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I’m pretty active in football betting and would like to hear your thoughts on which soccer leagues you find the most predictable and the most unpredictable when it comes to betting.

There are so many leagues out there, and some seem to have patterns that make them easier to predict.

For example, in my experience Turkish Super Lig and Portuguese Primeira Liga are a bit more predictable compared to ^{let's say} Premier League or La Liga, which often feel more volatile.

So, I’m asking community:

1)Which leagues do you find the most predictable in terms of match outcomes?

2)And which leagues are the most unpredictable, where you can’t always rely on teams' form or stats?

yeah imo it is safer gambling if you go for J League & Eliteserien cause these has more statistical  smoothness than others.. however do you wanna say the unpredictable scenery of Premier League?  No,, do you wanna know the truth? it is  wild competition & unexpected streaks which made the Premiership & the English 2nd division championship even more exciting.  However dominance is the cause of even major tests like Bundesliga or La Liga to sort out into a rhythm which makes them easier to model rather than necessarily boring.  so  choose Scandinavia or Japan for predictability &  stay with Championship or SPL if you wanna volatility & value.

So firstly, I would say what I've been working for me.


In soccer, I believe the English Premier and La Liga can be more predictable for me because I watched them the most. When you watch a league back to back, you will know teams that are better to bet on. So it doesn't matter the league, what matters is what league you watch the most.



Unpopular leagues are the most unpredictable. The reason is because I am not familiar with those teams.

This is a dynamic process plus a subjective assessment. For example, if you bet on favorites, then in recent years Serie A has been the most unpredictable since the entire top group of teams often lost points (the percentage of points scored for top teams was lower than in other championships). If we are talking about bets on average teams and games between them, then it seems to me that the situation is similar everywhere.
For me now the most predictable league (top teams) is La Liga, then the Premier League, then Serie A, then the Bundesliga.

Before I talk about soccer leagues that are predictable, i will want to state it categorically that football generally are unpredictable, infact the game of sports is never predictable then if we want to talk about league they ones that's likely or will I say slightly predicted, then it should be the Norway major league but in terms of betting on them, a bettor must have to bet on goals here even the so Bodo Glimt and Rosenborg and some other teams that are good there mess up sometimes, for me I prefer being them on goals, German bundesliga on goals too, the English premier league of before can can actually go the way you said it but as for the recent happenings, it is difficult to predict, you no what I mean.

Exactly because is pretty obvious that game of football is always unpredictable, that is the main reason why luck plays a significant role in determining the final outcome. Even though, most of this leagues that we are having trust on normally end up against our predictions, that is why we need to understand that nothing is satting in the game of football. However, it is only when you predict it correctly that is seems quite predictable for you without that is totally unpredictable.

I agree with this. I usually bet on the Turkish league and the Portuguese league. Selecting a winner might be difficult, but if you go for goals, it will most likely be accurate. I usually go for over 2.5 goals or both teams to score. I also use this option for the German and Netherlands leagues because they usually score a lot of goals.

Aside from the EPL and La Liga, the French league is a very difficult league to predict. They can decide not to score goals or the favourite team might lose or draw. The Serie A is like that too, but the French league is more difficult.
Aside from some teams like Barcelona, Liverpool, Madrid, Man City, and PSG that usually win and/or score goals, the EPL, La Liga and Ligue 1 are difficult to predict.

My question which team you bet on Turkish and Portuguese league? if you only bet on Galatasaray, Benfica, FC Porto, and Sporting Lisbon, it's like you always bet PSG on Ligue 1, so predictable.

For me, Premier League is more predictable than other league, sometime upset could happen, but it's not often to happen.

In Premier League, as we know Manchester United looks bad recently, even they met smaller team, the small team might win.

In my opinion, every soccer League is very predictable but it depends on the bettors dedication in watching and keeping records of the different fixtures of that team because you can easily predict a league if you have been so familiar with the teams and how they play. As for me, the league is bet on and predict more often is Italian League (Serie A), English Premier and La Liga. If am dedicated to watching others always, I will definitely be predicting them easily too.

