Bitcoin Forum

It looks like more than half of the folks were wrong about April being the start of the bear market.  Lol.  It's funny because I was kinda getting a bit bearish too.  ;)

But as things came around, everybody started getting more bullish...  Yup, me included.  ;D  So the poll of the month is how bullish really is everybody?  Bullish enough to think that BTC will hit all time high within the month of May?

Monthly chart looks good as it kept the bullish trend intact.

https://i.postimg.cc/tgVDRcKZ/fhdhdhshshshs.jpg

A topic has already been posted that is similar to this on this same board. You can check it here: Bitcoin price speculation for the month of May (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5540183.msg65335840#msg65335840).

It would be good if repetitive posts are avoided.

Bro...  LOL!!  It's that guy again.  :D :D :D

When I was doing it last year, he copied my idea and started making his own 'sentiment threads', trying to get his thread up before mine.  Then when I stopped, he stopped doing it too.  Now I'm starting to do it again and now he wants to do it again too?  LMAO!

Yeah, these sig campaigns mess people up...  And why don't you tell the guy in the other UFC thread to lock his thread too cos 'it would be good if repetitive posts are avoided'.  

Anyway I just want to see what the sentiment is like for this month through the poll.  So leave me be.  And no, I won't be locking this thread. 

The topic was created before yours.

Anyone can make a post like this and not only you but it does not need to be duplicates or similar. If you are the first person that make the post, I will not post that you should avoid repetitive thread.

Next time, just go to the first page of the speculation board to see if someone has made such a topic. If we keep making two or more similar topics, it will only bring repetitive posts.

^  FYI...  Been doing these monthly sentiment polls years before that guy started copying what I do.  And since you care so much about these things then why don't you tell the guy in the other UFC thread to lock his thread cos I got mine up first.  And if he locks it then I'll lock this one too.  

Go.

Edit:  And why don't you care so much?  Who are you bro?  You his 'friend'?  *wink wink*  ;) ;)

Many thought the market reaction we had in April would rent the entire performance bearish as it plummet, not knowing its just a mere fake out and the intention was to go bullish, that is why there could not be more resistance to bullish trend as it crossed $80,000 down to $90,000 and now we are more positive that it may go more bullish crossing to $100,000 this new month, but there is no significant proof that we may get to all time high this month above $109,000 but we can have it around $100,000 and it may not go below $80,000 this month.

^  But think about it tho.  BTC is a tad above 95k USD right now, which went up from under 80k...  So maybe going above 109k USD isn't that hard..?

The lack of voters itt prolly shows the people's fear of getting it wrong if they vote either yes or no.  Going to all time high this month seems impossible.  But then again going from 95k to 110k on a good month isn't really that hard for BTC if we think about it.

Bitcoin has rebounded strongly from $74k and is trading above $95k thanks to the impact of Trump's 90-day tariff moratorium. Which means for bitcoin to maintain its bullish momentum and break the previous ATH of $109,000, we need to have a catalyst in the market.

This May we will have news about Fed interest rates and we will know in the next 2 or 3 days. But many economists predict the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged instead of lowering them because they are not optimistic about Trump's tariff war. If interest rates stay the same, I suspect bitcoin will hit a new ATH this month. The scenario for bitcoin to break the old ATH is that the Fed announces a rate cut, IMO.

https://iili.io/3wLJILv.md.png
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm

^  So you're voting no?  I don't see any 'catalysts' coming anytime soon.  Not with the whole tariff shenanigans going on.

I accidentally locked the voting.  It's unlocked now...  Get your votes up guys, really want to know what everybody at BCT speculation section is feeling about the market.

I don't know - I'm not very optimistic for this month, but a new ATH can be hit anytime when bitcoin is getting so much demand in the market. I haven't seen that recently - but the market seems so optimistic even though the important resistance at $100K is not broken. If in a few days the resistance at $100K is broken - then maybe we will be more optimistic to expect a new ATH to be hit, but it's not the time yet. I won't lose my optimism for bitcoin - but there are doubts that bitcoin will not hit its new ATH this May. Still - let me vote "YES" in the poll.

I voted for No. I think we might go on another sideway for this month.

The good thing is that we have bounce back beautifully from the lows of $76k. Now we are into a new territory, nevertheless, everything has settled down nicely, which means that investors might be in the so-so sentiments for now.

Unless the patter continues that in the 3rd week or so, there is a new catalyst that will push the market. It should be another positive news that investors FOMO again to a least push to 6 digits again.

I voted yes although I was more thinking about beating the $100K than the ath. I think when the $95K resistance is broken, which it looked like it was going to be broken on the recent run up to $97K, the $100K is going to be hard to break as a lot of sell orders are piling up around that figure. Being optimistic the $100K will be broken this month after a few attempts, and another resistance will form at $109K-$110K. Hopefully we will break it but I am not so sure about that.

tokeweed never give up your quality service and contributions to the forum just because a newbie tries to copy your styles, the good news is that he-she lack the motivation and ability to continue without waiting and depending on you to copy your style, but mind you we are going to report this trade and any other threads that are duplicate and copy and paste to avoid giving room for repetitive comments and possible spams.

We all will be guided going forward, and for sure don't stop your good work and I will make my contribution in the original thread as soon as possible.

Oh for sure over the long term BTC is in a good spot.  There's no doubt the upside potential remains to be decent given how tardfi guys are starting to show real interest in BTC and crypto...  Hyperliquid could make people some decent money via their next airdrop and protocol airdrops.  ;)  Sorry just had to put it in there.  ;D  A lot of guys faded and missed a 5 - 6 figure airdrop at TGE prices which went up and became a 6 - 7 figure airdrop.

But yeah, for fun we talk about what we think could happen just for this month.  If I were to vote in my own poll, which I don't, I will vote yes as I have a funny feeling we get a good week that's up only to all time high...  But we'll see.

