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Other => Politics & Society => Topic started by: herzmeister on June 14, 2014, 12:12:55 PM



Title: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: herzmeister on June 14, 2014, 12:12:55 PM
Quote
The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
 
http://static01.nyt.com/images/2014/06/14/upshot/14UP-War/14UP-War-videoSixteenByNine1050.jpg
It’s not because war spending itself is so good. It’s because the threat of war can inspire countries to do great things.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/14/upshot/the-lack-of-major-wars-may-be-hurting-economic-growth.html



What an Orwellian "war is peace" rhetoric  ::)

Also a classical Broken Window Fallacy  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broken_window_fallacy (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broken_window_fallacy)

And if war is what we need for inspiration, what a sad state of affairs the human mind is in.   :-[


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: sana8410 on June 14, 2014, 12:35:44 PM
War does not increase wealth, it transfers it to a few, with much attendant damage and destruction that diminishes the whole.

At one time it was inconceivable that economic growth could exist without slavery. So too with war and all other non-productive forms of economic activity. Given the cleverness with which men destroy each other there may be innovations with other applications, but on the whole the result is pain, misery, and deprivation for most.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Nik1ab on June 14, 2014, 12:36:52 PM
Spoken like a typical american.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Charlie Prime on June 14, 2014, 12:58:00 PM
These academics are paid by the Oligarchs to sit around writing up nonsense that justifies the continued rape of the working classes.

Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University in Virgina.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/97/Tyler_Cowen_1.jpg/220px-Tyler_Cowen_1.jpg

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyler_Cowen


Ian Morris is a Brit working for Stanford in California.

http://g-ecx.images-amazon.com/images/G/01/ciu/42/ef/e599b87ced7a0a7f0235d1.L._V199068394_SX200_.jpg

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Morris_%28historian%29


Although aggression is immoral, self-defense is not.  I would love to see some video of these academic toadies directly experiencing a bit of the "war" they are so fond of.  Armed men busting into their upper-class kitchens one Saturday morning and anally raping them while drinking their expensive coffee would somewhat repay them for their writings.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: noviapriani on June 14, 2014, 01:07:31 PM
Basically, war gives the government an excuse for raising wages which is what leads to economic growth, at least in terms of rising living standards. Of course, the elites have to feel threatened enough or at least bribed enough to play along, at least for the duration. To be effective, the war has to require a fair bit of industrial production and large enough armies and long enough duration to have an impact on the workforce, which is why our most recent small scale wars have had little or negative impact.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: umair127 on June 14, 2014, 01:16:07 PM
To speak about war as beneficial to an economic situation is to defile all the victims that lose their lives, or their family members, their homes, their security, their safety.
Shame on the NYT for its constant warmongering ways.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Rigon on June 14, 2014, 01:25:42 PM
From the linked article:
“Rather, the very possibility of war focuses the attention of governments on getting some basic decisions right — whether investing in science or simply liberalizing the economy. Such focus ends up improving a nation’s longer-run prospects…War brings an urgency that governments otherwise fail to summon.”
Translation: We are stupid.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Yakamoto on June 14, 2014, 01:44:12 PM
Basically, war gives the government an excuse for raising wages which is what leads to economic growth, at least in terms of rising living standards. Of course, the elites have to feel threatened enough or at least bribed enough to play along, at least for the duration. To be effective, the war has to require a fair bit of industrial production and large enough armies and long enough duration to have an impact on the workforce, which is why our most recent small scale wars have had little or negative impact.
It doesn't give than excuse to raise wages, it just makes it so there's more jobs because you suddenly have to start producing everything that you can go blow up. As such, this may be less common due to the advent of automated construction of different things related to war.

It's the weapon producers who make the "money" from war, which pays those who own stocks in the company. Or you have to be employed under their name.

Some civilian jobs can make money from it too, however, as military surplus stores will get orders from or have the doomsday preppers come and buy up lots of their stuff.

Or you can go serve in the military :)

But war shouldn't be a necessity for economic growth. Start making more electronics or start popularising other things! That's how money is made in America...


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Charlie Prime on June 14, 2014, 02:24:29 PM
WW2 was the exception

No.  You neglected to read the link above:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broken_window_fallacy


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: commandrix on June 14, 2014, 03:32:44 PM
Ferengi Rule of Acquisition # 34: War is good for business.
Ferengi Rule of Acquisition # 35: Peace is good for business.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Shattered on June 14, 2014, 04:00:16 PM
Some great points made in this thread....if only more people could take a break from watching TV all day, and actually engage in conversations like these, we would all be better off.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: validium on June 14, 2014, 04:22:12 PM
War does not increase wealth, it transfers it to a few, with much attendant damage and destruction that diminishes the whole.

At one time it was inconceivable that economic growth could exist without slavery. So too with war and all other non-productive forms of economic activity. Given the cleverness with which men destroy each other there may be innovations with other applications, but on the whole the result is pain, misery, and deprivation for most.

And those few bankers are the biggest earners. I think there are better ways to make money like innovation, science etc. And the guys that write this articles are full of sh**  >:(


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Jamie_Boulder on June 14, 2014, 05:27:43 PM
Basically, war gives the government an excuse for raising wages which is what leads to economic growth, at least in terms of rising living standards. Of course, the elites have to feel threatened enough or at least bribed enough to play along, at least for the duration. To be effective, the war has to require a fair bit of industrial production and large enough armies and long enough duration to have an impact on the workforce, which is why our most recent small scale wars have had little or negative impact.
Raising taxes*


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: joshraban76 on June 14, 2014, 05:57:50 PM
I can't find how is this valid ?

It's, but only in creating super duper weapons to kill innocents.

