Bitcoin Forum

Many People Expect Bitcoin price change After halving will Increase But not speculate after which time will that Happen, But when We look into Bitcoin Halving Historical data, people will understand price increase will take place after sometime  Few and experienced people  Know About it But many Newbies think it will shift up soon after Halving.

Lets ChecKBack into History

2012  Bitcoin halving took place on November  28, 2012, Block reward divided from 50 BTC  to 25 BTC  On which 1 BTC was around  $12   A year later price was around  $1k.  

2016  Bitcoin halving  Block reward was divided from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC  on which 1 BTC was around  $600  A year later price was around $2k in the same
year 2017 Bitcoin hit $20k then get Back to its normal Around in price.                                                                                                                                              
 
Historical data may be proved wrong or right because all that happened in the time where there was no Incidence or emergency like we have (Covid-19) But also the Bitcoin price change which predicted to get high will not occur suddenly if everything remains constantly compared to previous market Environment (this is only if the market will not take into account  Covid-19 but if it will take it into account anything can Happen definitely it will not go much high like before or not at all  ) And the Change will take after sometimes may take after 6 months, a year, or 1 year and 6 months.  

Indeed, there is no significant change in the price, but something else may happen.

It's about the pattern and sequence that we have witnessed after those halving and then we're all comparing that it will also be the same this time. Only if it will be the same as the other halving that bitcoin went through. The halving effect took place and so far it's positive but with this covid-19 crisis, we can't tell how big is going to be the contribution of it once halving proceeds.

Some predictions say that it won't be the same anymore and it's highly unlikely that we will reach another all time high but, the crowd remains the same with the thought of the same pattern will occur and I'm also believing with it and one of the hopeful people that we'll see again bitcoin perform like those years.

No problem with that. We can wait for more than 6 months or even a year later because we are sure that the bitcoin price will increase, and many of us already prepared for the increase in the price. So if after the halving, the price does not move to the high price, then that will be a good time for people to buy and sell and make a profit. I am sure that our chance to make a profit will bigger because the price will fluctuate.

there is one condition that is different from halving this year and last year, that at this time, we know that halving can have such a big impact on the crypto world. I think, one of the reasons why prices are starting to pump now is because they are aware of this. many expect the price of bitcoin to reach ATH, or even more after halving. so, naturally, if the current price increase can occur more quickly due to panic buying

Actually if you will based it on the historical data we should have seen a drastic increase on bitcoin price soon after the halving. Patterns never lie but during this time we have some unexpected covid shit going on. Youll never know if the same event could occured but basing it on the current market movement, seems loking good. Yesterday, we can see how much bitcoin price increase and thats due to fomo and anticipation of the halving. We are two weeks approximately on the end date but this expression of market showing that we are on the pace og bullish sentiment. I dont want to expect cause this could also go reversal but I do hope it will not.

Give or take few months we can see if the hype is true or just a big bull shit effect to lure down investor. Anyway ready your wallet for dump in anycase we go the other way around.

Halving is already priced in. It was priced in as soon as people started thinking that it would lead to an increase.
What then happens, as we approach halving, is that FOMO kicks in and the price rises higher than is warranted.
So then once halving actually occurs, we will likely see a price drop to remove the effect of the FOMO and return us to what would be reasonable just from the halving itself.

Basically, any price rises we are seeing now as a result of people thinking halving will lead to an increase... will be the extent to which the price falls when halving happens.

Of course there are wider market movements on top of this. We've had the CV-19 pullback, and are now seeing a slow recovery from this. In practice it is difficult to determine to what extent the price rises are halving-FOMO, what CV-19 recovery, and what any other reason. But the fact remains that a part of the current rises is FOMO based on something that is already priced in, and there will inevitably be a reversal to compensate for this.

Are you high?
We rallied to a 30% rise in one week. We were also at $3800 when the corona virus caused a panic dump. The halving always brings a big price rise due to the reduction of coins available on the market. Wait until this time next year, it’ll blow your head off.

Even without the covid-19 crisis, it will still be different in my opinion. Investors getting mature, price is already too high for many to get in and other reasons.


We might reach another all time high, but we might not see it run like the 4-year cycle we have seen before. So it might take more time to hit that all time high again. But definitely it will not be hit during this year or right after the halving.

We can't compare on what happen for the past years of bitcoin halving since by now we experience the worst case scenario since the pandemic disease is affecting the world economy so the changes by now will take more time before we see it since for sure some other countries are in recoveries are the other are still on questionable since they are hit  badly with this disease and hopefully we can reach the ATH since it can bring a good impact to the bitcoins fame.

But still, there is a sudden change after bitcoin halving right?

People, especially newbies, want to take advantage of this since they have seen the data in recent years and are expecting it to happen again. The year 2018 and 2019 don't have any pumps during those days and we can't blame them for purchasing hysteria due to bitcoin's halving trend. As we saw yesterday, it's now approaching $9,400, and it keeps rising as the bitcoin's halving is nearby.

I guess the only way is to keep an eye on the market, like what @cryptoaddictchie said, let's be ready to dump if we've already noticed any adverse shifts.

If we look at the massive dump one year before the 2016 halving, we can relate that to the massive dump we had last year.. an year before the 2020 halving! :)

However, it really depends on lots of factors, but I believe the third halving is way too early to predict prices based on the previous two ones. Bitcoin is still a young boy and needs to grow up. Imagine a little kid saying they wish to become a doctor when they grow up - how many times does that really become a reality?