Yes, you can see a variety of speculations that exist today, whether it's on the internet or other sources, there are indeed many speculations of Bitcoin in May 2025 as in the graphics below.
https://zizihub.com/ca7423.jpg

Overall, if I speculate for the price of $100K it is not so difficult for Bitcoin, considering that the current price at $ 94,194 only requires $ 6k again, it is very possible that the surge occurs.

But what makes me tense and many investors are waiting, namely the speculation in this one graph.
https://zizihub.com/58ec64.jpg

$250k, that's just a good step for speculation, but whether it can happen this May, only the time knows it.

I would put my money on hitting 100k+, but no new ATH, probably.

We will see about it.

Sometimes it’s actually better to have a recurring thread especially if the OP is very active and keeps it updated. To avoid it looking too repetitive though, maybe personalize it a bit. Something like "tokeweed BTC Sentiment Poll for May" could work. Just a small suggestion!  :)

A bit bullish yeah, but not that much yet. I reckon the market is still on a wait and see approach after that dip to 75k a few weeks back. So we're probably going to see a pump, yes, but we'd probably stop at 105k ish or so. Maybe not even go up that high and at most stay at 100k. Heck even just now we stopped going up and traced back to 94k but eh, it has just started so who knows, might just be short term.

Definitely think we're only getting a new ATH by june, july and even then we won't be seeing any big pumps yet till probably later this year. Probably a pump to new ath again and then drop off again to 100, maybe 90k. Hopefully can hit the peak lol.

What I will kinda believe in this month of May is Bitcoin will give us a price below its ATH this month. Seeing a different thing, higher than Bitcoin ATH; I doubt we will get to see that this month of May.

However, the time I am hoping for a better position of Bitcoin price is towards June. It is during the month of June that will see Bitcoin's new ATH. Let's wait till then. Bitcoin will be fluctuating between $90k-$97k till the end of this month(May)

From what i can perceive as related to the end of April to the beginning of this month, we should expect the market anytime soo to cross $100,000 and this may not exceed beyond $105,000 and we shouldn't expect that we are going to have all time high at the cause of this pump, because we still have a more longer journey to all time high before the year runs out, there will be more of market pump now than dump except any shock or reaction takes place this month in stopping this from happening.

Seems you are always moved by current market sentiments ???
Anyways, not only you but many people always have same feelings of being sentimental according to how they see the price movement but i wonder why people still feel bearish even with the momentum that the market gathers sometimes. I know that since the price fell from $98k to the current price it is now, some folks will begin to think that the increase it got initially was just a camouflage to make people become hopeful that the market has recovered from the tariff controversies but this month of may have already started with positive moves which means it is most likely to be bullish till the end of the month.

Yes - let's see what happens next.
Today the market seems to be testing the $93K support again instead of the $98K resistance - but this is normal considering bitcoin seems to be failing to break through $98K. The $93K support seems strong enough to withstand selling pressure so far - but then I fully expect a recovery that once again tests the $98K to $100K resistance in the next few days.

This shows that he is buying ideas from you to enhance his thread and when you stopped he stops as well became he is now lacking what to say  lols 😂. Well, I have came across your thread and I wouldn't want you to stop because someone out there trying to copy you, and of course we knows the original copy and wouldn't want the copier to start dishing out wrong information when the source is no longer producing his own.

Just keep up your activity up and never feels bad boss.

tokeweed, it looks like bitcoin won’t hit ATH this month, but we all don’t have a crystal ball so it’s impossible to predict for sure. If there is a really good trigger, then maybe we will get bitcoin hitting a new ATH this month, but so far we still see bitcoin sideways between $94k to $97k. Who knows what will happen next, but some people remain optimistic that this is a month that can trigger a lot of happiness especially for holders. A new ATH can be hit if the major resistance is broken, that is above $100k and we haven’t seen any attempts to do so so far.

The market is still in the midst of global economic uncertainty due to tariff wars, but I always place myself among those who are optimistic about bitcoin's growth. As a holder, I always try to be optimistic about the future of bitcoin, because there are goals that we should be able to achieve by holding it.

Looking at how everyone is fifty fifty about this, I would say we are not there yet.  If it was possible, then we would see a huge number of difference, even when yes is ahead just a bit, it still means no, we need yes to be way way ahead, like 90%+ and many votes, for this to actually show something.

Because when you have dreams of increasing this much, you do not get great results by getting only half the people with you, while the other half do not trust you. If you want to see huge increases, then you need to see plenty of people investing with you and that is the way it will move forward, and unfortunately we are clearly not there yet. We "may" end up higher than normal, but that is it and nothing more, like 100k is maybe the possibility.

Current poll shows that it's no, and perhaps we have a educated voters here who see that it's not possible to have a new all time high for this month. Although we might be moving positive, but a lot of things to consider first.


Increasing means that there are demands or at least there are FOMO. But if Trump opens his mouth about this tariff and that it could be positive for the market, not just crypto, then maybe we can see $100k again.

Anyone on the peak prediction that the bull run is over was wrong.
What is there is that during the bull market retail investors with Short term goal usually expectant to make profits in a close term do anticipates that the trend will keep going greenish on price skyrocketing breaking ATH to ATHs without understanding the volatile market however direction is never stable moving without experiencing distractions which I may call call price resistance during the bull event.

So not until the source of power that encourages the market to pump gather momentum would it break to other ATH (s) again.
So literally those on the speculations that the bullish was over has practically been proven wrong.



Well... Let us just say the market is bullish because it is approaching breaking it resistance and are modified of recovering it past values (ATHs) before acquiring new ATH (s).

But as for individual investors, we can only tell how bullish we are depending on our market price entry and the current price because some entered when it was $100K + or below but the catch is that... The current market event we are in is bullish and hitting other ATHs is expected while the month of May is hopefully but not guaranteed based on the market behaviour.

