Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: David Latapie on April 13, 2014, 06:58:55 PM



Title: Kelly criterion ELI5 (request)
Post by: David Latapie on April 13, 2014, 06:58:55 PM
I don't understand how to apply Kelly Criterion (I am bad at math). Could someone explain how to apply it to Bitcoin. Thanks.


Title: Re: Kelly criterion ELI5 (request)
Post by: jonald_fyookball on April 14, 2014, 01:38:13 AM
I don't understand how to apply Kelly Criterion (I am bad at math). Could someone explain how to apply it to Bitcoin. Thanks.

Well if you were day trading for example, you could use it to find the amount you should be risking on each trade.  For example, if you are buying coins at 400, and closing the trade when price hits 420 or 380 (a 5% move) and you figure it's a 50/50 probability...and your total bankroll is $10000, you can plug those numbers in and it will tell you how much to buy.  It's a money management formula.