Bitcoin Forum

Now that I have your attention Im going to post my parlays here. Comment about if you think they will hit, what your parlays are and if you think parlays are even worth it.

Here is the one I have open now:

https://i.imgur.com/rmRaVjN.png


KEEP IN MIND....

THREE PARALYS

1 MISSED BY ONE PICK

SECOND HIT!

ONE OPEN

total risk 25$ (with one open parlay)

Total win 383$


You can find me in the telegram sports betting community http://t.me/sportsbet
 (http://t.me/sportsbet)........

https://i.imgur.com/qVM23Qf.png

THIS ONE LOST

LOL are you kidding ? You really think you can win that bet? You have 99% chances to lose it.
This kind of parlays is not sport betting, it's pure gambling.

Well, I like your subject. It indeed got my attention! Very quickly!

But, just like what I was suspecting, I'm going to be somewhat disappointed. But I'm still surprised! Why the heck would you parlay your bets with odds as high as 3.30, 3.85, 4.20, and so forth?

Make no mistake, I know nothing about the teams on which you placed bets but I am in high doubts that this parlay will turn out positive. But I'm still wishing you extreme luck. You really need it this time!

No I am not kidding, explain to us how this is more "gambling" than taking a single bet.

It is like saying "why would you play bitcoin dice with 99% odds, you should always do 51%!!!!"


Because it is easier to predict and find value in a few events as opposed to many events. I prefer one 4.20 bet vs. 10 1.25 bets, with 1.25 I need to be right 9 out of 10 times to make any profit. Wtih 4.20 I need to be right 3 times out of 10 to be in profit. Just a little back of the napkin math.



BTW

Gladbach REKT my ACCA

https://i.imgur.com/zFqMjaG.png

Here is my new pleb ACCA

It is for a promo, the rules are that you have to bet asian total, no pushes, no cashouts
must be at least 8x and have at least one EL game

Just two games in and your multibet is already over hehe. I kind of agree with Darker45 on including odds with over 3 in a parlay. It's not our business how you bet but I'm also wondering why you would do matches on different dates.

Your second multi is the complete opposite of the first. I hope you get it this time.

REKT before RICH

Notice that a "normal odd" bet is the one that killed the slip.

Everyone feel free to post your parlays in this thread too!

I hope you get rich with parlays but that looks like an utopia here as a big parlay with big odds is hit rarely if hit at all.I have seen people playing parlays with 10 games with a max odd for a game 1.15 and lose this kind of bet.This shows how difficult it is to become rich with parlays.

it's very hard to predict 7 or more games in same parlay even with low odds.
if you are searching a profit, you should try to change your playing style or you will lose for sure in the long run.
if you are playing in order to get some bonus, the idea isn't to bad, but with 0 or minimal chance to win, this is just a waste of time...

Lol, your "get rich" and prize money headline wasn't what  attracted me, just thought it was a new topic I probably haven't commented on before.
Hope you do your selections based deep knowledge about the teams past/current performance and fitness. There would be factors to consider like weathers,, foods, and other things that could affect the players.

There is no any problem with parlays games, doesn't matter how big your odds or your matches (idk how many max matches allowed on stake, but on other site i've ever known were 13 bets in 1 parlay). I had a friend who won 1 btc from parlay bets, he was betting with 0.001 btc at 1000 odds (i saw it by myself he got his winnings), so it's not impossible to win huge amount from parlays.

But, what misleading people on here is your title, saying 10,000% win, obviously it's like a joke since you can't be sure you can always win in each parlay you have picked.

You are a very risky person if in the first match you decided to bet on Lokomotiv Moscow and not on Bayern Munich. I know for a fact that the Russians can never make a better car than the Germans and play soccer.

I bet a few times on multi betting, but then gave up the idea because none of the games led me to victory.

I'm afraid the math would prove to be wrong if high bets are bundled up together with relatively low bets in a 6-game parlay.

You seem to be chasing the big money here. I know you understand that you have to hurdle very high risks in order to get there. And probably in a hundred attempt like this, you're lucky if you succeed once. I'd be glad to hear success stories from you with this betting strategy of yours.

Well, your money your betting style. To each his own.

