Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin Every 4 Year

2010: $1
2014: $400
2018: $6,000
2022: $50,000
2026: $300,000?

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FPx-driUcAUoyvi?format=png&name=medium
https://twitter.com/ChartsBtc/status/1512222716153065472

Whatever. There are infinite ways to follow a series, especially as in this case the numbers are taken in isolation from what may happen in the real world in 2026. It will not be the same that in 2026 there will be several more countries like El Salvador with Bitcoin as a legal currency, that some of the largest companies in the world, such as Amazon, have bought Bitcoin for their reserves and accept it as a means of payment, than if all this has not happened and very unfavorable regulations are approved as the one planned in the European Union:

Goodbye, privacy, goodbye, it was nice while it lasted. (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5392457.msg59712803#msg59712803)

400k->6000 = > 15
6k   ->50k   = > 8.333
If the ratio will fall again 1.8x then 8.333 / 1.8 = 4.629
So 50k * 4.29 = 214k, not 300k.

However, literally nothing proves that these numbers are correct and this is gonna happen. So it's a speculation, as worthless as any.

Actually thats really something to look forward but it doesnt mean the price would hit that target. Halving is something a significant event on bitcoin, but honestly I dont feel its a booster on its price but just a hype made on social media. Bitcoin will go up with or without it.

Well the trends says it is gonna go up then so be it. Lot of bitcoiners will be happy.

But you had missed the value of 19k dollars in 2017.I think for the good view of chat you made this.Only the people who doing continues trading from 2016,we know this part in details.But after that 19k dollars,again crypto crashed the market and suddenly gone to 6k dollars in 2018,which was not the expected one.Many people skip that opportunities to buy bitcoin at cheaper price.

The most encouraging part of these years comparison for the price of bitcoin is the all time low. We'll be seeing how far bitcoin has gone although people are into its all time highs.
I've read it from someone and it really makes sense to look at it. Well, 4 years from now, I'd like to see it goes 6 digits and even just $100k, that would suffice the long wait.

It is probably no secret to anyone who is interested in crypto of the 4-year cycle based on Bitcoin's halving. For anyone following the price, the events are always a source of tension and excitement. About 12-18 months after halving, Bitcoin reaches the peak of its market cycle, then falls, and then begins to rise again before the next halving. But is it really correct to view these halvings as a great predictor of where the price will go next?

It is evident that each new cycle is actually getting longer, and with each new cycle, the peak is less pronounced than in the previous cycle. The reason for this is a simple matter of supply and demand. The halving event reduces the supply of the Bitcoin, but does not affect the demand for the cryptocurrency.

^ That is possible to happen because as we can see, every 4-5 years, BTC price will really increase probably that is the demand and supply, many will leave but the number of adoptions more than those who leave in BTC. Halving has a great impact on the price and the most awaited moment when BTC price will increase too much in the market and create another hype. Everything is unpredictable but in a long term, BTC always ends up at a high price which a good for those who wanted to hold their BTC in a long term to make a better profit and be safe.

It's more likely what will be the demand in the next 4-5 years, government adopting it? whales continue to accumulate? retail investors still saving? speculators and average joe traders still trying to squeeze and make more money out of it?

Still a lot is going to happen in the future and we will see if the cycle will still holds true for us that the price will going on another X amount of growth.

You are right, it is 214k, not 300k.
However, both are the same, that the price may be above $200k in 2026.

I agree with you that all of this is a prediction only. We don't know if the same scheme will return, the next price improvement can be different than previously. We must remember that nothing is sure (certain) in the crypto world, crypto nature is unpredictable.

Bitcoin price cannot be 100% determined by a mathematical formula. It purely depends on demands that have no exact numbers.  :)

2026 is 4 years from now and the chances of bitcoin reaching that price ^($300k) are huge considering the good news like shopify adoption and countries recognizing bitcoin as bitcoin will increase.  Positive trend of Bitcoin price per 4 years, can't be avoided anymore.

Well its in the right board "Speculation" and as everyone realises its just
a guessing game. There is rightly so a very big chance that Bitcoin will be
valued higher than it is now, we have a halving in 2024 which means the block
reward and supply to the market will be 3.125, th9is will certainly be reflected
in the value. $214K or $300k and anything in betwen is realistic IMO, the future
holds many events which we cannot comprehend.

Ohhhh look at that 2020 price to 2022 and yet we can see trends about "When Bitcoin bull?".  ;D Scary and funny.
That's what you get from new investors who are looking for rush profits and didn't even have a clue of how long old investors had waited just to get into this amount.
I dare them hold it for 2-3 years minimum. They got used to that invest and run schemes of different projects now and they want to do the same with Bitcoin.

