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Title: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: thresher on April 17, 2014, 10:46:12 AM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around.
I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Massimo80 on April 17, 2014, 03:20:34 PM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around. I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? First of all, keep in mind that this is only a rough estimation of currently known company assets; a real inventory has yet to begin, and there is a very good chance it will uncover something that has been hidden and/or not disclosed. Anyway, equipment (such as servers, office furniture, etc.) accounts for very little in a financial company which only operated online; the real money was (is?) in Bitcoin wallets and bank accounts. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: thresher on April 17, 2014, 06:46:31 PM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around. I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? First of all, keep in mind that this is only a rough estimation of currently known company assets; a real inventory has yet to begin, and there is a very good chance it will uncover something that has been hidden and/or not disclosed. Anyway, equipment (such as servers, office furniture, etc.) accounts for very little in a financial company which only operated online; the real money was (is?) in Bitcoin wallets and bank accounts. Thanks for clearing that up a bit. I have no idea what kind of hardware they have or would need at an exchange like gox. I just sort of assumed that they have to have some expensive equipment or property. Also the 200k btc, doesn't include bank account amounts, so... Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Keyser Soze on April 17, 2014, 06:55:56 PM 20% is most likely a rough estimate of the current bank balances plus current value of bitcoin holdings divided by amounts owed. Hopefully there will be more concrete information available as the bankruptcy proceedings continue.
Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Nagle on April 17, 2014, 07:01:32 PM Thanks for clearing that up a bit. I have no idea what kind of hardware they have or would need at an exchange like gox. I just sort of assumed that they have to have some expensive equipment or property. No, all they had was leased office space and leased server space. Mt. Gox was mostly on Amazon AWS. However, I suspect that with Karpeles out, a bankruptcy trustee in charge, outside experts being brought in, and the Tokyo police investigating, more money and Bitcoins will turn up. With a list of all Mt. Gox wallets, the Mt. Gox customer list, and the Bitcoin block chain, everything on the Bitcoin side should be traceable. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Massimo80 on April 17, 2014, 07:12:31 PM Mt. Gox was mostly on Amazon AWS. A financial trading system running on cloud servers?!? :o They must have been really crazy... Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: thresher on April 17, 2014, 07:55:06 PM Thanks for clearing that up a bit. I have no idea what kind of hardware they have or would need at an exchange like gox. I just sort of assumed that they have to have some expensive equipment or property. No, all they had was leased office space and leased server space. Mt. Gox was mostly on Amazon AWS. However, I suspect that with Karpeles out, a bankruptcy trustee in charge, outside experts being brought in, and the Tokyo police investigating, more money and Bitcoins will turn up. With a list of all Mt. Gox wallets, the Mt. Gox customer list, and the Bitcoin block chain, everything on the Bitcoin side should be traceable. Cool: good news. Mt. Gox was mostly on Amazon AWS. A financial trading system running on cloud servers?!? :o They must have been really crazy... To my knowledge Prudential runs on cloud servers ;) Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Massimo80 on April 17, 2014, 08:52:32 PM To my knowledge Prudential runs on cloud servers ;) Maybe you can run some web servers there, but having your back-end systems on AWS... :o The customer database, the trading engine, the accounting data, the wallets... those are definitely things no sane person would allow outside their own physical datacenter. If they were really running everything on cloud services, that's a whole new level of crazyness. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Nagle on April 17, 2014, 09:43:23 PM If they were really running everything on cloud services, that's a whole new level of crazyness. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Massimo80 on April 18, 2014, 02:37:16 AM Their static web pages were (and still are) hosted on Akamai. Don't know about the trading engine. Gox only averaged about 2 transactions a minute, so the trading engine didn't really do all that much work. I'm quite more concerned about security than performance. Financial data isn't something any sane person would store and process on cloud servers. But again, it's Mt.Gox we're talking about... :-\ Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: bryant.coleman on April 18, 2014, 07:26:58 AM In optimal scenario this will be what the Mt Gox users getting:
