Bitcoin Forum

May 22, we celebrated the historic moment from 15 years ago when Laszlo Hanyecz paid 10,000 BTC for two pizzas—marking the first real-world Bitcoin transaction.

Back then, those Bitcoins were worth around $40. Today, they’d be worth over $1 billion at Bitcoin’s all-time high.

It’s a powerful reminder of Bitcoin’s incredible journey from a niche experiment to a global financial force.

Yesterday was a fun day, to be honest—I attended some crypto events, had some pizza, and talked about Bitcoin’s potential price next year. I also noticed some generous promotions still running on exchanges. Binance, Bitget, and Bybit were all in celebratory mode.
https://i.ibb.co/xKk7Pmy8/IMG-20250522-WA0042.jpg (https://ibb.co/PsL63TRz)

Anyway, at the event I attended, someone asked me when I got my first BTC. I said two years ago. Can’t believe someone there had theirs from five years ago—damn!

When did you get yours and what do you think price would be a year from now?

Bitcoin has actually revolutionised the financial global market in many ways than one, of which am quite sure hardly did anyone thought it would go this far at the time of it creation some 15 years back. Which makes me wonder repeatedly each time of the year as we celebrate bitcoin pizza day, did Laszlo Hanyecz really had any idea what the future price value of a bitcoin would be today before still going ahead to give out such amount of bitcoins for some pizzas? Or he did but didn't care.

It was exactly $41 (https://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2025-05-22/billion-dollar-pizza-bitcoin-soars-on-key-anniversary-of-cryptos-growth#:~:text=The%2010%2C000%20bitcoin%20that%20software,bitcoin%20hits%20record%20high%20prices.) as at then.

It is impossible to know. If the price were to follow the behaviour of previous cycles, by the end of the year or early next year we would have reached the ath of this cycle and by May we would be at a drop. But this cycle with so much institutional demand looks different. I would say that if there is a drop by then it will not be very pronounced and therefore I expect that by next year's pizza day the price will be higher than this one, but I do not dare to specify.

I wish I was the guy who didn't make the mistake of using $BTC to buy pizza. By now, I would have had numerous exchanges begging me to deposit it on theirs. Unfortunately, the deed has been done, and we celebrate someone's mistake every year. As for the price prediction, I'll say $250k. But honestly, I'm happy just for the chance to win the 10,000 BGB prize pool for predicting BTC's price by the end of this year.

Bitcoin price prediction for a specific date in the future is very difficult to do due to high market volatility. Pizza Day is an annual commemoration to commemorate the first transaction using Bitcoin as a means of payment. This historic day may feel special next year because of the increasing movement of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price predictions are highly dependent on market conditions and other positive factors, some sources will certainly predict that Bitcoin prices will increase next year based on market sentiment that continues to show positive signs due to the large adoption carried out by several companies. I expect Bitcoin to reach $140k by 2026 with the highest potential reaching $145k, hopefully it can happen.

I don't think that anybody can accurately say what Bitcoin price will be on next year's pizza pizza day, besides why worry about what price will be on that day, it won't have any significance to Bitcoin circle. Before surpassing the last ATH which was on a short term nobody was sure which week or day that we would see a new ATH, not to talk of an event that will happen in one year from now. My prediction is that one year from now we should be in bear run, it's just a speculation it might or might not happen by then. Nobody or institutions can manipulate Bitcoin price beyond a very short time, it has built that trust and that is why it's reputation and adoption is increasing speedily. .

In a year, on the day of the celebration of Pizza Day, bitcoin price will probably be less than the current price. Why? Because eternal growth is impossible. Also, don't forget about the cycles of bitcoin. After any hype and bullish trend, a bearish trend comes one day. In this cycle, the growth of bitcoin has been continuing for quite a long time. I am not sure that such dynamics will continue until next spring.

Keep the euphoria inside yourself, otherwise the (partial) bitcoin fall within the price movement according to cycles will be perceived as too painful.

According to speculations, Bitcoin will switch from bullish to bearish in 2026 because the bull circle will last only for this year. If it's true that bull circle is going to end this year, Bitcoin price will not be bullish during next year's pizza day, if price tends to pump by next year pizza day, it might not create ATH like it did during this year's pizza day and it's not possible to predict the actual price of Bitcoin by next year May 22, maybe it's when we are getting close to that month by next year, that's when it can be more easy to predict if there will be a new ATH or not.

I think a year from now (maybe two depending on the speed of unwind) the price will be $69,000. I like stating this number because people will think it is crazy while those who have been here before probably recognize it is more likely than not. Stay safe out there. Buy the bottoms, not the tops. Volatility is coming in Q4.

I am not sure the market trend will still be strong enough to maintain the current price or make a new ATH next year. We all enjoy the fun and celebration of Bitcoin Pizza Day this time because the Bitcoin price moment is also very good. But if the market trend changes to a bear market, what we see next year may be below the current price. We are still speculating, let's see what happens at the end of this year or what happens at the beginning of next year.
Whatever the price of Bitcoin Pizza Day next year, we will still celebrate. Some have already posted the Pizzas they made.

It's very difficult to predict future price of Bitcoin but we are free to speculate. On Bitcoin Pizza Day 2025, Bitcoin price was at it's ATH and if things were in favour of Bitcoin then on next pizza day price of Bitcoin may be over 200k. On thing which many of us have noticed is that global  news and events play an important role in increasing price of Bitcoin. Like we saw when USA imposed tariffs on other countries price of
bitcoin went down and recovered well when USA agree to lessen the tariff. Just few more good news and we can see price of bitcoin over 200k on next pizza day.