This was popular called as halves in the prices.This was working,if you check on previous chart.You can clarify this with the old price history.The new people can even start to inverse your money now.Because you can even buy the bitcoin now and earn huge profit in four years.You may ask,it’s possible for bitcoin to end path.It’s almost not possible because of the many countries legalised already.

I wonder if Bitcoin price would reach that high though in the next 4 years from now. I wonder what biggest companies or investors would have to invest in Bitcoin during that year that makes Bitcoin reaching almost 300k or maybe 200k and that's still quite high for an ATH though. But whatever we are all just speculating here so the chances of getting that price in the future is slim imo since I feel like that's too much if there's no large institutional investors would like to invest in Bitcoin during that time. But if there's then that's quite a large money though like how MicroStrategy invest in Bitcoin.

Due to the halving, rewards are cut into half and that's also going to make the demand higher. That's why it's really possible but most speculations are saying about higher price than $100k after the next halving.
We've been about to see that last year but it didn't happened because many have thought that $100k would be the highest on 2021. It's okay even if it didn't reached that price because there's still a long way to go until we see it come.

let's admit that very few people can hold their satoshis long-term. most maybe can hold for months and sell their stash once they got good profits. but years and years of waiting, very few in my opinion. anyway, if you are a believer of btc and you have extra funds, anytime is a good time to collect more as you are looking for long-term here. and hoping that such predictions will at least give you good returns.

when I looked at these numbers the first thing I thought was: " where is the price forecast for 2026?" then I see 300,000$ ;D well honestly it seems to me a very exaggerated price prediction, if we look at the current price that we are not even at 100,000$ and we are in 2022 and we look at that there are also always some years when the price drops a lot and is stagnant, we can see that for 2026 the price of bitcoin could be in your $150,000 to $200,000. I think it's a very realistic number. Of course if regulation chokes the market then the price could be less than $150,000


most of the time people buy and when they think the price is going down for months they sell at a loss

Avoid taking the highest prices, it would be like judging the fluid level of a pan by the amount its boiled over each time.   It obviously comes with alot of noise, the truest trend in most prices but especially crypto has been the lowest least interest times when most dont expect any special rise.    Selling at a high is a luxury but its only really there if you can hold the negative gloom price also, market is reflection of all kinds of things not just value and usage but often weakness in other currencies also.

I would rather look at peaks of the cycles:

$1,200 -> $20,000 : ~16.6 times increase

$20,000 -> $69,000 : 2.5 times increase

$69,000 -> ??

$172,500 is the upper bound, assuming it will be lower than 2.5 times increase

a 1.5 times increase would be $103,500, so under such model the next ATH will be in that range. After that ATH the price will drop and stabilize, and it's a big question just how big the crash will be. Previously Bitcoin was sinking to just 20% of its ATH value, but this time could be different and we might see only 50% bottom, and the next cycle's bottom could look even better

Look anything is possible. Back in 2015 I met some local Bitcoin guy and at the time price was like $200 or $300 or so. I asked what he will do when Bitcoin hits $1000 again, will he sell everything or sell earlier.

He basically told me that Bitcoin is not only going to go to $1000 it will go to $10000. I told the guy there is no way it will go to $10000.

So having all these price predictions today is no different. It’s possible it can reach 6 figures and stay there however we won’t know until the time comes.

Remember when people in 2018-2019 wanted to sell at $20K and right now everybody wants to buy at $20K because it seems cheap.

That guy is a legend but I wonder why he will sell everything that he got or sell earlier than 1k when his the one that predicts that btc can go for more increase? Is he retiring to bitcoin or what? but if you only believe him, you will still be hodling your bitcoins now or you have waited till the price of btc reached 10k before you sold yours and earn a more nicer profit than the price where you sold your coins.

Predictions today are more believable than predictions before so there is no reason why will someone won't buy now and hodl their btc. Price today is cheap, they shouldn't ask for more lows because it won't likely happen anymore.

From the data that I saw you gave, the difference in Bitcoin prices in 2017 and 2018, you did not enter the highest 2017 data in a period of 4 years, 2018 entered, another 2019 did not enter.

Do you have data before the 4 year low, I mean before the halving.

I'm not denying what will happen in 2026, it may or may not happen, depending on the crypto market and requests, I'm a little curious about what Bitcoin price data will be in 2023 or 2024, do you have data for that, even though it doesn't happen, but a little curious.

This idea has been thrown around for a long time but I never really believed it. I get that people think that every 4 years there is a cycle but at the same time the last one was in 2017 and then in 2020 we increased above that price, which means 3 years, and even though we increased in 2014 before that, which is another 3 years, people still think it is 4 year cycles.

