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When the Pope was being decided in the conclave, people were betting on it. When there was hurricane or typhoons, people would also bet on the casualties. Have you seen people bet on about the war between Iran and Israel and now USA too?

If yes, do you think it is morally or ethically correct? For me, no. There are real people's lives at stake here. I think it is so tone deaf for people to bet on their lives. What do you think?

I think gambling is slowly turning all realities around the world into a game. There are some things that should be treated with utmost caution and sensitivity, but alas, almost everything is now a gambling subject. I am not against gambling, but I am against what I perceive as human insensitivity masked into gambling.

I've not seen nor heard anyone gambling in that context nor any provider including it in their platform, but honestly if I see one, I would not be surprised.

it's offered in polymarket. https://www.ainvest.com/news/betting-odds-strike-iran-surge-32-67-polymarket-2506/

But my personal take. I think this kind of possibility shouldn’t be something people can bet on. It should be illegal to offer wagers like this. I don’t see it in regulated sportsbooks, so I guess they’re complying with the rules.

But since Polymarket isn’t regulated, they can offer it. Still, I think it’s unethical. We shouldn’t be hoping for a war to happen, so betting on it just shouldn’t exist.

On the one hand, this is very strange, because it is not ethical, because people die in the war, buildings and distribution chains collapse. The phenomenon of refugees, poverty and suffering begins. On the other hand, the polymarket has already made everyone so accustomed to betting that perhaps even rich influential corporations will bet on insiders, as well as influence the desired outcome of the war with their resources. After all, even Trump can make such bets, because he already made shitcoins and was not afraid of the ethical side of this mass deception of a large number of people

Anything can be a bet in this world, even for something that goes against morals and ethics. The bet I mean is an unofficial bet, which might be done by a group of young people with some witnesses.
I'm not sure people who bet on war, or bookmakers, provide bets that have an unspecified duration. Wars may last longer than we think.
Indeed, sensitive things should not be bet on.

It’s not ethical however betting on events including the most sensitive topic is not regulated especially that there’s already a decentralized betting option available to any event that you want to bet.

I’m not a fan of betting on this type of event since it’s unpredictable and no basis on betting however I do watch some streamers placing bet on this market while there’s a lot of volume on this option on sportsbook that reflects its popularity.

Many gambler earned big by betting on US that will join the war so I guess the popularity will now increase.

It's funny that I see so many unethical things that people are betting on lately, just recently I saw a thread about how people placed bets on the second coming of Jesus. There are certain lines that shouldn't be crossed, placing a bet on the war means that you are taking the lives of people involved as a joke. If you were in their position and you found out that people did the same it would be something disheartening to you

I cant bet in this kind of event this leads to killing of people just like that, it does not make sense that we are deriving pleasure with what is causing some other people to cry and mourn for their loved ones, this is unethical practice, war is not what should be taken for fun, if we had ever experienced one, then we will know how important it is to have peace and not to see others in war, this is really pathetic and we should rather be praying for them to have peace.

And now they’ve entered...I wonder what the betting odds are for this? Polymarket is the only popular prediction market offering it, but they won’t really thrive if people don’t support or patronize them, so in the end, it’s still on us.

Well, I think it can’t be stopped anymore.
And sure, we can say it might be unethical, but at the end of the day, business only has one goal,  and that’s to make money.

You can visit Polymarket, you will see such bets there.

There is nothing bad about it because you bet or you do not bet, nothing can change what will happen. If there would be a war between two or more countries, your bet does not have any effect on the war. So why not bet on it? As for me I can bet on it.

Making geopolitical conflicts a betting reflects the dark side of the modern world, where large-scale tragedies are reduced to speculative opportunities. Behind the thousands of possible casualties, infrastructure destruction, and generational trauma, there is still room for bookies and gamblers to guess such as "who will attack first", "how long the conflict will last", or "when the oil price will spike." Ethically, this is almost unjustifiable, because it treats human suffering as an entertainment commodity. This is not a form of freedom, but a sign of the death of empathy. But in reality, the betting industry never moves on the basis of morals, but rather market demand. As long as there is uncertainty and sensation, global conflicts will always have betting value. A world where lives and explosions are counted like match scores, it is no longer about right or wrong, but about how big the chances are and how many dare to bet. Because the market (supply and demand) for these odds will be very influential even though it is unethical and disrespectful.

For platforms that offer this type of betting and also for bettors who like to bet on war tragedies, I will not be against it because it is your business and your money but for me personally I do not want to be involved in betting on things that involve human tragedies because war is about lives and when lives are at stake we have to question whether we still have empathy. Just because everything can be bet on does not mean it is okay to do so.

When it comes to money, most people are completely irrational and only think about themselves and how to make more profit. So I wouldn’t be surprised by any bets related to wars, atomic bombs, or missiles, there are probably bets happening right now, in fact. Human beings are truly insensitive, especially when money is involved. There’s nothing that can be done.

I guess this is the reality now, people will always find a way to make money, even on things that are clearly unethical. I wouldn’t even be surprised if there’s already a betting option for a possible World War 3.

These things just exist, and we can’t really do much about it. After all, whether we like it or not, there will always be people willing to bet on it. And if the government can’t regulate it, it’ll stay as a betting option for some.

I was about sharing the link freedomgo posted, he beat me on that one. That's by the way though.

The Polymarket is where you see the expected and unexpected predictions offered by many gamblers.
If people can bet on the coming of Christ, is the Iran - Israel they cant bet on?

The above listed events where related to politics which requires voting to emerge the new pope, that practically hold some atoms of fun if to say. The hurricane or the Typhoon is a natural disasterous event which peoples opinions is needed on how it would perform in  the affected places, when it may stop and also determines if it will extremely affect other neighboring places where it has not been effective.

