Bitcoin Forum

Someone asked me this question yesterday and I decide to share it with others on here today.

A friend asked if Halving is enough reason to invest in a coin? What do you think about this question?

My own answer is nope because halving is just a feature that won't work out until several years and if the project never have any good use case to begin with the halving won't make any difference.

Am I wrong? Am I right? Leave your thoughts below, thanks

For what I have seen before, every bitcoin halving happened in this crypto business, the price of bitcoin always went up the price in the market.
Yes it may go down the price value in a short period of time, but the common or usually happened after the halving most of the crypto that has a potential and great volume aside from bitcoin always got increased their prices.

Halving doesn't make any difference in the total proposed coin supply, so you can say it doesn't make a difference.
But on the other hand the miners will receive half of previous the block reward for the same effort (hardware and consumption).
So I'd guess that the miners will do their best to sell at higher prices to stay on profit. Hence the price should increase. Hence it could be a good reason to invest.
On the other hand, many say that the prices are manipulated, that the halving price is already counted in and so on.
So there are reasons to invest and reasons to not invest. It is up to the potential investor to decide for himself.


Of course, this makes sense for established coins. A fairly new coin, if it's worthless, if it has no proper infrastructure, use, market, ... halving will change nothing.

just do your own research. find the history about what will happen to coin if they will halving. if we already find the answer from this question , i am sure we will have decision is it worthed to buy bitcoin or not. halving should not be the only reason why we invest in cryptocurrency, there must another reason for it.

I think it depends on the quality of a project, many new projects have this feature but they died even before the halving year gets here, what should matter to investors is what the project is all about not future features

in past times, bitcoin halving led to the rapid growth of cryptocurrencies, with more extreme growth rates observed in earlier periods. Based on this, it is assumed that the next growth rate will be smoother and take longer. The answer to your question sounds like this - yes, investing before halving is the most suitable moment, but you need to invest wisely ;)

Yes, Investing before halving is a good choice because the last two halvings showed a great impact on the price and I hope it will long-lasting forever. Halving happens when the miners make it demand of the supply, so at this point of time if we invest some money I am sure we can see some good profit.

he is not talking only in bitcoin but all other coins that also have halving .

OP you are right your answer they need also to have use cases before that halving may affect that price to increase . If there are no use cases in this coins even how many times they have a halving it will never help to increase its price.

Halving usually has just a short lasting effect on the price of a coin, for example, let's agree that every halving increases the price of the coin in question(though that's not 100% true), so if you are to invest in a coin just based on that fleeting increase in its price, how then would you avoid FUD when the prices drop after subsequent weeks.

So investors imo shouldn't invest just because of an upcoming halving, you should invest because you have studied the pros and cons, make researches and observations and so on, and for me it's only the bitcoin halving that's even worth anticipating.

Yeah, it best way to invest in coin that are going to halve cause most likely the price will sky rocket because it helps the coins to hype up but with just a short period of time. It would still depends on the projects progress though, so make sure to choice the right coins to invest with. It may have or may have an impact on the prices but still developments still continue

The halving means and its difference is *halving of the reward per block that miners got in exchange for their work*, the miners are using sophisticated hardware, software and a huge supply of electricity to mine any kind of cryptocurrency that was mineable, the*halving happens every four years which is most common in Bitcoin. the difference is only the reward per block which is the miner got, from (12.5 BTC per block today and it will reduce to 6.25 BTC per block in the next halving which is this year 2020. meaning it will add burden on the miner's side for that reason I guess they should hold their cryptocurrency, and sell it when it is profitable. that was only the difference I know, the rest is just speculation or whatever we call it. I guess there's no right or wrong about what you tell to your friend.

Halving event mean's is reducing the reward for the miner. Like bitcoin which is now every miner who successful to open a block he will be rewarded by 12 bitcoin ans bitcoin halving is happening again the reward will reduced half, which is mean the miner will only get 6 bitcoin. Logically, when the supply for bitcoin is remain same as of now then bitcoin will be increase because the supply before was 12 and otherwise when there is no demand for bitcoin maybe bitcoin price will be decresed. I tool bitcoin as an example and I think this thinh will be same with another coins which is use proof of work as its consensus.

