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Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: DVlog on October 29, 2023, 08:27:48 PM



Title: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: DVlog on October 29, 2023, 08:27:48 PM
Recently, we have seen many big institutions, like Black Rock, Invesco, Fidelity investment, Ark Investment, WisdomTree, JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs etc take an interest in bitcoin. The hottest application in the show is the BlackRock ETF application which many think is a catalyst for bitcoin.


Historically we have seen how big companies tried to take control of the bitcoin network but failed miserably due to a lack of strong support. Controlling the network seems like a major interest for the institutions. This time not only institutions but also the US government are on the list due to their anti crypto policies. Though the SEC claims that bitcoin is a commodity, they still consider it a threat to their financial institutions. They can’t allow such financial freedom among their residents as they fear they will lose control over their people which will diminish some billionaires interest.


If you read the Blackrocks ETF application then you will see there is a clause that states that
Quote
In the event of a hard fork of the Bitcoin network, the Sponsor will, if permitted by the terms of the Trust Agreement, use its discretion to determine which network should be considered the appropriate network for the Trust’s purposes, and in doing so may adversely affect the value of the Shares. (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1980994/000143774923017574/bit20230608_s1.htm)
 
This means blackrock can determine which network they will consider the appropriate one so it is reasonable to think they might think about pushing another bitcoin hardfork and setting their own rules to consider it the appropriate network. However BlackRock is the 2nd largest shareholder of the top 4 bitcoin mining companies (https://finbold.com/blackrock-is-a-major-shareholder-in-4-of-the-5-largest-bitcoin-miners/) which share a significant portion of the bitcoin mining profit and can also decide which bitcoin network will come first.


All this is speculative thinking and might never happens but with the influence and wealth blackrock like entities hold it is not impossible to try to do anything like this. I don't know this topic has been discussed in the forum before or not but i am curious to know what the community thinks about its.

  • Do you think this can be a secret operation by the us government with Blackrock to take control over the network or is this just nothing more than speculative thinking?
  • What will the impact be do you think if they try to do that in the future?

Source: https://blockworks.co/news/blackrock-bitcoin-etf-wolf


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: hatshepsut93 on October 29, 2023, 11:52:08 PM
This has already been discussed. (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5463197.0) It's not easy to takeover Bitcoin, because Bitcoin is not only the network and miners but the users too. Without having the majority of everyone onboard - miners, exchanges, businesses, developers, community, holders and so on - this would be nothing but a costly and failed attempt of takeover. Something like what happened with SegWit2x.

And I don't think that Blackrock put that clause with intention of artificially fulfilling it, it's just a contingency for an edge case.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: davis196 on October 30, 2023, 06:30:38 AM
What's the point for Blackrock to take control over the Bitcoin Core blockchain? Reversing transactions?
Blackrock cares about the Bitcoin price, not about the Bitcoin blockchain. They have the power to pump the BTC price really high.
Trying to divide the BTC community by imposing a hardfork might have a negative effect over the BTC price.
It is clearly stated in the text, which you have posted, that in a case of a hardfork, Blackrock will have to decide which version Bitcoin will be considered as "the real Bitcoin". I think that "the real Bitcoin" will be the one, that has the most active users, miners and developers.
It's pointless for Blackrock to their own forked Bitcoin, if the majority of the Bitcoin users miners and developers won't support it.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: ronniereagan on October 30, 2023, 06:45:36 AM
Blackrock is the US government as a financial shell institution.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: franky1 on October 30, 2023, 06:55:55 AM
i find it funny how people take one snippet but dont then read the next paragraph

all those institutions say they will base the choice on which fork wins the brand name of bitcoin based on: the core devs maintaining it and economic nodes follow it.. in short they are advocating that core devs and "NYA" economic nodes are the sole authority of bitcoin law. and these sponsors of ETF will follow these prime authority (core devs and NYA participants)
Quote
In the event of a hard fork of the Bitcoin network, the Sponsor will, if permitted by the terms of the Trust Agreement, use its discretion to determine which network should be considered the appropriate network for the Trust’s purposes, and in doing so may adversely affect the value of the Shares.