Most people believe that bitcoin will be able to return to $100k this month. But why aren't people optimistic that bitcoin price can hit a new ATH while the gap is only $10k, if bitcoin rises back above $100k?

Well, no one knows what will happen but I believe that if we can get back to $100k and stay there long enough then bitcoin breaking its ATH will almost certainly happen this month.


The market tends to go against the crowd rather than please the crowd, the more people don't believe bitcoin will hit a new ATH this month, the more likely it is to happen.

For the time being, I don't dare to say yes or no to the question of whether Bitcoin will reach the highest price (ATH) of all time because on the one hand the current market position has the opportunity to reach the price of $100,000 after the last stop at the $97K price level.
On the other hand, the opportunity to get a strong signal is when the second week runs with the traded price. If I had to answer with the current state of my analysis, I am optimistic that Bitcoin will reach its best price this month, regardless of the circumstances.

When you think it will hit bottom, it will reach a new ATH, and vice versa ;D

Yeah, no shame...  But what could you do.  So I don't really mind it and leave them alone. The hilarious thing is they try to make it out like I'm the one in the wrong.  :D :D  Hilarious.


And that's exactly why I made out the poll to be asking that.  I really wanna see where the sentiment is.  And it looks like people are as confused about it as the next guy.

There's an argument for both.

This is how the sentiment of the market has always been, when the market is experiencing correction, most people become bearish and when the market starts showing signs of recovery, they become bullish again. Since the market has been giving us some positive signs, this month we might continue to get some green candles but I do not think we can get enough positions news that Bitcoin pass the previous highest price. I am not saying we would not pass that price soon but it will take longer than just 5 months into the year for we to start getting more bullish to expect new ATH again. Maybe when we start getting closer to the last quarter of the year then we can begin to expect the market getting too bullish that we enter the bull market.

In fact, such investors always change their minds according to the market movement, they cannot remain steadfast in any one decision. That is, if they ever decide to hold for the long term, then after some time if Bitcoin goes down a little due to volatility, then they sell their holdings in panic, which is definitely a wrong decision.
They should understand that Bitcoin will always be volatile, and in the short term, Bitcoin will go down a lot due to volatility, but in the long term Bitcoin is definitely valuable. So investors should analyze the reality and make a right decision, Bitcoin has come to this stage in the midst of such movements from the beginning, so there is no reason to ever panic in such volatility. Bitcoin should be held consistently with long-term faith, the real bullish movement of Bitcoin can bring a huge amount of profit to an investor.

Yes many of us was thinking likewise seeing Bitcoin dipping seriously down to $74k and it was dip enough to think of being bearish. I was thinking about that too. But surprisingly we saw Bitcoin became bullish from $74k to $97k. According to the pol I believe $100k will be achieved this month of may but I don't really know about hitting all time high (ATH) but it could surpass $100k to maybe $102-$106k but $108k is under probability maybe it could be achieved at Q3 of this year. But certainly we will hit a new ATH before the end of this Year.

There is one thing about most bitcoin investors or should I say weak hand investors it is how easily they change with a slight change in the market direction and that’s why it is easy to actually shift the market sentiment by a simple news. The market prediction is usually fluctuating like the the bitcoin market it self as such there will be many wrong predictions.

Ideally the year is entirely supposed to be bullish but due to the market conditions changed by the economic crisis they have been long period of market corrections which saw the entirety of the first quarter of the year to be bearish. In my opinion the second quarter which has been bullish already with April having 14% pump in price I think the other two moths will be same. For May I think after consolidating a bit around $100k it will break it this month and then consolidate above it for few weeks. Except there is any bullish economic news I think the bitcoin price will get a new ATH late this month or next month

I can also relate I also once thought we are in the bear market few month back due to the massive decrease in prices that took place then , but now  the trend is screaming bullish . Though we may experience some correction before hitting a new ATHs .

Bitcoin have the chances of creating a new ATH this months , even if doesn’t happen this months is gonna happened soon , for those into future trading I advice not to short bitcoin rather accumulate more stash because the market turning greens soon.

I'd be fine to expect that if we had not already traded these prices.   Here are not just footprints but mud cart tracks now far more solid then when originally set, with this known resistance there can be alot of sellers in this area just because of how far we've come and speculators are within this price.  Speculators always have holding hands with the strength of wet tissue paper so they will sell you can be sure of it.  

BTC price action is always tested a dozen times and I think Im not that convinced of it until we've had a hard sell along the way and then that has failed, inversely I can be more assured in being bullish :)

BTC needs some positive news to pump to 100K and beyond. Today we have the federal funds rate data, and if the interest rates are cut, it will be bullish for the market.

However no one is expecting the rate cuts today and hence this may already be priced in. However later today we have FOMC press conference and if Jerome Powell talks about rates cuts or QE, then markets may pump and we have a bullish May. However, if this doesn't happen then i am afraid that bitcoin will again dump and we may not see a "green" May Month. I think this month's sentiment depends on what happens today at fomc meeting.

The reason why many of us were bearish in April was because the effects of the tariff wars was causing the price to decline every now and then and couldn't really get a strong support to help the price recover a bit. But the month of May have been bullish even though it is experiencing market fluctuations but the most important thing now is that the price is not reducing too much again like it did in April which means which should be expecting more bullish movements in this month of May which will boast investors optimism for a new ATH.

Exactly, the tariff war launched by Donald Trump really had an impact not only in the economic sector but also the market was affected, the price decreased significantly to touch the $74k mark, this is bad news that was not expected by all holders, especially Bitcoin, thinking that after completing the inauguration Donald Trump would make policies that would benefit the world of investment in crypto, but it did not go smoothly, in fact America had a tariff war with China, reciprocating by raising each other.

Hopefully in May BTC will gain momentum to create a new ATH, at least $120k is good enough.

