|
Title: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on June 29, 2014, 04:26:56 PM Fairlay.com is a prediction market/betting exchange where people bet against each other.
Just now: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/latest Someone just placed 100mBTC on Brazil with odds you would get at a bookmaker like bwin. We do not take the bet because we are only a exchange/marketplace for bets. That means YOU CAN TAKE it and profit from it like a bookmaker. You have to bet on "No" on: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brazil-will-win-the-football-world-cup/ with the odds of 1.4. You can cover the bet with up to 250mBTC - but no worries, you can take a fraction of it as well... Good Luck! Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! Post by: fairlay on July 02, 2014, 02:13:21 AM We right now have another very attractive bet open:
This time: 5.762 odds for: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brazil-argentina-germany-and-netherlands-will-reach-the-quarter-final/ To see why you should take the bet you have to do a little math: http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.111937772 here you find the odds for Netherlands, Brazil, Argentina and Germany to reach the semi final. You should look at the "lay" odds - because this are the odds people want and right now nobody is willing to give them. They are: 1.26, 1.49, 1.69 and 1.74 Now multiply them: the result is 5,52. So every bet itself is a little bit on your favor and the combined odds on fairlay are even clearly above. Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on July 03, 2014, 06:57:04 PM 326mBTC are waiting to be placed on France!
odds Fairlay: 2.4 https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/france-will-reach-the-next-round-against-germany/ odds Betfair: 2.26 http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=114477104&ex=1&q=france And remember - we only take a 2% fee of the winnings instead of 5% like betfair! good luck! Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on July 05, 2014, 02:42:16 PM Really good odds against Germany World Cup winner:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/ 1.45 odds, 855.24 mBTC waiting to be matched... Betfair odds in comparison: http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=103163147&ex=1&origin=LHMA Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on July 08, 2014, 04:38:00 AM Odds are getting even better for betting against Germany!! They are now 1.49!! With more then 1100 mBTC open!
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/ Ad betfair you get odds of 1,37 for the same bet (lay odds of 3,7) Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on July 13, 2014, 04:47:53 AM Argentina will win the worldcup:
odds: Betfair: 2.42 Fairlay 2.506 https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/ http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.103163147 Title: Re: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com Post by: fairlay on September 06, 2014, 08:28:13 PM Another value bet: this time on the Bitcoin difficulty:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/ bet against difficulty >31B at odds of 3.5. Note that from the current difficulty data odds should be more like 2. (50%/50%). Some sources that predict the difficulty and their current prediction: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty: 31,109,256,240 https://cryptanalys.is/difficulty/bitcoin_btc.php: 29,611,949,922 http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php: 29,804,000,000 http://mining-profit.com/bitcoin-difficulty-history: 30171493992 Thus all sites (in exception of bitcoinwisdom) predict a difficulty of <31B that would bring you 3.5 times your money back. |