Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Economics => Topic started by: notblox1 on October 21, 2020, 09:11:30 PM



Title: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: notblox1 on October 21, 2020, 09:11:30 PM
Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow
https://i.imgur.com/eBCYy2d.png
Source: https://digitalik.net/btc/

Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model or short BTC S2F is working perfectly so far :)
Indicators are showing that next year 2021 we may have a possibility of a big boom in price and even more in next halving.

The idea for creating model of value for Bitcoin base on it's scarcity is interesting to follow, and it was first introduced by PlanB.
He explained it more in details few years ago in this medium article (https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25) translated to many languages.

Let's not blindly follow this, because there are many factors related to value of bitcoin and speculation is also one of them.
Some people also look at MVRV Ratio and MVRV Z-Score, and others just look and infinite government money printer machines :)
2021 here we come!

Gold vs Bitcoin Stock-to-flow is also interesting:
https://i.imgur.com/pWN7SCl.png

You can check digitalik website and find more details:
https://digitalik.net/btc/


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: notblox1 on February 09, 2021, 05:08:56 PM
Several months later we can see that Bitcoin is still following stock to flow model very nicely as we are dancing around 50k thanks to recent Tesla news and 100k is is going to happen sooner or later.
Same thing is happening if we look at the Gold vs Bitcoin stock to flow model, and sure there are room for big correction at some point but not just yet.
Let's just HODL and ride this wave up :)

https://i.imgur.com/4W1F9VD.png
https://digitalik.net/btc/


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: aoluain on February 09, 2021, 05:20:10 PM
Yes Hodl, Ride the wave and buy the dips.

The S2F model is unbelievably interesting and how the value of Bitcoin has been
following that model. nobody knows the future but its still unbelievable how the
tracking is working out.

I saw a chart recently which pitches Bitcoin at $100k approximately around April 2021,
I'll see can I find it and edit my post.


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: mcun2000 on February 09, 2021, 10:38:50 PM
It really is an awesome model.

It has been discussed before on the forum, such as here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5191012.0


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: Darker45 on February 10, 2021, 02:57:33 AM
I saw a chart recently which pitches Bitcoin at $100k approximately around April 2021,
I'll see can I find it and edit my post.

PlanB's prediction is around $100,000 within 2021 as per his S2F model and around $288,000 as per his S2FX model.

https://i.imgur.com/HQSpAbs.png
https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1357638054815621122

So far, I would say the S2F model's target of Bitcoin's price within the current year is very much within reach. We are almost halfway there in terms of price after only a little more than a month has passed in 2021. In other words, there is still ample of time left for Bitcoin's price to rally, correct, consolidate, and rally harder in recovery until $100,000 is reached.

$100,000 by April of 2021 is too much. I doubt it.


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: aoluain on February 10, 2021, 07:33:51 AM
That sounds like what I saw but it was a different chart, bloody hell I cant find now.
It was on twitter but it doesnt matter, it correlates to PlanB's model although it
showed a lot of variance or "possible" price ranges, not necessarily April.

EDIT :::::::::::::::: Found that chart

https://twitter.com/danheld/status/1357705845027590144?s=19]danheld - Bitcoin is right on track (http://)

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-RtxE6YQu2HY/YCOSolsEuRI/AAAAAAAAAm4/SXQQtxbMyc4RaMqzGN3yd3nnxXOCac7LgCNcBGAsYHQ/s1600/1612944032137350-0.png


Title: Re: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Live
Post by: hugeblack on February 10, 2021, 08:21:55 AM
All analyzes are optimistic when we see a continuous rise, Bitcoin has risen for several consecutive months, and a correction must occur this month or the following month, but with trading volumes and an increase in people getting to know this technology, I think that Bitcoin may witness a correction of less than 30% from March to June.

Following the model is a long-term measure, but I will be really surprised that Bitcoin follows this model and I would be surprised if we got to $ 1 million.