I can't be sure that halving is a good thing to invest if we look at history, it is good that halving after dominating bullrun price increases will occur, but for halving this time no one knows what happens after that whether it will grow or not, obviously I always do research before investing, which is clearly better at this time holding bitcoin compared to altcoin which has a downward trend.

Considering that miners will wornout their best mining machines to acquire these coins, they will not just give away their coins for shitcoin price. There are however coins that can be mined that are worthless but this could be because there is nothing special to the coin, no features that will attract miners and investors to it. We've seen them before where they just fork LTC with nothing new added to it.

In this matter I stick to the Efficient Market Hypothesis

"As stated, the EMH posits that market prices reflect available information (which, as we have noted, is the purpose of markets in the first place)" (C) Nic Carter
https://medium.com/@nic__carter/an-introduction-to-the-efficient-market-hypothesis-for-bitcoiners-ed7e90be7c0d

Information about bitcoin halving is known to everyone and it has long been included in the price of cryptocurrency.
Information from television and online magazines can stimulate the demand for cryptocurrency before halving, but then we will see a price dump

I also think that Halving is not a reason to invest. Remember LTC halving and you will understand that you do not need to do this. halving is just a technical action that will bring benefit to investors in the long term

I think people got more hype on bitcoin halving, if its an altcoin halving, it would not create so much hype.
When bitcoin is bullish, it's expected that it would result to a good price on altcoins over time so I would say it's good to invest at the moment.

Forget about other reason, think of the past and its trend, bitcoin has been bullish prior and post halving schedule.

article on halving comparing the past : https://hackernoon.com/will-bitcoin-skyrocket-after-the-2020-halving-like-in-2016-b61c6568debb

You are certainly not mistaken, halving is not the event that will guarantee a currency growth afterwards. A good example is its LTC, Halving taking place in 2019, Currently its price is much lower than before Halving.

If you think positively then it will be good. I see the history before it after halving bitcoin has increased, especially altcoin as well as many coins that reached the new ATH at that time so that many assume that halving this year will bring good growth to the cryptocurrency market.
Before halving there is a good thing you have already portrayed several coins that you believe will increase later don't be late after high prices and buy better now when bitcoin hasn't touched $ 10k, then there is good buying and holding until the price really goes up.

I agree with you. That's true that we don't hope too much on halving, no guarantee the price will continue to increase. It is better to have another strong reason to invest in Bitcoin such as volatility. The volatility in Bitcoin price allows the investors to get a higher chance of earning big profits. Although it also can make big losses as well.

If you are talking about Bitcoin, yes it's worth it, we are talking about cutting in the supply and if there is a huge demand but the supply can't keep up then there is a possibility that the price will go up, I cannot speak for other coins or tokens but these coins are just relying on the price of Bitcoin for their performance in the market.

You must have answered in terms of bitcoin. In my opinion halving must be the biggest feature in bitcoin's economic rules because only because of halving deflation will occur quickly which must be the important thing for making bitcoin as one of the attractive investment opportunity of our life time. Yes, we do not need to bother about any other coin's halving feature because other halving will not impact crypto markets unlike how influentially bitcoin's halving will be impacting.

Simply I must say, halving will be the enough reason for anyone to invest with bitcoins. But do not get mislead by same kind of halving feature for any other coin. This way I believe you might have answered to your friend in the right sense.

As we are on altcoin subforum we will give you an example.

In December 2020 the price of LTC was $20. Half a year later, there had been halving of Litecoin. Because of that, the price of Litecoin skyrocketed to almost $200 (5 weeks before halving itself).
After this peak the halving bubble burst (one of the reasons behind that was that for smaller miners, mining stopped to be profitable and they went mining another crypto), and today the price of LTC is $60.

Last year about 3.2% of all coins where mined. The next 4 years about 1.6% of all coins be mined every year, 0.8% the halving after that.....

Blocks 24h ~ 150 times reward 12.5 times price is new coins available to sell per day, The reward is sliced.