In the event of a hard fork of the Bitcoin network, the Sponsor will, as permitted by the terms of the Trust Agreement, use its sole discretion to determine, in good faith, which peer-to-peer network, among a group of incompatible forks of the Bitcoin network, is generally accepted as the Bitcoin network and should therefore be considered the appropriate network for the Trust’s purposes. The Sponsor will base its determination on whatever factors it deems relevant, including but not limited to, the Sponsor’s beliefs regarding expectations of the core developers of bitcoin, users, services, businesses, miners and other constituencies, as well as the actual continued acceptance of, mining power on, and community engagement with, the Bitcoin network, or whatever other factors it deems relevant.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: ronniereagan on October 30, 2023, 07:06:55 AM
Because of China and other countries foothold, Blackrock is why it is what it is.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: Synchronice on October 30, 2023, 07:39:42 AM
If you read the Blackrocks ETF application then you will see there is a clause that states that
Quote
In the event of a hard fork of the Bitcoin network, the Sponsor will, if permitted by the terms of the Trust Agreement, use its discretion to determine which network should be considered the appropriate network for the Trust’s purposes, and in doing so may adversely affect the value of the Shares. (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1980994/000143774923017574/bit20230608_s1.htm)
 
This means blackrock can determine which network they will consider the appropriate one so it is reasonable to think they might think about pushing another bitcoin hardfork and setting their own rules to consider it the appropriate network.
Sure, isn't that what absolutely everyone does when there is a hardfork? You choose which network to support, original bitcoin or its hard fork. Shouldn't they state that in their application?

Do you think this can be a secret operation by the us government with Blackrock to take control over the network or is this just nothing more than speculative thinking?
Maybe Bitcoin is a secret operation by the US government under the pseudoname of Satoshi who just come out of nowhere and disappeared out of nowhere?


You are overthinking here, Blackrock investing in bitcoin is something that logically they should have done years ago because they are an investment company.
Blackrock is not a threat, even if there is a hardfork and they support it, there is no threat for those who use bitcoin because they can use original anytime. Does price of bitcoin forks or altcoins matter for you when you want to have a decentralized network and improved privacy? You use bitcoin because you believe in these fundamentals, right? That's all that matters for you then, not a cash flow.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: electronicash on October 30, 2023, 07:56:38 AM
are they really going to risk dividing again while theynwill not benefit from it?
the hardfork will once again fall same as Bitcoin Cash where only few will use and then blackrock aill just be giving away free money. if they are willing to do that then Bitcoiners are ready to spend it.

free money if free money. many will be happy about it. but look at what the price of BCH after giving away. blackrock is on the losing side if they do that.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: Z-tight on October 30, 2023, 07:57:38 AM
  • Do you think this can be a secret operation by the us government with Blackrock to take control over the network or is this just nothing more than speculative thinking?
Take off your tinfoil hat buddy, there mustn't be a conspiracy theory in these things as people always try to make out. Why would Blackrock want to try to take over a decentralized project, how do you even take control of a network that does not have a single point of failure.

Take note that no matter the influence you have over BTC businesses like exchanges and other BTC tools like mining, you can't control the network in itself, that is why it has no single point of failure. Blackrock are here to make money and not to spoil their name with negative news or to get involved in a 'secret operation'.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: franky1 on October 30, 2023, 08:04:24 AM
  • Do you think this can be a secret operation by the us government with Blackrock to take control over the network or is this just nothing more than speculative thinking?
Take off your tinfoil hat buddy, there mustn't be a conspiracy theory in these things as people always try to make out. Why would Blackrock want to try to take over a decentralized project, how do you even take control of a network that does not have a single point of failure.

Take note that no matter the influence you have over BTC businesses like exchanges and other BTC tools like mining, you can't control the network in itself, that is why it has no single point of failure. Blackrock are here to make money and not to spoil their name with negative news or to get involved in a 'secret operation'.

dont be so sure
USER NODES cannot veto a fork. they are limp nodes that just accept anydata as "isvalid" if they dont understand a change.
the whole DCG sponsoring the core devs and the NYA clan of economic nodes did cause an UNNATURAL 100% consensus vote without needing user nodes

so the right fingers on the right puppets can change the protocol. and yes core is a point of failure.. its literally in their descriptor of their role. they are the reference client. and any other node brand that tries to change the main protocol rules has faced REKT campaigns being treated as the enemy and not a proposal option for network upgrades

there is a central point of failure. which is the core devs. which is why we should review, scrutinise and critique their code to ensure they do not abuse their power, and also keep an eye on their sponsors to see who is influencing code changes


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: moneystery on October 30, 2023, 08:09:10 AM
i mean, it will be very difficult for a large institution to be able to control bitcoin as a whole. the bitcoin ecosystem is large and if there is a person/entity wants to control bitcoin they need a lot of resources and the acceptance of all parties in the network.

