Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: oda.krell on August 09, 2014, 11:27:20 AM



Title: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: oda.krell on August 09, 2014, 11:27:20 AM
Quote
But stability could have a self-reinforcing positive impact. Flushing out the “To the Moon” crowd might be just what the doctor ordered for bitcoin to gain respectability and mainstream acceptance.

from: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/08/08/bitbeat-learning-to-love-a-boring-bitcoin-market/


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: tabnloz on August 09, 2014, 11:29:48 AM
It just might, but how fun was the volatility??


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Schickeria on August 09, 2014, 11:40:44 AM
Quote
But stability could have a self-reinforcing positive impact. Flushing out the “To the Moon” crowd might be just what the doctor ordered for bitcoin to gain respectability and mainstream acceptance.

from: [Suspicious link removed]j.com/moneybeat/2014/08/08/bitbeat-learning-to-love-a-boring-bitcoin-market/

Bitcoin is a far away from any definition of mainstream, that I could agree. Mainstream does not know, what Bitcoin is, so there can't exist any acceptance or not-acceptance. If there would be any kind of mainstream acceptance the market cap would be a lot higher. (So this is a self contradicting theory)

This is no ultra-bullish statement, implying diabolical price spikes in the future - I only can't see any relationship between mainstream and Bitcoin for now.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Ibian on August 09, 2014, 04:08:23 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: BowieMan on August 09, 2014, 04:24:18 PM
Quote
But stability could have a self-reinforcing positive impact. Flushing out the “To the Moon” crowd might be just what the doctor ordered for bitcoin to gain respectability and mainstream acceptance.

from: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/08/08/bitbeat-learning-to-love-a-boring-bitcoin-market/

Um well, maybe it'll achieve that everyone's curbing their expectations, which might be a nice thing, but apart from that how would this help Bitcoin? If it was still growing, we'd see a slower growth, but still a growth, effectively. Traders will also continue trading and speculating! I think a sharply rising price may is good for Bitcoin as it attracts the media, which is undoubted good news.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Miz4r on August 09, 2014, 04:43:03 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

The math is based on the assumption that user adoption will continue to increase, that's not a given. And besides you don't know how much of current 'adopters' are just in it for the moonride and don't care about anything else. If that crowd finally leaves then we'll see just how many real adopters Bitcoin has, but the price could be easily cut in half from here. I would love to see that happen because the 'to the moon' crowd is getting too complacent and annoying lately. Let them endure some pain to sober them up. ;)


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: BowieMan on August 09, 2014, 05:29:46 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

The math is based on the assumption that user adoption will continue to increase, that's not a given. And besides you don't know how much of current 'adopters' are just in it for the moonride and don't care about anything else. If that crowd finally leaves then we'll see just how many real adopters Bitcoin has, but the price could be easily cut in half from here. I would love to see that happen because the 'to the moon' crowd is getting too complacent and annoying lately. Let them endure some pain to sober them up. ;)

There's still so much potential growth and applications for Bitcoin... The rate at which new coins are being produced isn't that high after all, anyways. I think the rate of adoption is still higher than the rate of Bitcoins being produced. Also, those who already have a lot of Bitcoin rather hold them and are in for the really long run.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: windjc on August 09, 2014, 06:28:00 PM
Quote
But stability could have a self-reinforcing positive impact. Flushing out the “To the Moon” crowd might be just what the doctor ordered for bitcoin to gain respectability and mainstream acceptance.

from: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/08/08/bitbeat-learning-to-love-a-boring-bitcoin-market/

Why do people hate "to the mooners?"

These people are cheerleading an investment that could change the world and make us wealthy in the process.

God bless them.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: fanboy4 on August 09, 2014, 06:29:29 PM
self-reinforcing positive impact.  we can call it happiness :D


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: oda.krell on August 09, 2014, 07:09:34 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

The math is based on the assumption that user adoption will continue to increase, that's not a given. And besides you don't know how much of current 'adopters' are just in it for the moonride and don't care about anything else. If that crowd finally leaves then we'll see just how many real adopters Bitcoin has, but the price could be easily cut in half from here. I would love to see that happen because the 'to the moon' crowd is getting too complacent and annoying lately. Let them endure some pain to sober them up. ;)

Miz4r - Voice of reason since April 2013 :D


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Ibian on August 09, 2014, 07:32:01 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

The math is based on the assumption that user adoption will continue to increase, that's not a given. And besides you don't know how much of current 'adopters' are just in it for the moonride and don't care about anything else. If that crowd finally leaves then we'll see just how many real adopters Bitcoin has, but the price could be easily cut in half from here. I would love to see that happen because the 'to the moon' crowd is getting too complacent and annoying lately. Let them endure some pain to sober them up. ;)
It's a given. Most people have reason to buy bitcoin, they just don't know it yet.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Ayers on August 09, 2014, 07:33:50 PM
stability is good, is what the majority was asking for, but not at this price  ;D


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: arbitrage001 on August 09, 2014, 09:11:42 PM
For price to be stable, network hash rate needs to be stable first.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: cbeast on August 09, 2014, 09:20:37 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Xch4ng3 on August 09, 2014, 09:31:29 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.

I agree 100%, Bitcoin is useless until we reach $50,000 per coin. /s.

To me the whole point of Bitcoin is that it's not controlled by one person, if people are using it as an investment then I have no problem with that. I'm sure most people who want the price to increase only want it to increase because they hold a huge amount but as long as Bitcoin has real life use and value it'll always be considered useful / valuable and to me that's more important than what the price is. Bitcoin will do the same job if it was at $1 than if it was at $1000. The only difference I can think of is people will be more likely to dump their coins to take advantage of the price.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: cbeast on August 09, 2014, 09:39:11 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.

