Bitcoin Forum

What is you research process for events like bitcoin halving ? From where did you learn about it and its impact on bitcoin prices. Personally, I gathered all the information from bitcointalk forum and reddit.

Most people care about price on the market and profit or chance to get profit. They don't care about technical developments, adoption, value of Bitcoin.

For Bitcoin halving and its impacts on Bitcoin price, you can see the chart and make your own thinking or conclusion.

Pi cycle top and bottom indicator is a good one to use because it helps you to find top and bottom range. When you see the top and bottom range, you can make your entries and exits.
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/pi-cycle-top-bottom-indicator/
https://charts.bitbo.io/pi-cycle-top/

I, too, knew about the halving event through this forum. I don’t know if reddit is the best source for cryptocurrency information though. A lot of spammers and just people spreading misinformation go around reddit.

Anyway once I saw halving being talked about I went on and researched more about it. It took a lot to understand the why, how and when. After that I researched about how to move forward. I tried acquiring as much as I can right before halving. And now all is left to do is wait.

Just halving or accurate information on Bitcoin?
If it's accurate information I would say Github and Bitcointalk but if it's about the halving then various sources in the Net.
It's a well known event so you source out various information by just searching the web.

As a newbie to the Bitcointalk forum, I must admit that there is already enough information for everyone, even for those who choose to start investing or learning about Bitcoin. I recently made the decision to go into Bitcoin investment, and I thought there must be a need to learn so many things. Something interesting about learning on Bitcointalk is that you would remember what you've read faster after reading series of replies of similar nature.

I made my research about halving on Bitcointalk, and here are a few posts and comments I found, as I have previously dedicated my time to searching through the forum and reading about halving and its effect on price.

Post by @Zlantann
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5492644.msg63939674#msg63939674

Post by @bitzizzix
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5492644.msg63939399#msg63939399

Post by @chmod755 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5493703.msg63975312#msg63975312

There are so many you would find when you use the search button in the home page. The ability to gather every replies into one piece makes it an information.

As a Bitcoin user, bitcoin halving may not affect you, as you do not need to update your wallet or do anything. the effect of halving is economic, and since the effect is economic, studying the basics of technical analysis is the basis for understanding and developing charts, and then sharing what you have learned and reviewing the free analyzes provided by some analysts on X reddit or here.

Halving is common and usually every 4 years so there's no research needed for that and there's actually a countdown in that. But if you are referring to something what will happen after that event? There's some comparisons of the price before and after the halving and usually it goes up but there's a difference now because it pumps first before the halving, now I do get information not only here and reddit but I do also read some news articles about crypto and also other established trader's insight.

Researching events like the Bitcoin halving involves several steps:

1. Understanding the Event: Start by understanding what the Bitcoin halving is. It's a process that reduces the reward for mining new bitcoins by half, which occurs approximately every four years. This event is crucial because it affects the supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin.

2. Historical Analysis: Look at past Bitcoin halving events to understand how the market and price reacted before, during, and after the event. Analyze factors such as price trends, trading volume, miner behavior, and investor sentiment.

3. Market Sentiment Analysis: Monitor forums, social media platforms, and news outlets to gauge market sentiment leading up to the halving. Pay attention to opinions from experts, traders, and investors to understand their expectations and predictions.

4. Technical Analysis: Use technical analysis tools to assess Bitcoin's price chart patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicators like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). This can help identify potential price movements.

5. Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate fundamental factors such as Bitcoin's adoption rate, network hash rate, transaction volume, institutional interest, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends. These factors can influence Bitcoin's price performance before and after the halving.

6. Expert Opinions: Seek insights from cryptocurrency analysts, economists, and industry leaders. Attend webinars, read research reports, and follow interviews to gather diverse perspectives and expert opinions on the potential impact of the halving.

7. Risk Assessment: Consider the risks associated with Bitcoin halving, such as increased price volatility, mining profitability changes, regulatory uncertainty, and market manipulation. Develop risk management strategies to mitigate potential downsides.

8. Scenario Planning: Develop different scenarios based on various outcomes of the halving event. This includes bullish scenarios where Bitcoin's price surges, bearish scenarios with price corrections, and sideways trends. Prepare contingency plans for each scenario to adapt to market changes.

If you want to know the process, here's the source code and you can check on mempool.space to see the blocks that currently processing and the completed blocks.


If you talk about halving event affect Bitcoin, halving only make Bitcoin scarce, it doesn't make the price will increase instantly because it depends on demand. Even Bitcoin halve for 10x times, but the demand is stagnant, the price won't increase.

Most crypto-related websites like coindesk, cointelegraph and others have their own articles related to bitcoin halving. That is, if you are not a user of this forum. But if you are here, there are countless threads having this discussion. There are also technical discussion on this to understand better what is happening in halving and what to expect, what you can do before and after halving. But of course, need to filter valuable insights depending on your financial capability.