The skeptical me and the contrarian in me has voted no. Everyone on social media appears to be pumping good news since the beginning of the year, however, none of them has caused bitcoin to maintain above the price of $100k. It is difficult to pump but easier to dump. This implies that the market might be more bearish than expected.

Also, cryptonews media publish these types of articles that are headshaking. They appear to not understand what stagflation will do to markets of speculation similar to the cryptospace or they are holding bitcoin and do not retail to dump before them hehehhee.



The Federal Reserve is growing increasingly alert to stagflation risks—an uneasy mix of slowing growth and rising inflation that could challenge policymakers.

“The Fed is worried about stagflation,” Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, posted on X after the decision. “We think that outcome would be good for bitcoin.”

In an earlier report, Pandl argued that rising tariffs contribute to stagflation, which historically hurts traditional assets but benefits scarce stores of value like gold. “Bitcoin was not around for past stagflations,” he wrote, “but can be considered a scarce digital commodity and is increasingly viewed as a modern store of value.”

Read in fullhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-stagflation-risk-signal-could-210906048.html

Most likely, but I doubt that this could have a long term effect on the price. And for all we know, this kind of negative news won't last and so it's just a matter of time before we will go on another break out run. And that's what we seen in last week of April and leading up to today's price as we are almost touching $100k again. So this is another lessons to learn from us that no matter what the negative news is, sooner or later there will be a recovery.

And with this movement, we should be bullish and there could be FOMO once again specially if this month we will see 6 digits and maybe see another all time high. So good times ahead of us, but for sure there will be skeptics here, but let's see how far this rally will go as least for the month of May.

Entering the second week of May, the preparation for a return to $100k is quite close to reality as the difference between the current price and $100k is very close. It's just that we will wait to see if the remaining time to reach the close of the first day of the second week will be achieved. If it does, I am optimistic that the ATH price that is currently stuck will be touched again and to expect to pass the previous ATH is very likely to be achieved.

$99,800 is the point that is currently touched. I think the analysis to reach the new ATH can already be made with the question of reaching $120,000 with all the conditions that will occur in the market during May and from now on.

I would love to see Bitcoin near $100K, because Bitcoin was dumped last month and moved down to $78K. From there, the price increased and moved to $99,862. A little bit away from $100K, which we can naturally feel, just wait until it touches $100, we will see Bitcoin price in six figures very soon.
This is the most optimistic month for Bitcoin holders for this May. As soon as the price of Bitcoin increases during this season, it is most likely to create new records again, because the most excitement can be felt among investors at the moment.

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/05/08/UURL4P.jpeg

Yes, people are not really deciding what they want to do until they see the market. Which makes bitcoin exceptionally not so volatile at times. Normally we know bitcoin (and crypto in general) as very volatile, but the reality is, if we are not careful then it would be very stable for a very long time, until a very short burst of not being that stable and be stable. Like for example be stable for a whole month, then change like crazy for 3 days.

We are looking like we are in those stable days, because people are looking to see if it will keep going up and be 100k+ or not. But until today, we have gone up a bit, because people are bullish and they have seen the price do a lot better. That has to be the most important part of it.

I would say, if the poll was "will it end higher than it started" then I would say yes. But now it says will it hit ATH this month and that is not really known, I can't really predict that, it seems like a difficult question to ask overall. I understand that it may, after all it is not that high away from it and it may happen. But that doesn't mean we are going to get it, we may go to for example to 104k and then stay there, how would I know. That still means it's higher but it is not high enough.

This is why I am sure that we are going to see BTC go up this month but I am not sure if it will be over all time high since that would entail a lot more price and that will not be easy at all. We need to see how further up we can go and how can we make money from the increases.

We need more of your votes guys.  I mean with the recent buying frenzy, this shouldn't stay dead even at 9 - 9 by May 15 me thinks.

If any of you guys reading this still who has not voted, please do so.  These monthly sentiment polls don't work without your participation.  Thanks.

https://i.postimg.cc/NMV2rBDL/dhdhsahs.jpg

It didn't come to my mind that April will be the start of the bear market. What I expected though is that April will be a bearish month yet again same with February and March, but it turns out that I was wrong (as always). :D

April turned out to be a bullish month for the crypto market, and there's a huge chance that it could continue to this month as well. As for how bullish I am right now, I expect that we will be seeing a new ATH this month. Maybe it will peak at $110,000 then a short correction will happen yet again before it goes up to where it wants to go up. I predicted that the month of May will be a sideways movement at around the $90,000-$100,000, but I guess that's invalidated already. What matters now is Bitcoin not going down below $100,000 and stay below it for a long time.

I know this is for the month of May, but I'll just include a date which is July 8, 2025. The day where the 90-day tariff pause will end. For sure, there will be lots of uncertainties before or during that date so just beware. :)

I made this thread last month  (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5539486.msg65312046#msg65312046) and I was not wrong, soon we got to the $100k mark and even went beyond it. This month, btc has hit $104 and I'm optimistic just like you for the bull to come fully. Watching the previous monthly candle, it is already having the bullish disposition except there is a huge negative incident that will happen, otherwise we are going to be all green this month. We are likely seeing $107k to $110k range this month.

I am quite bullish on seeing a new ATH in this month of May, it started on a positive note by hitting the much anticipated comeback of $100k mark, and I won't be surprised if it surpasses the present ATH because the margin between $100k and the current ATH is not much. What we need is more positive news to activate demand and it will happen in this month, even if there is any slight dip along the way it will be temporary as we are still believed to be in the bull run. We should wait and see what happens in the coming weeks in this May, we can only speculate wait and see.

Good to see this month, Bitcoin price is back to $103k. We will see another higher Bitcoin price this month if more support comes. But we need to be careful as we are in weekend which the price usually get another correction.