Every football league is predictable, the thing is you cant predict with certainty on the outcome. The same period you bet on certain league and lost, many people had bet on those leagues and won. You feel me. I understand your points here and you never can tell, how others see other league, especially the Norway major league you mentioned, I hardly select games from there.

So far i was stick to the major leagues in Europa such as Premier league, LAliga, Serie A and sometimes Bundesliga or Ligue 1 france but not all the games were predictable because there was a time the outcomes will return to unexpected and in my opinion the knowledges of sport betting is not hard to learned especially if you are soccer fans because i am sure you will always be following the development of your favourite clubs but speaking about which league actually hard to predicted i think there are many league games that i can't predict usually it the leagues from small countries who less of popular without star players on their clubs

No leagues are completely predictable, football is full of surprises...even the league that you find predictable might end up with an outcome that you don't expect..personally, I think the most unpredictable league In soccer is the Epl, it's really hard to predict the outcome of these matches most times...looking at chelsea's first game as an example, most bettors predicted the outcome to be over 1.5 goals or Chelsea to win due to the fact that they have made some changes and are currently in form but the opposite of that happened

The Championship, Premier League, and LaLiga are quite difficult to predict, even if you bet on a mid-table team, but betting on a big team is more likely to win, so it's easier to predict.

The most difficult leagues to predict are the Champions League and the Championship.
I don't know why, but because they rarely win in these matches, especially the Championship, maybe because I rarely watch them, even if I choose my favorite team, they can still lose.

You read my mind, hahahaha
A few years ago, I asked myself the same question and got really into Portuguese soccer. Not only is it cool and they speak the same language as me, but I also found good patterns for making good profits on my bets

I really like Portuguese soccer because the top three teams win A LOT. I believe that the top three only lose about six or seven games per season, combined
Sporting, Benfica and Porto

The most difficult for me so far is Brazilian soccer
It's extremely difficult to bet on, full of surprising results and fierce competition where, at the beginning of each season, there are at least 10 teams that are contenders for the title  :o

I want to follow the other answers  :)

You're right, and if someone likes football, all the leagues you mentioned shouldn't be difficult to predict. However, it all depends on luck. As we know, no one can win consistently in football betting. However, winning is always possible, even if it sometimes doesn't work out, especially when betting on top teams playing against lower-ranked teams. However, if we bet consistently, the wins will outweigh the losses. It all depends on how well we research the teams we choose.
And of course, the same goes for me, and I find it difficult to predict lesser-known leagues or teams, and I don't know their track record or development. And I would never bet on a team or league I'm unfamiliar with.

In my experience, Bundesliga is more predictable than any other leagues. They are high scoring, mostly both teams scoring and with aggressive gameplay, there are often multiple goal lead between the strong and weak team so very low chance of a draw.
La Liga on the other hand is very slow in matter of goals. Even the good teams could play a 0-0 or 1-1 draw against a weak team often so I feel its the bad league to bet on.
On the other hand, Premier league stands somewhere in middle, it's fun, good scoring, predictable results but not as predictable as bundesliga. But again we know predictable games would have lower odds, its where premier league comes with its balancing act.

The league you should be betting on, should be the league you watch the most because you'll be able to observe some patterns in the league you watch the most that will make it more predictable to you. When you try betting on a new league that you do not watch their games, you may think that doing a research before betting may be enough to help you choose, but it is sometimes not still enough.

The best chance to increase your winning potential in soccer leagues is to bet on the league you watch the most.

For me I think I will rearrange the league and put Premier League on the top, in Laliga there are very few games which you will have as unpredictable I will take out the top clubs like Real Madrid and Barcelona because almost all the games they play they have 80% plus chance of winning. Then the unpredictability was supposed to be coming from the mid table teams and even at that you have the team in form always favoured to score, and of recent the games are usually under 3 unlike in the past when there is a free scoring games. As for the premier league, you definitely know that a Crystal palace at position below 10 will turn up and win against top opposition easily, same with the clubs in the mid table you hardly get clearer favourite and betting on goals are even hard because some games are either low on goals or many are high on goals.


