Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: wobber on January 28, 2012, 06:10:56 PM



Title: What indicators / methods do you use to forecast drops?
Post by: wobber on January 28, 2012, 06:10:56 PM
I don't really care much about rallies. I am very interested on what methods to use to forecast a new drop. Like, where is the top, where the bottom might be etc..?

For me, rallies seem erratic, with no algorithm. But falls, falls I think follow a pattern. Can you help?


Title: Re: What indicators / methods do you use to forecast drops?
Post by: arepo on January 28, 2012, 06:15:09 PM
I don't really care much about rallies. I am very interested on what methods to use to forecast a new drop. Like, where is the top, where the bottom might be etc..?

For me, rallies seem erratic, with no algorithm. But falls, falls I think follow a pattern. Can you help?

you're wrong. technical analysis yields a strong handle on both.


Title: Re: What indicators / methods do you use to forecast drops?
Post by: YoYa on January 28, 2012, 06:27:39 PM
Go to MtGox Live, turn your monitor 90 degrees to the right, see the pattern!


Title: Re: What indicators / methods do you use to forecast drops?
Post by: YoYa on January 28, 2012, 07:14:06 PM
It would be a good idea to divorce yourself from that polarity... Try this: Instead of looking at charts in terms of $/BTC try looking at them as BTC/$ to see if you can get another perspective.

You know....I don't think I've ever seen anyone offer an inverse chart!  :o :o :o

Shows how hooked we all are on that filthy filthy fiat!  :P ;D :P


Title: Re: What indicators / methods do you use to forecast drops?
Post by: miscreanity on January 28, 2012, 08:32:10 PM
You know....I don't think I've ever seen anyone offer an inverse chart!  :o :o :o

Shows how hooked we all are on that filthy filthy fiat!  :P ;D :P

Boom. USD collapse vs. BTC visual, instead of BTC rise vs. USD.

http://noblenomads.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/btc_usd_mtgox_linear.png (http://noblenomads.com/?attachment_id=1135)

http://noblenomads.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/btc_usd_mtgox_logarithmic.png (http://noblenomads.com/?attachment_id=1136)