Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: favaro on June 27, 2025, 09:41:48 PM



Title: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: favaro on June 27, 2025, 09:41:48 PM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?
I’d really appreciate hearing from long-term holders  how do you currently view Bitcoin in terms of financial stability?


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Charles-Tim on June 27, 2025, 09:44:32 PM
This chart answers your question:


https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/06/20/UuPvdm.jpeg


On the chart, did you notice that bitcoin highest price is not more than $100000, but bitcoin is still more than $100000 as of today.

If you do not want to sell bitcoin in long term, it is a hedge against inflation.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Findingnemo on June 27, 2025, 10:18:19 PM
If you do not want to sell bitcoin in long term, it is a hedge against inflation.
Long run is the significant here, :)

@OP, I won't describe bitcoin as a store of value but it acts like one if we look at the price history the numbers are increasing cycle after cycle so it's not just a store of value but one of the bes performing asset that you can compare it with anything in this world and still bitcoin will atleast be in the top 5 no matter what the time frame you decide to compare with.

Buy bitcoin and keep HODLing.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: alani123 on June 27, 2025, 10:21:14 PM
Bitcoin as a hedge could be deemed based on past performance but it has not been stable.

Consider all the best markets it's been through the years. Another best markets could come or even bitcoin could collapse and never recover be it technologically or in terms of its user base. Nothing is certain. In terms of longevity bitcoin is very young against other hedges such as metals.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: hd49728 on June 27, 2025, 10:58:14 PM
This chart answers your question:


https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/06/20/UuPvdm.jpeg


On the chart, did you notice that bitcoin highest price is not more than $100000, but bitcoin is still more than $100000 as of today.

If you do not want to sell bitcoin in long term, it is a hedge against inflation.
I don't look at Bitcoin price chart but I look at two other charts which show opposite trend of Bitcoin supply and fiat currency supply.

Purchasing power of the US. dollar over time. (https://www.visualcapitalist.com/purchasing-power-of-the-u-s-dollar-over-time/)

How is the 21 milion Bitcoin defined and enforced? (https://blog.lopp.net/how-is-the-21-million-bitcoin-cap-defined-and-enforced/)

If I can add one more chart, I would like to have this.
https://charts.bitbo.io/satoshi-per-dollar/


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Donneski on June 27, 2025, 10:59:05 PM
Is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation? Absolutely yes if you ask me. Bitcoin is not just a hedge, but a lifeline. With a fixed 21 million supply, Bitcoin is everything fiat money isn’t: scarce, decentralized, and immune to reckless printing. In different regions of the world where Bitcoin is being used, this isn’t theory, it’s reality. While local currencies collapse, Bitcoin has helped people preserve their value in something governments can’t touch.
Yes, it's volatile. But over time, it has outpaced inflation and crushed fiat in performance. If that’s not a hedge, I don’t know what is.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Smartvirus on June 27, 2025, 11:06:28 PM
I don't look at Bitcoin price chart but I look at two other charts:

Purchasing power of the US. dollar over time. (https://www.visualcapitalist.com/purchasing-power-of-the-u-s-dollar-over-time/)

How is the 21 milion Bitcoin defined and enforced? (https://blog.lopp.net/how-is-the-21-million-bitcoin-cap-defined-and-enforced/)

If I can add one more chart, I would like to have this.
https://charts.bitbo.io/satoshi-per-dollar/

Charts do say a lot really,
These show how inverse the both currencies have been over time and by far settles the argument on if Bitcoin could serve as a hedge against inflation or not. As it’s visually seen on these charts, it does happen over time which runs into years. Hence, everything comes down to what’s the plan you have for your Bitcoin investment in order to see it serve this purpose for you. Hodl for a long term and you’ll be proud of having taken such decision.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: LDL on June 27, 2025, 11:10:16 PM
Bitcoin is definitely a hedge against inflation, an important feature here, especially since the supply of printed money is infinite, while the supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million. If a country's government wants, it can increase the supply by printing money in any situation. Inflation will of course occur in this case, which is normal. But you cannot supply Bitcoin because the supply of Bitcoin is reduced by half every four years through Bitcoin halving.

