Bitcoin Forum

Figuratively speaking of course. I'm indeed a hacker but still impossible to hack bitcoin..
And yet… this post feels like a Bitcoin exploit. 🔥 ;D
I don’t know if you’ve heard this before, but here’s the deal—it's just a theory for now. Only time will prove it right… or tear it apart.

First off, saluti to all my comrades across the Crypto-Verse

I’ve noticed something.. : Bitcoin has been following a specific, repeating pattern since its birth. And if history truly repeats itself, this cycle might just continue forever. Let’s break it down:

https://i.ibb.co/Qc0k3sY/BTCUSD-2025-01-23-10-30-48-dbdde.png

The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle
Phase 1: The Green Phase – The Bull Run
Right after every Bitcoin Halving, the market enters a powerful bullish phase that lasts around 450 to 550 days.
During this time, Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high.

Phase 2: The Red Phase – The Crash & Correction
Then comes the correction phase, the market’s way of dealing with inflation. This painful period typically lasts 350 to 400 days—about a year and a half of decline.

Phase 3: The Uncolored Phase – The Recovery
Bitcoin stages a mini-comeback, reclaiming its previous peak. This recovery phase stretches for around 500 to 600 days.

And then? A new halving resets the cycle.
🚀 New all-time high → Correction → Recovery → Repeat 🚀

Will This Cycle Last Forever?  ???
Maybe. At least until 2140, the year of Bitcoin’s final halving.

But Here’s the Trap…  ::)
The real kicker? Bitcoin’s growth rate is slowing down.

Let’s take a trip through history:

First Halving → BTC soared by 9,000%!
Second Halving → A still massive 3,000% gain.
Third Halving → A modest 700% increase.
Current Cycle → So far, only an 80% rise from the last peak.
If the pattern holds, Bitcoin might keep climbing until June or July 2025, before entering its correction phase once again.

But time is the ultimate judge.
Will Bitcoin stay true to its cycle?
Or are we on the verge of a game-changing shift?

What do you think?  :)

Well, since your account is here since 2020, if you would have been spending a bit of time actually reading here and there, you would have been noticing that we are talking about the 4 years cycle for quite some time (actually for more than 5 years)  ;D

So the bad news is that this is - by far - not new at all.
And the good news is that at least now you know more.

Another thrilling piece of good news—more new members are about to know more.  ;)

I'm more interested in what percentage increase Bitcoin has done this circle or it's doing in comparison with the last ATH in 2021. From my own research, and which has been corroborated with your comment above, Bitcoin is yet to do a double of its last circle ATH. That's where your 80% comes in. A double would be 100% and that should be around $136k+. My speculation is that Bitcoin would do at lease a 3X of its last peak price in 2021. That should be taking us to $200k+. If all things go well, I believe it's going to be more than that with all the fundamentals and support this industry is getting now. So, that's why I'm not perturbed each time the market goes down. I just know that we aren't yet in the bear season.

I agree, let's wait and see what happen in the next 3 or 5 months Hopefully new ATH. Thanks mate

There are speculations that tell that on October 2025, that's pretty much when we'll see the ATH. But if the pattern follows and if history repeats itself.
You're right with this decoding that there's historical pattern that happens and this 4-year cycle has been so accurate and this is the year when we should see another ATH, higher than the $108k-$109k that we've seen.

I like what you said, and you're right that this is nothing new to us, but at least admit that as a hacker like that, they really can't hack Bitcoin. This is also because it's really one of the features of bitcoin as a whole and we all knew that.

And we also know that there will be more communities that believe in bitcoin and even in the future that awaits us, honestly.