Halving doesn't make changes in its value only the speculation hype from the halving made this into more profitable.So not every coin is going to be suitable for investing after halving but after bitcoin halving most cryptos expected to boom.

The halving you’re talking about , do you mean Bitcoin or just these altcoins? If you’re referring to altcoins then that’s a total waste of time. A Halving is not enough reason for anyone to invest in an altcoin, the only halving that I know have been able to have an effect on the market is the Bitcoin Halving. About two times the Bitcoin Halving took place, there were some movements in the chart and the price of most cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and top altcoins did go up.

The last one halving was what led us to the all time high price where we were able to reach an all time high of almost $20,000. So I will say that Halving is a good reason to invest in Bitcoin, and not altcoins. But I’m not saying that halving is enough reason, you still have to be very careful.

It is not about whether it will work for several years or not but halving is a feature to control the inflation rate,
The real value comes from the usage of the coin itself, halving can not be used as a sole indicator to invest because it does not bring any technical usage.
Just like fiat, if we are using gold or silver as form of payment then what is the usage of fiat?
You can use it to measure the potential risk of a certain coin but you must not use it as a guide to make an investment.

In as much as I haven't really witnessed any halving,but from information I got while researching,I think it is good to invest even because of halving,as I was told and hope to see the effect of halving this year,that there will be price surge in bitcoin,so I think it's an opportunity to benefit from the price surge.

Halving is only happening on bitcoin it has no connection with other projects, so you yeah you made the right decision, On bitcoin, it is not guaranteed that the price will go up but it is expected that it will happen I hope so, but we are on crypto industry unexpected things might always happen even it is good or bad for us. Tell your friend don't invest just because it is halving, invest because you already made a background check and a lot of research about a particular project.

Depend on what kinda project are you looking for. If i talk about btc then you can see btc price bump in every btc halving. Halving is really good opportunity for miners because of bonus price. Now there is one thing, if miners sold there bonus after halving then price might be dump. Otherwise it's a good thing for project and project's product price.

Projects that have tokenized assets don't have halving like Proof-of-Work coins such as Bitcoin and a halving for the latter can be beneficial as it reduces the block rewards and can result in price appreciation in the lead up to and afterwards

Coins like BCD and few others have their Halving coming up after Bitcoin halving and I can say it's a good buy because the reward for miners will definitely be lower, price increasing is possible

Price decrease is also possible.

No it isn't and anyone waiting on Bitcoin halving to perform a price miracle on bitcoin price will be disappointed at the end. Halving does not guarantee price spike I learnt this from LTC halving.

The halving that you're saying the price of bitcoin could possibly increase. Not a good reasons to invest in altcoin.  Before this to occur mostly users are into buying before price could soar high in the market. A lot of speculations actually on what could happen during that time, but, on your contentment searching is the best before making any decisions in crypto.

many people thinking and hope halving will make bitcoin price rise directly. but based on history and learn from litecoin halving it is not true. even price drop after halving. we need to learn about price history and market psychology when facing this important news.everything could happen although halving was main trigger for crypto recovery.

Every coins that have this halving feature are minable coins, might be different algorithms but they decrease overtime apart from high difficulty this is another thing for miners to be worried about

No, lots of mineable coins dont. Dogecoin mines 10000 doge per block forever, Monero at about May 2022 starts the 0.3 new XRP every minute, Dash reduces 7.1% every year.........

Bitcoin until no new coins produced, in about year 2140.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5225158.msg53821350#msg53821350

It works best when you'll invest prior to such event then withdrawing the profit when it is on its peak, the thing is that you don't know where will be the peak be at, 'cause you might either wait believing that it will continue to go up then it don't, and worse the market suddenly goes down and you didn't even get the chance to claim the most profitable place. Anyway, it is a good investment, IMO, at some point since it was proven that it helps rasises the market. But when your friend are about to invest after or several months, years passed and you believe on it because it happens usually sooner or later then your friend must be patient, 'cause it takes years to happens, and bullrun doesn't occur right when halving is about to start.

POS is not using halving but it was reducing the annual yield that will bring an impact for the coin that will be distributed to the market caused by staking. You should know the mechanism of POS and you will understand it correctly.