But we don't have to afraid or worry because that is often happen in the market so we can prepare our money to buy more. I guess this month, the price will almost hit the last ATH and will continue in the next month to break the new ATH. But that is just my prediction which can happen or not.

Well, it is interesting to see the the vote which have the same result. I vote No because I am not sure if Bitcoin price will back to all time high within this month. But maybe I am wrong for this.

It has been broken, we have reach $100k++ already, and so we hit in in just two weeks for this month. So it means there are FOMO and this could really be big in the next quarter.


Although positive news is a catalyst for a good run, most of the time though, investors are just going to pour their money as the sentiments is very bullish. It doesn't need that positive news, what we need is that the market just really collapsing and believing that we are on the way to make $150k-$180k in the future.

So this is just a start and we knows, maybe this predictions are going to be true after all and that at the end of the year, we will see those big numbers as what we have been predicting at the start of the year.

I voted No for the new ATH to be reached in May, as I expect some small correction before we continue going up, which could take some time, although we still have 20 days to go, which is an eternity in crypto world.

We had some bullish news earlier this month with the first two US states approving strategic digital assets level. I didn't see much hype about that, perhaps it's not considered significant in comparison to already approved Trump's reserve on a federal level. But I think if see more states giving green lights, that could have some impact on the market, although likely that would be spread over a longer period of time.

A nice website monitoring the legislative progress:
https://bitcoinreservemonitor.com/

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/05/09/UUsRBI.png

Outside of our forum, I don't see many people on other social media platforms interested in Arizona and New Hampshire having strategic bitcoin reserves. What I see is that they are more concerned about the trade war, especially the negotiation process between the US and China.

I don't think it's correct to call the strategic bitcoin reserve created by Trump a federal reserve, it's just an executive order issued by the Trump administration. It is unrelated and has never been recognized by Congress or the Federal Reserve, so it cannot be called a federal level.

---

Prediction for May, Bitcoin is trading at $104k and only needs another $5k to reach a new ATH. This gap is so small, I have no reason to doubt Bitcoin will not reach a new ATH.

The FED is as clueless as anyone, you need to stop worshiping stupid people with titles.

Having a steady price in that range would also be very positive outcome.

If only things were that simple, that would be great. While it is true that we are very close to a new ATH, that does not necessarily mean it will happen. I'm split for May.

I noticed about the Bitcoin price increase that reached $104,361, which is classified as lasting more than two days even though the price has now dropped to $103k.
This is unusual. Usually every increase does not last long back down. Has anyone else noticed the same thing I'm thinking? Or am I wrong this time about the Bitcoin price staying at $103k?
The RSI also looks pretty good.

Anything can happen, bitcoin can continue to rise or suddenly correct and drop below $100k if some negative news hits the market.But looking at what is happening, things look quite optimistic as the tariff news is moving in a positive direction, India and Pakistan have also agreed to a complete ceasefire...It is clear bitcoin has more chances to continue to rise than to correct.

We can be cautious but there is no reason to be pessimistic, those who are pessimistic about the current situation are just people who do not believe in bitcoin.

I would guess people are still worried about a crash. Obviously we have only small amount of votes, which means we are not going to see how the market thinks, that is not the possibility here. But, what we are seeing here is that we are seeing a few people, saying, it could either keep going up like this or it could crash, some believe it will continue to go up, some believe it has peaked and will go down (or just not hit ATH). That ain't wrong, that is a healthy voting, we can't possibly know, so we are going to end up not being sure about it.

I understand that and we could be very well seeing this be the result in the end. We could se a few more votes, btu we are not going to see the difference become too high. Even if one of them leads, the other won't be too far away.

Yeah, I didn't get any news feed on that. I've seen a few press hits, but I had to actively look for them.
The whole tariff war definitely has a big impact on all the markets and is probably the most significant current factor shaping the price, but further approvals of states' strategic reserve bills could have a notable effect on the future BTC price, even if that effect will be spread over a longer period of time.
Still, if there were enough media coverage, it could serve as a psychological factor further legitimising Bitcoin, and proving there's wider support than just one man's (Trump's) decision.


"Federal" doesn't always refer to the Federal Reserve (aka "the Fed"), which, to make it more confusing, is not quite "federal" itself (at least not fully) nor is it a reserve.
When I used the term "federal level", I meant the level above individual states' level, which is not incorrect (i.e. that strategic reserve would include assets seized under federal law etc).

Although I don't actually know of Bitcoin will surge to a new ATH in May, I voted YES.

Why?

I'm not good in "Technical Analysis" nor am I a good "Trader", BUT for the first time in three months, Bitcoin's weekly MACD has changed from red to GREEN, and GREEN = BULLISH. Therefore there's a higher probability that it WILL surge to a new ATH.

HODL

I can say it, it will reach there and without a doubt we are going to be there. Why do I have that much trust in bitcoin? Because there are two options, either I hold like it will go up, and be wrong, and I will be right next month, or I will not hold and fear, and I will lose when it goes up. So I just decide to go with being right, it will reach there, and if I am wrong, then next month I will be right, and if I am wrong next month, then I will be right the month after that. Forever, it is a thing that goes on and we are not going to end up with any wrong moves.

We should be looking at making a decent return and as long as I do that, I am sure that we are going to make some decent amount of money. That has to be the key to success for me. Bitcoin has ALWAYS gone up eventually, could be tomorrow, could be a year, but ALWAYS gone up, so I am going to be eventually right.

It's normal to freak out especially when price is rather dipping and taking long when you're expecting it to rise within a speculated period of time. If we follow through the history of previous bull run seasons we will be rest assured that the bears are still months away from the market. But even as we get in within the bullish state of the market we will still have to entertain some dips which could be considered as market correction after certain highs are made.

I am still bullish till towards the end of 2025 and am optimistic it's going to be the breaking of ATH's after another before the year ends.