This is exactly what I have been looking to read, I have also been taking notes of how freely they score goals in the Bundesliga that it hardly has games which ends with a team keeping clean sheet, it is usually a high scoring games, I even noticed that odds for over 2 is now even lowered by bookmarkers because of it’s predictability. I definitely put Bundesliga high as one of the most predictable leagues.

Then there is the some other country leagues for example African leagues, they are easy to predict because in all most all games the home team is always the favourite to win

It actually depends on what exactly you are looking for. If you want a game that's far easier compared to some others to predict, I'll Go with English leagues and German leagues. The only thing is some times the odds can be very small which compensates for the high chances of the game playing out.
However, on the other hand if you are looking for bigger odds kinda like a jackpot other leagues that are not too popular are a better choice. The only thing is the chances of winning are way thinner.

For me the most unpredictable is EPL and worse of is that they come with low odds and mess your bet up. Teams like Manchester united can really give you night mare. Then Seria A can also unpredictable.

But those unpopular leagues are favorite for me like Asian league and leagues that are not topflight, like division. I prefer to go for goals on these predictable leagues on goals.

Honestly no league is very easy to bet and win but in other words there are some that we no much about and for me I think the league I see that way is the premier League because back in those days I have been most into premier League and it has become the most important league for me, I also love other leagues but premier League was the first I started with so that is the one I could say is also taking as an option, I'm surprised alot of people are usually afraid of the premier League do to there believe  of complexity than other leagues but however another league that is outside the European league that is hard to predict is Saudi Arabia because apart from the top you can hardly no the reliable clubs from the middle.

For me, the most predictable leagues are Portugal and Scotland, since the big clubs almost always get the job done against smaller teams. Turkey can also be quite reliable, especially when favorites play at home.

On the other hand, the Premier League is a real headache  anyone can beat anyone. La Liga can be tricky in the mid-table matches, while the Eredivisie is wild with goals and frequent surprises.

I think almost all top European leagues have difficulties in predicting match results. But if we pay attention to certain clubs, Ligue 1 and the Bundesliga are quite easy to predict.
Looking at last season's reference, Serie A, which I think is the hardest to predict, and often delivers surprises. I lost many bets when betting on Serie A matches last season. This new season will certainly have a different situation.

My thoughts on this are actually the opposite of what you said, it's easier to predict that portuguese and Turkish league more than the premier league. Although every league has their down sides but the premier league in particular has too many things that always goes wrong. You made mention of Manchester united, we all know that they are weak and vulnerable at the moment but don't be surprised that they might not let a small team beat them when you expect it

I don't think there are unpredictable and predictable league, what just happened is that we aren't that careful while making predictions or choices of games. Most times the clubs or team maybe lets say league you thoughts about could be that easier and predictable but since you aren't that Open and careful on your choices of action it makes it that too difficult to have winning in that league. So, all especially ( EPL)premier League and laliga are the most common leagues that are easily predictable just as you said.

If we are here talking about predictions for the soccer league and who often win and the easiest to guess from my experience there are three leagues that I often bet and get coffers.
1. Premier League League/English.
My experience is not difficult to determine the winning scores for clubs such as Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City and others.
2. Serie A/Italian League.
This is the same as above, Inter, AC Milan, Juventus, Napoli and others are also the easiest to predict my experience in soccer betting.
3. LaLiga/Spain.
Real Madrid, Barcelona, ​​and others are also the easiest club to be grounded.

Well, this is the most chaotic league that often makes me upset and the league often makes my wallet drained.
1. Saudi Arabian League, I really gave up on betting for this one league.
2. Indian Super League, I don't want to deal with, it's hard for me to predict the Indian Super League club.
3. And one more thing that makes me dizzy around, namely the Turkish League.

