50 odd. This guarantee high profit in long term. For example, your bet is 10$, when bet comes with 15$ cash out, you must cashed out it. I use auto cash out in my bookmaker. I will post 1 or 2 week more here to prove my information. I play with strategy, but i will share more information about it with future subscribers.

Let's start.

England National league North

Blyth-Nuneaton
Tip: 1 (-1 asian handicap)

Good luck!

You won the last tip and although there are a lot of threads for soccer bets but it is the first time I hear someone playing on bankrupt teams and it looks very interesting seeing the first results I will keep an eye on this thread and if the information is top level maybe I can try your service but first I need more games like these.

I like the confidence you are going on your prediction and bets. And you also admitted a loss at your first game, that is commendable for accepting losses. Nice idea that you decided to predict on bankrupt teams.

I have no ideas why you choose to give tips about bankrupt teams. How long have you been betting on such teams and how about the result? Is it profitable?
You need to show your history first before asking people to pay for your tips, otherwise no one will be interested to pay for your tips. At least you need to show how good your tip is.

Honestly speaking, one week wont really be enough to convince gamblers on this forum to use up your service or tips.You do need to built up
some reputation on here if you do like for potential followers.Quite curious on why bankrupt teams being selected.?

Yes, one week free tip is not enough to gain trust from the users.
But let's see if someone will apply for membership after this 1 week trial.
Though $50 is not that much for one month membership, still your offering has no assurance that this will gonna be good.
Care to share your history as others are already requesting?

Not be much but even i do have the money i wont tend to give out even $1  ;) Thats an easy money for him incase hes just making some random picks on here.
Im not saying negatively but further proofs by means of free tips is needed.

just one week of tips is too little to prove your worth to be honest. You need to at least post for a month so that people actually take you seriously and follow you. The only case where one week might be enough is if you get all your picks in the week right and with odds 2x or over. In any case, good luck. Ill follow the first few picks to see how it goes. :)

With threads similar to this, and have those free tipping, having a week or two might not be enough gaining trust, but if you will be consistent and all of those free tips delivered, I cans assume that there would be some gamblers here who really love this type of betting will reach you and maybe accept
payments that you've asked, especially those who gained from your free picks that wanted to extend their chances.

1 month is enough for you to gain trust if all your tips are correct. If every one profit with your 1-month free tip then I guess 50$ is nothing compared to what your service is offering. There were lots of this kind of thread back in the years who gave free tips and a gambling site also did an event to the top tipster here.

Very nice initiative and it will make people getting trust in your if you succeed in your bets.
I am wondering how you can identify that the teams are bankrupt. It is a good gambling strategy to bet against the bankrupt team but the point is how they can be realized as bankrupt.

1 month is not enough to build trust, especially if the free tips is only once a week. Means that he gives 4 free tips only, although all the 4 free tips goes well then it does not mean that people will trust it. Just look at the other older tipsters in this forum, they need long time and so many free tips to build trust before they started to offer paid tips.

Most sports team are losing money, so I guess he looks for teams that have stopped paying salaries to anybody but the players and coaches. Those teams can be found from a google search or from reading sports news.
If he's really good he might know about player paychecks that are delayed, info like that will be good to have!

I will feel fine paying a tipster if your picks are constant winners.
There are some people who are better at sports wagering then others so their info is valuable.
You are going to need to establish some more trust before you start trying to offer your service.

Thank you for your comment. I pick this type of teams, because they are in financial difficulties.


Thank you for comment. Its very profitable long term. I won't show my history in bookmaker, but can share statistic for this type of tips.
Stats:
All tips: 33
Winning tips: 27
Lose tips: 5


I have info about team's total assets, which is valuable info.



I will extend trial time to 1 month, at the request on member of the forum.

Let's start. Today, I will share another 2 matches.

Croatia 1 HNL

Osijek-Rudes
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Ireland Devision 1

Limerick-Wexford
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Good luck!

Are these tips based solely on the information that the teams have financial problems and can't pay the players wages? Therefore the players won't have any motivation to give 100% and will end up losing the matches. Because that is not entirely true. Just because the teams are broke and the players are not getting paid, the players have to play good because their careers depend on it. Scouts and managers are watching these players and they are not going to pick one who looks like he is playing in the park with his friends.