I hope May to June is bullish because this month I get a reward in the form of Bitcoin  :), so it will affect the value I get if I want to exchange it to fiat, as well as in June there is a big chance of getting a rewards from one of the football polls, this is a very personal reason but Bitcoin holders must expect the same thing, last ATH around $108,000 still feels unsatisfactory.

I think Bitcoin will remain above $100K from May to June as this month usually shows better bullish signs - but expect a new ATH to be carved out again so we are happy that BTC is rallying again with a new ATH.
Moreover, you get a considerable amount of rewards so when the price moves up it will affect the value when exchanged to fiat, but hopefully the price is not leaning down but expecting to continue to rise.

Yeah, there are 11 guys who would prolly be surprised if BTC start going above the all time high this month...  And 14 guys having a blast seeing it happen.  :D :D

^  That the number of guys who made their votes, 14 said yes while 11 said no.  I'm not really surprised it's almost dead even.  But I think more people start voting yes before the lock on May 15.  ;)

May to June to July will be bullish months, in my personal opinion. Why? I don't know. Hahaha. I merely looked at a weekly chart, opened the MACD indicator, and it told me that the market has gotten more momentum which might male it surge to another ATH.


In my own opinion, it might only feel "satisfactory" if Bitcoin will reach parity with the total market value of Gold and surge above that.

Back above $104k and we're only 4% away (less than $5k) from the ATH.
Trump's and Xi's ceasefire on the main front of the trade war was taken with much optimism and a sigh of relief by the market and everything turned green, including crypto.
All the top altcoins have gone up significantly higher than Bitcoin, which some take as a sign of the altcoin season.
Fear & Greed is now at greed at 71 (out of 100), so there's still some room to grow.

It looks like the new ATH is inevitable, but it's hard to say whether we'll go up significantly or just a little bit above the old ATH. It's possible that a lot of money could start shifting into altcoins if people believe the altcoin season will play out similarly to the past cycle.

Yeah, I have trust in bitcoin to do that too, I have trust that it will grow higher and will do better. I know it's not easy, but we are going to get there eventually and we shouldn't really worry about it. Maybe it's tough and maybe it won't make that much money, but we can definitely reach a new high and shouldn't be worried about it.

Just because it's "difficult" doesn't mean we should stop trying, we can still give it a try and we can still make some money with it as well. I know life will throw many obstacles at us, and this could be one of them, breaking over ATH isn't easy but I have full trust towards bitcoin that it can reach at least 110k during this period, so we can break over the previous all time high price.

I still think no new high this month because lack of momentum to pricing but BTC already did well and just staying in this region is a win.
  All the way down to 98k its still acting in the same price region and will likely be ok.   Beyond that its a bigger pullback and people arent thinking negatively at all at present which is why Iam, generally thats how it occurs that catches people off guard.   We'll be tested before any new ATH simple as that I reckon.

Available liqudities point to a no direction, Bitcoin can't achieve a new all time price in May, and ll indication have suggested a strong resistance t around 105k per BTC this indication have made buying a but dangerous at this point and level of the market since Bitcoin sentimental movement suggests and points to a much correction level instead of bull momentum, had it been that Bitcoin continue the last week momentum and achieving a price around 110k per BTC at this point, I could have speculated such level of tendency for all time high, but at the moment, everything looks a but different.

Looking the poll tomorrow then let's see which side got it right.  It's close between the yeses and the noes, 15 - 13 respectively.  I guess it's another one of those month when we must can't know what's what...  This is prolly one of the most confusing market conditions we've had since the start of crypto.

Gone are the days when it's pumping, it's just pumping.  And when it's dumping, it's just dumping.  I guess there's nothing else to do but adopt a GTO kind of strat and make as less mistakes as you can.

I also see the poll, but i don't know if the poll has been aimed to lasted till the end of the month before obtaining the result, the market sentiment for May looks more bullish that we see that this may go all time high with the way it started right form the previous days earlier this month, i want to believe that before this month end, we are going to make it to all time high and even if the market doesn't, there is still hope for the second half of the year or even next month.

Yeah, pumping and keep pumping is gone and it is not going to be like that. But we can make sure that we do not go down and as long as we do not go down that much. If we could make money this way then we are going to make a lot better result.

If we do this, then we are going to profit from it all the time. Of course it is a tough thing to handle, but we are going to just focus on how to get a better result on the long run. Things obviously won't be simple to keep the price above 100k, but we have achieved it so far, if we can achieve it some more time then we are going to be a lot better. That does not mean we could focus on how to get a greater return, if we want to then we are going to get worse results if we push too hard.

I always lock the poll at the middle of each month.  That way the guys who voted last won't have unfair advantages over the guys who voted first.  There's prolly a slight advantage but not by much as who really knows what's gonna happen at the final couple of weeks of the month.

Anyway, the poll is locked and it's almost dead even.  Let's see who gets it right, the yays or the nays.  GL!

May the fortune favor the bold.

And I do think it's fair to lock the polls, it's more interesting like that 8)

Looks like in hindsight it 'was obvious' that BTC was going to a new all time high even if it wasn't really clear at the time cos of...  I dunno, things like 'the economy' or Trump or just bs reasons the finance journos could think of.  Lol.

It's prolly best to just ignore the news and focus on what you want to do when you're trading crypto.  If you trade nased on the news, you lose.  But dunno, maybe some of you guys are pretty good at digesting news info.

And btw, a trader called 'John Wynn' opened a long position at almost a bilion at Hyperliquid.  Lolol.   

https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6

There was a slightly sharp drop a few hours ago from $111k. When the red line started to form to match the green line, that's when I started to think that the market was taking a step up past the current high.
Bitcoin's ATH is not at $111.9k but more. I will call that price the highest price in May regardless of economic matters and so on.

That's right. That's how it should be.