Another important aspect of Bitcoin is that currently, various countries around the world are deciding to keep Bitcoin in their strategic reserves, which is putting a lot of pressure on Bitcoin. This is causing the price of Bitcoin to increase due to the limited supply. And it is becoming a fully competitive market that is not limited to dollars or other printed money. Another important feature of Bitcoin is its control system. Since it is a decentralized currency, its control system does not depend on any third party. If it depended on a second party, Bitcoin would never be able to work against inflation.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: PrivacyG on June 28, 2025, 12:54:12 AM
How is the 21 milion Bitcoin defined and enforced? (https://blog.lopp.net/how-is-the-21-million-bitcoin-cap-defined-and-enforced/)
This one really caught my interest.  At a first glance to the untrained eye, the two charts make Bitcoin look like it is only good for the first 1050 blocks and then it becomes as good as fiat.

Interestingly, no matter what happens to fiat in the future Bitcoin is still going to make it on top of USD unless we really stop using it at all or something else happens such as cyber attacks that would render it useless to the eyes of most users.  While the purchasing power chart shows USD is becoming less and less worth due to inflation, the Bitcoin chart shows it is at an even faster pace becoming not less worth but the opposite of what USD is bound to become, which is a worthless piece of artifically inflated currency that is currently on CPR because only this way can it keep surviving.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Darker45 on June 28, 2025, 01:44:36 AM
A similar question (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5546001.0) was asked here just within the month. You might want to read the responses on that thread.

Anyway, for a similar answer, here's the movement of the value of the US dollar:

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/06/07/UXlKLP.png
https://charts.bitbo.io/dollar-devaluation/

And here's for Bitcoin's:

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/06/07/UXlbeq.png
https://charts.bitbo.io/dollar-devaluation/

We're not even speaking of other fiat currencies. The USD is a highly stable currency at that. So, compared to many others, that's already a good-looking chart. The rest have worse performance.

Bitcoin outperforms every single one of them. Of course, that's the logical outcome primarily because fiat is unlimited while Bitcoin has a fixed supply.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: odolvlobo on June 28, 2025, 02:07:33 AM
Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.

Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation because it has a fixed supply, or at least currently a supply growing less than the rate of inflation. In fact, most assets can be considered as hedges against inflation because their values are not dependent on the value of the currency. Debt is an example of something that is clearly not an inflation hedge.

A hedge is something that is not correlated (or at least not positively correlated), so price fluctuations are not relevant. What you are really asking is whether Bitcoin is a good hedge, considering it's volatility. In my opinion, if you are looking for something that is only a hedge, then Bitcoin is probably not the best. I think a better choice would be land or housing.



Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: DanWalker on June 28, 2025, 03:29:43 AM
Is Bitcoin a hedge against inflation? First, you need to understand what an inflation hedge is.
In my understanding, an inflation hedge is an asset/investment that has the potential to retain or increase in value over time and protects us from currency depreciation. From that concept, it can be asserted bitcoin is an inflation hedge.

But it's not the only hedge against inflation, and it's also worth noting that it's quite volatile in the short term, so whether it's the best solution will depend on the circumstances. It will be the best hedge against inflation if you can hold it for the long term.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: yhiaali3 on June 28, 2025, 04:04:57 AM
As is well known, Bitcoin is volatile and unstable. But looking at the price chart over the past period, we see that fluctuations have been confined to a very narrow range between $98-110K. These are not considered significant fluctuations in the long term.

Also if we look at Bitcoin's behavior during the successive crises that have plagued the global economy, we find that it has been among the most relatively stable assets (with only minor fluctuations).

Hedging against inflation should be measured over the long term (several years), and looking at Bitcoin's history, we find that it has had a single upward trend over the long term. Therefore, in my personal opinion, yes, Bitcoin can be considered a store of value and a hedge against inflation.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: michellee on June 28, 2025, 04:45:55 AM
With the situation now, I think Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation. That is because the price increase from low to high price start from the past untill now. If we invest in Bitcoin from a long time ago with just $1,000, our investment value will be bigger now.