Honestly halving is something unknown to us because each halving is different from the other one. Back in the day, it wasn't this small part of a crypto world, when it moved from 50 to 25 there was even less bitcoin in the world and it became even lesser but when it is now almost 18 million bitcoins and it is dropping yet again that changes a lot more for bitcoin in the end. I don't know how it will be affected by I feel like it is affecting bitcoin a lot less.

Definitely, there is still a lot more to cover and it is not as simple as "oh it was just halving, no worries about that" level of unimportant stuff but lets not act like halving doesn't get less and less important. Next halving after this one will become even less important as well and the one after that will be totally unimportant minuscule thing.

Peercoin is best reference point, staking since 2012, some facts:
On average the past 5 years 776605 new Peercoins per year (2127 per day) with a 1% fixed stacking reward.
Coins produced depends how many stake.

Year	Supply	New Coins	% per year
2012	15094912	15094912	58,38%
2013	20982872	5887960	22,77%
2014	21971814	988942	3,82%
2015	22867470	895656	3,46%
2016	23738826	871356	3,37%
2017	24544131	805305	3,11%
2018	25116222	572091	2,21%
2019	25854837	738615	2,86%

You are right.

Just like with Litecoin, I believed at first that it will make the price higher but after that almost nothing happened. But for bitcoin, this is a different coin and much better than the said altcoin because it's the most popular and well-invested cryptocurrency in the market.

But with what you have said to your friend, you just said the right words.

LTC price halving and BTC price halvings are totally different stuff from each other, I totally can see both of them fail but that doesn't make them both the same thing. Not all halvings are same, some are good and some are not so good and not all of them have to be because of the same reason. LTC is still low in price and could have gone up and wouldn't require all that much at all and could have easily changed the whole sphere of it.

However, looking at bitcoin, even after halving it requires BILLIONS of dollars to take it to all time high, and that is not something halving could achieve all by itself, could it potentially happen by sellers removing their orders instead of just buyers buying? Sure that could work but that doesn't mean there is a possibility of going down let alone going up or staying still.

If you will look at the past halvings that Bitcoin had, then I can say that yes, this is a great moment for investing in bitcoin because all the halvings that bitcoin had helped bitcoin grow in price and now the same is expected, so you should not miss this moment.

It's good to go for altcoins that are on the top list because of the volumes and Liquidity they posseses, these coins also have halving coming up too, this can make them have good price in future, like Bitcoin diamond and Bitcoin gold for example

Nope there is no difference between Bitcoin halving and LTC halving, it's just that Bitcoin is more popular and we'll supported than LTC, in future LTC will add more value because of its Halving too

I believe the upcoming Bitcoin halving will uplift  cryptocurrency community further by ensuring the Bitcoin unit price remains viable in years to come. It is highly advisable for any cryptocurrency enthusiasts to get their hands on any available BTC before the price climaxes. If you looking to receive good amount of BTC profit, then engage in Amanpuri trading bonus campaign, everyone is welcomed to give it a try.
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It differs from coin to coin there are coin's halving that's worth it like Bitcoin halving, we know that every Bitcoin's halving results in a new milestone on it's price, and this year is no difference, so if you are going to invest be sure to check the coin that are going to invest not because of halving.

Anytime is the best time to invest in bitcoin caused by bitcoin is a native coin that has already accepted in so many countries if that was a utility coin and it's very similar as gold that it has areal value.

We always have the chance to invest in bitcoin. We should not even feel worried about that.

Bitcoin halving always give positive effect to make bitcoin going on to the higher price, but when bitcoin keep down maybe some thing wrong with halving of bitcoin, many people are waiting for when bitcoin halving coming and see bitcoin have higher price.

not anytime because not all times btc is affordable  . there are also times that we dont have an upcoming events like what we have this year which was halving   .  if people is excited for some events they will prepare and start buying btc but if there is isnt  , i dont think the buying rate will be much bigger so you should also expect a low pump for btc   .  still up to you if you think investing anytime is beneficial for you especially if you will be more foccused on using your btc for paying or you are willing to wait for more upcoming events  .