If we were to talk about cycles, it should be 3 years, so that would make it around 2023 when the price should go up again, and we are getting closer to that. In 2017 it was great, but in 2018 it was horrible, in 2020 it was great but in 2021 it was even better, so how could we say that history repeats itself when we have so many proof that it doesn't?

The price usually reacts after the Bitcoin halving and that is the start of the rise with Bitcoin, so I’m expecting more in the coming years especially now that the total supply of Bitcoin is about to mined and that could affect the whole system of Bitcoin. $100k are more possible to happen for now, and when there’s no more supply to mined people will just have to trade and pay a huge price just to have Bitcoin, it will happen soon in the market.

Thats only very recently become the lay of the land.  I'd say the concrete is still wet on that idea, whenever people are gloomy about us heading downwards I'll always refer back to roughly this one line you quote.  Any action now is solidifying that perception into a reality that somehow 20k would be a bargain buy right now.    
   Its always totally possible whatever high price we get it, its temporary and just a spike and the downside mirrors the upside and we never get that peak again.   Consider all the up and down we had in price over the last year or so and its in sum total really positive accumulation not a selloff really.   Trying to recognize and realize that is part of knowing BTC is really bullish, the people who have been in Bitcoin for years have a far easier time doing so but the market overall has to mature at each tier of gains before it may move on especially.   I dont think 2022 that we move so fast, just develop around here.

It's a big surprise for those people who don't have trust on bitcoin since 2014 until now, because most of them ignoring and underestimate bitcoin without knowing that after how many years bitcoin will become so expensive especially after halving, where in more than what some sort of experts expectations every year.

Most probably it's going to below 2.5
Even If we say $138,000 2 times increase is quite a bit higher but realistic prediction in the next 4 year cycle.
That 2017 ATH is the most increase of all time for Bitcoin. That's the "lambo" pump. In the next coming years might be a bit slow increase multiplier for Bitcoin, but for long term perspective It could be the best retirement plan as Bitcoin will be on an upward momentum every cycle.

sorry mate but the total bitcoin about to mined? there are still more than 20 years mate before all of the bitcoin being mined and there are lots of things to come from that matter.

so don't get deeper into that instead try to look in brighter side first.
 and also the bad effect in opposite side.

Bitcoin will increase of course but remember there are also altcoins on the table.

It is difficult to know the reasons behind the actions of each person unless they are directly stated, while many people have no intention of selling at all and they will only use their bitcoin directly there are others that have some price in mind at which they want to sell so they can fulfill some kind of long term goal for themselves, is it wrong? I do not think so,  after all even if such people will loss the privilege of being invested in the best asset around the world they will gain something from it they consider to be more valuable for them.

Bitcoin price fluctuations are an excellent dynamic to continue to receive worldwide attention. People want to own bitcoin because they are aware that they will probably get a decent return, but at the same time they also realize that it is a high risk investment asset even when very confident about its potential.

The halving cycle may be another factor for increasing demand in the market, but so far it cannot be guaranteed to always be the basis for why we should invest. Today, bitcoin is still losing 40% more than its price, so don't be greedy even when you are absolutely sure of it. So, Be wise.

Actually people who trust the bitcoin since 2014 had earned large in 2017 .The same was happened in 2020.From the 2022,Huge investment was get into the market.Some few scam coins make the people to think crypto currency like a scam.But it was not able to control by the forum now.So mostly people trying to find scam project from it’s white paper,before investing have a look on bitcoin.

I know bitcoin when the price skyrocketed from under $100 to $1000 in 2013, then in 2014 the price dropped significantly and was below $100 again, the same thing happened again in 2017 when it skyrocketed to almost $20k then in 2018 the price dropped below $4000 , 2021 prices skyrocket to over $69k and will 2022 repeat the previous trend?

The difference is that it is going to get very little, so the miners will not be making way too much from the bitcoins that they mine. However, when people consider the income of the miners, they only consider how much bitcoin they mine, look at all the transactions in a single day, and look at how much transaction fee is paid every day, that money is divided into blocks and paid to miners as well and I am pretty sure it could be more than the bitcoin mined as well.

Even when the time comes and there is no bitcoins to be mined, I can 100% guarantee that miners will go on because the fee's they make from the transactions are still quite good amount of money to continue.

Yeah, it's within the bounds as well of one of the most famous prediction model we have. And obviously as the price goes up, the X multiplier will have to go down.

Nevertheless, 6 digits as the price in the next bull run cycle?

No one thought that this is possible years ago, specially those who opted to get out but now looking at the future, the price could go off again in 2024-2025 massive run.

