Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: JaanusRaim on August 30, 2025, 10:13:01 PM



Title: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: JaanusRaim on August 30, 2025, 10:13:01 PM
There is quite interesting coincidence in Bitcoin price history: the large amount (at least quarter) of 2010 year BTCs had bought at price 0.05 usd, 2012 year 5 usd and 2014 year 500 usd. 100-fold difference between both 2012 versus 2010 and 2014 versus 2012.
If such speed had continued, the BTC price would be 500 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 = 5 000 000 000 000 in 2024  :) 


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: Free Market Capitalist on August 31, 2025, 04:42:08 AM
As I often say on these matters, patterns are not objective facts but rather mental reconstructions that we make, sometimes unconsciously, to understand reality. Now you have seen a supposed pattern that obviously did not continue because there is not enough money in the world to follow that progression. Curious, yes, but it tells us nothing about price behavior over more than a decade.


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: adaseb on August 31, 2025, 06:13:43 AM
You are forgetting about market cap. What was the market cap of bitcoin when it was 5 cents? What was it at $5 or $50 or $500.

The limit is 21 million and earlier on there were less coins. So the market cap was extremely small.

How we are at $100,000 and we got almost 20 million, that is a market cap of $2T. So to go from $2T to $20T is not possible. At 5 cents market cap it was miniscule.

The cycles are becoming smaller and smaller in terms of price. This is why I keep telling people that its too late to get rich off Bitcoin.


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: SmartGold01 on August 31, 2025, 07:49:59 AM
This can't be possible because we can't think such and it comes to implementation, we could have some desires and thoughts towards how we see things without considering the market structure across the globe. Again, what is the amount of money in the world and Bitcoin has gained much popularity to have gotten such attention on price increments, even though we think that anything is possible but it would be better for the price to gradually increase and thus, can not dispute the power and principles of trading. What, the price aren't subjected, subjective to how we feels, is as a result of its principles cannot be changed and  it's coined, tied to up/down movement which each laws can not be broken.
So do not have a dream that can never come into reality.


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: DanWalker on August 31, 2025, 08:47:26 AM
One mistake that not only newbies but also many long-time investors make when predicting the price of bitcoin is that they only look at its price. They think that bitcoin will be able to maintain its exponential growth formula over time and will give them huge profits even if they buy it for over $100k. They have overlooked one important factor, which is market capitalization, and that is why there are some overly optimistic predictions that bitcoin will hit $1 million before the end of this decade (2030).

How to reach 20 trillion market capitalization in the next five years? Where will we get that much money?


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: AVE5 on August 31, 2025, 11:17:31 AM
There is quite interesting coincidence in Bitcoin price history: the large amount (at least quarter) of 2010 year BTCs had bought at price 0.05 usd, 2012 year 5 usd and 2014 year 500 usd. 100-fold difference between both 2012 versus 2010 and 2014 versus 2012.
If such speed had continued, the BTC price would be 500 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 = 5 000 000 000 000 in 2024  :) 

There is quite interesting coincidence in Bitcoin price history: the large amount (at least quarter) of 2010 year BTCs had bought at price 0.05 usd, 2012 year 5 usd and 2014 year 500 usd. 100-fold difference between both 2012 versus 2010 and 2014 versus 2012.
If such speed had continued, the BTC price would be 500 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 x 100 = 5 000 000 000 000 in 2024  :) 

Nothing has changed in the volatility of bitcoin market and so based on coin market cap and price histories, the value of bitcoin has increased rapidly in matter of time. Investors who bought bitcoin from that earlier times of 2010 to 2014 can't categorically state it that bitcoin market showed more bullish momentum then than now.
In the interval of 4 years (2010-2014), the market has acquired Ath of $1,163 which occured in 2013 and the next 4 years, the price acquired an approximate $20,000 in 2017.
So on and so forth, as the year goes by, the price fluctuates within it up and down trends but certainly, there're accountability with certainty that the price will always increase in the long time as long there're demands and buyers. Now that institution and governments are becoming interesting to invest and also hold bitcoin for reserve, it has given the market more potential influence to encouraging more bullishness and consolidates volatility which has boiled to the $124,000 Ath we've achieved so far in the just third quarter of 2025 and we're still anticipating for more Ath before the year elapse. So you need to understand that the bitcoin price determinant to profer price increase is based on long time and that's why investors who want to make good profits have to hold patiently for a long time.


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: Solosanz on August 31, 2025, 06:45:12 PM
Wealth is limited, that's the most important thing you should know.

But it doesn't mean if wealth is unlimited Bitcoin price will be so high, well it would make money become useless and not valuable anymore.

Bitcoin is getting closer to be the top assets with highest marketcap, now Bitcoin on top 10, which mean you can't expect a huge multipliers anymore because most people already invest in Bitcoin.


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: JaanusRaim on September 03, 2025, 10:47:50 PM
from 500 to 50 000 took 10 years
from 50 000 to 5 000 000 will take 200 years :)


Title: Re: 0.05 usd (2010), 5 usd (2012), 500 usd (2014)
Post by: LGD2Business on September 03, 2025, 11:32:17 PM
The profit curve for a newly emerging and unproven product would look exactly like this. First, a rising momentum, then a settled price. It's no different with Bitcoin. Yes, you may have missed the initial crazy rises, but Bitcoin has now proven itself and is becoming a safer investment vehicle. Those who took risks in the early days had to consider the risk of losing their entire investment. There is no such situation at the moment. Bitcoin will not suddenly drop to zero tomorrow.