If we don't have the ability to analyze Bitcoin's journey then all we can do is look at some slightly more accurate predictions from experts. Although practices like this are not good because we do not have the knowledge to recognize them and generally to make it easier for us to see halvings we make adjustments to the four-year cycle so that we have a trail of images that we can analyze. Forums are a more comfortable place to recognize that the halving process is occurring because many people discuss it every day.

Any information will be quite useful for us, but how can we verify it first before deciding. For this reason, knowledge is the basis when we carry out studies. With knowledge, it will be much easier to recognize the halving process that is occurring. The formula may be different, but what we need to think about is the final result where the halving brings us the expected profit.

Usually, because these events will have a halving, most communities in this field expect that after the halving, the price value of Bitcoin will rise or rally. That's why they are wrong in their assumptions. Because if we look at history, that's not what happens.

Instead, after the halving, there is a correction for a few months before there is a rally in the price value of Bitcoin. And I only have updates on these events through article platforms, and even though this forum is becoming more popular, I also have tools for these kinds of events.

The bitcoin halving is an event which occurs in every circles of 4 years in the bitcoin industry where the miners earns rewards from the services offered to manage the complexities of transaction.
It brings about the impacts to attract more investors and also period of time by which Investors could buy more of bitcoins to their holdings during which the price of the bitcoin falls to the Dip.
Periodically it enables large scales of DCAing for Investors to accumulate.

I've spent all my bitcoin historical life here in the bitcointalk forum and right here I explore to learn lot of variety events of bitcoin Such as the halving, bull, bear and the Dips. Etc.

From my own experience.

There's no need for me to research further about it because being with it for two times is already enough for me that the market cycle is for real. The 4-year cycle that includes the halving really is going to make the price of BTC up anytime soon.

If we're experiencing some dips nowadays, don't rush as this is normal and part of the market's rise for the upcoming bull run that we're all waiting for.

Information about Bitcoin halving is everywhere and the event is simple to understand. One doesn't need to invest so much time to read about the halving.
Anyway, Bitcointalk is my major source of Bitcoin education. The forum has many materials on Bitcoin and many members have deep knowledge of Bitcoin. There are no questions about Bitcoin that forum members cannot answer. However, I visit some websites to get acquainted with the latest news in the Bitcoin space. Some of these websites are helpful but I always verify the information I get from them with other information centres. It is vital to note that some of these websites might come up with fake or unverified information. And they can also be used to spread FUD or promote unreliable projects. Reddit is not a bad place to get information but just like other social media platforms comments are based on the knowledge of users. Hence information from Reddit should be verified because fake information could also emanate from the platform.   

It's not all about the platform used in gathering of the information, it's all about having the full in-depth of these informations and how we could make use of every piece of them to achieve what we want, we have to understand that there are times in which we have to make use of every opportunity we have investing at the right time, knowing the implications that comes with the halving event, this will help us by knowing when right to make any decision concerning our investment, I will say it's more of the use and application of halving event that matters than where we learned them from.

I start with a historical analysis. I read up on past trends first and foremost and then look up what reputable industry names, i.e., analysts are saying about the event. For instance, right now many investors are worried about the price dips, but having done my research I understand that it's expected after the halving. It's just price corrections and even if the price dips further, it will recover during the bull run. I am also hopeful for bitcoin to achieve a new ATH this year as the post-halving bull run is yet to come. Historically as well, the bull run comes a few months after the halving.

Researching the halving depends on what your "end game" is.

If you plan on HODL'ing for the long term there really isnt anything to research other than
when its going to happen, what block height. HODL'ing long term means your belief is that
Bitcoin will continue to increase in value.

There are so many places to get your information regarding a halving. If you want past market
trends pre and post halving the easiest way I suppose would be to determine the dates they
happened . . .


swanbitcoin.com (https://www.swanbitcoin.com/bitcoin-halving-dates/#:~:text=1st%20Bitcoin%20halving%20date%20%E2%80%94%20November,6.25%20BTC%20to%203.125%20BTC)

then cross reference these with coinmarketcap.com . . .

Here is the first one

https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/02/rkMzf.jpeg

The first thing I ever did was read Mastering Bitcoin by Andreas Antonopoulos.  In my opinion he's the greatest bitcoin teacher of all time.  Bitcoin owes him a great deal of gratitude. He also has other books such as "The internet of Money". 

His YouTube account is great as well  https://www.youtube.com/@aantonop .  This is how I learned about the halving and so many other details of bitcoin.  Trust me when I say if you haven't heard of him or viewed his content, DO SO.  He is not some simple YouTuber who doesn't understand cryptography and promotes shitcoins for kick backs..he's the real deal!

