Bitcoin Forum

I've read multiple threads talking about "Now that the halving has come and gone".
Thereabouts lot of Investors were airing their views about who's still buying hodling ahead the bull run to make some huge profits just as the halving for the current circle of bitcoin has displayed and gone.

While I was yet to be convinced that truly the halving has come and gone, I'm still right in the coin market cap which I'm still not convinced to say yeah, the halving has truly come and gone because the bitcoin price is fluctuating and had even depreciated in values more less than the actual price which the speculations insighted that we've been encountered with the expected halving I can remember that the price buttressed at $62,000 plus thenband climbed to $66,000 plus but while I am creating this thread the price has as much depreciated even below the price speculation of $62,000 that previously we've made away with the halving.

Literally I don't expect a quick surge of the bitcoin bull run as some individual conscience maybe.
My concern is that what would be the emotions of those Investors who speculated the halving rumours to had come and gone, are they feeling sentimental already to say that another halving has come just about last week we experienced the nomenclature of the expected halving?
To me what's best suitable for emotional stability in this bitcoin industry is that we should just invest as much as we can and forget about the predictions and speculations else we'd be ignite to fume our emotions to forces of disappointments.

you don't use the idea that Bitcoin price is still fluctuating to determine if the Bitcoin halving has happened or not. Bitcoin halving happens on a pre determined day and not something that's of a speculative nature like bitcoin price movement.


should it be your concern that some folks are investing for the short term benefit they envision? Bitcoin isn't like any shit coin out there that you will be afraid that it can just go down in price drastically such that you will be afraid of lossong your investment. The worse case scenario that can play for Bitcoin investors is that if the price keeps lingering for long, they will have to wait longer so they can be in a good profit which to me is an added advantage as it will enable them stack up more Bitcoin while waiting for the price to get bullish. But when you continue to get frustrated about what's happening with Bitcoin price movement around $62k or $63k and so on you might end up disturbing yourself till you wouldn't be able to accumulate and HODL long enough.

Even looking at it from past Bitcoin halving, what's happening now isn't a strange scenario that's different from what has happened in the past and even though it didn't end up playing out same way with past Bitcoin halving, it's clear that we will have Bitcoin getting to at least a $100k before the end of the year.


for those that are long term investors, there is absolutely nothing to be worried with respect to handling our emotions considering the current Bitcoin price movement. If the price goes DIP, it send the signal that we should buy more Bitcoin and even when it goes high, it gives us the reassurance that we're getting up into more profit and then we still continue buying with our DCA routine so iether ways, it's still a win win thing.

The crypto market is volatile and I think that it's ok to speculate their prices, even though they might not turn out to be accurate, but atleast you'll have some events or datas to give pointers on when you want to buy or sale, instead of entering the market blindly. The unique thing about Bitcoin, being the most reputable and apex crypto is that it has proven to be a store of value, and if held on a long term will always reach new ATH, meaning that the holder will never be at loss. So I can agree with the OP that if an investor is aiming to hodl Bitcoin on the long term, that they shouldn't worry about price fluctuations on the short term.

Speculations regarding Bitcoin's halving are true I guess, the halving has came and gone and now it won't come for next 4 years. The current Bitcoin's price is a temporary one because when it starts pumping again then the ones who don't accumulate it right now will regret about their speculative skills.

This bull run hasn't gone intense yet and when it starts getting intense then we may not see Bitcoin's price below $90k levels. I expect that in the peak of this bull run, Bitcoin could be more available then $100k per coin or even more. $100k is a safe bet, but it could go way higher than that value at the peak of this bull run.

before this happens however is the market could remain as it for a long period of time yet.  i would have been happy to see the price having a steep dive so that we could already see the bottom as early as possible but with this slow drive, it is killing investors softly. 

whatever accusation there is about halving, it depends on what goes on in the market. because despite how uncertain the economy is today, not all people prefer crypto. governments prefer gold.

I know where your confusion is coming from, probably you were told that immediately after halving, bull market will happen and price will continue to rise. As this was not the case with this halving, you are therefore finding it hard to correlate what happened with what you expected to happen base on what you heard or read.