What is the joy of wars ? To see Medal of Honor or Red Alert live on TV ?


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: tinof on June 15, 2014, 04:28:38 PM
That is because military complex is the only productive industry left in US.



Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: niothor on June 15, 2014, 05:24:35 PM
Read the article twice and the opinions above and I don't understand how they can claim that a major war will help economic growth.

There is one thing a major war might help. Development in technology and the last ww2 showed that.
But the price is far too high for that and no sane people should think about this "solution".


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: beetcoin on June 15, 2014, 05:47:08 PM
the "defense" industry is large. republicans want to increase it to an even higher number, but i don't think that's going to happen any time soon. war is just a way of spending money, and when you can influence who wins the govt contracts, you make money that way. there are so many ways you can profit from war.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: zolace on June 16, 2014, 10:17:34 AM
One important point of the article is that war is good for innovation. In war, people unite around common goals, and are willing to sacrifice in a way that is impossible in peacetime.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: sana8410 on June 16, 2014, 10:22:55 AM
One important point of the article is that war is good for innovation. In war, people unite around common goals, and are willing to sacrifice in a way that is impossible in peacetime.
One might attribute this to the willingness to abolish patents in wartime, like the American airplane industry was forced to do during the first world war. Since the state is the one concerned with fighting the war, and the state is the only actor effectively able to abolish patents (since the state is the one granting them in the first place), it is not odd that war is the only thing which can effect this change.
It has been argued that patents, as a whole, is a retardant to innovation. These historical facts seems to bear this argument out.
1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers_patent_war


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Ekaros on June 16, 2014, 10:48:00 AM
War leads to investment in research, development and industry. That is how it improves economic growth... On other hand also, rebuilding increase economic growth...

Later one is wasteful, first one could be done. No one is suggesting that we bomb a few major cities and then rebuild those... That would be much more humane and cheaper anyway than a real war.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Charlie Prime on June 16, 2014, 01:13:14 PM
War leads to investment in research, development and industry. That is how it improves economic growth... On other hand also, rebuilding increase economic growth...

You neglected to read the link above:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broken_window_fallacy


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: bryant.coleman on June 16, 2014, 01:59:49 PM
Going by their argument, the Iraq war, which cost some $4-5 trillion would have propelled the economy to new heights? Correct me if I am wrong, but I don't see the US economy gaining anything from the Iraq / Afghan wars. Might have benefited the oil companies, gas pipeline construction firms, private security contractors.etc. But that is it. No one else gained from it.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: TaunSew on June 16, 2014, 02:23:12 PM
Small amount.  There's $97 trillion investments.  Spending $5 trillion over a decade is nothing

A real total war would have to spend a quadrillion or more.  Half million tanks, 100K+ aircraft, aircraft carriers, think WW2 scale of production.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: deisik on June 16, 2014, 02:33:42 PM
Read the article twice and the opinions above and I don't understand how they can claim that a major war will help economic growth

It helps those who don't participate in it (or don't suffer badly from it). Remember who gained most from the last two world wars? 8)


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: bryant.coleman on June 16, 2014, 02:46:59 PM
Small amount.  There's $97 trillion investments.  Spending $5 trillion over a decade is nothing

Wow... then I was wrong perhaps.  ;D

Let the war machine continue to roll. War with Iraq cost $4 trillion. The war with Iran is going to cost some $40 trillion. And Hillary's adventure with Russia is going to cost some $400 trillion.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: deisik on June 16, 2014, 02:49:46 PM
Small amount.  There's $97 trillion investments.  Spending $5 trillion over a decade is nothing

Wow... then I was wrong perhaps.  ;D

Let the war machine continue to roll. War with Iraq cost $4 trillion. The war with Iran is going to cost some $40 trillion. And Hillary's adventure with Russia is going to cost some 400 trillion roubles.

Corrected... ;D

http://s00.yaplakal.com/pics/pics_original/8/0/0/2397008.jpg


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: acs267 on June 16, 2014, 02:53:48 PM
I guess. But let's be honest, most countries want wars so they can get more funding from the people. And to get more land on foreign or their own soil, to show who the true champ is.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: Ekaros on June 16, 2014, 02:54:22 PM
Small amount.  There's $97 trillion investments.  Spending $5 trillion over a decade is nothing

Wow... then I was wrong perhaps.  ;D

Let the war machine continue to roll. War with Iraq cost $4 trillion. The war with Iran is going to cost some $40 trillion. And Hillary's adventure with Russia is going to cost some $400 trillion.

Russia-USA war would probably improve economic growth... Net positivity, maybe not.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: bryant.coleman on June 16, 2014, 03:02:28 PM
Russia-USA war would probably improve economic growth... Net positivity, maybe not.

a Russia-USA war would improve the economy of China. It will destroy the economies of both Russia and the United States. Remember the WW2. The US emerged as a world power after WW2, because it limited its participation in the battle for the initial 3-4 years.


lol... classic.


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: keyscore44 on June 16, 2014, 03:06:11 PM
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/68/WarIncPoster.jpg/220px-WarIncPoster.jpg

An apt movie for this thread ;)


Title: Re: The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic Growth
Post by: deisik on June 16, 2014, 03:06:38 PM
Russia-USA war would probably improve economic growth... Net positivity, maybe not.

a Russia-USA war would improve the economy of China. It will destroy the economies of both Russia and the United States. Remember the WW2. The US emerged as a world power after WW2 WW1, because it limited its participation in the battle for the initial 3-4 years.

Another correction made! 8)

The USA had been heavily crediting its allies during WW1 and earned a heap of money and power (read John Keynes' work "The Economic Consequences of the Peace" if you are curious)... ::)