In my opinion, the Bitcoin price cycle will not always occur every four years because the Bitcoin demand-supply mechanism will change over time. Not only that, the increasing number of Bitcoin investors has certainly turned overall market participants towards bullish and bearish sentiments for Bitcoin prices. Therefore, I think one phase of Bitcoin's price could be more than a year or even two years into the future.

300k? seems possible to happen , because if we will look at the chart Bitcoin price increases hugely every 4 years  , actually if we will take it to what happens every changes? it can actually reach 400-500k
But of course never look too much of you are really investor , instead be contented in at least 100-200k and consider it profiting and if plans to sell? then do it right away.

An interesting and accurate synthesis to predict.  It is clear that bitcoin has had a large internal resource stemming from the mechanism of deflation.  The value that grows over time is the result of a great solution that fits the changing needs of the world and the value of money.  I believe in the assumption we are somewhere above $150k, 4 years is a cycle - bitcoin's halving and looking at the yearly chart, the actual value of the change in demand is larger (not taking into account)  ATH) and maybe as we get closer to $100k this year or 2023, the chance at 300k is entirely in how bitcoin responds.

Without a doubt this is something that is possible, after all the market dynamics are something that are always changing, however I think this could be for the better as instead of seeing a massive rally for one year and then a bear market we could see a slower growth for a longer period of time and a smaller correction afterwards, making bitcoin more attractive for those that hate taking huge risks, which lucky for us includes a great deal of traders and investors around the world.

really interesting, 2026 is still a puzzle that must be solved, if you look at history,
prices have always experienced high increases, of course this makes us even more sure that 2026 can be a positive thing,
nothing is impossible, $300k in 2026? yes! we must be able to unite to make it happen  ;D

It's very interesting as you said but it can happen or not because we also won't know how bitcoin will be for the next few years it could be even more than the price we say today.
And seeing a price picture like that makes people even more convinced that every year bitcoin will always have a price development and will continue to live for a long time.

Possible but large numbers always seem over done to me.   If I draw just a plain line from the lows of recent pricing then we only get to 70k or so in 2025 autumn (https://talkimg.com/images/2023/06/12/Asq78.png) so I presume a fairly boring number under 100k could still occur at that time and it would only be a normal outcome.
   The flip side is wild hype prices of course and I presume this thread is guessing on those but wild hype is far less reliable then the most conservative pricing which is still very positive growth in the big scheme of things.

I'm not sure if 2026 will have that great increase as what we are eyeing is 2025 in which will surely make another ATH .
and 300k ? lets see in the year before 2026 if this does not work then 2026 will surely fails .
Indeed that every 4 years there are a great increase but the last year that we experience a great increase is 2021 meaning 2025 will be the next and 2026 will be a dumping year again like what had happened in 2022.

well, this is an overestimated prediction, but who would have thought that bitcoin could reach its current price. anyway, i don't think the bitcoin price will reach $300k, but it's well worth it to reach hundreds of thousands of dollars. every time a few months, or years after that the price will rise and reach a new ATH. it doesn't have to go up to $300k, even when it's over $100k it's already pretty awesome. however, I hope the price of hundreds of dollars will be reached before 4 years since last ATH.

Exaggerating for me, it is enough to expect at least a 100k or 150k , but 300k? how many failure will happen if that wasn't reached? and how many losers will be added to bitter people if that is too much to look at?
maybe that is Over to look mate, just be enough for 100k and that is much even more to take in.
but lets wait till it happens but never expect too much .

Yes, everyone can't believe that there has been a fundamental change from bitcoin which was previously only used as a game purchase but now has changed significantly and is very valuable and even becomes the target of many people to be used as long-term investments.
every halving period, bitcoin will give its newest surprise with a higher price than the previous halving period and this continues to be done every 4 years.
Bitcoin has changed and is something that is always talked about because of the role it plays.

Too optimistic but.. I don't want to remove the fact that it may happen.
Maybe it would be better if we will think on when Bitcoin will reach $100,000 first before $300,000 because this number seems to be high considering how much Bitcoin's price is as of this moment. I would be happy though if this prediction will be reached as I'm holding Bitcoin.

Somewhat exaggerating , but we know crypto market , we can expect the unexpected mate as so many things we did not expect in the past that had been broken now.
there are few people told us that 20k can be taken in 2017 but what happened? yes we hit it (almost)
and after 4 years ? it did made a more than x3 of the recent ATH so in another 4 years from now? if the 68k would be x3? then that will be a 200k value?

it's too high in my opinion but I think 100k is a Realistic price for the next 4 years. if you look at the price of Bitcoin it can always increase every 4 years but if you look at the current price there is no price correction too deep from last year's ATH so I think it is possible to reach the latest Bitcoin ATH we are likely to reach it earlier.