Mt Gox lost a total of 650,000 customer's coins and 200,000 Gox coins. Total 850,000 coins or equivalent to $500 million at that time. They recovered some 200k coins, and if they are auctioned, it can raise some $76 million. (Right now the market rate is $480. I am calculating a very conservative discount of $100 for the auctioned coins, with auction prices at $380 per coin). So for every 1 BTC lost by the customer, he will get back $89. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: thresher on April 18, 2014, 12:47:55 PM In optimal scenario this will be what the Mt Gox users getting: Mt Gox lost a total of 650,000 customer's coins and 200,000 Gox coins. Total 850,000 coins or equivalent to $500 million at that time. They recovered some 200k coins, and if they are auctioned, it can raise some $76 million. (Right now the market rate is $480. I am calculating a very conservative discount of $100 for the auctioned coins, with auction prices at $380 per coin). So for every 1 BTC lost by the customer, he will get back $89. Wow, those numbers are absolute garbage; here I was thinking they would pay people in bitcoin. You just have to love how the law actually works. It is almost as if it was decided what is the best way to further fuck people out of their bitcoin :) Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: edmundedgar on April 18, 2014, 11:48:20 PM In optimal scenario this will be what the Mt Gox users getting: Mt Gox lost a total of 650,000 customer's coins and 200,000 Gox coins. Total 850,000 coins or equivalent to $500 million at that time. They recovered some 200k coins, and if they are auctioned, it can raise some $76 million. (Right now the market rate is $480. I am calculating a very conservative discount of $100 for the auctioned coins, with auction prices at $380 per coin). So for every 1 BTC lost by the customer, he will get back $89. Wow, those numbers are absolute garbage; here I was thinking they would pay people in bitcoin. You just have to love how the law actually works. It is almost as if it was decided what is the best way to further fuck people out of their bitcoin :) FWIW it's not at all clear that the law requires the liquidator would sell off the bitcoins and compensate people in yen, or that that's what the liquidator would want to do. This is just something people are pulling out of their arses, especially the "savegox" people who are trying to make some money out of the situation. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Nagle on April 19, 2014, 07:07:07 AM FWIW it's not at all clear that the law requires the liquidator would sell off the bitcoins and compensate people in yen, or that that's what the liquidator would want to do. This is just something people are pulling out of their arses, especially the "savegox" people who are trying to make some money out of the situation. Right. The creditors do share in the assets equally, though, and some Bitcoins may have to be converted to dollars to pay off people owed dollars. So a price has to be fixed for conversion purposes. That will probably be the market price of Bitcoin as of the date the bankruptcy commenced.One of the big questions that people on here haven't been asking is "where did the customer's dollars go?" That should be answerable from bank records, all of which are now accessible by the bankruptcy trustee. There should be a preliminary accounting soon, a real one, not a Mark Karpeles fantasy. Very likely there will be a "clawback" phase, during which the trustee claws back monies transferred improperly to other parties. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: fulepp on April 19, 2014, 11:36:49 AM FWIW it's not at all clear that the law requires the liquidator would sell off the bitcoins and compensate people in yen, or that that's what the liquidator would want to do. This is just something people are pulling out of their arses, especially the "savegox" people who are trying to make some money out of the situation. Right. The creditors do share in the assets equally, though, and some Bitcoins may have to be converted to dollars to pay off people owed dollars. So a price has to be fixed for conversion purposes. That will probably be the market price of Bitcoin as of the date the bankruptcy commenced.One of the big questions that people on here haven't been asking is "where did the customer's dollars go?" That should be answerable from bank records, all of which are now accessible by the bankruptcy trustee. There should be a preliminary accounting soon, a real one, not a Mark Karpeles fantasy. Very likely there will be a "clawback" phase, during which the trustee claws back monies transferred improperly to other parties. This is a good question. Everyone talks about how btc can be recovered but everyone seems skip the fact they handled usd and euros. Where is the fiat? Obviously they should have much more than the 200 k btc... Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: BitCoinNutJob on April 19, 2014, 11:39:29 AM In optimal scenario this will be what the Mt Gox users getting: Mt Gox lost a total of 650,000 customer's coins and 200,000 Gox coins. Total 850,000 coins or equivalent to $500 million at that time. They recovered some 200k coins, and if they are auctioned, it can raise some $76 million. (Right now the market rate is $480. I am calculating a very conservative discount of $100 for the auctioned coins, with auction prices at $380 per coin). So for every 1 BTC lost by the customer, he will get back $89. i hear courts might pay back in BTC Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: bryant.coleman on April 20, 2014, 08:20:22 AM I hear courts might pay back in BTC Can you give me the original source (doesn't matter whatever language it is in). If this can be verified, then it is really good news. (Not as good as the users getting all their coins back, but still it is excellent news). Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: kooke on April 21, 2014, 05:06:51 AM All the articles I've read so far predict that gox users may not get anything. It's hard to say though, as there's not really much information available yet.
Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Nagle on April 21, 2014, 05:22:42 AM All the articles I've read so far predict that gox users may not get anything. It's hard to say though, as there's not really much information available yet. No, liquidation should result in a payout. Now that Karpeles has been fired, he can't make it worse.Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: bryant.coleman on April 21, 2014, 11:40:26 AM All the articles I've read so far predict that gox users may not get anything. It's hard to say though, as there's not really much information available yet. I have also read such articles. The reason they are saying is that any fiat recovery from the sale of the newly found Gox coins (BTC 200K) will be used to payoff its fiat debts first, which amounts to some $60 million. But I have also seen some posts claiming that the fiat debts owned by Mt Gox only adds up to $6.5 million. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: freedombit on April 25, 2014, 07:35:05 AM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around. I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? Where do you get that 200k is 20% of the Bitcoins that MtGox had? Is it the same source that claimed to loose 850k Bitcoin due to a malleability bug? Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: bryant.coleman on April 25, 2014, 03:58:19 PM Where do you get that 200k is 20% of the Bitcoins that MtGox had? Is it the same source that claimed to loose 850k Bitcoin due to a malleability bug? Not only the BTC850,000, but Mt Gox lost more than $27 million in fiat also. If we convert that to BTC using the current exchange rates, then the total comes down to almost BTC1,000,000. Quote Creditors who want to know how Mt. Gox at one point lost some $500 million worth of bitcoin and another $27 million in cash from its bank accounts, are seeking answers from Karpeles, who has spent recent days huddled in meetings with lawyers in Tokyo. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/21/us-bitcoin-mtgox-karpeles-insight-idUSBREA3K01D20140421 Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: thresher on April 26, 2014, 04:26:34 PM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around. I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? Where do you get that 200k is 20% of the Bitcoins that MtGox had? Is it the same source that claimed to loose 850k Bitcoin due to a malleability bug? I didn't mean that was all they lost, just when I posted this 200k bitcoins was the claimed physical amount of bitcoins they held (from the wallet discovery), and people were claiming that there would be some weird arrangement where creditors would receive 20 percent of their current btc or something....... hence, why I started this thread because, none of this made any sense to me. This thread, and current updates has cleared that up for me. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: freedombit on April 27, 2014, 11:36:02 PM I don't understand why the 20 percent number is being thrown around. I understand 200k bitcoins is 20 percent of the bitcoins they had, but what about all their equipment, bank accounts, etc. Is there a reason that those items are not being factored into the total amount people receive? Where do you get that 200k is 20% of the Bitcoins that MtGox had? Is it the same source that claimed to loose 850k Bitcoin due to a malleability bug? I didn't mean that was all they lost, just when I posted this 200k bitcoins was the claimed physical amount of bitcoins they held (from the wallet discovery), and people were claiming that there would be some weird arrangement where creditors would receive 20 percent of their current btc or something....... hence, why I started this thread because, none of this made any sense to me. This thread, and current updates has cleared that up for me. My point is that ALL of this is pure speculation. 850k lost Bitcoin = speculation based on MtGox comments. 200k Bitcoin found = speculation based on MtGox comments. Missing Bitcoin belongs to customers = speculation based on user comments. How do we even know that any of this is real? At this stage, the one thing that remains clear to each MtGox user is the fact that they can no longer trade, and that their funds are tied up somewhere. With that said, these all seem like reasonable numbers. I do find it curious that 200k of 850k Bitcoin were found. That leaves 650k Bitcoin missing. Just above the 600k Bitcoin that the FBI was seeking to, but never did, gain control. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: CompNsci on April 29, 2014, 04:42:50 PM My point is that ALL of this is pure speculation. 850k lost Bitcoin = speculation based on MtGox comments. 200k Bitcoin found = speculation based on MtGox comments. Missing Bitcoin belongs to customers = speculation based on user comments. How do we even know that any of this is real? At this stage, the one thing that remains clear to each MtGox user is the fact that they can no longer trade, and that their funds are tied up somewhere. Yes, precisely, it is all speculation. One key item would appear to be combining the leaked information and the blockchain to figure out what happened. Ala this effort on reddit http://redd.it/244s29. Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: gerXhonza on April 29, 2014, 05:02:15 PM Luckily I had there only about 40 USD ballance. I assume there will be some minimum amount one can receive after paying the bank transfer fees, so I already wrote it off anyway
But I hope more % can be recovered because all Bitcoin transsactions can be exactly checked (or there was serious crime going on by withdrawing so many coins to personal Bitcoin address by someone working there) Title: Re: gox and the 20 percent payout? Post by: Stapleddiet on April 29, 2014, 10:48:06 PM Q. What will happen to the affiliate companies of the Company?
A. At this stage, we are not aware that such companies have filed for the commencement of civil rehabilitation proceedings or bankruptcy proceedings. This is from the new addition to https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20140424_announce_qa_en.pdf by the Admin. Jeebers I hope the prick Mark Karpeles has not squirreled money away they cannot touch. I want to go to this meeting but think I best spend the time until then to do calming meditation for the day, so I can go zen mode. |