Those are for geographical analysts which event can also be inspiring to determine such a nature.
In the aspect of war, it is is never encouraging for bookmakers to include such pandemic events in their prediction event lists because there is definitely nothing to learn about such.

No fun and no civil morales instead, it will be misleading and could be sentiments amongst players based on their deceptive opinions and also encourages continuities which societies has already been set to panic where lives and properties are being destroyed.

It is not morally correct but I doubt that this would stop people. As long as money is involved, I am sure that a lot would want to be involved and take their chances. It is not illegal per se so there is nothing anyone can do to stop it but it is very uncomfortable to see people betting and making jokes of serious topics.

The only constant thing in life is change, some change are good while others are bad, it also depends on how we choose to accept a new reality, personally some changes that I have seen in betting this year are morally deficient. People can now bet on things that are holy like selecting a new Pope, and the coming of Jesus Christ, in 2025, recently seeing bets on the outcome of war, I think that it is very wrong. We are gradually losing respect for morale values by betting on things that we are supposed to reflect on with respect, compassion and humility. I won't be surprised anymore if hear that people are betting on bizarre things that are considered abominable just for fun and to make money.

If you pray for the destruction of the country in able for your bet to win then it’s not morally right but if you bet based on analysis no string attached then I think it’s just a betting game on a hot event right now.

Although it’s hard to bet no string attached on this kind of event so in general it’s not morally right.

I don’t understand why people bet on this while there’s a lot of option available on sports rather than the odd one related on sensitive matter.

I don't just think it is ethical or humane to actually place a bet on the outcome of war efforts by both Iran and Israel, because that is not the only wars ongoing by countries of this world and i bet there is any bet placed on the Ukraine and Russia war so why even bring up a post as this to begin with.

I find it truly disgusting to make this kind of bets and not because i am religious, on the contrary.
In wars many people suffer a lot and many die, it is not a good thing or something to bet on.
Since so many suffer because of a few assholes of course is my opinion

For me, it's not ethical, but I do believe that there are gamblers who would probably enjoy betting on this kind of event, although I don't believe it's a good thing. I didn't bet on the Pope conclave either because I think that's also unethical, although I did follow what happened in that event.

I think the issue here is the people who are opening the lines for such sad events like war. They probably believe that a lot of people don't care about what is happening there, so they will probably place a bet for fun.

You are free to bet on anything as long as it makes you feel good and you are always ready to lose money on every bet you make. But when it comes to morals and ethics, of course this is quite contradictory, because how can we bet on an ongoing war when many innocent people are oppressed and suffering from the consequences of the war. And if you do have extra money that you are confused about what to use, you better use the money to donate to help those who are victims of war.

So in summary, betting on war is inhumane, immoral and unethical behavior. There are things that make more sense than betting on war, such as sports betting.

So people who are betting on this kind of thing can be considered immoral too. We can criticize the platform for offering these bets, but the truth is, they won’t care unless authorities start going after them which isn’t happening yet since they’re still online and active.

I guess it all comes down to us. If we consider ourselves moral, then we simply don’t bet on things like this, so they don’t make money off us.

This is immoral, just as immoral as betting on humanitarian tragedies such as natural disasters or also a few years ago during the pandemic, I remember there was a betting site that opened a market with the choice of how many victims would fall and also how long the pandemic would last, but it was only a small betting site that did not get attention so this site died, but with the presence of polymarket it seems that a betting market will appear with the choice of humanitarian tragedies, if you feel that it is immoral just don't get involved in it and I don't want to get involved here either.

it sounds really harsh when you say it like that and people should consider this when they are having fun when they win their bet that involves other people's safety

it seems so self centered to want to earn money out of others' despair if you do not feel any ounce of guilt then i wonder where your principles lie on
if you really can't afford to donate then at the very least help spread the word and educate people and do not even use their suffering for your own enjoyment

This is absolutely ridiculous and I don't think it's something that should be done because it's unethical... it's normal when it doesn't affect you directly.. lately it seems people just bet on anything nowadays, this is completely unethical and it shows how careless the human race is becoming with people's lives...I watch the news and I see how people survive serious injuries while some lose their life in the process.. betting on things like this is inhumane

I will never bet about war, its like wishing death, suffering and agony for those involved on war, there's no winner on war, there's casualties on both sides, mothers losing their children, children losing their parents this is morally, unethical and evil to bet on war and take sides on one country.

We have to take side with peace and let our thoughts and action gear toward talks and reconciliation, this is not something we've watched on movies, this is real life and what we've seeing could be our relatives and close friends, don't wish on something that you don't want to happen to your family and friends.

in reality, no one every ins a war most especially at the level we have seen it being fought fought by these big countries. even in the case of Russia and Ukraine that it appeared as thought Russia was dominating, they can tell of the number of death soldiers that they themselves can record which is also a product of the consequences that comes with wars. morally speaking, war is bad and there is nothing justifiable if you are gambling on a real life event as that. just the imagination that i could be the victim that is directly involved in the war will neve allow me do so. there are certain things that are not worth  being gambled on and way is one of them.
 

I haven't personally but looking with just some feeds and bookies, they're having it for their kind of odd bet.

It is wrong, no questions asks and no defense needed to mention. People who look at this are just wanting to satisfy themselves at the expense of other people's lives. We can't be happy with that and it's very wrong if someone thinks it's ethically okay to do that. It's unacceptable but we can't stop people if they like to do it.

Some gamblers go too far with their wild expeditions in betting.. I saw those odds when they got released about the pope. But obviously, something was off about it. The pain of one Nation is a pain to all the human race -- or maybe, we're just gonna fight ourselves to extinction.