Assuming the underlying argument analysis between the bitcoin halving and the value per cycle 4 years is highly correlated then I would look to be heading towards $300k easily.  But this can suddenly change as the need becomes more important.  Bitcoin value is likely to cross the $300k corner any moment.  So 300k or more is a guess of mine.

Still, many changes can happen.

From the ATH of 2017 to the last ATH of last year and then possibly to the next ATH after the 2024 halving. $300k or any 6 digits might be really happening at that time.

It's sort of unexpected but it is what it is because that shall be the next pattern where bitcoin is going.

OP is actually just showing how the market moves in every 4 years and Bitcoin ATH as recorded which 2017 is not included on the list unless it was yearly. But I'd presumed that OP wanted to encourage us and looking for more on holding venture as it was been shown that Bitcoin is growing continuously which by just simply holding Bitcoin gives us profit. Like if you buy today, 4 years from now it is possible that Bitcoin will double its price, that was what OP is trying to say.
I hope this will come but I can't expect this as this really far from its price position this time.

crypto market is definitely a place where volatility is nothing to beat , in which causes us not to trust what we are seeing now instead wait what will market can bring us.

If you are in this market for years now , then we understand that anything can happen each time.

But like what i said , lets not exaggerated because what we can find here is Ups and down prices specially in bitcoin that making its way every 4 years..

that's why i don't get the Idea of OP giving a 2026 year when there might be a dumping happening that year , 2024 is the halving and 2025 is the Bullying time then it will be passed on the 2026 so why need to expect on that record?
where did OP get that idea in listing the every 4 years on that when it was forwarded by 1 year after halving effect .

Exactly, it will be a surprised to those who don't trust bitcoin some years ago in the community. Many people knew that bitcoin price will keep going higher, for people to use the opportunity to earn well from their investment. Those people that failed to invest a huge amount of money on bitcoin 2014 are seriously regretting for the current price of bitcoin which has caused many people a big surprised for the price of bitcoin to moved to $50,000 this year 2022. I think bitcoin price will reach $100,000 or $300,000 before the end of 2025 or 2026 because the price used to increase higher every 4 years which 2026 can still be possible for bitcoin investors to experience the same increase in the community.

It's possible that there could be a dump.

But I'm expecting some positive change to happen in that year. Well, that price is good if you're a holder and you want to see that happen by that year or even earlier.

I'm not questioning it and it's okay because all of us have a different opinion when it comes to speculating the market. Many are good to read especially if it's favoring what you want to happen but we'll still accept the reality and any possibility of what may happen.

I am optimistic that the price of bitcoin will continue to skyrocket, what is happening now is a temporary correction before skyrocketing again, but there are things we must remember that the trend every 4 years the price of bitcoin will decrease when it previously reached new ATH, as happened in 2013 and 2017 which skyrocketed and then the following year was red, maybe in 2022 the market will be red again because in 2021 it will reach new ATH $69k.

It is very difficult to make realistic predictions about the price of Bitcoin over the next 4 years. In 2026, the world may look very different from what we picture it today. Nonetheless, we won't know what will happen in 2026 for the bitcoin price. Better, let's see how far the direction of bitcoin price movement in the future.

If you follow the cycle of the previous 4 years, then the price of bitcoin in 2026 will have the potential to rise to the range of $ 100k-$200k, but that price is unlikely to be achieved this year and next year. Because after bitcoin hit a record ATH last year, now bitcoin will enter a downward cycle this year, which in the previous cycle experienced a very deep price decline in 2018 after setting a record ATH in 2017.

I guess by the chart, 2022 would be decent, 2023 will be similar to 2021, and 2024 will be a huge skyrocketing price. I can't really say what will happen or how it will happen but I know for sure that it is going to end up with being super high compared to today at least. If we calculate what to expect, it should be around 300k to 400k by 2024, I agree that it would be way too much to expect these amounts, after all 300k would be bringing us closer to all of Nasdaq, which I wouldn't expect right now.

But, we could expect over 100k for sure, that should be easy to achieve, and we have like 2 years to reach those levels so we have enough time to achieve it.

Bitcoin price prediction is not stagnant. I agreed that if the price increase this year with much difference.And that will not mean that the price is a continuous movement of increment. In 2026 we assumed that bitcoin price good higher than  this price. Are sure that with government attack bitcoin will stand to be increased more as you think the volatility now. Prediction supposed to with two sides. Progressive and unprogressive when analyzing cryptocurrency stuff.