I believe the same thing goes on with BTC right now - it could drop or soar and that depends in its entirety on what we all consider BTC to be. Safe haven asset? Nothing more than an investment? A HYIP? A currency? What does the majority consider it to be?

We decide what it really is and Bitcoin will move accordingly.

Halving? It was proven before that there a huge market change before and after, and absolutely we have noticed it. But think it could be similar to this coming halving? It surely different and we are not confident enough to see the market to be in the bullish one. But instead to see the market its normal behavior up and down. Hypes is somewhat we have experience in the past days and look at, we are started to drop again from $9k. We should be careful in dealing with the market today and have to analyze its movement.

I'm pretty sure most of those that say an increase would happen after the halving are talking about the 6-12 month span after the halving itself. I mean, if you were going to compare it to past halvings, might as well use the correct possible timeline for the said increase right? None of us here are stupid after all. Comparing the overall timeline of each halving to the current halving, you'd easily see that after all. If there were any price changes to come, it'd probably be not because of the halving itself but rather other external causes. An example would be an exchange being hacked and BTC is being literally sold in batches, leading to a massive dump period.

From the history narrated by OP, it is clear that price didn't jump immediately to gain such a profit it has till today. It took a gradual process if time. It made bitcoin limited and the much demand led it up. Likewise what can happen with this current halving in few months or years to come.

I don't think that's how they describe that the price is too high today. They have a chance during the bear market but they didn't even took time to consider buying when it's at the bottom of its price. There's no reason anymore for them to say that the price is still too high because when it did showed an opportunity, they didn't do anything.

The 4 year-cycle is still possible until we see that nothing happened when it comes. But, we should be open to anything that can happen for this cycle because the market is getting more mature and more investors are getting wiser and becomes more of a holder for long term.

Generally, I think events like halvings get priced into the market well before the actual event.

I've been thinking about a conspiracy theory explaining the BTC price patterns after every halving.
I think that most big BTC miners are crypto whales as well,so they are pumping the Bitcoin price big time a few months after every halving,in order to keep BTC mining profitable after the reducing of the BTC mining rewards.If the price isn't growing rapidly after every halving,BTC mining won't be profitable and all their investments in hardware and facilities won't get a ROI.
However,this is just a one of the many conspiracy theories discussing the existence of a crypto elite,that runs the entire Bitcoin Core blockchain. ;D

The effects of Bitcoin halving in short term will not be felt by us holders or investors.

Base on the 2 halving that happened, the price of Bitcoin rise up months after the halving so if history will repeat itself then the price of Bitcoin will pump maybe at around the 2nd half of the year already. Although many are expecting that this scenario will happen, lets be vigilant always and be ready in anything that will happen. There are more investors right now and more manipulators than 2016 and 2012. There is a possibility that the exact opposite will happen. Just a possibility.

there may not have been a pandemic like CoronaVirus going on during the previous two halvings but there has always been some kind of drama going on in bitcoin market that caused very similar panic sells and panic buys. after all if you look at the bitcoin historical charts it has always looked the same exact roller-coaster as ever.
that's why i don't get your title. each time in the past when we had halving during a couple of weeks before the halving we saw a hyped up rise and a small bubble which popped right before the day and then price rises a couple of weeks after with a much stronger fuel. a very similar thing has been happening these days too!

The volatility of bitcoin explodes this week but it isn't guaranteeing anything about the price this coming halving event. There are already 3 halving occurred in the past, all of it has brought significant price change however the things now are very different from the price of bitcoin to the current world problem facing right now. You can also notice how the price of bitcoin significantly changes every halving after a couple of months, dump right after the halving then pumps after a month or two, so I'm really wishing this will going to happen this year, maybe you're right it will blow our heads off.

This is an important observation, and I came to similar stuff myself. One could say halving has a long-term price impact, but the short-term impact is unlikely. However, to claim that it was halving that brought the price up to the next level, there should be some evidence to support that. The price growth itself and the fact that halving happened prior to that is not enough, as the price could be affected by some completely different things, especially since months went by if we're talking about last time. So I agree that there is not likely to be a sudden price change, although FOMO can trigger something like that.

I am not sure if he is really serious about what he said but mate that's not true definitely. I know that we are currently experiencing a hard crisis but I think it is too much to say that this year's having won't make the price incline at all. Maybe it will be just less prosperous this year but still it can cause good trend. This Covid 19 pandemic is a big threat which brings a lot of uncertainties but let's not forget to believe in it :).

Previous halvings did not have global lockdown and pandemic issues. I do not think there will be a price change as we are still trading below 10k but, you never know anything can happen in cryptocurrency market.

I have read few articles tha Bitcoin may go below 3k after the halving but, I doubt it will be possible. Anyways I expect a significant rise in Bitcoin price next year and I can wait till that time.

There is no need to debate whether the price of bitcoin will explode to the highest level after halving, as long as you buy at a low price then you will get a profit if there is a significant increase.

I will not rely on past historical data as it affects price. A lot have happened after 2022 and 2016 halving. We are in a new era of well informed community. Unlike what the mainstream media published in the past saying bitcoin gonna fail  or die. Many persons are optimistic about the price of bitcoin doubling after halving which of course may not be immediately but could still happen this year. Don't forget the level of awareness and adoption in the crypto space has far outweighed when bitcoin price first archived it's ATH in 2017. Let's   keep travks as events unfold. This is the best time to be alive in this generation.