On next Pizza day I don't expect any higher price than this years pizza day. There's chance that next year the bear market may start once again and in bear market most assets lose their value including Bitcoin. So, there's chance we may see Bitcoin below this year's value in next year. However, no one can exactly predict what's going to happen in the market and that's why anything can happen in the market.

I think you are far far off.

I see 300k plus

In my country Bitcoin is not popular therefore there was no event to celebrate this year's Pizza Day.  However, I got my first Bitcoin three years ago and it was the best decision I have ever taken. How would you be surprised that people have bought Bitcoin four years ago? Some people have been hodling for a decade. My projection is that Bitcoin will get to $180k by next year's celebrations.

It depends, if bearish cycle still come despite the fact that we got billions worth of dollar being invested into bitcoin by large institutional players then there's always possibility of lower price.
But if somehow BTC just keep going up because both strategic reserve and institutional player large investment keep flowing, we might see double or triple the price because it's gonna e super bullish cycle.
At the end of the day we're just speculating here ;D.

Good question, I think we will be in the bearish cycle next year, assuming that the 4 year cycle will still be in it's effect and so with that, we will see what the price at the peak, our all time high in this cycle before we see what will be the price next year. Who knows, maybe the price the we have right now will be the price on next year's Pizza day. That will be simply ironic if that happens. But my point is that we really don't know, as there are a lot of variable to look at. And simply put, we really don't know what the future holds for us and so everyone will have our wild and educated guess. But for sure, majority of us might not get it right. And for those who get close to their prediction, it is still like that, we are just speculating here.

Do you know last year's pizza day event, BTC was around 70k, this year it was 111k.. next year probably 150k😌 so I'll say your analysis is on point..
Did you just say Bear market? I've not seen any bull market just BTC breaking multiple ATH!  what happened to alts damm!!.


250k seems a bit over exaggerated.. but can you share your thoughts process or how you came to that conclusion? I'll really love to know tbh.. btw, what are you talking about 10k BGB?. You may want to throw more light on it and share a link we can look at.

I got my hand at a portion of BTC way back in 2014, I bought it from an exchange platform through 7-Eleven transaction. ( I got a transaction number and paid over the 7-Eleven counter).  It was too cheap back then by I was reluctant since I had just known Bitcoin at that time.

As for the price of BTC next year, I think we will be in a bear market by next year so the price would be cheaper than today if the Bitcoin 4-year cycle does not change.  More probably Bitcoin would be down 20% to 40% of its ATH.  I could be wrong though but that is what I saw on the data in the 1st quarter of the following year after the ATH in 2021.

Got mine when Btc dumped back to the 76k, and still holding it now. No intention to sell or whatever it is. Only staking it through the 3rd parties in order to get more benefit from my BTC. It may be risky, but totally ready with it.

As for BTC price forecast next year, i believe BTC will be stabilize between 110 - 150. Not try to get myself a hopium, by making non sense prediction like 200k or even 1 million per bitcoin. Enough to stick with sense prediction that use my logic.

This year's Pizza Day falls after the halving so it makes sense that we are still in the bull run phase and the momentum is right to see an increase. However it is not the main factor in the Bitcoin Pizza celebration, there are many other supporting factors such as the response of the US and several other countries that have started to make bitcoin a national reserve asset. For 2026 if it still follows the cycle then I would not be surprised if the price is back below $70K. Like it or not, our pleasure must prepare for bearmarket.

That is likely the bear market if we're talking about for 2026. The usual cycle is that we go through a bear market after a bull run. But let's take an example of it, the highest on 2021 bull run was $69k and then the lowest on 2022 was around $16k. That's around 76% decrease from the bull run of 2021 to the 2022 bear run. So, if it happens to see that from $111k of ATH for this year, if it confirms that it's gonna be below 50%-70% of decrease then that's how the bear market would likely start. But take note, we only have to endure that for a year.

Lol, to me, anything can happen in this space, especially when it comes to $BTC. So, $250k is possible. With President Trump's apparent support for the powerful coin, that's a boost. Also, you asked about the 10k $BGB prize pool for Pizza Day with Bitget. I won last year, so you might want to give it a try by making an accurate prediction  here (https://www.bitget.com/events/bitcoin-price-prediction).

If history repeats itself and we enter a bear season next year, we should see lower bitcoin prices on the next Pizza Day. This has happened many times in the past and we cannot expect bitcoin price to go higher during bear season.
The opposite scenario can also happen if the market cycle breaks, the bullish momentum continues until then we could see bitcoin price move higher on the next Pizza Day. But predicting the exact price of bitcoin is impossible, no one can do it except the lucky one.

https://i.ibb.co/vCb1tKxK/Screenshot-2025-05-24-160343.png

Source: instagram

The remarkable assets is growing and the people you think does not have Bitcoin has already gotten bigger than what you have on Bitcoin and a lot more of this will be repeating all the time because is no longer rumor that massas are on Bitcoin. However i wonder how you would have express yourself if you had seen someone with eleven years of investment. However the next pizza day is still far away to start predicting how the price will be on that pizza day but with the multiplication Bitcoin is given through the price gives us the insight that next pizza day will be a different milestone for us.