True, the predicted value stated by OP is what we called speculation at its best.  There is no solid foundation that the stated Bitcoin price will happen.  The future market price isn't something that you get by simply getting the ratio of increase on the previous year.  There are lots of variables to consider and that is enough to conclude that the exact future price of BTC is almost impossible to predict.

Who knows? I can't say that it won't be 200k, I can't say that it will be. That's the scary and also good part about bitcoin, we never know what it can do both in good and bad way at the same time. If someone comes from the future to tell me that in 2024 we will be still under 100k, I would totally see that happening and wouldn't be shocked, if they came in and told me it will be 300k I would also believe that equally.

This is why I am long on bitcoin, I keep buying more and saving it, not going to touch it at all because I believe that I do not have any other investment opportunity with the same level I could provide and put in and have a chance to make it so much higher.

And even we are too positive about the future of Bitcoin but these numbers are quite far from the possible value 4 years from now.
This is definitely just a prediction and many people had found it unrealistic. Even if we trace back the market history every 4 years bullish market, I can't even see any mathematical calculations that brought the price there. Besides, I'd never see the market run in a straight path that we know where it reach by 2026.

I believe OP that Bitcoin will grow but never I think it reaches that very high price.

Without a doubt the unpredictable movements of bitcoin can make it an asset that can be dreaded by traders as it is very difficult to predict what it is going to do during the short term or during a specific period of time, but when we see the long term charts we can clearly see the upwards trend, which means that holding bitcoin for the long term is without a doubt the right choice, and as long as you can hold your coins for a very long time then getting profits is almost a guarantee.

The development of crypto in general has developed quite a bit until now, so that many things have been missed, the opportunity to buy bitcoin in 2016-2017 was not taken advantage of at that time, because people still think that the bitcoin journey is not as strong as it is today, but for people who have been around for a long time. in crypto, they already know bitcoin can be bought under any conditions, today they have reaped the rewards of what was started first

That is basically what we could see from the current situation. There is no guarantee that it will happen exactly like how we predict, there is a good chance that there will be some changes but at the end of the day we are going to probably see something similar but in different levels.

Like where it did 4x, it may do x2 next time around, because going from 10k to 40k is hard, but going from 40k to 160k is even harder, so it could be 40k to 80k instead. Something like that, the movements could be basically similar to what we predict, only the sizes will be different. That is at least what I am predicting, all of this is prediction and there is no guarantee.

The fact that it s volatile and unpredictable could make it a difficult thing but also a very loved thing as well. I mean this is also beneficial for them since they could take advantage of that volatility and make a lot of money.

If you think that unpredictable movements could hurt you, just focus on when it goes down, and try to sell when it goes up. Do not get in at any time carefree like nothing could happen, only get in when it's down, since it's volatile there will always be periods when it's down, then you end up buying and you make a profit when it goes up. This is how you could take advantage of the unpredictable nature of bitcoin.

If we are not to consider the events for the world to happen in the next 4 years, we might all agree that a specific price prediction will be be closer to what's going to be the future price.
Who knows this pandemic continues and the next wave effects to the world's economy is worse than how Covid19 started. Or there will be another economical crisis that would affect most of the market including crypto.

+1

a global economic crisis take a huge part on boosting and break the bitcoin popularity along with its price.
covid19 giving crypto skyrocketing both in popularity & price after a great panic at the beginning of the pandemic & crisis , i bbelive that this is the 51% effect on how we can predict the future bitcoin price.
otherwise .. yeah we can never predict it accurately due these uncertainity.

Rocket would suggest a straight trajectory predictable and known beforehand.    We are regularly in unknown space not proceeding at any set pace, there is a reasonable expectation that BTC becoming more scarce alongside consistent demand creates this pressure upwards but its far from a known regular force like the power of a rocket upwards vs gravity.   
  So long as people know BTC doesnt always rise, it will not make progress upwards on demand but only after a process of profit taking or price checking that is quite healthy then we are clear to go upwards.  Right now I think 2022 is a refuel spot, a lull to be expected not feared too much.

I am very bullish on bitcoin growth, 300k seems too high for prediction in 2026 but who knows the future because bitcoin always surprises us.

Every 4 years bitcoin will have a new ATH, my prediction bitcoin will hit 100k before it moves to a bigger ATH. Going from 1$ to 400$ is a story that can happen in short time but going from 50k to 300k is not an easy thing. 300k with bitcoin is something that will happen but is unlikely to happen in such a short period of time.

This is what people are usually wrong when calculating. Like they saw it go from 1-2k to 20k and thought that 10x is the norm, then they saw it go from max 20k to drop for a few years and then next max was just 68k and not 200k. We rarely ever go the same way, sometimes we could go even more, because we drop a lot, sometimes we do not drop a lot and can't go to high.