I don't think it's fun to do either, but the modern human is more like a cannibal whose only interest is to watch other humans groan in pain and frustration of what they've done to them. See them nuclear weapons flying up and down, bombing hospitals, warehouses, plantations, refueling stations, airports etc. who in their right minds would feel proud of what's going on right now?

For me silly if you want to bet on people's suffering, the war is a disaster that many innocent people become victims, Where our conscience has fun and places bets on a war on a war, I think it's a very stupid and stupid person, different to bet the throne and the authorities or the Pope.

So for me it is not beautiful if we place a bet on people's suffering, that is inhumane.

There are ordinarily normal circumstances that avail people the chance to predict the outcomes of war, and I don't see that to be much of a big deal if they do so to earn themselves some money. The only reason I'll be against betting on wars is the sole reason that I'm of the opinion that gambling should be solely for fun and there's not a single fun in war as it only brings destruction and pain. People bet on sports because they enjoy the game, I'm not sure if there's anyone who derives joy in war or the death and pain of people because, the only people who enjoys the outcomes of war are those who are giving the orders because they believe by doing so, they'll be able to resolve their conflicts.

The Polymarket platform now provides many war bets between Iran, Israel and the United States.

It is immoral to bet on the war that is currently happening, the victims are civilians while we bet for victory? It is really unethical, so we will not bet on any war that is in conflict.

But for some reason there are still many people betting on Polymarket with war bets.

We bet on football matches, but there were many cases of players dying on the field

https://www.zonalsports.com/players/footballers-died-live-tv

There were many cases of players who broke their legs. But no one came to talk about morality. We bet on UFC and Boxing fights, but we all know that in these fights people bleed, they suffer pain from those strong blows. But there is no talk of morality. I think that when there is the option to bet on whether there will be a war or not, it is not anti-morality, because no one is wanting there to be war and deaths, people are analyzing the facts.

Of course betting in war is very immoral because war can harm both parties and will also claim many innocent victims. And don't they feel sorry in such a situation because they will definitely feel afraid and live in an uncomfortable state because of the war, and of course those who bet just to get money and have fun on the suffering of many people who are in a state of fear because their lives are threatened.

But we can't stop the betting, but it's really unfortunate because they have no conscience and don't think if it happens to those who bet and when the war happens to them, they will definitely regret it because they feel how scary it is because their lives are threatened.

No, and don't be surprised when bad things happen to you or your loved ones when you do things like this. Never do anything that is immoral unless you absolutely have to. Not gambling on a war doesn't require any action on your part, it needs inaction. Very easy to avoid.

Very bad comparison. These are accidents, unintended consequences of playing a sport. The point of war is killing and consequent, so death is the goal and not an accident. Please don't make random comparisons.

When betting on a platform where users are anonymous, it won;t matter anymore whether its moral or not. They bet on the outcome and its about winning that matters I guess we just have to accept it that its happening.

One time it happened in the main road in my city, a man just climbed the tower and said he has tons of problem and wanted to jump. What the locals are doing is betting whether he'd jump or not. Some bets if his head first or not. Almost sounds funny but people not care anymore until the mayor came.

Money is money, there's no correlation with family, blood, friendship including empathy.

Because most people happier when they see other people are worse than them.

So it doesn't surprise me anymore when I see people are betting like this. There are 8 Billion people in this world, it just an another "one life" there are still a lot people.

I have never bet on such events, but I'm just trying to answer what those bettors are thinking.

Would you short markets when war has started, or when it means people are losing their jobs, houses and everything they own? It's basically same thing and have been happening way before polymarket was a thing.

I honestly don't see how betting about wars would be harmful, because it's not actively connected to destroying people, unlike in shorting where you are getting money caused by people losing what they own. It's just macabre to celebrate your winnings when it's happening only because everything is burning around you. It's like tacky "i told you" money, and you will probably get hate for betting on that.

For me I believe is not right for us to gamble with the life's of people, when there's war there must be killing of human being so betting on something like that is morally wrong and should not be encouraged, I know some set of people gamble on war for example they may predict how many times a country will attack the other country in a week or month and the person with the current prediction wins, now I'm imagining will they be praying for the country they predict to attack as much as they predicted, is not a good thing to gamble on that at all, because you are indirectly killing people with your prayers for your prediction to come through.
The world is turning into something else, people gamble with almost everything, I have seen where some group of boys place a bet on the first person to have sex with a particular girl and to them it was fun but is not right at all, like they say "do to others what you like others to do to you" if you know you won't like it when they place such bet on you don't do it to others.

Personally, if I think of betting on these kinds of event, it makes me feel like am supporting the conflict or the predicament that the people are facing. So, it doesn't sit so well with me to bet on those events. I prefer sport betting and I already feel satisfied with it, so why bet on this kind of event if not for the sake of profit and am not concerned with it.

This also sounds interesting to hear, because things has gone beyond just an ordinary crisis, it's now a serious war and we don't know where it may leads to, as so many of us have been praying with expectations that it does not lead to WW III, gambling in the war is like we are saying it should continue because some would expect they don't lose their money if it stops and so on, we can choose on other things to play our bet on, but not at this serious peak of the war.

For most of us, it is quite not right to bet on this kind of betting line. However, for some, they will bet if they will see their chance of winning. They are not looking on the event per se but only the profitability of the betting line. Hence, they will bet for the sake of monetary gain, no emotions attached. However, it is still your choice whether to bet on this kind of situation or not. No one will stop you from doing so because it is your money in the first place. That is, if you can swallow the thought of gaining some in exchange of closely witnessing the turn of this event. Of course, if you betted on this line, you would surely keep up yourself with what's happening on both sides. So for sure, you will feel agitated as well while keeping yourself on the news because of the war.

