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Title: : Post by: chodpaba on April 06, 2011, 06:46:48 PM :
Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: Hal on April 09, 2011, 12:26:37 AM The second to last dot on the blue line is the last actual data point, right? I notice that it was farther from the trend line than any other point. Is this a sign that the trend is breaking down?
Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: TiagoTiago on April 10, 2011, 02:42:22 AM (adding thread to my watchlist)
Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: MoonShadow on April 11, 2011, 03:51:42 PM Outstanding work.
Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: mpkomara on April 11, 2011, 04:19:03 PM If it holds, looking out to Jan., 2013, I am looking at a price of about $3 and Difficulty of about 269000... Where will you (or others) offer either the $3 straddle, settles into bitcoins (european-style) on Jan 1, 2013 or the 269,000 straddle, settles into bitcoins european-style (1 bitcoin per 1000 difficulties)? Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: mpkomara on April 11, 2011, 04:59:56 PM oh, by "where", i meant "at what price".
Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: mndrix on April 11, 2011, 05:40:55 PM I suppose anyone could set up a kind of parimutuel pool and start taking bets on price or difficulty (snip) Parimutuel betting on price is available at Bitcoin Sports Book (https://bitcoinsportsbook.com/). I thought they offered bets on difficulty too, but don't see them there now. Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: mpkomara on April 11, 2011, 07:27:48 PM Wow, that is bold... Particularly since price could be manipulated pretty easily by certain individuals. I see there BSB uses a volume-weighted average price over the course of 24 hours. To manipulate that, you'd need a pretty good bank roll and probably waste any winnings on settlement games. Title: Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 118944 Post by: epii on April 18, 2011, 09:36:52 AM 92348 is it.
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