Bitcoin Forum

With the current performance of Bitcoins, should we say that the Bitcoin bull run has begun or we should expect the real bull run  after the halving as usual.
The current market state is already bringing joy, is this a sort of trap or what could have led to the current positive market performance.

I do really think, sharing experience can help one learn and avoid the shock of greediness on investment. Tell us your view on bitcoins market performance recently

I think the bull market began when we first heard about this Blackrock ETF. Right now I wouldn’t say it’s beginning. Maybe we are in the middle of it or even towards the end.

Keep in mind that many are expecting the etf approval to be an sell the news event just like the previous bitcoin futures, coinbase ICOs and bitcoin futures etf. And that is if it’s approved. This Wednesday it’s possible the Ark etf might get rejected and next week all those etfs might get delayed. If this happens we might visit $30K area fairly quickly.

If you meant that will bitcoin and crypto continue going up in price from here, I really don't know. If I knew when the prices would go up, I'd go all in with leverage lol. But alas, we can't predict the future so we should position our funds carefully.

The fact that we cannot predict the future with accuracy does not mean that we cannot make probabilistic predictions that are accurate most of the time. In this sense, it is quite a bit more likely that the price of Bitcoin will be higher than it is now a year from now than it will be lower. Halving, the historical pattern or the moderation of central bank rate policies are strong arguments for thinking so.

It depends on how we define the bull run, but I would say we are more likely at the beginning.

Of course, as long as when you meant "most of the time", you meant ±5-8% in probability. Anything more than that is just delusional.

And yea, with the halving there's a decent chance that it'll work out the same, but at the same time, there's no guarantee that it will. There's always a first time for everything.

Tbh I'd would've answered different if we were in the Trading Discussion section.

I think it is the begining of the bigining of full run.. we will know if there will be a bull run after this ETF shit. and then halving. these two events will play major roles in next bull run. so we must wait for them to reach a final conclustion.
Right now Bitcoin is holding pretty good I think a Good trader would make good money with current bitcoin's volatility.
on the other hand, some Altcoins like Solana are very bullish. i think their bull run has already started. so many memecoins and airdrops are coming in solana. so this is a good time for that at least..

The Spot Bitcoin ETF changed the normal prediction about the bull run. The bull run might now be determined by the approval of the ETF. Let me assume that if the SEC approves the ETF, we have technically entered the bull run because the price of Bitcoin might keep increasing. But disapproval might lead to a drop in price which might delay the bull run till the Bitcoin halving period.

I don't think there is anything like greed in Bitcoin Investment because everybody has their own level of risk. All you need do is to have your own targeted profit level, and when it gets to that price, you could take your profit. Doing your research to understand how the market might turn out will also be a good decision because there are many analyses and predictions on the internet.

Bull run def ( by cambridge dictionnary ) : a time when the prices of most shares are rising.

So yeah I'd say yes since we've been on the uptrend for a year :)

Anyway, noone knows shit about fuck when it's prediction time !

We entered a bull run market when BTC went from 15k and broke 38k. When BTC bottomed at 15K and is now at 44K, it has actually entered the start of a bullrun. Yes, this is just my personal opinion, even if there is a price correction that will occur later, it will quickly recover and try to rise through resistance. The market will not always be bearish, we have been in a bearish market for quite a long time and regarding the recent news regarding ETFs, I think BTC is ready to rise even higher in the future plus the action after the halving.

As @adaseb pointed out, we can't know if we're on the start or in the middle of it, there's no metric to make sure that we're already in a certain part of the bull run, I feel like we're at the beginning though because the price of bitcoin is obviously going up but the problem is that it's going back and forth to 40k and 45k so unless bitcoin breaks the resistance at that price point hopefully we can see that resistance breaking but right now, I feel like we have all the time in the world to just take it easy and accumulate so if that resistance begins to break then we're going to be fine because we've bought bitcoins through DCA while waiting for the price to skyrocket unlike those that we're worried about bitcoin price or when will the bull run happen without doing anything to take advantage of the situation.

You know whether it's a trap or not in the eyes of others; for me, it's not; rather, it's an opportunity for me to buy more potential cryptocurrencies that I think will yield good profits in the future.

In my opinion, I feel that we are entering the bull run, and I also think that we should continue to dca the coins that we want to hold until the arrival of the halving and bull run. Let's just stick to holding bitcoins or cryptocurrencies and don't just send emotions.

We are not towards the end of the bull run at all and we are not yet in the middle. Let us expect the 2024/2025 to be for the bulls. Which means this could be the beginning of the beginning of the bull run that we are talking about. Although last year was also bull run period.

I also really do not know but I know that those who hold and not selling their coins will not regret. With 1x or 2x leverage, opening a long position can be good, but with just like 30% of your holding.

If by "big bull run" you mean the usual 10000%-14000% rise we had in the past like 2017 (from $150 to $20000) then I don't think so because the global economy is in too much of a bad situation (specifically recession) that it would make such a massive rise extremely difficult due to continued panic dumps. The only case I can see that happening is if they start lowering interest rate and let the inflation rise while stopping the recession.

However, if by "bull run" you mean more and more rises every month in 2024 then I can see that happening very easily. Despite all I said above the adoption is still increasing and with the existing inflation we have seen an increase in adoption (people see Bitcoin as the hedge against inflation). And that can continue for months.

I would express patience with bitcoin because looking back at the price increase from $15,000 to now has been a process full of volatility and doubt, now an attention seems to be focused on ETF approval. But there are still many different scenarios waiting and in 2024 there are still many important events that affect bitcoin. I still expect that after the halving we will witness more optimism with bitcoin, there will be changes. unexpected fluctuations that I can speculate will not be easy to predict.

Currently, bitcoin is showing great attraction and is becoming more and more accepted given the existing challenges, I am still inclined to the possibility that there will be a fairly strong adjustment that will cause the price of Bitcoin to decrease and then go away. In a cycle of strong price increases, however, accepting and balancing investment factors to come up with a strategy is each person's decision.

Come on now,

We see one big rise in the market price and we come up with "Bull run happening"?

I wish the same mate, but you have to skeptical and observe for sometime before making up your mind about the same. The last week has been a down of 41k to a up of 44k and this drop was not expected to happen - ETF yes/no questions led to it? No comments.

I have sell orders at 50k USD and I hope they get executed gradually, we all want the bull run, but we should be patient about it.

The years I had spent trading in the financial market made me know how the market behaves, and the way it behaves could be very funny at times. I urge everyone to understand this over time so that they will not be scared or trade/invest amiss.

About your concern, Bull Run is a bullish market condition where the buyers (Bulls) take hold of the market for a reasonable amount of time. What happened recently in the Bitcoin market is nothing short of a bull run, and Bitcoin eventually moved over $21,000 and still preserves the long-term bullish trend till this moment. Now, the psychology is that people had started preparing to buy the market in anticipation of the pre-and post-having effects that could be very bullish, so the FOMO had been happening, but later the ETF news and headlines now aggravated it. It actually emboldened people to buy and hold Bitcoin, even those who would have wanted to procrastinate wouldn't again simply because of the ETF optimism then. This helps Bitcoin to rise and still hold the largest portion of the gain because people are not willing to sell after buying since halving is still coming.

You can see that a bull run actually happened, nevertheless, but bull runs could come in different sizes. The post-halving bull run is still coming which is the main bull run with the strongest effect if it happens as it did in the past.

Forget about specific definitions and concentrate on your portfolio instead as this is the best for you and for anyone that invested in this market, trying to determine when the bull run started or if we are in a bull run already is not really going to bring you any benefit, what matters is that it is very likely the price of bitcoin will be higher at the end of this year and this could be true for 2025 as well, so accumulate the bitcoin that you can and take advantage of this.