I believe that in gambling, we all have our own choices on what to bet on. If people would not bet on such event, I don't think that the casino would include it in what you can bet on. However, I wouldn't bet on such because I feel pity for the innocent victims that are killed everyday.

 Gambling should be fun and it's no longer fun when people are dying and you are making profits. Someday, you might find yourself in a similar situation. May God bring back peace to the Middle East.

100% unethical as a lot of responses on the thread already. Firstly I cant even begin to
understand how any betting platform can offer odds on something so negative and
devastating and secondly nobody should be even making a bet on this, it should be boycotted.

Lives will be lost, crimes will be commited, property destructed, wealth lost forever,
and everyone will pay a price for it in some way.

It's neither moral nor ethical, but it's not the only immoral & unethical thing people around the world bet on... Don't get me wrong, but it's not OK to point fingers at people who bet on this stuff, after all, those who are guilty and who we should blame are precisely those who start and maintain wars.

There are markets for everything, and some of them are pretty crazy... but those people don't do any harm, I think, they just spend their money on their own predictions... some other people create circumstances & shape the world by their own agendas.

Just when I think I've seen it all, the world of gambling surprises me. I will never bet on something like that. It's inhumane to want to profit from other people's misfortune. War is not football or basketball. People are dying. Unfortunately, there is a market and there are people who bet. It's sad to see what human beings are becoming!

Sometimes what seems normal to you, could be abnormal to the other person and same goes in this situation, betting on the war or other real life events have been around for long and if many bet of who becomes the next pope, or even other political events, we need to be able to balance the equation if an event is worth betting on and what make up for unacceptable betting and the acceptable one.

Well, betting on sports, players, or gaming is not just good, it is also enjoyable and profitable. Many years ago, we saw these things coming to us, but now the situation has changed, and people have started betting on human beings. They bet on natural disasters, on survival after wars, and on the wars themselves. You know, at the results of the war, how many people will lose their lives, how many will leave their homes, and many other things. Here, the thinking point is how someone can want to earn money or feel happiness from the destruction of other human beings. They cannot be called human beings, perhaps they should be referred to as something worse, like devils.

I don't think it is morally correct to bet on war, as there are actual people's life at stake and real people losing their homes, their family, their life because of the interest of the leaders of their nations who are willing to cause chaos for the sake of power and money.
I would not be willing to bet on wars, not matter how many chances I had to get money out of it, in the same manner I would not like to have people abroad to bet on my life or the survival of my family and friends. I think it is rather tasteless to play with the life of others for the sake of money.

I know there are people who are pretty much into geopolitics and they see nothing wrong with this, to each their own, but I could not push myself onto something like it.

Any bet on war is wrong. Just as any person buying war stocks is wrong too. They may not care because for them it is all about money but this is people's life that is at stake.

Anyone who can bet on war will not mind betting on hunger type games where people kill each other for a price and there are those outside who bet on the individual who will survive it.

There should not be any justifiable reason to even have such type of betting option talk less of betting on it.

Although in this case there may be some people who try to do that, for me it is not too natural if we end up making all forms that occur into a gamble, especially when it comes to someone's life for me it does not really reflect ethics.
Everything is sometimes used as a gamble but in this context I don't want to do that even if there is a big nominal bet because for me everything related to life, especially for civilians, does not only have to be measured by gambling and our personal gain.

I would skip something like this no matter how high the stakes are because to me it's making it seem as if war is nothing and we're enjoying watching other people take up arms and destroy each other, that would definitely never apply to me and I wouldn't do it even if there might be an invitation or a big prize in it.

Find pleasure in gambling, in any game, but do not lose your moral and ethical compass, betting on the war between Iran and Israel in my opinion is not morally and ethically right. I am quite sure, many people have the same view about such bets, and therefore many people will choose to avoid it. Regardless of the background of the conflict that makes two countries go to war.

I and anyone who thinks it is unethical, certainly have no right to judge and blame people who bet, because everyone is responsible for their own actions without having to care about what others think. It all comes back to each individual, there is no social control that can limit someone from betting.

You are absolutely right, the world is turning into something else and different individuals are doing different things just to make money and some don't even care what comes out from it but so long as they will make money they are good which is not suppose to be so. And as long as gambling is concerned I don't think there is anyone who will  see a chance of winning money that won't make use of that chance and the country should also negotiate and stop the war already because it won't do them any good, seeking for peace is not cowardice or stupidity but some people don't understand because they will want to show how great they are which is not necessary.

Polymarket is notorious for offering similar options. I don't believe that you're supporting the conflict by betting on it, but from my perspective, I also don't think it's ethical. As I've also said in another topic regarding controversial betting options, Polymarket is taking advantage of such a gap in the market, offering debatable options that can't be found anywhere and spark major discussions among people; it's also a way to advertise their platform. It just feels wrong to bet on who's going to "win" like it's a football match.

Lives are being lost at this point and the world has turned into a chaos the past few years, what I'm hoping at this point is for the war to end.

I don't think that a "bet" could in some way support the war by itself - also the markets that offer these options are p2p.
However its a sad argument that I would avoid definitely any kind of "game" on it. Would you be happy if you win (so some people died?)
I don't know, but personally I am seeing this as a too controversial argument in general ...

OP, betting on Pope conclave or political elections results IMO isn't something different than betting on sports. While betting on war or tragedies like typhoons is something what I wouldn't do. Morale and ethics in gambling? Forget it. But who I' to judge people who bet on such things...

I think you comparing slightly different things. Tragedies when hundreds or thousands people lose their lifes and someone getting injury...