Every bettor definitely follows several favorite teams in each league. Bettors will not place bets on all matches available in every league, but it is quite possible to choose the favored teams.
The easiest league for me to predict is the French Ligue 1, where throughout the season, we can see the performance of the dominating teams.
Meanwhile, the league that is the hardest for me to predict is the EPL. Very strong teams can also be surprised by teams that are not favored. Although this is common in all leagues, the EPL last season produced many results that were beyond predictions, such as MU and Tottenham, which performed very poorly.

While many results are similar from season to season, we can't rely on them being immutable or already determined. Don't forget the underdogs' odds of winning. No league can be considered predictable; the best thing to do is analyze and bet based on current information.

The English Premier League and La Liga are the most unpredictable. Small teams sometimes pull surprises by beating bigger sides. Clubs like Manchester City, Liverpool and other top clubs usually lose to small teams.   

The French league is highly predictable. You would always know that PSG will defeat almost all the clubs in the Ligue 1. The Bundesliga once had One winner over 10 years. It is easy to predict that Bayern will win games.

I'd question your belief that the majority league is more volatile than lesser known leagues, at least when it comes to the odds that are available to bet on. The wisdom of the crowd and the most data analysis will be happening on the Premier League, as there is a lot more money at stake if the bookmaker gets it wrong. People are much more likely to bet on the Premier league because it's more well known, has higher profile players and is generally more trusted. When you think about things like match fixing, it is much more likely to happen in lower leagues where the salary is less and there is more room for collusion. Have you actually done any statistical analysis to compare the outcomes or just basing this on a hunch?

English premier league is an unpredictable league that gives room for unbelievable things at all time without giving chance for supremacy when it comes to  big team playing against small teams. In England premier league drawing conclusion on any teams to win is very difficult  one because all teams play with curiosity and vision to make memories at all time and never give room for accuracy in predictions. For example, who could predict Tottenham to win Manchester city even with such margin or even Manchester united to draw against Grimsby town but it happened which was never expected by any body. As for predictability, Scotland  at times is easy to predict because of there supremacy level at all times, only the big teams dominate no matter the season.

For predictions in sports, there is not a single factor that makes it accurate, rather, there are numerous elements, and even one change can affect the entire outcome. To assess team performance, check their recent results, and before placing a bet, observe the players' performances individually, as sometimes sudden player injuries can create obstacles. For me, the German Bundesliga is easier to predict because the teams are often dominant, while the Turkish Super Lig is harder to predict due to the emotions and the influence of the crowd, which can change their performance and make it more difficult to forecast.

I think the higher/prestigious the league/competition, the more predictable the match.

Avoid to bet in near end season when it's already clear which team become the champion and which team will relegated. They high likely will not play serious because it doesn't change the results.

Also, betting on small competition is risky, let's say you know Premier League teams are strong, but they might use their second squad in small competition and it's quite unpredictable.

Regarding Galatasaray, Benfica, FC Porto, and Sporting Lisbon, you're right as I always bet on them. However, whenever I bet on PSG, they always lose. ;D


The teams in the Premier League are more evenly matched, making it harder to make the correct call ^{at least from my perspective}.


Agreed.

As for me, I have always found the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, and Serie A to be the most predictable. The reason why it always works out for me is that, in all these leagues I mentioned, I regularly watch most of their matches. So, when it comes to doing some analysis, I always find it much easier than with other leagues.

In fact, I would say someone can only find matches easier to predict if they consistently watch the games. Watching is what helps someone understand the kind of form certain teams are in. When trying to make predictions, it's not always about what people are saying it's about what you've seen for yourself.

On the other hand, the leagues I find most unpredictable are the ones I don't watch their matches  and Whenever I try to predict matches from those leagues, I always end up with poor results. Even if I manage to predict correctly, the outcome usually turns out badly in the end.