and because of this i am not afraid that there is one party who wants to control bitcoin because after all their efforts will be in vain as long as bitcoin has a solid community that supports the development of decentralized ecosystems that are free from the control of certain parties.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: mk4 on October 30, 2023, 08:16:15 AM
I've read multiple times from lawyers in the crypto space that these clauses are just for regulatory reasons — pretty much some sort of "catch all" clause to protect them from whatever happens in the future; knowing how uncertain a lot of things are.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: franky1 on October 30, 2023, 08:22:25 AM
I've read multiple times from lawyers in the crypto space that these clauses are just for regulatory reasons — pretty much some sort of "catch all" clause to protect them from whatever happens in the future; knowing how uncertain a lot of things are.

yep, agreed
but it is still funny to see people take a snippet of one clause out of its context to blow up some nonsense story, without putting it into the context of the very next clause which satisfies the details of the first clause


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: DVlog on October 30, 2023, 08:48:28 AM
What's the point for Blackrock to take control over the Bitcoin Core blockchain? Reversing transactions?
Blackrock cares about the Bitcoin price, not about the Bitcoin blockchain. They have the power to pump the BTC price really high.
Trying to divide the BTC community by imposing a hardfork might have a negative effect over the BTC price.
It is clearly stated in the text, which you have posted, that in a case of a hardfork, Blackrock will have to decide which version Bitcoin will be considered as "the real Bitcoin". I think that "the real Bitcoin" will be the one, that has the most active users, miners and developers.
It's pointless for Blackrock to their own forked Bitcoin, if the majority of the Bitcoin users miners and developers won't support it.


What if they want to create their own set of rules for a new bitcoin network and with a hardfork they can get the coin cheaper than current bitcoin? They have the money to push the newly forked coin higher than bitcoin if they have the backing of the US government or their wall street friends. You have said the majority of the bitcoin miners won't support it but i have already shared that Bloackrock is the 2nd biggest share holder of the world top 4 out of 5 bitcoin mining companies. They do have great influence over a large portion of mining power. It won't be hard for them to convince some or all of them to join the new network but it is true that there is no guarantee that they will get community support.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: Bitcoinpoly on October 30, 2023, 04:37:28 PM
Recently, we have seen many big institutions, like Black Rock, Invesco, Fidelity investment, Ark Investment, WisdomTree, JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs etc take an interest in bitcoin. The hottest application in the show is the BlackRock ETF application which many think is a catalyst for bitcoin.


Historically we have seen how big companies tried to take control of the bitcoin network but failed miserably due to a lack of strong support. Controlling the network seems like a major interest for the institutions. This time not only institutions but also the US government are on the list due to their anti crypto policies. Though the SEC claims that bitcoin is a commodity, they still consider it a threat to their financial institutions. They can’t allow such financial freedom among their residents as they fear they will lose control over their people which will diminish some billionaires interest.


If you read the Blackrocks ETF application then you will see there is a clause that states that
Quote
In the event of a hard fork of the Bitcoin network, the Sponsor will, if permitted by the terms of the Trust Agreement, use its discretion to determine which network should be considered the appropriate network for the Trust’s purposes, and in doing so may adversely affect the value of the Shares. (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1980994/000143774923017574/bit20230608_s1.htm)
 
This means blackrock can determine which network they will consider the appropriate one so it is reasonable to think they might think about pushing another bitcoin hardfork and setting their own rules to consider it the appropriate network. However BlackRock is the 2nd largest shareholder of the top 4 bitcoin mining companies (https://finbold.com/blackrock-is-a-major-shareholder-in-4-of-the-5-largest-bitcoin-miners/) which share a significant portion of the bitcoin mining profit and can also decide which bitcoin network will come first.


All this is speculative thinking and might never happens but with the influence and wealth blackrock like entities hold it is not impossible to try to do anything like this. I don't know this topic has been discussed in the forum before or not but i am curious to know what the community thinks about its.

  • Do you think this can be a secret operation by the us government with Blackrock to take control over the network or is this just nothing more than speculative thinking?
  • What will the impact be do you think if they try to do that in the future?

Source: https://blockworks.co/news/blackrock-bitcoin-etf-wolf

The possibility of this seems very hard and come to think it, right from on set Bitcoin has been staying strong and there might not be anything of such even in the next 30 years.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: DVlog on October 30, 2023, 04:53:42 PM
The possibility of this seems very hard and come to think it, right from on set Bitcoin has been staying strong and there might not be anything of such even in the next 30 years.