I've been following the Iran - Israel war and its so ugly and inhuman you are not human if you can bet and wishing the country that you bet is winning, so many lives have been taken away and so many houses and hospitals have been shattered I cannot stomach betting a true war.
Seeing what's happening on the two countries you'd wish that these leaders have a heart and just talk and discuss on how to resolve the issues.War is what evil men do

From a lot we've seen so far this shouldn't be a surprise but it doesn't mean that such should be normalized because we are talking about people's lives here which makes it completely unethical. If you live in a country where it's completely safe from the war going on you wouldn't find it funny to gamble on it, cases are recorded of lives and property being destroyed on a daily basis in these countries

We even got one for Jesus second coming, Don't you think we will have one for this? :D

I won't participate in such betting and there's not much reasoning to it, simply because I don't want to be cruel where the place is already filled with them. If you want to bet on it then it's okay and if you don't want then it's okay too.

People have different perspectives on war so we can't change it for them.

There is a thread posted recently about betting on whether the US will intervene in the war between Iran and Israel. Right now, an additional discussion was added to it where whether the US will do a ground invasion on Iran or not.

In my view, betting on wars, natural disasters, or events where human lives are at stake will never be ethically or morally correct.

I reckon it's not right to bet on these things. When people see live betting with cockfights, there are activists who are condemning such actions. And how much more with these matters that lives of innocent people that are stuck in the midst of it are at stake. And that's why if you have seen some betting like this, it's best to avoid them and don't add to the volume that they're getting. Bettors who make fun of it will continue to bet on them but if you're for one and the other, you'd definitely not going to be part of the flame through betting on these wars.

Iran has attacked a US base in Qatar already so, they have already intervened in it. But about ground invasion, it's most likely that will happen but the bookies still add more onto these like that discussion.

I completely agree with you, betting on war is inhumane. It's a way of disrespecting fellow human beings, as many innocent people die because of war. Personally, I hope these countries choose to make peace as soon as possible, they're making their societies bear so much suffering. I don't have much to say to anyone who bets on such wars, it's crucial to have morals, even if the bet offers huge profits. America is reported to have joined in attacking Iran, this will trigger a bigger war, and of course will increase the number of people dying.

Watching the war on TV or through other channels brings so much pain. Seeing families cry over dead or wounded relatives is a sight that can be heartbreaking. 

I would never bet on any conflict or war, regardless of how profitable it might seem. I am also not a fan of betting on religious activities because it might be offensive to believers. I am a sports bettor, but I also don't bet on violent sports. Gambling should be for entertainment and not to derive pleasure from people's pain.

Ethical? I think it's subjective because not everyone believes in this war. Some people thinks it's personal, some thinks it's politics that is been far from what is been reported by the media and some people think it's power war but as far as I'm concerned, I'm a faith person not that much but have some and I don't think it's morally okay for anyone to use peoples death to gamble, those are men with families, with wife's and children been sacrifice here and it's bad.

I was on Polymarket but what I was seeing wasn't really nice. This are people's life we are talking about and everyone is just busy pasting $30 dollars and above on the bet predictions like it's nothing. Some even think Iran head will be romove from office by the end of 2025 and I don't like all this predictions. Us will retaliate and attack Iran is there too. We know it's likely but why bet on them at this money? This are people's life, let's have some simpaty instead of taking side.

I wouldnt be having that kind of liking on betting on wars or about into something which is not ethical for me. I can bet on other things but not on peoples lives when it comes into this aspect. We do know that on the moment that you do have that kind of thinking about betting on war then it will be that included about on betting on someones lost lives and thats not ethical for me as a human. I can bet on others but not on this one, this isnt just that limited to ward but also in other things like on religious aspect or as long into those things that involves human lives and other things on which it isnt just that right to make up some bets on. There are just that those things on which we should pass or let it be on which on this world everything could turned out to be a bet and that do really sucks.

It is wrong but they don’t cares when they can make money out from those bets set out for people to bet on. There is no such regulations to stop them from including certain life realities into games for people to bet on, especially when it has to do with human life’s which is suppose to be valued and not a thing of joke or speculated on as a game for people to bet on. I feel there should be rules in this circumstance and not people going out there and making it look like a pole to vote on how many casualties are expected from a war scenario that could cause mayhem in the whole world in not controlled on time.

These types of bets are only possible on decentralized platforms, such as Polymarket.com/
Paragraph 40.11 (a)(1) of the CFTC rules explicitly prohibits the conclusion of contracts for events related to the war - https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/17/40.11

https://i.ibb.co/GQpgnNd2/77.jpg (https://ibb.co/Wv5SGjHy)

Some people can bet on literally anything, even if it's a matter of life and death, as long as they are not the ones to decide the event. Just make the betting available, and they will choose which side to place their bet on and which one to place against.

When human lives are in play, all I can do is not even think about why financial gain is coming out of it; instead, I pray and wish for both sides to end the war so that human lives can be saved and the innocent don't suffer for it.

No doubt its always hurt badly peoples facing serious troubles while they are watching their houses and business places are changing into ruins while kids are always faced the worst scene which no one can delete from their memories for rest of life.
Even I am living away from this, but I watched few kids were crying while they were watching scenes on television and other social media channels going for betting on things like these has never been allowed but sadly now its can't be stopped because they are looking for increase into their money which is more important for them instead of humanity.
Many are always in search of fun and enjoyment even they are also feeling its not good deal, but they are looking for their own sack which is really terrible things now happening around us.

The same thought here.
IMO, it seems unethical to bet on a war when we know that people are being killed in it.
Do you guys also place bets like this?
Do you really want to earn money from the suffering of those affected by the war?
I think it's against my morals, and that's not right.  I'd rather choose to gamble on sports betting and fight against the house edge than make a profit from the suffering of others due to war.

If you still choose to bet on an event like this, a war, it raises a question for me.  Are you even human?