Just because we got a big spike in Bitcoin's price doesn't automatically mean a full-blown bull run is starting.  I know we all wanna believe the halving heralds a new era of prosperity, but stuff's more complicated than that.  The whole market is temperamental and you never know whatll set things off.  Yeah, the last couple halvings sparked epic climbs eventually.  But the timings not always perfect.

So this rally might just fizzle out for all we know.  I'd tell folks don't assume your bitcoins gonna make you a millionaire anytime soon.  Just don't wanna see people make crazy bets then end up overexposed if things swing back down again.

Bitcoin's rise has indeed begun. But the real bull run has yet to start. Maybe it will still take a few more months, and maybe after the halving, the bull run will come. The current increase in Bitcoin does provide joy after experiencing a correction.

But we must remain careful because no one knows whether this is just a temporary or real increase to break through to higher prices. But if your goal is to invest in Bitcoin, you can continue, especially since the price has not yet made a new ATH. And you still have a chance for that.

You still have to be patient to wait for the bull run. Meanwhile, prepare your Bitcoin and don't worry about the decline and rise that Bitcoin experiences. When the Bitcoin price starts to have a long rally and makes its ATH price, you can sell Bitcoin to make a profit.

Many people are of the point of view that due to ETF approvals and all this stuff, this year's bull market may be different and we may see all time high even before the halving.
Some analysts are the point of view that after bitcoin ETF approval, there will be a prolonged bitcoin bull market of 6 to 8 years and there may be no bear market.

I think these sentiments are too emotional and nothing of that sort is going to happen. Rather I think Bitcoin will behave like previous cycles and there will be no change whatsoever.

I think it's obvious that we are in a bull run, because of the ETF news and then we have the halving just around the corner. And the last lowest low that we had, due to the collapse of FTX is $15,500. But look at the current market price, it's already a huge increased and we are like up by 150% already.

So common sense tell us that it's over, the bear doesn't control the market anymore and the bulls is already slowly getting the herd to run. And if by chance we hear the approval of the Bitcoin Spot ETF, easy $50k'ish or more in the first quarter of the year or before the actual block halving.

We all knew about these ETF events and many predicted a possible approval which pushed the price to 45k per bitcoin. If ETF approval news comes out some people will market buy with FOMO but is it really possible that those asset managers will market buy as well? I don't think so. So what will push the price above ATH? Those asset managers will mostly do OTC deals to buy bitcoin in bulk so it won't have much effect on the open market. We need something else on the plate to push the price up, but ETF approval will surely set the stage for the start of the bull run.

I'm sure non of us here knows how the market will perform so I won't say because of the recent increase in price of Bitcoin automatically means we are in a complete bull run but we all should be prepared for both ways.

All people can do is predict or guess but non is really capable of knowing the out come of every thing. So we all just have to be mind full of what we do with our money in the Bitcoin market.

No doubt, it started when the price surpassed $40k but not yet to the fullest. However, despite the price surge can't just leave the confidence that it all goes that high straight, some corrections are still possible.

The market tells us that not all the time is at the bottom, there is also time to be on top, and that is where we are these days. However, we still need to wait for a few more days, weeks, or months to finally experience the ETH. Many speculations from several known personalities that we may reach $100k (and more). Simply we could say that more people are very optimistic and that drives newcomers to gain courage in risking their hard-earned money.

The traps, as you mention, are created by the users themselves through their own mistakes when trying to position ideas that do not happen.

"Beliefs," that is, technical analysis and market readings, do not have to put you invest allin. Remember  always, no matter what the market situation is, you must understand that profit margin but not forget the possible loss margin.

No one will tell you for sure, since it is practically impossible to predict this; there may be many factors in the market that will instantly raise the market or bring it down. The general mood now shows that people are trying to accumulate more bitcoins and are preparing for halving, and I am also doing this same.
Closer to the event itself, I will also sell altcoins to strengthen my portfolio; there will be growth before the halving, but no one can say with 100% probability what will happen next.

Technically Bitcoin is still far from any possible bull run,  although not that the possibility pf a bull run is not there,  it possible but based on the availablee data and liquidity in Bitcoin trade volume I am sure that we don't have such pressure yet to trigger a bull market at that moment and that is the reason why many of us Bitcoin analyze still look forward to after Bitcoin halves to see the next bull market propeller.

Maybe in the next 3 to 6 months from now,  we will see such possibility of enough liquidity that will usher in the next bull market

The price increase now will definitely be associated with ETF news, a few days ago when there was news that the ETF was rejected, then reviewed again and there is still potential for this approval, maybe the price will start moving back to $45K, I said this is still a mini bullrun but if there is something negative news again the price can correct.

The future no one knows the accuracy of the price, guessing the price is fine as long as it makes sense with what you are analyzing, if you say bullrun from 2022 until now it is clear that we see a significant increase but still cannot exceed the previous ATH.

I think the halving will be the starting point, but it's never always on time but the bullrun will come one day, so make sure you're ready!

i feel that it is not a bull run, but simply a market response to the development of etfs where the sec stated that they dismissed rumors that they would reject all requests regarding etf trading. as for that bull run, i feel that it will happen when the sec accepts the bitcoin etf and then continue until before the halving, that is my prediction.

You can think of anything that you want to think. Whether it has already started or after the halving or whatsoever. What matters now is that we're actually approaching to the bull run and any signs that you're using for your speculation when it has started, it all matters to your satisfaction. Whilst many believed that the bull run has actually started, this isn't yet the actual or real bull run that we're expecting.

I'd say that it's a trap when we're actually done in the bull run and when it has been followed by a huge dump but so far, haven't we seen one? none yet.

Many are greedy but it's the typical season that we're seeing now. After this halving and bull run, many will regret that they've never taken their profits. So, when the time has come and you think that it's time to get profits, bull run or not, just mind your own business by that time because everyone's going to be busy with our own things.

The Bitcoin ETF anticipation has been in the air for quite some time now,  and the market is reacting naturally to it,  and when we talk about the Bitcoin market movement we have to acknowledge the power of news in both positive and negative ways,  and in this case, Bitcoin all through the last quarter of 2024 has shown a lot of positive market behaviour that have to suggest a lot along a price correction pattern and for that,  we have to be sure of what news we ascribed the current bitcoin price benchmarks to.

But all the same,  I don't believe that we are at a Bitcoin bull market yet,  and for sure we have to wait a little bit longer to see when the bull run finally arrives.

A lot of good and bad exchanging between parties led to the sudden crash and the recovery. As we are back to 45k USD level, we are recovering and I can say that bull run might be incoming. But I would hold my horses till we cross 50k USD. Yup, my targets are big and before that I would only call it a bull trap for the time being.

ETF or no ETF, dont let that stop you from collecting more bitcoin. Rejection after rejection eventually leads to acceptance because this is the future and there is no other better coin.

A lot of bad things have been dragging bitcoin down since the last year, we can be hopeful that the next all time high is coming soon.

Maybe it will be nice if we actually understand the meaning of the word bull run. In in elements understanding, bull run can be said to be a continuous increase in the price of the cryptocurrency, bonds or any other volatile assets. Applying same definition to the bitcoin reality, we can say that we are experiencing bull run. Even if we are anticipating a bigger bull run in the future, it doesn't eliminate the fact that the market is no longer in the bear phase.

This bull run cannot be cut short whether or not SEC approves ETF. My confidence is that there are two things waiting to drive the market;

• halving
• ETF approval

If one fails, the other will do the job.

with thois price we are having how https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ and the graph showing more positive tomorrow , then I must believe that we  are truly entering Bull market now not mentioning that since December last year we are already making increase in prices from here and there so indeed this is a Bull run.

I think everyone should act like the bull run has begun already. A few months ago, in late 2023, I advised someone to invest in Bitcoin and hodl. For me, it was at that point I started suspecting the bull could've started. On hindsight, it's clearer now that it was around that price level the rebound started. Consequently, the person I advised never made the move to buy then. I'm sure he's going to regret it big time when the post halving effect begins. It's often massive. Those of you witnessing it for the first will surely be perplexed when it begins. As for those who like waiting for others to buy first before they buy, you're more likely to miss the rally.