And, by the way, I also placed a little bet on the particular match with the highest odds. I'm just amazed at how confident you are in including a bet with 4.20 odds in a 6-game parlay. You could have set it aside and placed a separate bet on it to reduce the risk. Oh well... ;)

https://i.imgur.com/yys4piP.png

You're supposed to make money through incremental small bets, not with a few large bets. The former will give you small profit over a given amount of time (but goes up as time increases) but the second will put you at a loss of more money very quickly.

You have an 11% chance of winning your second parlay. It's better than your first one which had 0.375% chance of winning. No seriously, you can calculate the probabilities by so dividing 1 over your odds, and these are the results.

I recommend taking a maximum of 3.2x odds per bet, with a 31.25% chance of winning. This gives you a realistic chance of winning your bet sometimes. But your parlays should have combined odds between 2.4 and 1.7 odds for the the best chance of winning a decent amount, from my own analysis.

No you are supposed to do it how you want.

You do indeed have to adjust the stake. The lower the odds the less volitile your bankroll is, it does not however it does not mean "a loss of money very quickly".

^ ^  And you're supposed to have a proper bankroll to weather the storm to begin with.  It's standard practice to make 1 unit = 1% of your total BR.  So if you make 100 USD bets, you would need 10k USD.

The requirement is huge, that's why some people start building their BR by playing poker at small stakes because the requirements are just ok.  Like around 20 - 30 buy ins at any given stake.  

If you pay attention, the two early matches did not produce a profit, even if he made a single bet. Lokomotiv Moscow (2), the final result is 2-0 Munich wins and means the bet (push). Monchengladbach (1), the end result is 2-0 Madrid win and means the bet is clear (lose).

---

Then, OP makes a new bet with an Over-Under bet but look at the odds there.
I'm just wondering what odds are you looking for, because when you only choose odds of 1.1x, 1.2x then it can be said to be a safe bet but strangely, you are still entering odds of 1.5x, 1.9x and I don't think there's a strategy that you apply there, maybe can be say you only make random bets. Be careful because it is a gambling habit that you should change.

Too many analysis/computations on odds or whatever  ;D

Whatever analysis you come up it, you are still betting. Your odds of winning could be higher or lower but there's still that element of surprise. Just play it however you want it. You can mix it up based on stats or just based on your gut feel but make sure you're not risking everything.

I couldn't agree more.

Some people have a different strategy like if they win their first bet, then they have money to spare for parlays with over 10 or more odds.

When you are wagering on large units like the ones you've shown, your chances of winning it are low. That is how the probabilities work. That's why it's better to e.g. make 4 single 2.0x (possibly each of them parlayed) bets than a single 8x bet. The difference here is having a bunch of 50% bet vs a 12.5% bet. From a gambling point of view here scenarios look exactly equivalent but the extra confidence in sports betting comes from taking advantage of human error which increases your chances of winning some of the singles by an arbitrary percentage.

For example you can take note that in one of the upcoming matches, one of the teams easily gets red cards, and in another match, another team usually scores less than a certain number of goals, and sports bettors can get better odds from those matches with this information.

Whereas if you put all your eggs in one match, you only get one chance to estimate human error.

Most gamblers play at sportsbooks to make money (of course there is also the fun element). Nobody's stopping you from playing consistently with high odds it's just that you will lose money more often. If you can afford the risk then great! There's no problem.


I disagree about adjusting stake. Keeping your stake fixed keeps your units won constant but it also keeps your units lost constant and allows you to survive dozens of lost bets without going bust. And I should clarify that constant stakes is what I meant when I said "small increments".

Again, if you put a larger than usual amount of stake on a bet thinking it's going to win (and a lot of the time it doesn't), that single bet puts you down by a ton of units and it'll take several more bets with lower stakes to bring you back to break-even point.

I'm not confident that the strategy you are using will make you win in the end.

I guess at some point it can make you win but that is only because of luck. The way you place your wager with parlays is absolutely against the teaching of probability and the 10000% win that you are saying may turn into 10000% loss for numbers and math will never deceived us in fact they can be of great help and useful in positioning our gambling strategies.

However, if you are confident about this and you found excitement in it then you may do so besides for me gambling is for fun and entertainment just always bear in mind to bet only the amount that you can afford to lose.