Right? Aside from war games i remember growing kids used to bet something like this if who will win from any fight, war, etc. in playful manners.
But today, after hearing/reading the betting of returning of Jesus have bets, what's more for a mere war compare to it. So yeah, it's sounds funny but bettting on war like this really exists. The questions is who is the odd provider and odds.

I do not really like the concept of betting on people's live or even have to offer that into prediction market, like I know they should have sympathy on people's live, they include things like election, school quiz and other things but it should at a tough time like this instead of helping out or sourcing for a solution to help those that are held captive to be free they decided include them on prediction market.
Well, there are people who are jokers who always gambles on everything  they sees, and I don't really understand why gambling is now reshaping everything whereby on a serious war like people would decides to gamble on other's people life.

By default theres a bet on everything and a winner and loser of those outcomes.  Wars are unjust anyway the financial back and forth is going to occur anyway and bets are just part of that parallel but quite relevant to probability argued back and forth.

You cannot stop the war or impede it by restricting how people act in this way or think and have opinions on the war likely outcome.  Best thing to do is to at least donate some part of this revenue or profit to a relevant charity that helps the poor citizens in this war and every war that always makes ordinary people pay the most with no way to prevent it.

When I read your article, Polymarket came to my mind and they already bet there. I don't think it's right to bet on such issues in war situations or other disaster situations, I don't prefer it, I don't say anything about those who do. In every situation that reflects what's happening in life, people make choices somewhere to bet.

In my opinion, it's not ethical to bet on the event you mentioned. Think about the people affected by the war, it's not a selfish behavior to win betting on them.

Actually it depends, the gambling itself and choosing a winning side is obviously wrong at some point but it a sense that you're just predicting that this will happen, it justifies everything. But for me, I don't prefer gambling or betting on some situations that lives are on the line, you're making money because of other people's lives that becoming miserable due to war and such. But since it's gambling space, everything is justified, you are just trying to bet and make money on probably what's going to happen, it's not your fault why it's happening in the first place. But IMO, it’s all about how you personally draw the line between profit and morality. Some people treat it as numbers and odds (just pure gambling, nothing personal), while others can’t detach from the real-world impact behind it.

Okay, when it’s during the conclave for the next pope, the pools (the presidency) and maybe on some music star to emerge in some contest or something, then it’s okay. Why do I say it’s okay, there are no casualties in these, we don’t get to see economic hardship and destruction to lives and properties.

When it’s about natural disasters and things like wars, I think the casino or gambling site that would promote such events for gambling shouldn’t be allowed operation even. I hope not to find such because, it would be a big loss to humanity. In wars, there are no sides, it’s a fighting of ourselves and we loss every time.

That is very good, one of the cases where the USA does have some good regulation. That being said, decentralized platforms should also disallow such things. The problem is that a lot of the leading platforms are owned by very bad people with uncontrollable greed. They have the power to prevent such things, but many choose not to in hopes of earning at least another dollar more..

Immediate business ban and prison time for owners would prevent such things from ever happening.

It actually looks very bad, I always want peace to prevail in the world and I never want a war to break out between two countries or more than one country. War never brings peace. You will see that in all the countries where there is a war, the people of those countries are not safe, they always have to live in fear and there are always people in fear of when and where there will be an attack and where people will die. Currently, the war that is going on between Iran and Israel is killing a lot of people, so there is no point in betting on how many people will die in any attack or who will win the war, rather we should always pray to the Creator so that the Creator brings peace between the two countries.

Yes, you are right, war is not a game, nor can it be used to earn money. You know what happens when a country enters into war. Innocent people lose their loved ones, the country's economy collapses, making life hard for those who are left. The survivors fight for their lives, and in all these scenarios, how can a human bet on other human beings? Perhaps it is a shame for humanity that such kinds of people live in our world, profiting from the lives of others and enjoying their deaths. At this moment, I can only say that we must not promote it and should work to stop it.

Betting on the war is unethical because lives, properties are at stake. I believe that victims of the current war will actually feel heartbroken when they realize that people are betting on their current status. However, no one involved in the war will ever bet on it, it will be those who's in a peaceful region that will bet on the war. Although, there are people who can do anything to get the money. If they know that they can make money from the war they will bet on it and take their money, but truth be told that it's not ethical to bet on anything that involves life and death.

Very unethical but we do know that not all people would be having on the same insight about it because they wont be caring about peoples lives as long they can make bets and make money then they would be betting and wouldnt be caring about other peoples condition in other side of the world. There are just that those kind of bets that its not being ethical for you to bet on but for those bookies and since they are running a business on which they would be offering it out as long they've seen that there's a demand or recognition into it on which they will be diving it out since its money and in todays world on which money is almost everything and it doesnt goes beyond with those aspect whether its ethical or non-ethical as long they can be able to obtain that kind of advantage or benefits then they would definitely be doing it. For me then I would definitely be having that hard pass when it comes into this aspect but it would be just that depending on you on how you would be choosing up things accordingly.

Life is indeed a gamble, but not everything can be a gamble, especially when it comes to lives, suffering, and humanity. The current conflict has indeed captured the attention of millions of people around the world, but that does not mean we can make this ongoing war a gamble. Rejoicing in the suffering of others is completely unacceptable behavior.

Betting on cockfighting is already banned in some countries because it is considered animal cruelty, let alone betting on wars that involve human lives. Therefore, I think it is enough to bet on normal and common things, such as sports betting, lotteries and the like.

Basically, morals and ethics are about good and bad deeds, where good deeds are generally acceptable, while good deeds are generally unacceptable. If we talk about betting on war, then it is unethical and immoral, because we know that in general people do not want war, where every war has the potential to take lives, so I think war itself is actually generally unacceptable, let alone being made into a bet. So, I think most people think that betting like that is immoral and unethical, and I personally disagree with that kind of bet, just like you.