For me, the current market conditions are not a trap, especially the Bitcoin price. In fact, currently the market conditions for Bitcoin should be experiencing excitement after a long wait.
2021, the last time we were in an encouraging condition. After that we are in a condition where we have to survive.
Bitcoin spot ETFs are part of what will lead to positive performance. The former SEC chairman said a Bitcoin ETF is inevitable because it is a big step, not just for Bitcoin but for all finance in general[1].

[1]. https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-etf-approval-inevitable-sec-chair-former-jay-clayton

The atmosphere is quite positive right before the possible approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF. However, would there be panic selling if the ETF doesn't get approved? Either way, nothing seems to be affecting BTC much. I've been holding for a while, so might as well keep holding despite all the negative chatter.

BTC is consolidating; there's no significant drop. I believe that when everyone loses hope and gives up, that's when it will go up.

bullrun has started since September 2023 then in my opinion, but it is confusing because there are still many people who say bullrun has not started and bitcoin will return especially to the price of $ 16k. it seems to go back to their respective views in assessing the bullrun there is bitcoin, most people judge on the continuous increase in price and exceed certain price targets that they consider as indicators of bullrun.

To ensure bitcoin bullrun or not depends on what you see from bitcoin itself and what the future opportunities are, rather than calculating when bullrun, while bitcoin today is the standard price below $50k then accumulate bitcoin for provisions towards ATH.

We aren't on the bullrun yet, before we can accept that bitcoin bullrun had begun, then we have to first got to where we are coming from which is the bitcoin last all time high of $69,000 and then anything we are having above that could be termed as a new all time high after which the halving would have taken place and bullrun had fully begun, this is what will make every long time holders profitable as the bitcoin value increases.

After yesterdays action I'd describe BTC as bullish however the dollar also has recovered from its lows, its still in a range but we challenging the top of the recent dollar range.  Hopefully no further strength in the dollar will allow BTC to cement its recent  gains.
  If we keep 43.2k as the low or support for BTC on the rest of this week, close out well above thats another good week for BTC and I hope for more to come.   If we get this positive but fail to maintain it that could mean much longer till the bullish action is as apparent as it is now.  The ideal is to build gains and momentum with it.

Unfortunately there are way too many people around us like that, I have suggested the same to a friend of mine who has his money in bank savings account, collecting dust interest while losing money to inflation as well.

I have suggested him to buy bitcoin maybe like 3-4 months ago, he would have been wildly richer right now and there are even more money making chances coming our way as well, I think after the halving the bull run will slowly start growing up and it will be even better, and yet he did not see that possibility. It's fine, we can't make everyone profit, we can't convince them to invest that wildly, it just needs to be something that would be a bit difficult to handle and we need to be careful about it on the long run.

Yes until Bitcoin touched $69k price only then we can be clear of the next bull market for sure we are nowhere near that price yet and we are going to be taking some time to arrive at that moment,  there is no sign of that happening right now so we have to wait some time to arrive at that,  and also if we have the two most anticipated events ahead,  it shows that we have a good potential that can trigger the next price all-time high when they occur.

Events such as the next Bitcoin halving,  and also United States sec Bitcoin ETF approval if these two events happen,  we may likely see the next Bitcoin at an all-time high soon.

The market is just sideways and one cannot tell where it is leading now. The news of the spot bitcoin ETF has made the market very unstable and many speculations have been hovering around it. Since we entered January, we have been experiencing a lot of volatility and the market has been on uptrend and downtrend within short periods of time. Bitcoin ETF will have effect on the bull run but the real bull run will still come after the halving as it has been for years.

Well, I could understand if you think that the current pump is a trap as you are a newbie but for us who have been in crypto for several years and experienced bull season in the past years, I could we are on that way to the bull market. The current situation is an indication that we are leaving bear season and now on the bull season. Of course, we can't expect an instant price increase but a gradual movement seems to see. It was been speculated (and expected) that bull runs happen after halving and this is what happened in the previous years.

This may be a short bull run, as bitcoin investors fear the approv of bitcoin ETF. But this hope has been fulfilled so the Bitcoin price has shown an upward trend, but I think the Bitcoin price will increase after the Bitcoin halving. A look at the history of each Bitcoin halving shows that the year following the Bitcoin halving saw the highest bullish market in the Bitcoin price. Since the 2024 bitcoin halving is cyclical, I expect to see peak bitcoin prices next year.

There could be another ATH next year for Bitcoin due to the effect of this year's halving, but this is not the only effect for Bitcoin because ETF approval also plays an important role in Bitcoin, especially on the price side in the market. Because what has been seen today is an indication that the impact of this agreement on Bitcoin is indeed there, so that a much bigger increase than before could occur in Bitcoin this year and next year if the correction is still too small.

At the moment, the ETF has met my expectations, at least mine. I read the opinions of some analysts who predicted growth to 50k for Bitcoin, but I considered this to be too optimistic a forecast.
I personally have more expectations from the halving than the adoption of the fund, this event will be much larger since it will affect the entire industry in one day. The only plus for today is that many altcoins were in the green zone and reacted better to the ETF than Bitcoin.

You could say this Bitcoin ETF is a seasoning before the Bitcoin halving occurs. Market instability and uncertainty about whether or not to accept it makes the market volatile. But the ETF has been approved and Bitcoin is on the rise again. The real bullish is just waiting for time, waiting for the Halving to arrive. But we will see Bitcoin correct first before reaching a new ATH.

I believe you wanted to say "a reason"? And yes, ETF is a good shot for Bitcoin this season, without it, Bitcoin would not have made such a huge bullish impact in a very short time. Last year was so positive for Bitcoin altogether and I believe that it was first because the coin has been so cheated due to negative data and inflations in the previous year (2022), and since halving is already around the corner, the market started getting some relief. This happened until the ETF saga came onboard and the court case delivered in favour of it is another advantage for it.

However, as we think towards that, we should also know that the market psychology is deeper, and at times, we might not know the true reason why it behaves the way it did or not know the total reason for the action even if we know some. What I believe that caused the huge impact this time is because of the halving that is almost happening, people are already positive with the coin. Bitcoin was already at a crossroads then, with FUD in the market in anticipation of halving as people would like to buy more coins before then. The bullish impact caused by the ETF saga became aggravated and people started having the FOMO and building confidence in holding the coin they bought. That is what really caused the huge impact and a reason why Bitcoin has been stable at higher levels without a strong price drop since then.

Or we can say that bitcoin halving is the real catalyst for a bull run this year. So we will have to wait in April and see how the bull run will unfold specially that we have the Bitcoin ETF approval already and it started to make some noises.

And so with the approval though, the effect is not going to be felt, this companies will have to settle down first. But there's no doubt that once we see or hear reports that those entities and their clients are pouring their money already, it might trigger that bull run, so let's wait and see.

Whatever drives the current market price increase whether it is due to ETF approval or halving, people are happy to see it and think this could be the day that we wait for many years. And it was very clear to us that the situation is turning bullish again (no doubts about it). We can't say when the next ATH comes but it happen any of these days either this year or by 2025.

Patient holders got their reward while those who sold their coins early probably in regrets and blamed themselves. Well, that is quite normal knowing that not all individuals are willing to wait, many get tired and quit.

Since BTF approval I think the bull run journey have start and bitcoin will raise to higher price for this year, many good news with several days left before halving and bitcoin ETF approval is most important part completed for bitcoin will be more excited in this year.
I sure the era of bull run for bitcoin have begin and waiting few days later how much highest price for bitcoin break out, yesterday after ETF approval announcing bitcoin up drastically and keep stable above $46k.
Our patience finally have good result with ETF approval and waiting few moment awhile looking for bitcoin break out most highest price in this season and start the new all time high price for bitcoin.