This seems hard as the bitcoin network is growing exponentially but it is not impossible in theory. And we have seen people tried to do something like this before which is why there are more than 100 bitcoin hardfork networks, a lot of them are dead. However, the USA's anti crypto policy can be a concern because they might be thinking something like this, maybe not by blackrock but by any other means. This might never happen but there were several attempts before so there can be more in the future.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: Casdinyard on October 30, 2023, 04:59:15 PM
It's quite possible considering the pressing need of the public for a bitcoin derivative that focuses more on the payment side of things than the earning and the profit area of the spectrum. We can't really force bitcoin to submit to the needs of the few, so a hardfork is quite possible to appease this niche. Scalability and general purpose are also things that have bugged the network for years now, and despite the attempts at solving this courtesy of the layer2 solutions laid in place, we can't really find a good way for bitcoin to reliably solve the scalability problem it was bestowed with from the get-go. Hopefully we see something happen in the future but for now, the most that we could really do is sit down and watch as the whole thing unfolds.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: thecodebear on October 30, 2023, 05:35:28 PM
I find all these "blackrock is planning on taking over the bitcoin network" conspiracy theories a bit silly. Come on now. Ever since Blackrock put out their ETF application the conspiracy nuts have gone crazy with that line.


Literally all blackrock is describing in that line they wrote is that if a fork happens they will have to choose which resulting chain the ETF tracks. Nothing remotely controversial in that statement. Cuz of course they will have to choose which fork the ETF tracks, because its an ETF! The ETF owners don't own actual Bitcoin so they don't get all the coins from all resulting forks, because, again, its an ETF, not actual ownership of bitcoins, so blackrock (or any ETF issuer) would have to decide which fork is followed (naturally the fork that remains Bitcoin).

All they did was describe what happens when a blockchain forks lol. It's not some big secret conspiracy to take over bitcoin. They literally just described what a blockchain fork is. Naturally they would choose whichever fork is Bitcoin, otherwise you'd have all the ETF owners dumping that ETF immediately if Blackrock decided to have the ETF track some offshoot altcoin of Bitcoin in the event of a hard fork. Not every thing is a conspiracy people. This one is just common sense, Blackrock describing what happens in the case of a fork.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: digaran on October 30, 2023, 06:01:29 PM
I believe this is franky's territory, he will submit 500 posts to prove that core team is the single point of failure, well of course they are, no matter what, blackrock, blockstream, core team, whatever they do is going to be in the interest of Bitcoin, if they deviate from the core principles of Bitcoin, they will loose more than others, if they fail as the single point, well they will be replaced. Yes that's how easy it is.

We can't maintain a system by dancing to every song, logical thing is to dance to one song at a time.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: The Cryptovator on October 30, 2023, 06:49:09 PM
It's impossible to control the Bitcoin network at all. BlackRock buying mining companies shares doesn't mean they want to gain access to the network. They can't change anything, and they can't make any harmful decisions. And forking Bitcoin means nothing. They can't gain anything by forking the Bitcoin blockchain. It will just create a new altcoin. And still, Bitcoin will be uncontrollable under any conditions. If BlackRock is a US secret mission to control Bitcoin, then they are wrong.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: Mpamaegbu on October 30, 2023, 06:58:49 PM
are they really going to risk dividing again while theynwill not benefit from it?
the hardfork will once again fall same as Bitcoin Cash where only few will use and then blackrock aill just be giving away free money. if they are willing to do that then Bitcoiners are ready to spend it.
I ain't sure BlackRock will lose anything if a Bitcoin fork happens again like it did in 2017 that birthed Bitcoincash. It was a 1:1 for those who were hodling Bitcoin then. So, in the event of that again, it's going to be extra coins and money for any person hodling Bitcoin.

~
The possibility of this seems very hard and come to think it, right from on set Bitcoin has been staying strong and there might not be anything of such even in the next 30 years.
Well, we can't hazard a guess on how long such an event can stay before occuring again. Fork was a thing in 2017 to the point that I felt it was going to be a regular occurrence. It hasn't been. Maybe, that frenzy has died off until now.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: DVlog on October 31, 2023, 07:07:05 PM
~
The possibility of this seems very hard and come to think it, right from on set Bitcoin has been staying strong and there might not be anything of such even in the next 30 years.
Well, we can't hazard a guess on how long such an event can stay before occuring again. Fork was a thing in 2017 to the point that I felt it was going to be a regular occurrence. It hasn't been. Maybe, that frenzy has died off until now.

Agree on that because right now new blockchain projects are either layer zero or ethereum L2 solution. Dev is not interested in creating a new network from the bitcoin core network as most of its previous attempts were massive failures. The only benefit those previous hard forks generate is that they give people a lot of free money that they dump into the market to buy more bitcoin. Dev took lessons from history and approached it with different measures.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: digaran on October 31, 2023, 09:38:31 PM
Come to think about any possible hard fork and splitting the chain like it happened many times in the past, you have to wonder, why are they shooting themselves in the foot?
Because if you have a substantial amount of hash rate to have any influence, why would you remove your self from the competition and allow other miners to benefit by replacing you?
Since you'd be moving to a new altcoin and would allocate your hash rate to mine the new coin, which will become more of a dead coin over time, you would be doing the rest of the miners a favor.