That's it, this is like betting on the lives of the people if there will be more dead bodies on the ground or if this war won't continue. We've got some good news that this war has already put into ceasefire by both parties. We always get to see these bets from the casinos and it is the people that makes them put that. Polymarket has these crazy bets and odds that are demanded by its bettors so it won't be stopped.
And that's why I think that this thread has already served the purpose and must be locked already.

As humans we are supposed to be moved by emotions and have pity for our fellow humans so it's not morally wise for anyone to be talking about betting on a war that life's are been lost looking at this war and the effects that it has created for the ordinary citizens of these two countries you will have Mercy on them, so we should not be talking about betting on war as humans

Polymarket is notorious for hosting some weird events of which the war was one of their favorite which they will never miss for anything in the world. On the ethics of such practice, I don't think I know what should be done about it but the truth remain that do it purely as business and not that they approve of it. I think that if their action is seen as a threat in any form, they would have been shutdown a long time ago. You should just see it from the business perspective and not on the basis of ethics.

Its highly unpredictable and not actually a good bet or good odds vs the pay off in all likliehood.  You could avoid it for multiple reasons, some people will try to say all horse racing is cruel and unusual punishment for the horses bred fed and raced just for your entertainment after all some of them die in the process and even some jockeys.  Yet we bet on horses for sport regardless with no greater purpose though I will argue the horse industry itself would be far smaller and the horses would not exist.

  In the case of the war some could argue the war will cause them losses and why cant they bet for some gain on that negative event like a farmer bets on a failed harvest to hedge their bets.  I'm not especially going to be  in favor of banning freedoms that harm no one really.

Nah, doing that by any renounced casino company or even the least casino platform is very unethical, except such betting can be done between very close friends, it may not even be staked with money but just mere words, just my opinion.

But the case where casino will integrate such option is not morally comprehensive.

Regards the Pope, I see nothing wrong in trying to predict the chosen one. However, to bet on situations where people are suffering and dying, it's indeed quite bizarre. It shows us how people are freezing inside, as they see each other as objects or just potential means to make profit.

At same time empathy is a hyped word nowadays, it has lost its practical importance. Actually, everything nowadays is based on empty words which have no practical meaning.

And as words lose their practical meaning, critical thinking also gives place to moral relativism, where everything is acceptable and understandable, as long as it's someone you are sympathetic to who is saying or doing this.

The result is: a society of hypocrites and cold hearted automatons living on automatic mode.

I would be going to an extreme to close down polymarket because they dared to offer a market for people to bet on a conflict which could be serious enough to spark a worldwide war, though. It would be enough if they deleted the market, refunded the money to all bettor and issued an apology to their users and the betting community for being insensitive about the human damage and irreparable consequences there would be if the conflict between Iran and the United States escalated to a new level. This is not about censorship, in my opinion, it is about having a minimum of human decency and being aware there could be people suffering behind our bets. This is definitely not the same that betting on a football match or a fight between two professional boxers.

The people running Polymarket are unethical, and if they persist in doing this, the ax will be on them. They can be considered warmongers because they encourage wars instead of one of the platforms calling a stop to this insanity.
Polymarket is a bad precedent; there could be more coming up. Seeing how profitable this platform is, they should heed the call of the community to moderate bets and not let bets like this come out.

Look, I know this is just your opinion but what do you mean by "doing that in a renounce casino is unethical"? Are you trying to blame the gamblers for staking their money on those type of games, or the casinos for supporting those game in the first place? Who's supposed to be blamed for doing something really unethical like you said?

The world is such a crazy place that people just wanna be good/bad version of themselves -- if the laws can't stop people from committing sinister crimes, do you think any bookmaker would agree to this? All about money!!
Don't try to twist this whole thing... Say whatever you have to say and make it literal.

1 word,
CRAZY.
Next world, inhumane!

It doesn't make sense and logic in my mind, also in my heart, betting on human lives, it's really sad with the facts.

What if one day those gamblers who were being the objects of the bet? Will they still be happy and join the bet?
crazyyy, so crazy

This is outrageous. How can you speculate on such things? What kind of a scumbag do you have to be to bet on war? Are people completely crazy? What is happening to this world? No, you shouldn't do such things. You wrote correctly that we are talking about lives, and this is no joke. It would be better to avoid all this and pray for those who suffered from the military conflict.

It won't lead to another world War, I believe that the harsh conflict between the two countries will definitely cool off. I was reading a news release yesterday by CNN and Trump called for Iran and Israel to ceasefire, Iran's state media have agreed they would but Israel is yet to give any response because they claimed that Irana still launched missiles yesterday morning and one hit a residential building and killed three people. There will never be a support from other countries for this war to continue, so I believe it will definitely cool off.

Sometimes it's so annoying on how people tend to bet on things mostly things that are not meant to be betted on, it shows the high level of gambling by citizens and individuals and this shows that people love to gamble and they can go extra miles to keep it on. Sometime ago i saw a news about people betting on a fight, but in the aspect of war it's so inhumane and not advisable to do so except your encouraging the wat between the two allies, so no it's not ethical.

Really crazy for the fact that we see that lots of civilians are been affected on the war and here they are doing their selfish act then try to bet on misfortune happening on normal people on both compromised countries.

Sad that they don't show any sympathy to people especially for children and I feel sad on  them especially for what they are experiencing now. That's why I don't place any bet on it and just choose other option since there are so many ways to gamble without hitting those critical situation.

There's still no action in regarding on listing out these kind of bets on which I do highly agree that there should be some limits or having those prohibitions on when on a certain betting line should be that opened or not that being allowed. We are talking some big business on here and these owners wont be caring about even if it means that they will be betting on peoples lives and this is indeed not ethical at all. Dont know on what up into their minds on how they do consider out such bet on which we know that its never been that good on betting on someone is dying just because of being affected with this war that is currently happening. I wont be shocked if one day Polymarket would be having some issues about this on the near future but well as long the business runs then they wouldnt be caring about few sentiments towards this type of bets.