Don't tell us that you're afraid of the current price of BTC that hit $47 few days ago before the price return back to $45k few hours ago in the market because, this question you asked can only come from short term hodler or new hodler in the market because once the bull run occur in the market, you will surely feel it like the way you feel bear run before you buy to wait for bull run to come before you can sell.

The bull run is still loading in the market, but the bull run will surely occur this year 2024 but I don't know the actual date or time but just be calm and continue hodling your coins with good faith because, the bull run is no longer far from you, if you can endure and watch the market price.

Of course, this is quite exciting because most people have been waiting for this for a long time, but for now everyone should not hesitate to take advantage of the price correction that is currently happening. Because this is also to support better profits during the halving or after the halving when the market is bullish again to head to the next ATH.

This is very commonplace for everyone because patient holders will always get a reward according to their own level of patience, as well as people who regret being too hasty to sell it. So the regret arises because he sees the profits obtained by other people which basically he could also get if he didn't sell at a low price.

All I can say is oh dear, newbies in their first bull run are questioning whether this is the start of the bull-run, seemingly unaware that Bitcoin has been in an uptrend for 12 months already  ::)

I don't mean to be rude but these for me are all the classic signs of a reversal; when people start questioning whether the bull-run is starting after a parabolic move to the upside has already occured. It's very odd to see the "buy the rumour sell the news" so far play-out so accurately, given it was well-documented in the media, but I guess some scenarios (despite how well discussed) just do play out as such.

If anything I'm now getting sceptical over the sell-off, as if everyone starts speculating that there will be a major sell-off, price is more likely to reverse back to $46K to $47K  :P

The spot bitcoin ETF news has made the market to behave in an abnormal way for quite sometime now even before the approval of it. This will be a big manipulator in the market. They couldn’t beat the market so they had to join the market and play along. Bitcoin ETF should affect the market before the halving since it has been approved now but with many signs, it isn’t going as planned or as people expected. For now, I won’t say this is a full scale bull run because only the spot bitcoin ETF can trigger the market to go on a full bull run. The real bull run is yet to come but before then let’s enjoy the moments of this high volatility the market is experiencing.

Lol, but true, perhaps those asking haven't experienced their first bull run or at least the effect of a block halving. Just like the news of the ETF, the news have been sold already isn't it, the price has pushed to almost $49k and then people celebrating and calling that we are now in the bull run.

Now when I check the price, it's $43k? What gives?

Maybe there are some manipulation from behind by the same people who wanted to have a Bitcoin ETF and so it's obvious that they can make a lot of money from those newbies who are too emotion in the beginning.

What you currently observing in the market can be associated with the much noise around Bitcoin in the current market sentiments, starting from the ETF approvals by SEC to the anticipated halving and the bull run in view, all these put together brings about some panic buying and further increased volatility which has pushed the price of Bitcoin up above where it's been earlier but then this is a time where we should me more mindful about our funds and entering into the market because the next move is only in anticipation and not in complete surety so if you would want to get in on the current trend use the amount you will be able to losses should Incase there's a reversals.

But just before the halving we should be expecting some corrections and after which the setting in of the bull run which has been long anticipated so at their point it's advicable you conservatively go into the market.

I think the bull run already begun when we climbed from $20k up to this level, though I don't doubt another run will come but I think we may see a drop before we begun to see the generational bull run we may come across. For me it's no trap  but just normal thing in crypto, it's not a straight up bull run, we may see a roller coaster

The movements of Bitcoin from almost $15,000 during the last weeks of 2022 and in the wake of 2023 is a positive sign that the market was bullish, though it is not the major bull run that was expected, but still, it was still a bull run and at least doubled the size of the coin over time. However, the market became challenged as it hovered in a tight bound until the ETF activated the major bull run that made it hit almost $50,000. The market is now very optimistic that it will continue to rise, though having trouble now due to some post-ETF approval issues, but with time, I know that Bitcoin will continue to rise again even as it honours the $35,000 and not break its for whatever reason.

I know that $40,000 could be threatened due to ETF events even though I never expected the approval to cause much of the falling we are experiencing now, it is the rejection that should have done it. Maybe because of the too much hype that we are seeing this present retracement. Regardless, we will make a good success with its recovery over time as this setback is an opportunity to even buy lower.

Looking at the current run of Bitcoin people will surely say it is a bull market, but I would say no. Because the bull market hasn't started yet but is about to start when Bitcoin halves next year. As our Bitcoin halving is more likely in April 2024, we will see a Bitcoin bull run next year in 2025.

If everyone is waiting and talking about a crazy market bull run, bitcoin making new ATHs and many altcoins delivering thousands of percent returns, then clearly we are not at that stage yet. But to say that 2023 and 2024 are not bull years is not entirely correct. Since we can see that bitcoin has increased from 17k$ to 43k$, many altcoins are also giving significant profits x2, x3...So it can be said that the bull race has begun and the bear season has truly ended.

I think the current market conditions have gone up in the last 3 months so we have to be prepared for a downturn before the halving starts, but some people also deny this and think that bitcoin will continue to rise until the end of this year, we don't know which is true, but sharing our opinions is also not a bad thing to exchange ideas.

Seems like we end up getting a smaller bull, sort of "calf" if you will basically. We do not get super high, but we have gotten high small by small. I mean it's been a while, but we have moved from under 20k to almost 50k now, and it all happened in like 6 months or something, that should be pointed out.

People are so used to seeing some crazy increases at all times that they think that it is going to be a crazy big period, well maybe this time around that may not happen? Or it just hasn't started yet, we are not seeing anything major yet, that could mean that we are going to end up with something that might be troublesome one way or another. I get that it is a tough period but we need to end up just waiting it out to see.

BTC is being stable and sometimes dumping. So I don't know why there are people who can say that it's in a bull run. But maybe they think it is, because BTC's value last time was lower than what we have right now. Though the increase was still small IMO. It's more of a recovery only or a mini pump, while a real bull run is when BTC reaches a new all-time high and then other cryptos are rallying as well. Bitcoin bull run can start even without halving, although it can contribute a lot in its price. We are now in the year of 2024 mate, and this is the year where a Bitcoin halving can occur but people are optimistic and thinks the momentum can be carried out in the following year/s.

Personally I don't consider recent price action manipulation what so ever, usually this would be when there are large swings in price (up or down) and there is no news or reasoning for it. Whereas in this scenario, price dumped literally 30 minutes after the ETFs launch. Then you look back at all the other Bitcoin-based products and how their launches went; CME, CBOE, Bakkt and ProShares for example - price dumped almost instantly. Most notably too, price pumped up until the days of the launch, but in each scenario the price dumped after as the buying pressure was based on the upcoming launch, not the launch itself.

Many simply got complacent if I had to guess. Just like in 2017 with futures launching, the announcement arrived at $5K, and the general belief or understanding was that price would continue to the upside until the launch date. Sure not many expected $20K to arrive, but otherwise it was accurate that the "buy the rumour sell the news" meant that price would continue upwards until the launch dates.

I don't see anything different with these ETF launches either, sure it's a different product, but the concept remains the same. There was a lot of belief that they would be approved in October, and therefore price increased from $30K to $49K, seemingly unstoppable until the launch date, again much like 2017 product launches, as news continued to suggest approval. Then once launch arrived; price dumped.

Same story different year if you ask me. The "this time it will be different" crowd would do well to note that until things actually occur differently, they probably won't.

We cannot really know yet. By expectations, the bull run should occur after the halving event, and after some months of it, and the halving event will occur approximately in April, this year. However, by definition, a bull run is when the market and the prices of assets are going up, and we can see that happening, although we are not sure if this will continue or if we will see the market declining soon and have a healthy correction taking it back to around $36k or something.

The current uptrend is providing great scalping opportunities to day traders because a lot of altcoins are performing very well. BNB has managed to go across $300 again which wasn't expected to happen this soon. I was thinking maybe it will hit $300 again only after Bitcoin goes above $50k or something.