Technically, the halving have come and gone as you can see, the block reward have reduced to 3.125 BTC. What we await is the effect of this reduced block reward on the price of Bitcoin. This has to happen so that you can be convinced that halving have actually happened, just that no one know when it will happen because the market is not showing any willingness to toe that path at the moment.

As a little motivation and based on past data, price usually peak the year after halving. In that case, we are expecting the bull run to continue later this year to peak by next year. I hope this will be some form of motivation to continue buying Bitcoin at this time instead of freaking out.

What do you mean? It's one of the most anticipated event in Bitcoin's history and so I don't feel that it just come and go in the market. Perhaps you as a investor, but for miners and those who work behind, there could be a lot of adjustments.


If you are new in the market, then the best thing to do is to look at the previous block halving, make an observation and see how the price have been? Are you here when the last halving happen? We are in the pandemic and yet the market continue to go on parabolic rise from the pandemic price of $3k to a new all time high of $69k.

Edit: Obviously you are not here as you registered in 2023.

I think what it is, is that many people heard on the news or some post or some friend that, crypto has to pump right after the halving because there will be less supply and they go and invest and are upset about not getting any immediate gains.

The halving just happened like 10 days ago, it will take a while to have an effect, it’ll take a few months at least. Plus bitcoin already pumped a lot due to the etf approval. We were at like $45K when it was approved and we peaked slightly over $70k. So you need to be patient before it hits a number like $100K.

I believe that we are going to see a lot more increases in the future, halving doesn't really make the prices go up a lot more quickly and a lot of people expect it to go up right away, that doesn't always happen and we should be considering the situation as something that takes a bit of time. I believe that we are going to see it change with time and we should be waiting for a few more months.

We should consider what we could make a bit more situation, like if we accumulate now then it means we should consider what we could make, accumulating it would make it go a lot better with time. I hope that people could end up waiting and not selling it, because last halving a lot of people sold after halving, thinking that was it, but at the end of the year price went up a lot.

there is no such thing as quick surge because we need to keep some time waiting as investors
are waiting for right timing when to purchase and add to their folio and that will increase also the price of bitcoin,

Stupid investors that believe in rumors are not deserving to gain nor profit here  because this is
not the place where they can just gain money from believing that rumors.

the main thing is to know how risky is this investment and you will only invest the amount
you can afford to lose,

On the contrary, right after the halving, we might experience the price going down. So yeah, it's true that we will not see an immediate impact on the price, and again, it might go North, and if you look at the monthly returns in 2021, right after the halving we are in a negative 30%.

Yeah, invest what you can afford to lose and long for the long term effect. If not, then at least observed what the price movement will be at the end of the year. It's a great indicator of the effect of the halving, give it some months to see and for sure everyone will appreciate the price this December.

Not all events will affect Bitcoin, people tend to use x events affect Bitcoin price and so on.

Myanmar civil war happen in 2021, yet no one correlate it to Bitcoin price since it's bull season.

Bitcoin price will increase after halving events, while mining difficulty increase overtime, it's not suddenly increase after halving event.

The biggest reason affect Bitcoin price is money, so if you know someone had $1 Trillion and want to invest in Bitcoin without looking at the price, I'm sure the price will double.

Yes, I agree with you that we should invest as much as we can and forget expectations and speculation because these are whales' ways of manipulating the market by influencing emotions and they often succeed.

Therefore, the real investor must set his strategic goal and stay away from all these influences, whether predictions or false news, which may cause him feelings of fear and greed, which are the biggest factors in market manipulation.

Everyone must also realize that the halving does not mean an immediate rise in prices, but rather there will be a period of time that may extend to months before we see the desired effect.

its misconception on most of people's ends anyway to think that halving is like some kind of event that guarantees price increase, halving is just halvening of mining rewards which mean increased scarcity of bitcoin due to the reduced mining rewards means that it won't magically double the price but might be a good thing for long term since lesser and lesser btc produced by miners.
therefore the price surge sort of compensating the fact that rewards is halvened because its getting a lot scarce so people values bitcoin more expensive than ever before.
some people out there have no ideas that usually the bullrun comes after few months halving passed.

though I believe that the price of bitcoin and its movement is rather unpredictable, it can rise after halving and sometime it won't it also depends on many thing like whether there's a crisis or not.
so many things can affect it, so whatever events there is isn't the way to determine bitcoin price surge.