Can you walk us through the process of what you are basing this info on?

Thank you for question. Of course, this is not about players motivation as well. I'm analysing team managers, its about team leadership as well. This is part of analysis, but not limited to this only. My analysis include over 5 indicator and a lot of data. I'm using algorith about avarage goals of the bankrupty team against teams of different ranks. I can't tell you exactly how I made a analyzes. I'm using algorithm to calculating risk/reward for last phase of picking. I hope this answer satisfies you. Dont hesitate if you have another questions.
-----
First match from Croatia auto closed at 1.50. It's win.

Here you can find a list of quick links with soccer stats: http://sportstatist.com/soccer-statistic-eng/

Hello,
Matches for today are ready.

Netherlands Tweede Devisie
AFC-Barendrecht
Tip: 1 ( -2.5 asian handicap)

England National League North
Bradford PA-Nuneaton
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Spain Tercera Group 3
Union Montanesa Escobedo-Naval Reinosa
Tip: 1 (-2.0,-2.5 asian handicap)
Don't forget about auto close bet at 1.50 odd. My bookmaker offers auto closing bet.

Good luck!

This kind of betting makes some sense, but I think it can not be profitable in the long run. You bet against teams that have financial problems, and let's be realistic that the great majority actually have such problems, money is always problem. The very fact that the percentage of wins is only 50% (let's say that's the average) tells us that even those teams who have financial problems sometimes play good football.

The disadvantage in this strategy is just playing against teams that allegedly have financial problems, but without an opponent's analysis. They can be without important players, in a lousy mood for playing or in long series without defeat. On the other hand, team in financial problems can be extra motivated to win, just because some players want to show that they can play and some scouts look at them.

Thank you for question. You are right, but part of my analysis is a analysing result and the game as whole about bankrupt team against different teams of different ranks. I will upload picture soon with part of my analysis.
Thanks

EDIT: 2 of 3 matches win today. Only Bradford finished 1:0  :-[ . The match from Netherland win with 1.90 odd, due to bookmaker removed it from live sessions.

I agree with Lucius. If the overall win percentage is 50% or slightly over/under 50% how profitable can this be if one uses this strategy an entire month.
Lets say you bet $100 per match, and the odds are 1.8-1.9. If the overall win percentage is 50% you will not end the month with a profit. You would need a few won bets above the 2.0 region to make a winning at the end of the month. 

Well as long as it is free information for betting in soccer then that is good. Now, gaining one's trust will depend on the individual that perceives it. It may not work on you within 1 week but for others may be. I will be watching thia thread and for the possible predictions especially that the championship game is already coming on.

Let's head to the matches!

In sports betting we should take into account all possible information, and although we believe some team will win, we should be kept in mind that in this case the game has two more possible outcomes. It is good that you check both teams, so the chances of winning are much higher.

It would be nice to edit first post with all games, or maybe even better if you can use spreadsheets (https://www.google.com/sheets/about/), and post that link in first post.

Thanks for your replay. Winrate on my predictions is not 50%, its over 80% for full season. I want to gain trust here about my predictions. If you want, create one account on another bookmaker, and try this tips for 1 month, you will obtain good profit.


Thanks for your replay. It is good idea, about updating first post and creating a spreadsheets. I will do.
Thank you!

----
For today, we have not markets for the matches that i picked.

If your win rate is 80% it is a totally different thing. A full spreadsheet is a good way to go as well as some proof that you actually placed bets on those matches. That could help to make you look trustworthy and gain some reputation.

Matches for today.

Malta Premier League
Hibernians-Qormi
Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)

Gibraltar Premier League
Mons Calpe-Lions Gibraltar
Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)

Do not forget to close bet at 1.50 odd.

Latter, or tomorrow I will create spreadsheet and will update first post in topic.

Good luck!

That would be a good indicator of how well your algorithm and analyzes have worked so far, if you end up with a more than 60% winning rate it could be profitable in the long term although past results do not guarantee future results also.

I think that because you are playing handicaps you are limiting yourself and you ask for higher odds , even if the odd is lower you should go for a simple win.I like playing really low odds like 1.25 and even lower as long as it is a win most of the times.