The price of bitcoin has started to rise since January 2023, but many people may not consider it a bullrun and it is just like a recovery. A bigger bullrun can be expected after the halving, I certainly agree with that and it is a possibility that is also inherently uncertain. It is always difficult to predict prices especially when it comes to assets that fluctuate in price like bitcoin, but considering its fundamentals and history then I am personally also optimistic about higher prices in the coming years.

The approval of a bitcoin ETF this January caused the price to spike drastically, but it only took a few days for it to return to $42k. Currently, CG notes that the price of bitcoin is trading around $43,179 with a market cap of $846,289,947,684 as I write this. This indicates that there has been a price decline in the last 7 days of -5.3%. Prices will recover, but some negative sentiment and belief in past history may cause prices to correct again before the halving.

you can say that we are into a bullrun because of the nature of the market so I believe that the market is something that I know that is not constant it can fall down and it can also increase up so that is the nature of the market because before now the market is already in 47,000 and the letter countdown to Almost 40,000 so that is why you cannot predict the future and they cannot say totally that we are exactly in a bullrun

Many people are looking at the halving event to determine the bull run but unknown to them that Bitcoin has been bullish since the last quarters of 2023. Price stalled at different levels but it certainly didn't disappoint as it shook the drag down off and continued north. If anyone is waiting for halving in April before they buy, they're most likely going to miss a fair price. For me, price always rallied up a few days before the halving event proper. From the last experience I had in 2020, ATH is expected to be a year after halving. It could be around the month of halving too. Nevertheless, I would like you know that this isn't a financial advice. I'm also just speculating.

In my opinion - bitcoin price has been recovering since January last year and this has led to higher market cap. We are close to the previous ATH of $69K - but so far it has failed and stalled at around $48,500. The lowest price in 2023 was around $20K - but since then the price of bitcoin has tended to increase and never fell to its lowest area again like in March 2023.

Ahead of the halving - all users are increasing their optimism about the increasing value of bitcoin in the market. ATH is the biggest hope for the upcoming bullish trend - but no one can really guarantee that ATH will be achieved. There are a lot of analyzes and predictions about the new ATH after the halving - but I think they don't seem real yet.

nobody holds the prediction of Bitcoin at hand, and I believe directly that Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency can rise at any point in time and also depreciate at any pointing time, so making a prediction of Bitcoin is not something someone can be dependable on or being reliable to but the process whereby some people that bitcoin price the continue to accelerate throughout this year I don't think that that statement is proper or is accurate because the market of Bitcoin is unpredictable from the beginning I know Bitcoin the value does not remain constant.

Well, at times, it might be a misconception and this could be misconceived by the improper conveying of the disposition of the poster. It might be the long-term disposition of the coin which is obviously bullish. However, the short-term disposition is now bearish and if care is not taken, the coin can maintain this till further notice. That is if it would not breach the unexpected levels lower before the halving.

It has even done very good work without halving, it might still do though. Moving almost $25,000 upward in about 5 months is massive and even halving didn't do more than that in such a few months. What I suspect now in the next couple of weeks is a deeper correction, this is due enough and all of us should embrace it. peradventure, if the bull run starts again, it will be easy for us to know.

Yeah, the much-anticipated halving is this year, I know Bitcoin will move higher for sure and it would have been dusting off the current bearish dominance when it is getting closer to that day. This should start this year and might end next year before another fresh set of bearish seasons will happen. I hope Bitcoin can perform well this time, there is no much obstacle stopping it in my thought but only for the too many expectations, it could backfire if care is not taken. The market psychology could be unexplainable at times even as nothing is certain.

No one can never know the future. Instead what we can do is just make speculations and estimations. If we see Bitcoins following a particular trend, then we can know that whether the market is going to be bearish or bullish. Currently seeing the scenario then price has fallen 4k usd then the ATH price of this month. So I am assuming this is just the price correction for now. But this doesn’t mean that Bitcoins are in bearish market. Like the history, this time it is meant for Bitcoins to cross the 69k usd mark. Let’s hope for the best.

It is possible for the price of bitcoin to remain at the current levels for quite some time, after all the whales will want to accumulate even more bitcoin before the price skyrockets, so they may decide to manipulate the price a little bit for their convenience and only allow the market to take its natural course once they are finally done with their accumulation plans, still we must see this occurrence as an opportunity for us as well, since this could allow us to buy bitcoin for a good enough price during the next months.

I think it's still too early for bitcoin bulls, because there are still a few months until Q1 ends and after that we will be approaching the halbing, and the effects of that will occur several months after, it could be 5 months after the halving.
buying in increments now is also a good option.

Why can't we say the bull run has started, the price of Bitcoin is far much different than where it was few months ago, just alone we not yet gonna see Bitcoin hitting new ATH so soon but definitely in no distant interval after the halving. Likely as you said, now is still one good opportunity to buy Bitcoin and Hold.

Indeed, there was an increase in the previous few months, but it is still not certain that there will be a further increase because corrections are still likely to occur at the beginning of the halving era, but that is what will encourage Bitcoin to move upward. Bitcoin will gradually increase after the halving era and will continue until the end of this year.It is clear from the peak that in 2025 there will be a renewable ATH, and we cannot yet determine whether it will occur in Q1 or after.It's time to keep buying and holding, and I agree to keep buying in any scheme to enjoy that increase.

Since all of these are on a level of possible assumptions, I still think there will still be a little pump accroos the $50k mark just before the halving. The market won't only continue to face correction, it will certainly get above the $48k border as of the last pump before the halving begins, this could be one last opportunity for people to begin entering the market as they might not get any other chance like this.

If negative news does not originates then there is a possibility that before halving the price will be 50k$ and after that there will be more pump because halving is near. BTC is now at 41k$ of price which means that if people miss this opportunity then they will not see this price again before halving because now the condition is getting better for halving at which we will see huge surge.

Entering in the market is not difficult but knowledge of accurate timing is necessary because entrance at any time is not a good idea as all the time the price is not according to our expectations so be punctual for keeping check on price in order to be profitable investors.

ETF this ETF that, well they have approved the ETF and yet the much expected explosion on the price is still looking to trek as it's been doing for some time now, I think the news about the ETF actually made the big price jump we expected but the actual approval isn't actually doing anything, well that's from my opinion because I think the SEC already got what they wanted which is suspense that it going to be approved or not.

Long-term analysis suggests that Bitcoin is in the bull run, but as far as the short-term analysis is concerned. I think a correction is about to hit the market, and we might see BTC dipping toward $35k. After the BTC halving event, the price will continue to increase gradually and reach a new ATH in 2025, as per analysis/ predictions.
ETFs might catalyze the bull run a bit earlier than expected, but the chances of this happening are limited because of certain technicalities and the trust of institutions. We might see price manipulation "now, more than ever". For reference, look at the BTC trends around deleted SEC tweets about BTC ETF approval. 

You posted this thread when spot ETF for bitcoin is still waiting and now it is done yet Bull
seems to be not that friendly  so for me we are still in the waiting for the  Bull to come , actually there
are still caution we need to handle now ,because as the halving nearing yet the market is not showing
any significant to what we have seen in the past near halving season so lets get ready to what will
come in the next couple of months .

Real Bull run will come after halving or not. we'll only find out after that. but I can tell you one thing for sure. we are not in the bull run yet. what we are now is called Bullish season. it could turn into a full bull run or change back to bearish or bear run.

You are right. all we can do now is make speculations, share our Ideas and listen to other's. but at the end of the day. bitcoin and rest of the crypto market will make it's own move accordingly then we'll know which speculation was accurate and which was not.

with the current situation we should see a decline for now because the market has been rising for quite a long time, almost a full quarter.
and after that we will see the next market reaction based on news and other things that will always influence market conditions.