People are expecting the effects of the halving, not the halving itself. Halving isn't something people predict or speculate, it's a matter of fact that happens every 4 years. It just recently happened and that's that, it's over now. As for the effects, which as I said are what most people are expecting, I myself expect it to happen within a half a year to a year time frame from the halving, not weeks after it lol. It's a gradual process, not a sudden one.

And if people truly wanted to profit, they would've seen the recent dips as opportunities to buy more. I did.

Let them all talk, it's not like they can do anything about it, if people fall for this charlatan and naysayers then they deserve what comes to them because they wanted to try their luck on listening to whatever they're saying rather than that of thinking for themselves, it's not like it's a loss because when one falls, there's more to replace that person anyway. People love to talk, dream, and speculate so I'm not sure what to say to you but I guess let them talk and do their own thing, do what you think is right and don't listen to them, it's not like they care if you follow through what you're doing.

It's not important to know what others feeling about the halving's come and gone scenario. What you have to think of if you're following your DCA plan or any strategy that you're going to do after it's done. It's not even going to add some cents to our portfolio upon knowing if those people you're thinking have been happy or not as of this moment. So, don't be too concern with them as it's not your business to know their thoughts.

Exactly, you have also answered your question and that's why there's no need to get worried with others portfolio and just mind your own and keep stacking.

That's right, no one expects the halving if the halving has no impact on the bitcoin price increase, what people care about is the bitcoin price increasing so they can make a profit, nothing more and nothing less.

Regarding the bull season, if we rely on history, it is clear that the bull season will not come immediately after the halving, we will need from 6 months to 1 year as you said. But because there has been a bit of change recently, such as bitcoin having a new ATH halving so people become more optimistic and believe that the bull season will come sooner than expected. If you take Tokeweed's April bitcoin price poll, you will see that most people believe bitcoin will reach $75-80k by April, people are very optimistic even long-time investors . So it's no surprise that many people are now disappointed when bitcoin doesn't move as they expected.

Bitcoin was designed to have a halving reward for miners every four years, and it is from history that bitcoin aficionados were able to notice and confirm that it is true. This is why you see that when the halving was close, the news was everywhere. Some people misunderstood how the halving triggers the bull run, and they thought that the bull run will come immediately after the halving, which was why they were disappointed. The worst part of it was that bitcoin price started dipping, and many who bought due to FOMO will panic and sell.

This is why you need to invest in a long term investment, and use the amount that you can afford to lose, so that during your first year and second year experience in hodli, you will have understand the nature of bitcoin, that the price rises and dips, but it will always pump higher above the previous ATH.

No one needs to convince you that halving has come and gone. Maybe you need to make a lil research to know what is bitcoin halving. If you really understand the concept, you don't need anyone to convince you when if it has happened or not.

This is pretty much how it happens every season. Infact, if bitcoin is difficult for some people to understand, it is fine they study history. Bitcoin history can show that not many new things happen each season. It is just repetitions.

Many people has the mentality of getting rich overnight. That is why Investing little and using DCA will not be an option for them.

I do not see the harm either, in fact I think it is an intrinsic part of any market, after all if I invest in bitcoin with the idea to make money with my investment, I find it completely natural that I may try to foresee what could be the ATH we may reach during this bull run and when this may happen, as a correct prediction could allow you to exit the market at the perfect time and make the most money you could, so as we can see speculating about what the price may do is essential to any trader or investor.

Bitcoin price will eventually pump but not immediately after halving, as it may still take couple of months before we can see a significant price increase for bitcoin. It’s just that newbies who entered in the market are less patient when it comes to profits, and probably because they have heard the wrong information first that bitcoin price will consistently surge high after halving. Although it’s not wrong to listen to other people’s opinions and ideas, but learn to verify them as well before you set to believe on their words.

However, the important thing is halving is already done which is a very important event for bitcoin. And that would lead to its bull run soon where everyone expects to reap their profits from long term hodling.