For example, last time around 20k was ATH and it dropped all the way to 4k and even under time to time, whereas this time around we are talking about going only to 40k, not even half gone. This is why I believe that the ups and downs are rarely ever the same and should not be calculated that way.

If you follow a 4-year cycle maybe in 2026 the bitcoin price will trade around the $200k-$250k price level. When compared to the previous year, the price of Bitcoin is likely to experience significant growth in 2026. But we do not know how far the price of bitcoin will rise in the future, and whether the next 4-year cycle will be the same as the previous cycle.

Why not in the 2025 ? because the last ATH is 2017  then after 4 years 2021 and then it will be in 2025 right? that is the year where All Time High has being on the table.
But why not assume 100k first and we will see if what will come in the next couple of years , let us not be greed to seek for more when there are some small changes to come.

I've known bitcoin since 2013 when the current price skyrocketed from under $100 to more than $1000, nowadays a lot of media and business TV are actively talking about bitcoin so it makes me also follow bitcoin developments even though I don't buy, and the 4 year trend has been repeated 2 times, namely 2013 and 2017 where the prices were fantastic, then 2014 and 2018 decreased, if 2021 went up fantastically, would we repeat the previous 2 negative trends?

will take years of course , the prices are stagnant nowadays and this is a good sign that we are not facing any huge dump because we already managed to maintain this level.

but yes, different levels and something great is yet to come.

40k-160k? from which perspective that comes from mate? you mean the level today and will be the incoming ath?

we have bee in 68k  last year so doubling is very easy to attain in the 4 years time .

Bitcoin is likely to rise in value after the next halving, as it has done in the past. But what matters here is not how much it will rise, but how much it will fall before 2024. We don't know what will happen to the price in a year or two, so talk of 200-300k per bitcoin is just a guess. Maybe it is still very expensive now and in a year it will be 10 times cheaper.

actually it is the 2025 and not 2026 i think? the effect of halving will happen in 2025 not in what OP is pointing , but that is possible to happen though I believe that in 2026 the price will subside and fall lower than that.

I believe in Bitcoin because i have been holding for another 6 months now and planning till next Miners halving.

so Looking at the graph ? i think there are a little confusing about the value.
That is what we should understand that there must be a boosting season for this and to find that? we need a  massive events and that is Halving.

Without a doubt those that have the skill to still earn money in this market love bitcoin and its volatility as it allows them to earn more money than in other markets, however the volatility and the unpredictability of bitcoin makes it harder for newbies and inexperienced traders to learn more about the market, as sometimes the movements of bitcoin might seem to make no sense at all, which is something that lowers their confidence on their skills and that eventually causes them to make additional mistakes.

People will get to rush the market and accumulate more once corrections will come before halving just to anticipate the possible another ATH again. if this becomes the mindset of the people, I was supposed to think that the trend of the market will then change and never we think it follows the same path 4 years ago or during halving. It is very optimistic to think about the $200k-300k price for Bitcoin for simply because we are not even sure how this halving creates a huge increase, $100k is seemed achievable and near to reality.

There's no possibility on the Bitcoin price will create another ATH, just like last year, we didn't expect that Bitcoin will have experience twice ATH within the year.  The demand and supply were still there and as I can see, the adoption has been increasing and the awareness also keeps spreading and I have no doubt Bitcoin will reach that amount but of course, without a specific time frame.

Still, no one can tell what will happen to the Bitcoin price, it remains unpredictable.  But in our conclusion, if the adoption will keep spreading, the demand will become lesser which means the price will become more expensive, 4 years from now is kind of tougher to predict, there are too many things that will happen for sure.

It is not just twice ATH last year but Multiple Times mate, started at 40k till it reaches 68k so yeah no one can predict but many of us wishes and dreamed of this to happen and lucky ? because it happened .

but at least , Halving mostly brings the greatest price changer in the whole crypto market as every 4 years mostly the ATH was recorded.

For those who are familiar with old bitcoin, of course, justify the fact that every 4 years the price of bitcoin skyrocketed and then dropped to make many investors panic, and I already felt when buying bitcoin at a price of around $ 1000 in 2017 then the price skyrocketed to more than $ 19k but unfortunately I can't wait and sell when the price is around $ 12k.

What is the OLD BITCOIN ? is there something to do with the NEW BITCOIN?  I don't know what should be calling Old and New bitcoin lol.

But do the price really dropped this year after 2021?

I don't think we can compare what happened in the last 4 years in what we had in the 2021 .

Bitcoin isn't Old or New lol.