The market situation has changed significantly after the $48k rise a few weeks and market conditions are really unpredictable because the market is easily corrected at the current $40k price, but however the market is still not the right time to enter the bullish season, we still have 3 months before the halving come and hopefully the market can return to a stable price of $45k.

but several analyzes suggest that market recovery will grow significantly in April or after the halving, so take advantage of the current market momentum to increase the value of your bitcoin assets with the DCA method, don't ignore the opportunity for diamonds to increase the value of bitcoin assets in your portfolio.

Because there is still a lot of FUD that can affect the price of bitcoin until now, I heard the news that FTX liquidated $1 Billion GBTC as an outflow and that was revealed in the Coindesk report, meaning in this case there is still an influence where bitcoin will not be bullish in the near future.

I also see some other analysis that after halving the price of bitcoin will remain stagnant because the process will not quickly recover, I realize this is indeed after halving do not expect bullish in a short time there must be where we wait in a few months that's what I see from some charts.

It should now take advantage of the momentum, bitcoin is in the range below $40K meaning the price of bitcoin can go down you can buy lower.

Today the decline in Bitcoin prices has been quite significant and has even been more than 4% even though the price itself is still around $40K. However, this is enough to be considered a fairly sharp decline even though the change in the price of Bitcoin itself is still not that significant due to today's price decline. But everyone can see that the market is back in the red today due to Bitcoin's drop of over four percent although we might still see a better bounce after this.

Grayscale's massive selling has likely caused bitcoin's price to continue correcting in the short term - but this may only be short-lived as long as they need to pay holders who dumped GBTC. Of course there's no telling how long it will last and how much the price will correct again - but if this selling pressure has subsided, then the price will likely recover.

It will take time to expect a recovery and it will certainly take more time for bitcoin to start its big rise. Prices will likely be sideways instead bullish as investors should be wary of a lot of selling pressure at the moment - but accumulation and DCA seem like good options to consider before the halving.

What you say is true,  everything is an assumption that may or may not happen, and what you say may indeed happen, and it is difficult to determine other than looking at the habits that have been created by bitcoin. But there is indeed good news about the ETF that has been approved and has withdrawn a lot of bitcoin from the market, so we hope that this influence will get a positive side before the halving era occurs, although we are always prepared for a correction that could also occur. But actually, the most important thing is the opportunity to buy immediately and hold as soon as possible to avoid things that might be misjudged.

One of those other things is Halving. which I am expecting would help Bitcoin's price to increase. and I also think that it's the reason why bull run is not starting yet. otherwise ETF approval was also speculated to be a big event for bitcoin.
I am not understanding why Bitcoin rate is constantly dropping now. the only thing coming into my mind is the halving. halving is upon us that is why investors are refraining themselves from buying Bitcoin for now. or maybe the big whales are manipulating the market so they can stack more bitcoins for themselves.

I think it's only short term for the downturn because many people panic when someone shares a photo where Garyscale's transaction is shown on X.com then this will trigger a little market reaction, I think that's how complex FUD is right now because it will come from anywhere.

I see statistics say the beginning of the year towards the second month there is always a decline but I don't know, I just assume from the data, I feel the recovery will not take long maybe when the halving is getting closer the market reaction will recover, so now don't panic too much for anyone to HODL and keep buying Dips or continue to accumulate with DCA.

I've said it many times before the final verdict, the ETF was too priced by people and Bitcoin went up because of it. I knew it would not move too much higher than people expected after the approval, but for rejection, it would be about $35,000 by now. What the market reacts to and in the manner in which it reacts could be funny most times. Bitcoin this time decided to react with a bullish sentiment with the rumours and controversies surrounding the ETF saga rather than the actual approval. This is what we call market psychology, it could be funny and surprising and it is such that will keep people surprised if they are not thoughtful about it. ETF hype made Bitcoin move so much higher since late last year, and due to that, it caused the coin to be too priced. For it to reduce some of the value, it starts behaving as we see now, which is what we will see for weeks to come. The approval happened at a higher price when the market was due for a serious bearish correction, and hence the need to wait patiently now that is actully corecting deeper even as it falls for now. I do not see a bullish trend even in February unless otherwise stated on the trading chart.

You can use the current value of bitcoin to equate the bullrun and bearish season, so I believe that bullrun is not yet to manifest because of what is happening currently at market of cryptocurrency and especially bitcoin in particular, before unlike two weeks now the market clamped to forty five thousand to Forty seven thousand [45k-47k] if I'm not mistaken of the values before until it started falling, so I believe that the price of bitcoin is rotational and we cannot predict the price and it stand to our predictions.

So we can't come inclusions that the price of bitcoin is something that is will continue to rise without correction, probably what's happening in bitcoin price right now is all about correction and it may likely bridge the bullrun correctly.

In the short term the market may look like bearish, but in the long term market conditions are actually bullish. Most people believe that 2024 is a bullish year and ETF approval makes people's beliefs even stronger. there is no reason to say bearish, and the recent price decline is due to the previous price increase due to the ETF being approved. this is normal because to reach a higher point bitcoin needs to make a correction.

indeed that we have been seeing decline now after the big jump from 35k$ to 49k$  and I believe
that Bull seems to be come and go , what we are expecting to happen changing from time to time so from this
we really cannot tell if this is a Bull rally or just a Bull pump but whatever it is the best thing is that we must
be ready to what will come any time soon.
Some do believe that 2024 is indeed the bullish market but remember that there are also others that
believe this is just a start and the true rally will happen in the coming year in which 2025.

Your opinion is very realistic, and I really agree that usually bitcoin will experience a correction to strengthen the impulse the next day to increase, and that is what bitcoin usually does.The influence of the ETF approval will clearly have an impact on Bitcoin, and it cannot be avoided that, in time, it will be clearly visible. Remember that in just 6 days, the Bitcoin ETF has earned 95,000 BTC. Of course, this is a surprise, and in the near future, this impact will be seen. This,  of course, will provide reinforcement to the movement of bitcoin.and it must be remembered that the halving era will begin to occur and that there will always be strengthening that can be done by bitcoin.

It's all just predictions and no one knows exactly whether the official bull season will take place in 2024 or 2025 or even 2026. But although this year the market has not yet entered the bull season, I am quite sure that it will not be a bad dumping year. In my opinion, 2024 will be a year with more good things than 2022 and 2023 because we have the halving and that is the main catalyst for us to have a new bull season. The bear season has really ended so we don't need to worry too much about bitcoin's short-term corrections.

There will definitely be changes, even if they are not significant, for example what happened last year, even though if we look at the previous cycle, this is not what happened.
Because of the many changes that occur that make the previous cycle change, I believe that.

Some people's view of Bitcoin in the future is quite positive after going through what happened and also policy policies for better prospects for the market in the future make that sentiment appear.

Exactly, I think that a lot of people are still thinking that someone can just know or indicate that a certain movement in the price is the start of the bull season when in reality, no one knows if that's the start or not or if it's already beginning, the only thing that we can be sure of is that when it's finally over, that in my opinion is the only time that we can be certain that a bull run has happened, we can probably use that to see how it starts but bitcoin is a volatile market and we might not be seeing the same pattern despite some repetition throughout the years.

No. :D

I mean the market tumbled days after the Spot Bitcoin ETF got accepted. Grayscale is the main culprit as to why we are seeing the market going down, but at the same time, it seems like the sentiment changed just because investors expected that the market would go up after an ETF got accepted, but the opposite happened.

Nevertheless, we aren't in the bull run yet, and my prediction as to when it will happen is "a few months after the Bitcoin halving". That's what happened in 2020 when we saw the Bitcoin halving took place. The price skyrocketed for a few months until we entered the bull market. I believe that's what will happen this year as well. Bitcoin halving will happen in 2024 followed by a few months of sideways, then we will see the price going up gradually.

Of course I might be wrong though since I'm only basing on history and past performances = future performances. Just be ready for whatever can happen just in case. :)

If we consider the term bullrun that every day and every week the market experiences a continuous increase in price then in my opinion it is wrong, I understand when bitcoin experienced a decline when a few days after this ETF was approved by the SEC, and with any sales drama related to bitcoin price sentiment that made it drop in price significantly, yes maybe most people when they see a price drop like this does make them think it is impossible to bull run like that.