For me personally I don't vet on such bets infact I can bet on live events not even political events since I know that the outcome of the event will have to do with reality of individuals life, and I know how such things like majority predictions could be on the outcome of such events,so betting on war to me is a no go area, I can only bet on games that I know are just based on physical competition and playing for fun and not evil reality like war.

I think that humanity is finally sliding into the abyss of immorality if bets of this nature are in demand. I would say that this is already a sign of immorality, if these bets exist at all.

Firstly, society itself should regulate this. That is, people simply based on moral principles should not agree to such bets. But is this possible when money is at stake and for the sake of profit, people will still make such immoral bets?

Secondly, then the intervention of the regulator is needed, which "caring" about us introduced many rules to regulate the gambling sector (like the KYC obligation). So why do regulators not ask themselves about the immorality of such bets and do not apply any measures to the organizers?

I believe that all types of bets based on personal or public tragedies should be banned. Many call gambling entertainment. For example, betting on the number of victims of a typhoon is also entertainment? Gambling must be ethical.

Thinking of it and the lives of those people that being affected might make you realize not to take part of this kind of gambling, there are many available that being offered and surely you can fill the desired that you want in terms of gambling, no need to participate in an event where there are conflicts in between as there are no winner after all both sides are being harmed and the economy of both countries are being ruined.

This is the problem on this generation that seeks clout on their life. They just keep following what’s the trend regardless of what’s the actual bet they are taking.

Some people having fun and making a casual joke on sensitive event just to gain attention with their social media. The war is finally over at least for now so this immoral bets will not be available anymore.

But I will not be surprised if there will be more trivial bet like this in the future.

This has been my stand all along ever since this whole thing about betting on live events began with the war between Russia and Ukraine, I've been against this because it's completely inhuman, I can't imagine a situation where a war is going one between two countries and innocent men and women including children are being killed, some children are starving to death, and instead of me being sober for this lives, what I did be after is betting on who will win the war or how many people any this countries are going to report that are dead, it's insane and sickening.

Can't believe humans have gotten so degraded to the extent that we no longer care about each other, people are dying and others are busy betting on it, it's unethical.

I find it morally questionable too and I wouldn't personally participate in such bets. And although it's not the same, but for similar reasons, I don't like other bets where animals suffer either (many of them are illegal in my country, anyway). And I respect people who think that religion related bets are sin or at least immoral too, because of their faith and beliefs.

Well if you are not directly affected you wouldn't know how disastrous the war is, a lot of people are praying that it doesn't escalate to world war 3 because it would make things worse. It's unethical to bet on such because it involves people's lives and properties. Betting is nice and it's not an offence, you can still bet on this if you feel like but it's actually unethical to do that, people's lives are not a joke

Politics is one of the hardest event in my opinion, who would have believed that Trump was going to quietly settle Iran and Isreal war and let everything be okay. He promised there wouldn't be war in his regime but they became the war by going after Iran and everyone think they were going to be long on that one and after like 3 days hearing both side, he said the two countries don't know what they are fighting for and are both sick, I bet many people didn't expected the outcome to be this quiet like nothing happened.

I don't blame the platform that make this kind of things go viral. Trump election was one of the biggest event that was bet on during their election. It is prohibited to bet on US election, so US citizens were allegedly not allow to bet but I doubt, they all did and made money because it was already fact that he was going to win Kamala, and now that there are war, people are going back there to make money, bet money on people's life and that's very bad, like where is our humanity.

I think I agree with you. It's unethical and morally wrong to bet on something that is generally to be condemned because we shouldn't want innocent people to die or countries to get destroyed, no matter what country it is or what religion the people belong to. Everyone has the right to live, and we shouldn't be trying to make money by predicting which country will lose more lives and which country will win the war. That doesn't sound good to me, I don't know about others.

There are too many opportunities for us to make bets on, so many sports games being played each day for the whole year, and if we want to make bets, we can do it on them, it wouldn't be a problem if we don't bet on one event, an event that shouldn't happen in the first place, and is bound to take people's lives away.

So, I don't think it's ethical to make bets on such things when we can do that with other available events that are fun and related to things that aren't harmful for anyone.

Well, I don't think it's ethical or moral, but this has always happened and will always happen. I don't think it's to such a bizarre point as to explicitly bet on wars or disasters, but rather to systematically benefit from these events. For example, financial markets act as a consequence of these types of events and, if possible, will take advantage of them to increase their profits. So, even if we see it as morally wrong, these things still happen, of course, in a way that is not so explicit, but investing in things that are required for war could result in great profits in the future.

Talking about life of innocent citizens children and other civilians, I was watching a live interview on CNN today where Donald Trump mentioned that over 6,000 solders have lost their life in the Russian vs Ukraine war, that is so heart breaking to hear since at some level we need to separate disaster like war from making profits or doing business just like someone supplying weapons to fuel the war.

There really are no morals who gamble in war, they are people who have no empathy, just because he is far from the conflict area he doesn't think about it, in the conflict area there are so many lives at stake, there are many types of games to gamble on, so only fools bet in war

people do bet on what worth to be bet, but some people seems everything as bet, both selections of pop and Iran and Israel fight is not worth to bet from the look of things, Iran and Israel fight is all about life and death, so we don't need to bet on it, we have so many things to bet on that is involved in gambling such as cricket games, bouncing game, soccer games that comprises both casinos and other related game, for me let us gambles on what we know that worth gambling, irrelevant gambling is not real good and that's why so many people do lose on what they are not supposed to lose on gambling