How many times bitcoin goes like this? And if you gonna miss the next halving for sure you lose the opportunity to gain from its 4 year cycle events. Data proves that there are pump will happen after that so most provably what we see before might happen also in future so I guess while bitcoin is at bad shape its time for everyone to accumulate.

Pump after the halving, and so that starts the bull run. At least in my case, my first time seeing the bull run is in 2017. And then the halving in 2020, and massive bull run in 2021. So yeah, for us who have seen this, it's better to accumulate at this bear market and hold and wait till 2024-2025 because history might repeat itself again. There is a prediction that 6 digit could be the next target, and we might it that price as the new all time high next bull run.

I have seen the 2013-2014 increase, and the 2017 and now the most recent one. I can tell you that it is the same thing, just one more doesn't really change anything. Accumulate as much as you can during the bear, then start selling when it reaches a high point and when you take the initial investment out, keep the rest and repeat that forever until you retire.

So, let's assume you buy bitcoin at 10k, you sell half at 20k and keep the 10k in, then it drops to 3k so you have 1.5k, you invest 3k more and get out at 6k, keep repeating that and during the 68k period you would have both one bitcoin, and you would have all of your money back and would be like you never invested.

you have been here for long mate , Imagine from 2013 you have managed to watched the market movement ? not like me that the 2017 and 2021 Bull is the only increase that i managed to find lol.
That is Buying and selling , I also do this strategy mate and I am selling all my Bitcoin when the price climb high like last year , I sold my Bitcoin at 64k and stayed waiting till the price fell down this year and bought back at 45k , though i a at losses now? i will still keep waiting for the right timing lol.

The 4 -year trend has occurred twice and makes many predictions that in 2022 will repeat the same trend, but I see the positive side of 2022, which is the increasing number of countries and companies that actively legalize bitcoin so that it makes me optimistic that the 4 -year trend will not be repeated in In 2022, it is better to focus on big profits with buy and hold.

If you look at the fact that the current market is fluctuating then we can compare it to the previous few years, namely when the bitcoin price reaches ATH it will drop again, and if 2022 drops then I'm sure it can be below $20k again, I hope the trend of the previous 4 years doesn't repeat itself again.

Like it or not, the trend of the last 4 years will repeat itself in any case. Bitcoin supply is strictly limited to 21 million coins. There is no way new coins can appear, with almost 19 million already mined. Every 4 years deflation increases, the supply of coins decreases. This will inevitably have an impact on the bitcoin value. You also have to keep in mind that the inflation of the dollar is going up a lot. So the bitcoin price in 2024 might surprise everyone again if something bad happens to the dollar.

It only occurred twice because bitcoin only started at around 2009 to 2010 but if it started earlier than that then maybe we can see more 4 year trend's but no worries because we can always see more in the future if that is what you like but who wouldn't be? When it's about increase in the price.

We know to ourselves that we want to earn bigger profits and that can only be achieved when the market is in a good condition (bullish). I am not sure if it can repeat on 2022 because I think the last 4 year trend have only happened last year. The next one is probably going to occur on the year 2025. It's going to be a long wait but it's worth it.

I'm not sure if it will drop below $20k though, that will be almost 80% of the last all time high and it could spell gloomy for most. But I will tend to agree that we might be in the bear market, similar to the huge downtrend in 2018 and this might be very tough for some of us who haven't seen and feel what a bearish market. Almost all of the coins, including bitcoin will go down hard. But as others have said, it's better to look at the positive side of a bear market, continue to save and accumulate bitcoin at a cheap price.

if the market will really dump after the Pump (in which happens mostly before the Year ends) then we should have this dumping early this year in the first quarter right?
but look where are we now , this is already  middle of the second quarter so i doubt that this is really a dumping year.
and besides last Month April? we seen another attempt of Climbing as Bitcoin almost break 50k again , this shows the capacity of Bitcoin to increase and decrease .

There are so many predictions but the truth is what? yeah there are countries that tries adopting Bitcoin but what is the effect in the market?
I think what we need to have is a continued respect of people to bitcoin and not just a place where they can take profit short time.
crypto is like a Fruiting tree that needs to be taken care for long time before having your product .
If you say comparing to what happens in the previous ATH then that is different from now because Bitcoin drops hugely after the Hype but look at bitcoin now? it is still in the best increase .

What a coincidence! Just this morning while having my late breakfast. I was thinking about my personal financial situation and its future. I thought about my investments and assets, most especially my crypto currency investments. And that it took 4 years from 2017 to 2021 to reach another maximum ath before a huge correction. I was thinking that I might need to wait until 2025 for another major crypto upward movements. And that I am a bit old by that time. :D