Well, same as with the others I rest assured that the strategy you are using will only increase your chance of losing, -- though if you are lucky enough then you might win a bigger amount but the odds are too high which could make you lose a high amount as well. On my end as a gambler I often use that is common to the others that I spread my wager to the choices since it gave me a higher chance of winning though the amount that I may lose is the same if lucks doesn't strike at me. Indeed, if this is the strategy on parlays that would make you entertained then no one can stop you but I hope that you won't regret it in the end.

https://imgur.com/21eca503-c3f6-4110-8768-fa9d9088aa36


REKT by one bet!




Total loss in this thread 11$

He probably did that to get people to read his post. I think there are some people who will think it's easy win , others will understand his intention (it's prize money to be won).
Better to make things like that clear enough.

https://i.imgur.com/O4qWZry.png


NEW PARLAY

he did do it to got the atltention of the people , go look again and read what he post in the first page . on his title it was "10k percent win" but he didnt put a "chance" at the end of it , i guess that was already understandable but still his bets highest bets are only at 200+ odds and if he won that wont be a 10k percent win but a 10k percent win will have an odds higher than 1k or it can be 10k odds  but he was sure when he bet this because he didnt want to loose but parlays are risky and loosing is unavoidable .

https://i.imgur.com/IryVb1h.png



One down four to go
I can cash this parlay out for 20$ which would be 10$ profit.

What would you do?

Let it ride

Cashout

Try to hedge some of the bets

Let me know what you think and if you have any open parlays

Let it ride, though I don't like the Bielefeld pick. They can get a draw at Freiburg, but winning there is a stretch.

If you are thinking of hedging or cashing out after one leg of your parlay is won, why even bother to play parlays at all ? ;D Just play single bets then instead, which is better anyway, and enjoy some return of money every now and then^^

Parlay betting is very exciting but I don't bet on that most of the time, especially with the amount OP is betting.
I'll watch your thread, the thread title looks scam because of the "10000% WIN!" IMO, but I love what you are doing because you are a risk taker.

if you'll really win, I'm one of the people who were interested in witnessing your journey, so don't forget about me. KIDDING!

Let it ride man so you'll not regret in case that parlay of yours will play. I've experience that in the past and it did really bother me on my sleep, so when I do parlay, I usually don't follow the games so I will not be tempted to cash out for a little winning, go big all the time man.

Lost the last one by ONE bet



NEXT

https://i.imgur.com/b9AvFFI.png

What do you think?

Some of the user doubt your first prediction but I was really amazed to know that only one bet lose, I might follow you this second time well what I think about it is that the risk in this parley is really high risk but it's just a $10 bet so why not.

You have a point well even the risk is high it's no doubt that the price too is really high with just a low stake you can make a good profit if you managed to win all of the games. I can't follow it right now since I'm still waiting for some results but if those won maybe I could try this parley tip.

Image did not comes subjectively maybe some editing will Do.

Well 11$ is Just a Peanut in what are you doing here coz this can cause you much in the future if continues to bet this way.

Hoping you'll Know the risk of How the method goes for your bet, but still Wishing you luck and will follow your thread here to catch some good news sooner.

Yes it happens most of the time in parlays,you lose only on one event.I used to place a parlay with 5-6 games which I have always lost and then switched to 4 games parlay still losing and then to 3 games parlay where I have won a few times but lost most of my bets.If you want to get rich with parlays if you ever will achieve this at least takes a lot of time and effort.

If you are pretty lucky with you bets I'm pretty sure you'll be able to win good amount in no time. Well I really think with proper analyzation you would be able to win the parlays well with a little luck I'm pretty sure it's possible.

If in this last bet you win then it's just luck, because if I look at it from any analysis point of view I really doubt your parlay bet and it looks like you are too ambitious with big odds. For me personally, when you dare to take risks chasing big odds then it is enough to bet single but yes, it is your choice I just doubt such a bet. Good luck!

I tried the parlay bet by just looking at the odds and so far I can tell it's profitable but I could really tell that you would lose more than you win, but anyway I think your chance of winning if you really study the matches.

https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2Fb9AvFFI.png&t=620&c=HxkjFYQIjlxNww

WIN

NEW PARLAY



https://i.imgur.com/rmRaVjN.png

KEEP IN MIND....

THREE PARALYS

1 MISSED BY ONE PICK

SECOND HIT!

ONE OPEN

total risk 25$ (with one open parlay)

Total win 383$


........