And if traced in the history of bitcoin it is true that the increase in the price of bitcoin or bullrun occurred after halving, but if we look at the weekly chart or monthly chart bitcoin from the beginning of 2023 has experienced a price increase of more than 100%, of course if we look at it as an investment asset then the state of the bitcoin market if seen in the long term then the answer is bullish and a few months before January has shown bullrun catalysts if what is seen is the monthly chart or weekly chart.IMO

Even if the market goes down it won't end up going up again there are many trends that most people initially dismiss. However, if you realize their true potential and are proven right bitcoin investment can earn you a fortune. We can expect the next bull run as the number of new users of cryptocurrencies hit record highs every time during the bull run. In 2024, the value of Bitcoin will fall, halving.

Small? We were at 15k and we reached to 49k at peak, that's small to you? Even if looking at this year, it had 40k at the bottom and 49k at the top, that is 20% increase in total just for the year and it's been two weeks. That drop is the only thing we are not saying it's a bull run, without the drop that was a 20% increase in two weeks at the start of the season which would be easy to call as a way of saying it was a bull run. I know that it doesn't look that great now, like looking as if we didn't do much, but that is not really how the way it goes.

I believe that we should be considering the current situation to be as great as it gets and not really feel down about it. It is looking good and should be promoted as much as we can.

It is very unlikely that the price will fall after the halving, miners make up a huge part of the industry and cutting production by half may no longer be profitable for many, but I highly doubt it, since no one will simply leave such a profitable niche. If this were so, then in the market Now there would be a lot of used equipment and the media would have written about it 10 times already, but this is not the case yet.

Halving though will not affect the miners, for them it's business, so they will surely have to adjust again and again, to make money during the bull run or after the halving. It is still based on investors, whether to put their money on the market, or sold to make profit, rinse and repeat.

As far as bull run goes, for sure we all know that technically, it should start right after the halving. It's that we have a good news about Bitcoin Spot ETF that put a lot of pressure on the market. But once it was approved, we can say that it did corrected again to $39k. So that is not a definition of a bull run. And so with that, we have to wait post halving to see a real bull run that we all have been expecting.

I clearly stated seeing the price DIPing was all part of the market correction and here we are seeing the market recovering progressively. We just make our predictions and let the market do it's own part, either favorable to what we predicted or not.
There is no evidence of possible pump with the influence of the ETF, since it was approved nothing has shown to mark out the difference relatively of ETF approval of which we expected more.

Maybe that's just your prediction, because I don't expect Bitcoin to fall by half this year. Moreover, this year there are factors that can cause the price of Bitcoin to increase, such as the recent halving and ETF approval which can create a breakthrough in the price of Bitcoin in the market. You can see for yourself today where the price of Bitcoin has risen again to more than $41K in the market, which means that Bitcoin price resistance this month really exists and happens often.

We can't possibly know if it has started or not, it is not something that could be known like that, we could assume if it has started or not, but we can't really know if it is already there or not, we just need to assume it may have not started at the moment and we need to do better, collect or accumulate as much bitcoin as you can at around these prices, it is not skyrocketing higher just yet, so that means we are not really getting anything big at the moment.

I believe that we are going to get something nicer eventually, and we should be considering the situation to be sensitive. Accumulation during this period is crucial because it gives you a chance to make a lot more money, these are the last moments when you can make a lot of money, after now it is going to be just making a bit of money, well with bitcoin of course, alts could still be very profitable.

That is what people are expecting these days, nobody says that it would be impossible for bitcoin to not go up during the next halving and afterwards, it could very well fail to do that but it is quite likely that we are going to end up with a big increase later on, so that is going to be something that we could probably expect very soon. This should be something that we could see, but at the same time we are going to probably end up with a return that will make it a lot more profitable.

This means that if enough people actually trust that we are going to make that kind of money, then they are going to end up making a good return one way or another, they will invest and because they invest the price will go up and make them some money.

No dude. It is just a effect of news ETF approval beside the halving season comes to near. And that is why we are seeing the changes on bitcoin price and  I also think that Bitcoin price will going like this way untill the halving period ending. And if you check the previous bull run season then always bull run start after the 1years of halving season.

I think the bull run will not happen at least until Q3-Q4 or early 2025 even though the halving is approaching but I predict the market will remain normal, meaning the correction, sideways continue, so that the bull run season will begin. There are signs of continued optimism, macro catalysts… I am also eagerly looking forward to that excitement but maybe not Q1-Q2… Maybe there will be some strong uptrends but it will not necessarily prove the bull run is coming.

I can see the opposite the Bull ran, it ran so far being tired and needing a rest is fair.   Lets look back a year because its a new year, that gain I see is fairly gigantic & quite a few asset managers elsewhere would be jealous of this.   We are near 100% gain in just a year, thats big we have to say bullish action definitely was in occurrence
  The speculation at this point, do we continue, go sideways or decline even.  All directions must be considered possible even the ground you stand on can alter in such a volatile market we cannot assume simple gains.   Some would say we are over extended in this set of gains, it will take maybe 6 months to establish a strong enough launching point to continue an ascent of the same gradient and to challenge 2021 prices and ATH I do believe we need a solid foothold first; people will engage in pattern selling on the way up for sure.

I also predict the same thing in the middle or end of this year that there will be a bull run after the halving, we have seen in the history of several market periods ago that the bull run will be marked after several months of the halving period, so if the market can reach $50k before or during the halving period then it will be a positive sign that the market is forming a different movement pattern and the bull run market will occur faster than we predicted.

We are expecting for a bitcoin halving first before we will be seeing bitcoin bull run, so even if the market seems bullish, that won't guarantee that the market is already entering bull run.

However, bitcoin has experienced consistent price decline these recent days so definitely, that won't happen when we are already in bull run. But most likely, that's mostly part of correction that usually occurs in preparation for a bitcoin having that is already imminent.

Right and I think everyone has it's own definition of bull run, if we look at our last lowest low for this bear market at $15,500 when FTX collapse in 2022, we have like grown up to 150% already. So that could be for the majority a definition of bull run as we have a growth that is very significant. But if we look at our past historical logs, the very definition of a bull run is that the price going up after a bitcoin block halving and have a run that will setup the whole market into another all time high. And so far, those cases haven't been fulfilled yet, we are still months away from the block halving and our all time high is still $69k established at 2021. So no, for me, we are still in the last part or the tail end of the bear market. And official bull run starts in April after the halving itself.

The current price show that there is a bear run in the market which is the season to hodl not to be distracted by the wave of the price or other people information which the real bull will soon land for those panicking in the market to start panicking than to join the bull to make a good result.

But since we enter this new year, the price of BTC has rise higher to $45k before it fall back to $42k and is giving people courage to be bold in their hodling to ensure they see the end of the bear and swim in the bull run which is going to take a long period of time to allow their customers to enjoy through out the season.

Previously this was the case, but I hope there can be more significant changes when the halving ends this year without having to wait a year to see the bullrun after the halving this year. Because the price changes accompanied by the two aspects you mentioned are clearly visible, so this cannot be denied because it is not coincidental. Now the price of Bitcoin is starting to approach $44K again, but what makes me a little surprised is that the altcoins are not doing very well in the current market at all.

It already came before and after the approval of the Bitcoin ETF. Now, we are on a process of knowing what will come next. But I won't worry, there's more bull run that will happen because it ain't over yet. There are many applications for Bitcoin ETF approval and every news about it going near is probably a hype being resurrected especially in social media.
I'd just be patience if I were you, for now. HODL if you can but if you have altcoins you better monitor them everyday because it's difficult to know where they will go.