Thanks for your replay. Everyone can track my prediction now with this spreadsheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1foR3moDe-qb6sNjE92n9oHipNmUjYp_GLRRpsObGVWc/edit?usp=sharing .

As I said, I created spreadsheet with all tips, which published here. Please, review it and if you find something wrong, please replay here. First post was also updated.

Thanks

Hello,
Pick for today

Spain Tercera Group 3
Tropezon-Revilla
Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)

I will update spreadsheet later.
Good luck!

thank you for your Strategies and friend and I can take it guidance for me to do the next investment and I definitely implement a strategy to get my success if it was successful I will be very happy to get my profit.

Thanks for your replay. My wining rate 58% for now. For sure, this is not good winrate, I want to prove you this information. Just stay active in thread and watch. However, you can bet it with small amount, to test this specific betting strategy.

Today's pick auto closed at 1.79 odd. Spreadsheet updated too.
Thank you!

Picks for today

Denmark Series Group 4
Nørresundby-Lystrup
Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)

Spain Tercera Division Group 16
SD Logrones-Autol
Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)

Spain Tercera Division Group 2
Marino de Luanco-La Madalena
Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)

Do not forgot to place auto close bet. I'm betting on Bet365, but you can use your local licensed bookmaker. The spreadsheet will be updated every day.
Good luck!

Picks for today

Germany Oberliga NOFD-Nord
Lichtenberg-Malchower
Tip: 1 (-4.5 asian handicap)

Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch-Jong Utrecht
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Portugal Campeonato de Portugal
Casa Pia-Redondense
Tip: 1 (-2.5,-3 asian handicap)

 
Austria Regionalliga Central
Grazer-Wels
Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)

I'm updating matches, because first match from germany is after about 2 hours. I will update markets (tips) on last 2 matches, when bookmaker release a valuable bet (asian handicap). I will update spreadsheet, when update all matches for today.

Edit 1: Now my bookmaker offers asian handicap on Casa Pia-Redondense.

Edit 2: Now my bookmaker offers asian handicap on Grazer-Wels.

Thank you

Picks for today

Denmark Series Group 1
Avedøre-AB Tårnby
Tip: 1 (Full Time)

Germnay Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau-Holzkirchen
Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)


Germany Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Mechtersheim-VFB Dillingen
Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)

Scotland League Two
Clyde-Berwick
Tip: 1 (-2.0 asian handicap)

I'm updating table. Don't forget to place auto close bet, or follow a rule "close at ~1.50 odd" and take a profit long term  

Good luck!

Picks for today

Estonia Esiliga B
Kalju 21-Pohla Tallina JK Volta
Tip: 1 ( -2.5 asian handicap)

Slovakia League 3
Malzenice-Nove Zamky
Tip: 1/1 (HT/FT)

Spain Tercera Group 1
Ferrol-Boiro
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Don't forget about auto closing bet at 1.50 odd! I will update spreadsheet latter.
Good luck!

Thank you!

Sundway was bad day for us. Only 33% winning pick... I will try to pick little bit low risky picks. Everytime, I'm searching for new opportunities. Now, I found that we can bet on over 0.5 FH, over 1.5 FT and corners. Here, I will use third party data. I will try of mine this tips 1 or 2 weeks and then will post it here.


I'm keep posting tips with team that have serious financial problems.
Pick for today

Greece SUPER LEAGUE K19
Olympiakos-OFI U19
Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)

Spreadsheet updated.

Good luck!

Picks for today

Germany Oberliga Bremen
Bremer-OSC Bremerhaven
Tip: 1 (- 3.5,-4.0 asian handicap)

Sweden Devision 1 Sondra
Lindome-Kristianstads
Tip: 1 (-1 handicap) (NOT ASIAN!!!!)

Spain Tercera Group 8
Zamora-Briviesca
Tip: 1 (-2.0,-2.5 asian handicap)

Later will update spreadsheet.

Good luck!

Yestarday 2 of 3.... We do small profit, but not enough.
Picks for today

Luxembourg National Division
Dudelange-Rumelange
Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)

Croatia 1 HNL
Rijeka-Rudes
Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)

Good luck!