Chinese miners made a mistake by migrating some of their hashing power into alt/forks, it allowed US to take control of the majority of hash power.
And now if US miners decide to fork, it'd be a strategic mistake IMO. So I'd say there will be no forks, but US is known for such mistakes. That's why you should be ready for anything.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: DVlog on November 03, 2023, 08:41:55 PM
Come to think about any possible hard fork and splitting the chain like it happened many times in the past, you have to wonder, why are they shooting themselves in the foot?
Because if you have a substantial amount of hash rate to have any influence, why would you remove your self from the competition and allow other miners to benefit by replacing you?
Since you'd be moving to a new altcoin and would allocate your hash rate to mine the new coin, which will become more of a dead coin over time, you would be doing the rest of the miners a favor.

If they are ever going to do anything like this it will be to rewrite the rules for the network which will be beneficial for them. I think they have the money and if they have the hashrate then they just need support from most of the dev community to promote the new bitcoin network and deframe the old one. This is not an excuse for them to try but the point is are they interested in doing anything like this? The future will reveal the answer.

Chinese miners made a mistake by migrating some of their hashing power into alt/forks, it allowed US to take control of the majority of hash power.
And now if US miners decide to fork, it'd be a strategic mistake IMO. So I'd say there will be no forks, but US is known for such mistakes. That's why you should be ready for anything.

I agree with your statement but I think Chinese miners shifted their hashpower due to the unfavorable policy of their government towards bitcoin miners and those who didn't want to shift their mining power just relocated their base of operation to another country.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: KingsDen on November 03, 2023, 09:13:23 PM
It's impossible to control the Bitcoin network at all. BlackRock buying mining companies shares doesn't mean they want to gain access to the network. They can't change anything, and they can't make any harmful decisions. And forking Bitcoin means nothing. They can't gain anything by forking the Bitcoin blockchain. It will just create a new altcoin. And still, Bitcoin will be uncontrollable under any conditions. If BlackRock is a US secret mission to control Bitcoin, then they are wrong.

It is not totally impossible to control the bitcoin network, just that it is extremely difficult to control the network. It will definitely cost more than you will gain to control the network.

Talking about BlackRock and the purported hidden agenda to control the bitcoin network. I haven't sense any conspiracy and involvement of the US government. Although, anything is possible.

Talking about another hardfork. It is not totally out of point to envisage anothe hardfork, it will definitely happen sooner or later. But as you said, the resultant coin will be an altcoin just like the bitcoin BSV


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: gunhell16 on November 03, 2023, 10:10:49 PM
This has already been discussed. (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5463197.0) It's not easy to takeover Bitcoin, because Bitcoin is not only the network and miners but the users too. Without having the majority of everyone onboard - miners, exchanges, businesses, developers, community, holders and so on - this would be nothing but a costly and failed attempt of takeover. Something like what happened with SegWit2x.

And I don't think that Blackrock put that clause with intention of artificially fulfilling it, it's just a contingency for an edge case.

In my few years in the cryptocurrency business, I have seen many people say that they can take over the state of Bitcoin in the market, but almost all of those who said it were from the beginning hot topics about them.

But when the hype subsides, the issue gradually quiets down or cools down. So I also agree with what you said about Blackrock. We don't even know what it is really planning for something like that.


Title: Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork.
Post by: TimeTeller on November 03, 2023, 11:00:45 PM
This has already been discussed. (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5463197.0) It's not easy to takeover Bitcoin, because Bitcoin is not only the network and miners but the users too. Without having the majority of everyone onboard - miners, exchanges, businesses, developers, community, holders and so on - this would be nothing but a costly and failed attempt of takeover. Something like what happened with SegWit2x.

And I don't think that Blackrock put that clause with intention of artificially fulfilling it, it's just a contingency for an edge case.

In my few years in the cryptocurrency business, I have seen many people say that they can take over the state of Bitcoin in the market, but almost all of those who said it were from the beginning hot topics about them.

But when the hype subsides, the issue gradually quiets down or cools down. So I also agree with what you said about Blackrock. We don't even know what it is really planning for something like that.

We have seen a lot of new projects claiming to be better than btc, even those forked coins.
However, we can see now that no matter what, they can't take over the popularity of btc as well as its adoption.
I think even if top companies will be behind with hard fork, they won't surpass btc's position.