Really? Then you must have some IT background. The book is pretty difficult for beginners with a lot of complex stuff and many pages about the code. Most of us aren't really interested in bitcoin code, so honestly I would not recommend that for your first book.
What I would recommend is The Bitcoin Standard by Saifedean Ammous. If you're not interested in learning the inner workings of bitcoin and are more into finances, how bitcoin works as money and the importance of holding, choose that.

If you really want something by Andreas, watch his youtube videos. They're much more comprehensive than the book.

Everyone has their own exit plan but I am not thinking that anymore because I've made a lot of mistakes before and did sold before the bull run came. Researches and analysis like this is what makes me to be more patient this time compared in the last bull run.


And even without too deep analysis about every halving, you'd notice the difference of gains every time that the halving has passed. It could 1 year that has passed or for several months and we'd see that the bull run has actually come.

I agree, your end game is probably going to take longer than what you're expecting to be because you'd just hold and wait until the price of Bitcoin reaches to the point that it's no longer from what your expected price. And every halving, the scarcity of Bitcoin is what makes the demand higher so as the price so, with basic knowledge about what happens during the halving makes you want to hold more.

Beginners will only be discouraged if they encounter lots of things that are complicated
and hard to comprehend.

Let’s be honest not a lot of people would be so willing to sit down and open a book. Youtube videos can grab your attention more than a book can and I think it also speeds up the process of getting any information you need.

I’ve been around for every halving so I guess I would say that I do less research and go more off my own experience. I figure those doing the research are probably just asking guys like me if their research is accurate anyway. Lol. Imagine trying to look at statistics instead of experience to describe what happened during the last bull market…

Why didn't you share your research with us? So we can know what type of research you are talking about. Halving is one of the Bitcoin events that reduces mining rewards after a specific time frame. It doesn't have any relation to Bitcoin prices except adding less Bitcoin to the circulating supply. I haven't researched anything, just monitoring everything. I share my own thoughts, nothing from the research. As per previous chart history, Bitcoin often starts pumping after halving, though not immediately. But this time we saw an immediate dump. So we have to wait a bit longer to see another ATH. 

I do agree that there isn't really anything researched about it, we just know that halving happens every 4 years, and we also know that we are going to end up with a greater return in the end, it shouldn't be really a big shocker, that is not how any of that works at all. I personally believe that we are not going to grow to be a bigger deal, we shouldn't really consider that we can't make it work one way or another.

I believe that the best thing to do in this case we should definitely look to see a bigger and better result in the end. I believe that halving just makes the prices go up, but before it makes it go up, it takes a bit of a time. I believe that the real big increase will start at higher and higher levels, that is how that works if you ask me, but we need to wait until the end of the year.

Well, not for everyone. YT videos are definitely handy for quick learning, no doubt.  Andreas Antonopoulos has some great introductory stuff that gives a nice overview.  but I gotta say, nothing beats cracking open one of his books if you really want to dive deep into the nitty gritty details. 

The thing with YouTube is it's easy to get distracted hopping around from video to video without fully grasping concepts.  With a book, you can take your time go at your own pace, and revisit parts that don't quite click right away.  There's just more meat there, more substance, to really build a solid base of knowledge.  It's an investment but worth it if youre serious about learning.

That's a mistake that is never corrected and most beginners only think quickly to make a profit. But they never know the many complicated things they need to learn when investing or trading bitcoin.

In fact, we often make statements about them that are much more negative and we always say they make money by making videos or articles. The weakness is that many people are lazy about reading so that knowledge does not increase and the absence of knowledge will hinder us from moving forward. There is a lot of information on social media and our job is only to distinguish the level of truth and if after studying it it is wrong, then use other sources of information.

I do agree, I have been around for now nearly 4 cycles, the first one at around 2013-2014 period, second the one where we reached 20k at 2017, and third was the famous 2021 the one we had just a few years ago, now we are at 2024 and this is going to be my fourth. It's almost always the same way, it starts the season strong, has a little dip or so, then goes up a lot, then halving happens, the price drops, then slowly it starts to have a bull run, goes up more and more and more, where it eventually reaches the all time high price.

When that will happen changes, it may not be all at the same time, we may have to wait all the way to 2025 December if we are unlucky, or it could be sometime a lot sooner as well, we have no idea when it will happen.

I like researching stuff, I really do. But I do it either out of personal curiosity or when I need to do it for work, studying or something similar. Bitcoin halving, to me, isn't an event that needs to be researched. It's just a reduction in block reward, and there are differing opinions on its impact on the price or whether it even has impact. I think that the event itself gives Bitcoin some publicity, but no direct impact on the price. Sometimes it goes up months after halving, this time it actually went up before halving. In any case, it's not anything important.