Really nice pullback is how that looks to me and what I expected must happen in order to confirm the break of the old ceiling.  So what must happen now for strength is a build above 108k, if that occurs over however long is necessary then its for sure bullish.
  New ATH and space here never traded before is in theory easy progress upwards and forwards.   So final piece to confirm would be a good close to this weekly bar on Sunday, I cannot be negative if it does all that because its acting so well.  Not over extended I guess.

That's what TA experts were saying. "Ignore the news, they are just distractions, whatever happens, the cyclical pattern will continue as predicted" etc. The same experts said we should get to $120-$130k before any pullback, but here we are.

It's not so bad at the moment, we're only 4% down from the ATH. There's still a big chance for the $120k to be achieved this month.
Looking at the past patterns, we should still have 3-4 months of a bull market, but that's what everyone expects and it's not possible for everyone to make a profit. So we might not have as much time as many expect. But maybe it's the opposite, maybe we're about to see a flatter curve that spans over a longer time. Who knows.

There is no such thing as a TA or market expert, they are like blind chickens. Eventually they will correctly predict something, but most of their predictions will be wrong. Because of that, you may as well do a coin toss to get an answer to any question or prediction. You are probably going to achieve better results.

I would not even consider this relevant. The market moved based of the Trump tariff on the EU. A new ATH was achieved yesterday, and that is what matters.

You are reading the chart wrong, based on the last cycle the bullish market is in the last quarter of this year.

In the past, the price of Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $109K, but this May, it broke the $109K ATH and touched $111.9K. It is indeed the highest price of all time at the moment, but I prefer the price of Bitcoin to be in the 100K plus price range, and the possibility of the price of Bitcoin reaching a peak of further improvement is very high at the moment.
I can estimate the price of Bitcoin to be between $130K and $150K, which is definitely more likely to go next month, as the price of Bitcoin increases, many weak hands may sell their Bitcoin holdings. Those who will sell Bitcoin at the moment are basically living in a fool's paradise, they should hold on to Bitcoin holdings more tightly.

Bitcoin price could go higher this year but remember there are no guarantees, the opposite could also happen. So I don't see anything wrong with someone selling their bitcoins right now as long as they follow their plan and are happy with the profits they make.

To me, a real fool is someone who holds bitcoin forever and never sells because the purpose of investing in bitcoin is profit, not turning it into a cult and worshiping it until death.
Buy or sell, to continue holding or to sell is each person's decision as long as they feel comfortable, there is nothing wrong or stupid here.

Ok so the touted Hyperliquid 'mad whale' closed his ETH and PEPE longs for 25m USD profit and is all in his BTC long for 1.172b.  Yeah, that over a billion long position all in on BTC.  It's causing quite a stir at CT with almost everyone saying that he will be liquidated.  Lol.

I'd say that will surely be a test for the Hyperliquid perps DEX if it could handle all that money in their order book.  I'm more excited about that more than anything as if it passes with flying colors it could be a kind of a step forward for crypto.

https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6

From the beginning of this year 2025 I have stopped making attempts at predicting monthly bitcoin price, this is because on multiple occasions, bitcoin have not followed our widely speculated price predictions, in this year alone, bitcoin have made multiple all time high price marke, and is not stopping any time soon, the bull is about to begin it high momentum raise.


When bitcoin did the $109k ATH benchmark many predicted that we are going to see a significant crash in price, but that did not happened and instead we saw another ATH again and possibly a new ATH in the coming week.

So it looks like our bull whale at Hyperliquid has turned into a bear.  He now has over 800m short position opened at 107,057.20 USD.  Liquidation price is at 111,280 USD and he's currently down around 4.2m USD.  Loool.  :D :D

Amazing how all this could be seen onchain.  ;D

https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6

This is like entertainment for degens.  Kinda like rail heaven during the poker boom at Fulltilt Poker.  Those were the days...  But I guess most of you weren't really into poker back then.

Considering the historical value of Bitcoin, it has increased to its highest value in 2025, the price of Bitcoin reached $111,814 in this month, but this month it is not expected to Bitcoin reaching 120k in this month. However, investors can continue to invest, because Bitcoin can reach 120k in the coming months. If it can be accepted reliably, as Bitcoin is just the beginning and therefore it is very important to have a long-term view of Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin may increase relatively more in June, which will attract investors. As the price of Bitcoin increases, investors will increase their confidence and enthusiasm for Bitcoin, which will increase their interest in investing in the future.

With 5 days to go, May is +16% in green, the goal of achieving the new ATH is met, now, the question is if we'll see it reaching $120k, which some expected to be the next stop (before a possible pull back).
I think it's quite possible. If not this month, then maybe in early June, but it will be contingent on the macroeconomic news.

The Bitcoin Bull Run Index (CBBI) is currently showing 79, meaning the market is not yet overhead. Although I think it's important to remind that the index was showing a score of only 81 during the prior cycle's ATH, it was showing signs of overheating during the first of the two peaks in 2021.

^  Yeah June will be interesting.  Historically I'm not sure if June mostly ends in the green or in the red, so yeah 115k - 120k could be a good price range for next month's poll.  ;)

Let's see what's gonna happen in the final days of May tho.  Things could go hot from here and move up really fast.

Anyway, does anybody have one of those diagrams if BTC ends green or red in a particular month?  That would come handy.

Take a look at this one, I think I know what you want:

Bitcoin Monthly returns(%): https://www.coinglass.com/today

Based on monthly returns, May was a green month based on that data with an average return of +8.61%. While in June, the market looked red and I really don't expect that this year. But nothing is certain, the market is too volatile and we both know what the risks are.

April and May both had a good uptrend to them, its faltered at times but corrected with a positive resolution especially recently I dont see we have any excuse to not be positive at this point.
    Above the old ATH area, I would only start to judge negative resolution for this month if we could end below 108 then trend down to 100 etc.   its not doing that so its surprisingly positive without needing more time to work out sellers in this area.
  The more volume we put into this 108k area and also keep ending the week above that price point, the more its like cement setting and it will become support leading to good gains later is my guess.  Its all relative but so far so good.