Very exciting price action in BTC today but also the recent context sets up a whole possible future trajectory where it can head back to much higher prices possibly.  This area continues to be of gravity such that we are circling more then once now, its a process by which I hope we are projected forwards and upwards with some momentum to break free of this 43k orbit and finally make some new prices.
  Of course we can fail some and go lower, nothing is for sure but Im quite hopeful BTC is positive trending at the moment for a variety of reasons.   I still wouldn't estimate massive gains especially but its not always signaled and clear to everyone.

I don't completely understand what you are trying to say here. First, you said that the market won't end up going up again if it goes down, and then you said one can earn a fortune with Bitcoin investments if done right. You also said that the value of Bitcoin will fall in 2024 because we are going to have the halving event, now I'm confused as to why you would say that when history says the market goes up after the Bitcoin halving event.

The halving event isn't an indicator or a signal for the market to go down. I know that the cryptocurrency market is unpredictable and highly volatile, but there are certain points in each cycle where things usually happen in the same way, and the halving event is one of those times which is the reason why the whole market expects a bull run after the halving.

I think that's quite appropriate to say to anyone who still holds Bitcoin and still holds altcoins who in general have to continue to be monitored because they don't know where the altcoins will go in the next bullrun. But if you look at previous bullruns, well-known altcoins usually also follow the market cycle and movements of Bitcoin so that Bitcoin or altcoin holders can also monitor both simultaneously at one time.

Because several influences that can increase Bitcoin prices also have the potential to occur this year, Bitcoin is the first asset that must be held better and altcoins become the first option to sell when they are at the highest price with the aim of greater profits in bullrun conditions.

Day 27 since we last crossed above the Fibonnaci level and managed to stay above there when daily bar closes on most charts.  I think most BTC charts work off GMT just as an arbitrary international point even though alot of trading is occurring elsewhere of course most graphs use that timeline to decide and even this forum.
  My take is when a point holds for this long we should at least watch and notice when it becomes part of the vision in the rear view mirror.  At present its an obstacle in our path to navigate and decide if its resistance we cannot surpass or future support perhaps.  Buyers are appearing under 43k area but not continuing enough to buy to send us towards 50k with some inertia.
  We're bullish but also standing still chewing the cud at present, come back when we're actually moving to decide if all is well with more significance.

Bitcoin must move first and that is what we have seen in all altcoins bullrun , it is that bitcoin will dictate what will be their faith.
remember that there are no Altcoin bull without bitcoin having it first and mostly it is happening in after halving.

there are people that only believe in altcoins mate and we cannot blame them because of the high price of bitcoin.
and also most of them are greedy people that wanted to become rich easily.

Bro, what are you saying? I do not think you are on this planet with us at all. What I see on my trading chart is so different from what you speculated, not to talk of the expected FOMO in the market because of the expectation of halving. This is real and will happen again, and my trading chart on the larger timeframe is testimony to this, it is aligning, so I am positive about what will happen in the Bitcoin market. Or do you mean the halving will cause Bitcoin to fall? I guess you are just mistaken about the whole picture. The market chart apart, maybe you do not know the past records, they are clear, you can check it on your chart as well, what it has caused in the part is all positive for Bitcoin. I mean so much positivity that people are always surprised.

So how are you sure that it will be the opposite now? Also, looking at the time you made this post, the market was bearish in trend which I believe must have conceived what you meant here, but it does have to be. What you see now in the market may not be what you see the next day, which is why we should always be more proactive in trading with speculations and seek more knowledge if need be instead of living only in the moment when the next day's market disposition could be different.

It's true that the majority of people like cheap ones, but it's clear that it's very risky. I think they are just looking for other fortunes and there are times when their hobby is looking for their own challenges ;D ;D.  BTC has answered everyone about what will last and what won't, whether it's old coins or those that have just arrived on the exchange, but the choice of investment is still in each person's hands.

Considering that the majority of cheap coins are shitcoins, I don't think it was a good idea to make a fortune with them. I'd rather buy Bitcoin and old coins that possess profit potential even if the price is high at least I have some assurance to make a profit. Because even if the market turn to bullish, we can't expect these shitcoins to go along with the hype instead, it remains on the bottom.

If we can afford to take risks, then we make sure that we are also investing in the right projects. Price will matter but I see the potential of the project is very important to look at.

Please first give the definition of Bullrun ? because I kept reading this from threads here and there but seems that they don't even know what does this mean.

Everytime there is a small pump they are calling this Bull run and when there is small dump they call this Bear market.
so please define them  first before asking this because it has been using as to spam the forum.

I really hope that can happen, and I think you are also right that the influence of ETFs will not provide movement to increase, and it looks like that is what has happened so far.
Even though there may be people who hope, and so do I, it can provide positive things, but it doesn't seem to be impartial andhave to wait for other events.

The ETF approval came as a good news and everyone was anticipating quite a good uptrend in price but instead went the other way, this could help us understand all we talk about the market is base on assumption and prediction their is no usually certainty strongly backed by it.

I really want to believe that the real bull run has begun considering the current price of bitcoin is certainly high. But seeing the rest of the coins are still not in their best position, and are still susceptible to price decline any time, then I have to say that what we have right now is like an effect to the market before bitcoin halving finally happens. Probably, I can only say that the real bull run is here once the market conditions become favorable and right now, it’s not happening yet.

However, instead of thinking about the upcoming bull run, why don’t we utilize this time doing DCA to reach maximum amount of bitcoin while bitcoin price has not achieved its new ATH yet. That way, when real bull run finally comes, we can ride with the hype and just like others, we will be more capable to achieve our desired profit goals.

The way Bitcoin price is moving right now, I think a Bitcoin bull market has started. Bitcoin was worth 43k a week ago and currently stands at around 48k, an increase of 11.4% in just one week. Looking at this trend, we might naturally think that the Bitcoin bull market has started. I think that's most people are thinking this right now.

In my opinion, current market conditions are in a positive trend because most people believe there will be a halving this year. This means that the recent increase in Bitcoin prices is only due to a positive trend, not because of the halving because the price increase due to the halving is much faster than the current price increase.

At present it is a little complicated to say about it.  The price of Bitcoin is currently very dynamic. The cryptocurrency market is currently in turmoil. The price of Bitcoin has been moving in a positive direction for the past few days. Bitcoin is currently worth $50,000. This week is very good for Bitcoin. I have high hopes that it will cross $60,000 in the next few months.

Breakout action occurring right now, the question in play should surround watching the daily candle close and ideally this weekly candle for best security.  If BTC does not hold up as well on a weekly candle trading below this current price, closing below 49.3k then be slightly less optimistic otherwise BTC price action is presently very bullish.
  The target upside now is 57.9k, for a trade moving fast is ideal but for long term its actually better to pause along the way and remove sellers before they can accumulate and cause a large negative.  A bull run doesnt have to be stampede and you dont want the confusion with a buffalo run which is a blind run right over a cliff a practice carried out by the native Americans to slaughter the yearly growth.   Any holder doesnt want that, they want a slow and steady bull run with no casualties so it can spread over multiple years and get the higher figures.  Dont forget summer 2019 where price spiked and later halved, that wasnt for the best vs longer term gains.

The start of the Bull Run this time started with the approval of the BITCOIN ETF which was just received at the beginning of this year, reinforced by the halving this year which is only a few weeks away. I will be more confident that if Bitcoin's previous ATH, which was in the $69K price range, is broken then the full bull run mode phase has been completed. started.

Now it is still good to make purchases or investments in bitcoin or some other crypto assets. Of course, by doing DYOR and not being careless in investing to avoid losses.

It does seem to be a bit different seeing bitcoin soar while some of the older, better-known altcoins (like LTC for instance) haven't been doing as well--at least that's my impression based on following the prices of each; I haven't done a chart comparison to check if that's really the case.

But damn, if you don't call this a bull run then how do you define that term?  Bitcoin was at $25k last September, so it doubled in roughly five months.  If that isn't a bull-something, I don't know what is.