While the things out there become expensive and make us difficult to buy it. But with Bitcoin in our hands, we can cashout our Bitcoin using small portion and we still have the big portion in our wallet. We can fills our needs without a problem because we can use our investment to do that.

That give profit to us as a long term investor in Bitcoin. It is why people now should start to have Bitcoin investment and use it for a long term investment. So that can useful for them in the future.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: hd49728 on June 28, 2025, 05:16:56 AM
Charts do say a lot really,
These show how inverse the both currencies have been over time and by far settles the argument on if Bitcoin could serve as a hedge against inflation or not. As it’s visually seen on these charts, it does happen over time which runs into years. Hence, everything comes down to what’s the plan you have for your Bitcoin investment in order to see it serve this purpose for you. Hodl for a long term and you’ll be proud of having taken such decision.
Fiat currencies and Bitcoin are all inflationary but Bitcoin has less considerable inflation than all fiat currencies globally. In addition, Bitcoin inflationare rate is halved after every 210,000 blocks or after about every four years while inflationary rates of fiat currencies only soar more dramatically with time.

This means time is an amazing factor that supports Bitcoin showing its strengths and win against hyperinflationary fiat currencies. The third chart shared above - Satoshi per dollar - shows how Satoshi purchasing power (also represents Bitcoin purchasing power) has been strongly increasing and beating fiat currencies.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: ranochigo on June 28, 2025, 05:50:54 AM
In theory, Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation because of the deflationary property. In fact, any assets that can outpace inflation would be a hedge against inflation; ie. Stocks, Precious Metals, etc. This would be assuming that the demand of the asset remains consistent.

In the past, Bitcoin has gotten quite a push for mainstream and institutional adoption. These are key factors pushing Bitcoin value and I wouldn’t use them as evidence for now. We should observe a longer timeframe before we can make a good evalution.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: joniboini on June 28, 2025, 06:48:05 AM
I've been collecting sats for the past few years, and I can say that the result is much better compared to saving that wealth in my bank savings account. Things will be different if the bear market hits, and I might lose a lot of wealth if I'm not prepared for it. But I can say that I'm satisfied with what Bitcoin does for me.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: BitGoba on June 28, 2025, 06:53:50 AM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?
I’d really appreciate hearing from long-term holders  how do you currently view Bitcoin in terms of financial stability?

Bitcoin is not a hedge against inflation  Bitcoin is the solution to inflation. It’s a completely new monetary system and a form of money in itself. If you follow the history of money, it evolved from Rai stones, glass beads, and whale teeth, to metals like gold and silver, then to banks and paper notes, and today’s digital fiat currencies. Bitcoin is the next step in that evolution.

Money was invented when people realized they needed a medium for exchange. If I have 100 kilos of apples and you have 10 kilos of fish, you might not want to accept 20 kilos of my apples for 1 kilo of your fish because you simply don’t need apples. Humanity needed something universal: a medium that everyone could trust and use to exchange value, and a reliable measure of value itself.

That’s why money also needs to be a store of value, so you can save it today and exchange it for goods or services you want in the future. These are the three functions of money: a store of value, a unit of account, and a medium of exchange.

In the Bitcoin system, there is no inflation  the supply is fixed, and over time, prices naturally fall. Bitcoin isn’t just another asset; it’s a monetary revolution.The problem throughout history was that we could never find anything in the physical world that was truly scarce, something that could reliably store value, that no one could simply “print” more of for themselves. It needed to be portable, divisible easy to verify, and durable  because if we chose apples to serve as money, they would quickly spoil. Gold was the closest we came to a solution.Gold was the closest we came to a solution, but it was never a perfect form of money. Some people exploited gold’s limitations to replace it with banks and paper money. Gold is difficult to transport, verify, and divide, which opened the door for trusted third parties to issue paper claims on gold  and eventually, to abandon the gold standard entirely. That’s how we ended up with today’s fiat money.

Bitcoin is a superior form of money  the first in history to possess all the key monetary properties: absolute scarcity, divisibility, durability, portability, and easy verifiability. For that reason, Bitcoin can fulfill all three functions of money something no previous form of money has ever achieved.




Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: EarnOnVictor on June 28, 2025, 07:08:54 AM
Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?
I’d really appreciate hearing from long-term holders  how do you currently view Bitcoin in terms of financial stability?
The scarce truth is that there is no certainty here, it all has to do with the prices and your goal. Where you bought your Bitcoin and the purpose for which you bought it matter.

However, with respect to the past, Bitcoin was a hedge against inflation, but the past performance can never be used to judge the future outcome, especially when Bitcoin is now very expensive. It's easier when Bitcoin was still very cheap. Can you tell what the price of Bitcoin will be in the next 5 years? What if you bought it at $110,000 in 2025 for a 5-year cover against inflation, and in 2028, it gets to $140,000, and for correction's sake, in 2030, when you need your money, it moves back to $80,000, before moving higher to $170,000 in 2032 (2 years after you liquidated it)?

So, for me, Bitcoin is a very good asset, but as it moves higher in price, so is the risk and the reduced extent of trusting it as a hedge against inflation. For this, it's better for you to buy your Bitcoin as an asset without planning to hedge inflation and continue to HODL it.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: reagansimms on June 28, 2025, 07:09:27 AM
High volatility often makes some people hesitate to consider Bitcoin as a safe haven against inflation. There are actually some very strong reasons why Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation, its fixed supply (21 million coins), decentralization and strong perception of value, so it is no wonder why most people consider Bitcoin to be digital gold.
Bitcoin also has unlimited potential for future value growth, its value has continued to soar in recent years, demonstrating Bitcoin's greater resilience compared to other traditional assets. Although Bitcoin's price can also be influenced by other factors in the global financial market, in the long term Bitcoin has shown strong resilience and continued growth by breaking previous ATH.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Marvell1 on June 28, 2025, 08:10:10 AM
High volatility often makes some people hesitate to consider Bitcoin as a safe haven against inflation. There are actually some very strong reasons why Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation, its fixed supply (21 million coins), decentralization and strong perception of value, so it is no wonder why most people consider Bitcoin to be digital gold.


A safe haven is a hedge against inflation, but an asset that is considered an inflation hedge is not necessarily a safe haven. They are different.

Any asset that can increase in value over time can be called an inflation hedge, which is why even stocks are classified as inflation hedges, not just gold, real estate...But safe havens need to be stable, especially to ensure value during times of economic instability, war, geopolitics. That is why many people still do not consider bitcoin as a safe haven, it is always dumped whenever there is instability.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Synchronice on June 28, 2025, 09:39:08 AM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?
I’d really appreciate hearing from long-term holders  how do you currently view Bitcoin in terms of financial stability?
Did you have a look at charts? If you really look at Bitcoin's charts and check where it started and where it's now (I mean the price), you'll see that it's clearly a hedge against inflation. If you have lots of cash or fiat on hand and don't plan to use them, simply buy Bitcoins and let it do its job. Yes, it's volatile but long-term, it's a good option. If you want to save money into Bitcoins for 1-2 months and then convert back into cash, then the volatility might bring you loss but long-term, i.e. 1 year, 2 years and so on, Bitcoin is a very good hedge against inflation.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: fuguebtc on June 28, 2025, 11:17:05 AM

Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?


Any asset that increases in value over time relative to fiat currency can be considered a hedge against inflation, and bitcoin is one of them. But bitcoin is a volatile asset in the short term like stocks…so it is more suitable for long-term inflation hedging than short-term hedging.

So if you want to use bitcoin as an inflation hedge, make sure you hold it for the long term . If you are  looking for a short term solution, bitcoin is not suitable and is not the solution.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: peter0425 on June 28, 2025, 12:52:14 PM
This chart answers your question:


https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/06/20/UuPvdm.jpeg


On the chart, did you notice that bitcoin highest price is not more than $100000, but bitcoin is still more than $100000 as of today.

