Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: BTCat on May 14, 2014, 10:56:08 AM



Title: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: BTCat on May 14, 2014, 10:56:08 AM
Has the Bitcoin Market formed a bottom?

Analyses from Bitscan. Please read and discuss.

Bitscan Analyses (http://bitscan.com/articles/analysis/btc-update-11-may-has-btc-formed-a-bottom.)

link repaired  :D


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: bigdave on May 14, 2014, 10:59:47 AM
Has the Bitcoin Market formed a bottom?

Analyses from Bitscan. Please read and discuss.

http://bitscan.com/articles/analysis/btc-update-11-may-has-btc-formed-a-bottom.

Link goes to page not found.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: Barney on May 14, 2014, 11:00:56 AM
Add dot to the end of the link


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: bigdave on May 14, 2014, 11:08:13 AM
Add dot to the end of the link

That did it. Overlooked that, thanks.

OP, interesting article. I hope its true. Thanks for sharing.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: alexeft on May 14, 2014, 11:17:04 AM
Has the Bitcoin Market formed a bottom?


IMHO, it has. The diagrams show it clearly.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: matt608 on May 14, 2014, 11:26:20 AM
Nice analysis, I agree.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: TrailingComet on May 14, 2014, 11:30:55 AM
If you believe the charts, then yes

We might well be headed higher now, with decent tailwinds from the Bitpay investment and generally plummier outlook to last week


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: zimmah on May 14, 2014, 12:37:26 PM
i agree, a lot of people have been expecting a bull run this summer since like January, this is just another chart that supports that theory


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: MatTheCat on May 14, 2014, 04:55:24 PM
If you believe the charts, then yes

We might well be headed higher now, with decent tailwinds from the Bitpay investment and generally plummier outlook to last week

If this trending range continues through a support/resistance trend or two as though they didn't matter, then I would be open to the idea that $340 was the final bottom for the Wave 4 correction from $1160. If this were to be the case, then we will likely not know it for quite some time.

However, one inconsistency would be that every other 'final low' in Bitcoins short history, has been met with record breaking trade volume, as is normally the case for ultimate lows. By comparison, the volume on low at $340 was just kind of farty.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: blatchcorn on May 14, 2014, 05:31:20 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: Krabby on May 14, 2014, 05:33:02 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.

How much you willing to put on that?


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: blatchcorn on May 14, 2014, 05:34:02 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.

How much you willing to put on that?
Already have more BTC than fiat  ;D


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: serenitys on May 14, 2014, 05:35:19 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.

How much you willing to put on that?
Already have more BTC than fiat  ;D

Same here :D It feels....goooodddddd....


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: BTCat on May 14, 2014, 05:43:12 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.

How much you willing to put on that?
Already have more BTC than fiat  ;D

Fiat in the red, Bitcoin in the green  ;D  ;D  ;D

Just like America.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: DustyRah on May 14, 2014, 11:21:34 PM
It still remains bottom heavy. In fact, its upside that is unable to sustain any run at all.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: YipYip on May 14, 2014, 11:50:45 PM
Calling this now: $1,000 BTC before end of May.

Thats too extreme dude ..even for me :D


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: YipYip on May 14, 2014, 11:53:20 PM
If you believe the charts, then yes

We might well be headed higher now, with decent tailwinds from the Bitpay investment and generally plummier outlook to last week

If this trending range continues through a support/resistance trend or two as though they didn't matter, then I would be open to the idea that $340 was the final bottom for the Wave 4 correction from $1160. If this were to be the case, then we will likely not know it for quite some time.

However, one inconsistency would be that every other 'final low' in Bitcoins short history, has been met with record breaking trade volume, as is normally the case for ultimate lows. By comparison, the volume on low at $340 was just kind of farty.

It is what it is

This uber stable run with now medium volume is fricken awesome

The 21 EMA is in a straight line with a nice uptrend ..I have NEVER seem btc do that in this post chinese world




Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: MatTheCat on May 15, 2014, 01:05:04 AM

It is what it is

This uber stable run with now medium volume is fricken awesome

The 21 EMA is in a straight line with a nice uptrend ..I have NEVER seem btc do that in this post chinese world

'medium volume'

C'mon, gimme a break. It is rock phucking bottom volume with fewer and fewer whales swishing fewer and fewer Bitcoins backwards and forwards, all the while new coins are getting mined which must come to the market sooner or later not too mention all the other coins hovering around looking to cash out.

The longer new investments holds out from driving up the price, the more pressure builds upon natural sellers of Bitcoin to dump Bitcoin and drop the market.....that might even be what 'new investment' wants.



Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: TERA on May 15, 2014, 01:56:10 AM
https://i.imgur.com/QcqdTdv.png

#onedgeofseatwithpopcorn


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: molecular on May 15, 2014, 06:49:07 AM
https://i.imgur.com/QcqdTdv.png

#onedgeofseatwithpopcorn

You're looking at huobi. Drawing a similar line on bitstamp chart

https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png (https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png)

shows the downtrend has been pierced to the upside, which was a point in the article:

What this chart first shows is that the bitcoin market's decline has been contained within similar rails, which re-inforces the point that this really is how markets and price action evolve.

But what is special about this chart is the right hand edge, where we can see that for the first time, the market is trading beyond the upper extreme of descending resistance. 

And this, for us, is a clear indication that the downtrend which has dominated the first half of 2014, is finally running out of steam.

So what are you trying to say?


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: TERA on May 15, 2014, 06:54:22 AM
https://i.imgur.com/QcqdTdv.png

#onedgeofseatwithpopcorn

You're looking at huobi. Drawing a similar line on bitstamp chart

https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png (https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png)

shows the downtrend has been pierced to the upside, which was a point in the article:

What this chart first shows is that the bitcoin market's decline has been contained within similar rails, which re-inforces the point that this really is how markets and price action evolve.

But what is special about this chart is the right hand edge, where we can see that for the first time, the market is trading beyond the upper extreme of descending resistance. 

And this, for us, is a clear indication that the downtrend which has dominated the first half of 2014, is finally running out of steam.

So what are you trying to say?
Actually the difference here is that you are using a linear chart and I am using a log chart.


Title: Re: BTC downtrend running out of steam?
Post by: molecular on May 15, 2014, 07:18:11 AM
https://i.imgur.com/QcqdTdv.png

#onedgeofseatwithpopcorn

You're looking at huobi. Drawing a similar line on bitstamp chart

https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png (https://i.imgur.com/S3RNSrR.png)

shows the downtrend has been pierced to the upside, which was a point in the article:

What this chart first shows is that the bitcoin market's decline has been contained within similar rails, which re-inforces the point that this really is how markets and price action evolve.

But what is special about this chart is the right hand edge, where we can see that for the first time, the market is trading beyond the upper extreme of descending resistance. 

And this, for us, is a clear indication that the downtrend which has dominated the first half of 2014, is finally running out of steam.

So what are you trying to say?
Actually the difference here is that you are using a linear chart and I am using a log chart.

Fair enough.