Only newbie people would really be having this kind of impression and thinking that halving event means pump or bull run on which this is very wrong. Its impossible that you wont really be able to make yourself wary or aware on just making out some searches on what happened in the past on which the bull run market kicks in on the time after several months of Bitcoin halving. For those who had been here on this market for a while and had been able to experience those couple halving periods or market cycle then they wont really be that minding much about that after halving pumps because it would eventually be happening on long months after.
Instead on making yourself that been thinking about on these pumps then it would be wise that you should really be that taking up some positions now before it would be making some moonshot.

Dont make yourself that too hopeful on things on which arent even unrealistic and this is why you wont really be that making yourself that expecting too much.
Always stick into those situations that happened in the past on which it could be possibly happen in the future but of course there would really be no assurance on that and
this is something that you should really be mindful into.

At the end of the day, you are the one taking care of your funds. So it is up to you how you handle the talks surrounding this market. People will always have something to say, but you need to take care of your own to survive, else, you will lose without a doubt. Also, do remember, these known experts are also human. They are also basing their predictions on their experience or knowledge, but they don't have the crystal ball to say, their predictions are accurate enough for everyone to believe and follow.

For me, it's just kinda "buy the news, sell the rumors". Look what happened, during the Bitcoin block halving event, on the exact day or even closer to the exact day. No, price action happened, like huge pump but what happened was a dump especially days after the halving day.
But the pumps happened months before the Bitcoin block halving.

It was caused by ETFs, many people invest in ETFs and it makes Bitcoin price rise, but during halving event, those people who bought ETFs choose to dump it. The last 3 halving events, there were no big news like ETFs acceptance, halving is still same, the difference is just this halving had a good news.

Many of recent news about Bitcoin is government cracking down against privacy, but this wouldn't affect too much since most people don't care with privacy.

Focus on the big picture rather than the small details.
What is always established is that the price of Bitcoin rises contrary to speculation. If negative news begins to continue for a period longer than two months without us seeing any positive news, this is an ideal opportunity to buy more Bitcoin because, in most cases, the price of Bitcoin moves higher.
Therefore, if you bought Bitcoin thinking that the price would rise after halving and then the negative news started, know that it is a matter of time before the price rises, so do not sell.

at op listen read and follow this advice.

Just ignore them, you really can't help but speculate about the future of bitcoin anyway, that's just how things are, people are imaginative and they want to make something out of that imagination. Let them do their thing, they keep the dream alive of 100k bitcoin. I don't get the falseful speculations though, kind of feels like a contradiction to me, it's a speculation, it's not like it's based on facts or anything, just an opinion and a prediction at best so if you ever think that it's false then it's implied that you believed it and therefore that you don't know what you're doing and you suck as a person because you just believe without evidence or clarification, and that you can't even think for yourself.

I do agree, or just be a long term investor so that you won't be bother by this small details that you stress you out.


And sometimes when the everyone speculate that it will go on this side, suddenly it blows and goes to slide on the other side. And so for this halving, it's too early to say that we will be reaching $100k in a snap. So have patience and again, take the broader view and in the end, you will be good and you will thank everyone here who gives you some of the best advise.

Who can without a doubt tell that Bitcoin was not affected by the halving? When everyone knows that Bitcoin has its halving in April 2024, and by the way it is a wonderful feature that everyone can look ahead and check the schedule for everything, what does everyone here think people will do? Buy when the halving happens? Or buy in anticipation of the halving?

We were at something like $25k six months or so ago and now it is $60k. Within this time frame was the halving. Now, did the halving have an effect?

Even if I believe that the price increase we saw during the months prior to the halving was caused by it, one of the problems with the markets in general is that it is impossible to conclude anything with absolute certainty, and most of the time the explanations given are after the fact statements which fit the events that happened, instead of being predictions made before something happened and that get confirmed by the movements on the charts.

There is no way you can stop BTC not to spread because those that tested good results from BTC, they will like to discuss it with their friends or relatives to take note of the decentralized currency.

Now that bitcoiners are expecting $100k from BTC before the end of this year, it will be a good choice for those that missed last two months bull run to use this bear run to buy and look for safe wallet to hodl the BTC to achieve what will convince other to make BTC their choice.

That is why you need to verify with your research, before buying BTC from the market because following other people prediction to buy or sell, it can make you loss plenty money from BTC investment.