That's the one!  Thanks...  And it looks like June is on average -0.35.  So if that's any indication, there's a small chance that the price would end up in the red.  Which would suck.  Lol.

I'm trying to think of a nice poll for next month's thread.  Anybody have some suggestions?  Just post them itt.  

The Hyperliquid mad whale is kinda bad at trading according to some guys at the twitz.  He's now long BTC opened at 109k.  Lol.

https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6

We had another small pullback today, we're currently down -2.13% from the opening price. That's despite some positive factors, like vice-president's (JD Vance) appearance on the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas, or news about Trump Media's plans to raise $2.5 billion to invest in bitcoin:
https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-media-raise-25-billion-fund-bitcoin-treasury-2025-05-27/

I guess it takes much more than that to move the price up (and keep it there for a while).
Maybe the drop to low $107k could be a good entry point for those who panic-sold earlier (i.e. during the correction) and are considering buying back in. They won't make any huge returns, but a quick 10%-20% is still worthwhile.

May, has been quite an eventful month for Bitcoin we have seen a new ATH and it has retraced a bit, no major dip and I'm not expecting much in this month, seeing that it's remaining two days left. If what we're seeing now replicates in June, I don't think that much will change because it has been resistance and corrections so far. But I'm hopeful that June, will be more bullish and a couple of ATH can follow, we just need some positive news to push demand for Bitcoin. $130 and $150k are quite feasible next month but it won't just happen on its own, we need fundamentals to drive it.

Well when you are that much of a whale, then you will have some bad results at times so we should not be focusing on if he is 100% right, he will be bad at sometimes. I know that would not be great but we are going to see him do better overall if he is rich, or if he can stay rich. To be fair, a 1+ billion dollar thing is still quite weird to me, and I am pretty sure that all other whales, will try to crash the price as much as they possibly could, in order to cash him out, then we can see it go up more.

We need to realize how big a billion dollars is, that's enough money to live an incredibly wealthy live forever, and not just normal, I mean wealthy live, spend 60 million dollars a year, as in literally 5 million a month, and you would still not end it, because of your investments to even simplest ones, and the vast amount of money you have.

Bitcoin is testing the $105k support level now, but I don't know how deep it will drop until today's close. Bitcoin seems to be under quite a bit of selling pressure since its new ATH was hit, and the whales' accumulation news doesn't seem to have a significant impact on the market. The high selling interest has caused the price to correct again, it's like a panic wave heading into the next month.

Some people may believe that bitcoin's monthly cycle always repeats itself, that's why they start selling before reorganizing their investments. I personally am not selling now, but unfortunately I can't accumulate. In fact, bitcoin managed to break a new ATH in May and now seems to be preparing for a potential correction at the end of the month.

Has the old saying "sell in May and go away" proven true for Bitcoin, or is it just a normal pullback?
We dipped as low as $103,713 today, so not the direction many have expected (myself included).

There have been some bearish news about cryptographic algorithms being less secure than initially thought, and much fewer qubits in quantum computers would be needed to break them, which could cause some panic, although I don't think that news was widely spread. Source:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/05/30/blackrocks-bitcoin-nightmare-just-got-a-lot-worse-as-price-suddenly-dives/

I'm not sure that this is the case with this dip. Even if I don't like it and I wanted the opposite direction (like you and many others), it was a bit expected to see a pullback. Maybe not that fast like the end of this month, but it was expected that we would have a "correction". And since it happens at this point, the question is whether it will go even lower or will hold there and rebound? Tough call for now. :-\

Yeah, as we have seen before, we can't really go on parabolic rise, sooner or later there will be a pullback. But it's not that big of a correction though unlike in the previous months. It means that investors are still here in the market and probably we will slow down this weekend. In any case, we are still close to +10% at the end of the month, still a good indication I will say. So just remain calm I guess, and then continue to buy as long as we have the budget and then HODL. That is the best strategy, just sharp and smart and not let go on our focus to accumulate and stack sats specially during a dip.

Yes, very much similar on the discussion I had with @pooya87, this bull market is very much different from the bull market that we have witnessed before. If these types of news updates were released on 2021, bitcoin will certainly pump very strongly and altcoins will pump on a very much more higher percentage than bitcoin. This present market is headshaking and the people on social media appear to be not as bullish as 2021.

Those who sell at $111k or at $110k and the amount of USD obtained from selling at that price is again used to buy Bitcoin today, their portfolio will increase again.
I can't say that the saying “sell in May and go away” is wrong, because the fact that today is May 31 as the end of May that the intention is at the door is true.

$103,713 is a happy price for those who took action when Bitcoin reached $111k or $110k.

As a holder, I am not deprived of happiness even though I did not sell at bitcoin's ATH in May. It is true that if you accumulate bitcoin with a buy low sell high approach, you can have more bitcoin over time, but investors or holder usually do not do this because they tend to use other budgets to accumulate. The approach you describe is not necessarily effective for everyone, of course some people may not wait for that much of a drop before they buy again.

By the end of May bitcoin had dropped to $103k, not bad, but for me this is typical of bitcoin heading into June. The data shows that June is not a month to expect high returns for investors, that is because bitcoin tends to go into corrections and that has been true so far. I don't expect bitcoin to lose much in June, but history may or may not repeat itself.

Is this the same guy? Must be:

https://x.com/cryptobeastreal/status/1928503534699340030
https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/05/31/UXsDn9.png

In the comments, some say he's actually smart and he must've been hedging his positions somehow and that he did to prove that the market was manipulated against him etc, but I don't think there's any evidence of that.

I feel sorry for the guy. That's a big loss indeed, even for a very wealthy person.