If you do not want to sell bitcoin in long term, it is a hedge against inflation.
Bitcoin is almost guaranteed to have its value appreciated over time because of its scarcity. As the demand goes up and the supply goes down, the price rises as a result and this is why it is considered a hedge against inflation compared to fiat where it will surely experience inflation because it does not have a limit and the central bank will continue to issue more money.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Rockstarguy on June 28, 2025, 01:13:08 PM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
Now that interest rates are rising globally and liquidity is tightening, is Bitcoin still considered a dependable store of value, or is it more of a high-risk asset?
I’d really appreciate hearing from long-term holders  how do you currently view Bitcoin in terms of financial stability?
One thing you need to understand about bitcoin is that it is a volatile asset, and you need to consider it as a long-term investment. Bitcoin is a good store of value only if you can hodl it for a long time. If the investment is a long-term investment, there is a guarantee of making a good profit in bitcoin. If you really want to understand how bitcoin is a store of value, you can do your research and check the price of bitcoin over the years. You can compare the price of bitcoin with fiat and other assets since bitcoin was created; you would see the difference and the reason why bitcoin is considered a good store of value.

Understand the value of bitcoin from previous years. The volatility of bitcoin doesn't make it a less valuable asset. The way volatility plays a role in the decrease of the price of bitcoin is the same way it increases the price of bitcoin.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Mahiyammahi on June 28, 2025, 02:47:05 PM
Indeed the way US money supply increasing and the inflation increasing you would findout that only bitcoin and gold is there for save you from all these mess. If you watch closely you will see that bitcoin supply is limited while our money is being printed each and every day .

 There was a similar thread , and I've answered this question previously you can check thread along with my answer I'm sharing this with you below.

Snip
I've previously shared this chart on another topic maybe. How M2 Money supply is increasing day by day.
https://talkimg.com/images/2025/05/08/UUTX5C.png


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Z-tight on June 28, 2025, 03:32:53 PM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
You seem to be worried about BTC's volatility, nobody is going to deny that BTC is volatile, but in its volatility it obviously beats inflation. I don't know what country you live, but imagine holding your country's fiat or BTC for the last decade, it is obvious which of them lost its purchasing power and which outpaced inflation. If it is BTC's volatility that worries you, and you'd prefer assets that beat inflation, but are not so volatile, then you can buy gold.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: retreat on June 28, 2025, 05:21:47 PM
I've been trying to understand Bitcoin’s role in today’s economy. Many people describe it as a hedge against inflation, but with its frequent price fluctuations, I sometimes wonder how reliable that claim is.
-snip-

Just look at the price movement of Bitcoin from 2016 to 2025, and compare it to the global inflation rate from that year to now, you will be able to see that Bitcoin is rightly called a hedge against inflation. Don't look at it in the short term, because Bitcoin's price in the short term tends to fluctuate, but you have to look at it in the longer term, and only then can you see that Bitcoin is the best asset as a hedge until now.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Despairo on June 28, 2025, 05:29:27 PM
I think this might be the third thread I read Bitcoin hedge against inflation in this year, it just surprising how popular Bitcoin now and people can see the all time chart, but still asking whether Bitcoin really able to hedge against inflation or not.

Bitcoin is no longer a highly volatile asset, now the volatility is medium, it won't down or up too high like in the past.

With such medium volatility, it should able to make newbie or Average Joe feel safer with the volatility.


Title: Re: is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?
Post by: Kagaru on June 28, 2025, 06:15:00 PM
I think this might be the third thread I read Bitcoin hedge against inflation in this year, it just surprising how popular Bitcoin now and people can see the all time chart, but still asking whether Bitcoin really able to hedge against inflation or not.

Bitcoin is no longer a highly volatile asset, now the volatility is medium, it won't down or up too high like in the past.

With such medium volatility, it should able to make newbie or Average Joe feel safer with the volatility.
I have noticed that also. Bitcoin has evolved to a long way, it is not wildly swinging as it would some time back. The hedge against inflation subject never fails to appear unless people are willing to have a single answer but it is not black and white. It is contingent upon the time you purchased and what period of time you are holding. Bitcoin has proven strong long term and short term it can still be volatile. I concur that with decreased volatility at present, more individuals will be willing to get in. It is increasingly turning into a real property rather than a crazy hoopla.