There is a reason why the most that could be attempted is some wide speculation, it doesn’t mean it gets to play out as speculated but, there would come a time when the market would respond to certain elements that would turn out to be market movers.

Those to whom have attached their feelings to Bitcoin market and the bullrun are those who are in it just to take profit and leave. This is really wrong and an unhealthy habit towards the Bitcoin innovation. People or investors can’t really be about the revolutionary technology just to take profit and leave, only to come back some time in the future with same intent. For these people, Bitcoin is a honey pot and that’s some bad idea.

For this reason, results of the halving not being immediate and taking time to form is some of the best workings of the market. It drives every investor towards researches on ideas that wouldn’t be sentimental but, awareness of what goes on in the market and new ways to take advantage of it that wouldn’t see the market for a honey pot and in turn, promote long term investing.

Bitcoin is not currently in a bear market, this is a bull market and it has started for quite sometime now. Yes, Bitcoin price dropped a little, but it is just a small price correction and isn't significant enough to be called a bear market. That being said, it is definitely good to buy bitcoin whenever there is a dip in price, just like now; but so many people would not still take the opportunity, only to complain that they failed to buy when bitcoin starts pumping again.

First, the halving isn't about the price, it's about the rate the miners can mine new coins. Price has no direct correlation to whatever the halvings does, it is in no way indicative of what the price of Bitcoin should be. As you've said, it's mostly speculation by us (and from what history did) and it's pretty easy to see how the expected effects aren't immediate. Honestly, this current period looks great for people to buy in imo. A lot were screaming that they were late when we pumped to 60k, well now that we're just waiting here you can now not be late.

And tbf, speculations are speculations because they're not true nor false, so to call it falseful sounds kind of wrong :P.

Exactly people mostly those new to bitcoin treat the halving as an even that automatically causes the bull run and increases the bitcoin price but it’s not so. They are just period where the miners reward or bitcoin mining are halved. It is we the Users that usually anticipate that a reduce mining reward means a reduction of the supply and apparently an increased on the demand which made on the supply/demand basis it will increase the price.

The past trend has actually followed this pattern but those means history always repeats it self? No sometimes they change that’s why it’s best to always invest in what you can afford to lose to be on the safe side and hold patiently

OP, the halving has truly come and gone and that is to say the price of Bitcoin has been reduced up to the rate of which other coins are invented on a half.
This does not mean that the price of Bitcoin would not go dip or dipper than the half by which the halving was rated. You also have to understand that halving does not occur more than once in a Bitcoin circles of 4 years.

As for investors who have been at await to cash hugely from their Bitcoin assets, yeah that would come but not just so immediately after the halving and also, don't think the halving is the driver towards the edge of the Bitcoin bull-run but it is certain that the bull-run would come but remains unpredictable.

Just keep to feed your emotions that your holdings on Bitcoin is a promise that you will make it big as far as you can hold patiently.

Its a development not an event, halvening has years to take an effect in the lower supply and the amount its changed is far less then prior changes.   It might matter in the end but its far more gradual now then the seismic alteration it might have been in long past years, now its a blip that accumulates.   By the end of 2024 the fact we had halvening now will matter, today I barely count it as an influence vs even the news this week about the economy in general.

I don't think that is a problem but that is only normal here. I know many things can affect the price of the cryptos but I think it's obvious that major events can contribute a lot compared to the smaller ones, however it's still up to us if what we will believe. I never heard a law that restricts us with that.

People like to predict things, so what you are saying there that we only gave a statement after an event is false. There is no thrill on it anymore. The movements in the charts are not reliable to use as basis when confirming things because they can move randomly most of the times. I can trust a real human more, especially an expert rather than it. 

would someone be kind enough to translate the op please? i stopped reading after 3 sentences, my brain was melting

Speculations and rumors can actually be of influence but having being abiding to all that as discrimination, hyping or otherwise might put you up to diminishment and they those who has been airing so loud to you wouldn't care about your forth being. So are only acting to mislead while some are acting to increase the markets values.
It's always advisable to give attention when an experience Investor is on the air but mustn't be tied up to accept it all as they might be or wrong gestures with their examinations. Hence, stay unwavery and diligently rely more on research.