I agree 100%, Bitcoin is useless until we reach $50,000 per coin. /s.

To me the whole point of Bitcoin is that it's not controlled by one person, if people are using it as an investment then I have no problem with that. I'm sure most people who want the price to increase only want it to increase because they hold a huge amount but as long as Bitcoin has real life use and value it'll always be considered useful / valuable and to me that's more important than what the price is. Bitcoin will do the same job if it was at $1 than if it was at $1000. The only difference I can think of is people will be more likely to dump their coins to take advantage of the price.
The same can be said about any altcoin as well. If you think that every altcoin is of equal value, then why not just make your own? Price and adoption go hand-in-hand. If someone tried to send a billion dollars worth right now and cash it out, it would crash the market. So it's not useful for those purchases yet.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Xch4ng3 on August 09, 2014, 09:48:47 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.

I agree 100%, Bitcoin is useless until we reach $50,000 per coin. /s.

To me the whole point of Bitcoin is that it's not controlled by one person, if people are using it as an investment then I have no problem with that. I'm sure most people who want the price to increase only want it to increase because they hold a huge amount but as long as Bitcoin has real life use and value it'll always be considered useful / valuable and to me that's more important than what the price is. Bitcoin will do the same job if it was at $1 than if it was at $1000. The only difference I can think of is people will be more likely to dump their coins to take advantage of the price.
The same can be said about any altcoin as well. If you think that every altcoin is of equal value, then why not just make your own? Price and adoption go hand-in-hand. If someone tried to send a billion dollars worth right now and cash it out, it would crash the market. So it's not useful for those purchases yet.

I don't think every altcoins is of equal value, you might have misunderstood me. I could create an altcoin but it would never be used for anything that holds value and also, what can my coin offer that other coins don't offer?

I do agree that price and adoption go hand in hand, we can see from past results that as more and more merchants have adopted Bitcoin the price has gone up.

The point I was trying to make was that as long as Bitcoin can be used to purchase something it will hold some kind of value


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: oda.krell on August 09, 2014, 10:13:26 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.

I agree 100%, Bitcoin is useless until we reach $50,000 per coin. /s.

To me the whole point of Bitcoin is that it's not controlled by one person, if people are using it as an investment then I have no problem with that. I'm sure most people who want the price to increase only want it to increase because they hold a huge amount but as long as Bitcoin has real life use and value it'll always be considered useful / valuable and to me that's more important than what the price is. Bitcoin will do the same job if it was at $1 than if it was at $1000. The only difference I can think of is people will be more likely to dump their coins to take advantage of the price.
The same can be said about any altcoin as well. If you think that every altcoin is of equal value, then why not just make your own? Price and adoption go hand-in-hand. If someone tried to send a billion dollars worth right now and cash it out, it would crash the market. So it's not useful for those purchases yet.

I don't think every altcoins is of equal value, you might have misunderstood me. I could create an altcoin but it would never be used for anything that holds value and also, what can my coin offer that other coins don't offer?

I do agree that price and adoption go hand in hand, we can see from past results that as more and more merchants have adopted Bitcoin the price has gone up.

The point I was trying to make was that as long as Bitcoin can be used to purchase something it will hold some kind of value

I would add: at a valuation leading to a 7.7B USD market cap, Bitcoin is already quite useful (as a medium of exchange, for example). Maybe not 'changing the world' useful, but good enough for a bunch of nerds like us early adopters to make use of this currency prototype and show the world that it works.

Fact is, we all (or at least most of us) hope for big price increases *now*, regardless of how much of it is speculative and how much of it is actually absorbed by increased usage. That's the mentality I had in mind with this topic. (and, yes, I include myself it the preceding critical remark)


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Brewins on August 09, 2014, 10:34:03 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

No. Adoption MUST increase to bitcoin stay at the same price, we have 3600 new coisn every day.

Also its mathematically impossible expect adoption and no big rises, unless you expect some years of tank price, then everyone adopting bitcoin overnight.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: AdamSmith on August 09, 2014, 10:36:52 PM
Uh no. The price is mathematically guaranteed to go up as adoption goes up. It's not a delusion or hope of winning the lottery, its maff. And the 99.9% won't hear about it until the OMG MAD PRICE SPIKES make new headlines so its wrong from that end too. Another fail piece.

No. Adoption MUST increase to bitcoin stay at the same price, we have 3600 new coisn every day.

Also its mathematically impossible expect adoption and no big rises, unless you expect some years of tank price, then everyone adopting bitcoin overnight.

And the cost of producing 3600 new coins are increasing every day due to network difficulty.

Miners need to sell at above their cost to justify their operation.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Biodom on August 09, 2014, 10:58:25 PM
If Bitcoin doesn't go "to da moon" then it has no utility and the speculators will dump it down to zero. So no, the quote is meaningless to me.

this ^^^^^


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Biodom on August 09, 2014, 11:00:43 PM
Miners need to sell at above their cost to justify their operation.

No, some (maybe most) small miners don't have to sell. I didn't sell (for fiat) a single btc that I mined.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: Brewins on August 09, 2014, 11:09:53 PM
Miners need to sell at above their cost to justify their operation.

No, some (maybe most) small miners don't have to sell. I didn't sell (for fiat) a single btc that I mined.



I guess most of bitcoin is not mined by small miners anymore, and I think the big miners look for profit, that can be only achieved if they sell their coins.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: aminorex on August 09, 2014, 11:17:12 PM
Miners need to sell at above their cost to justify their operation.

No, some (maybe most) small miners don't have to sell. I didn't sell (for fiat) a single btc that I mined.



I guess most of bitcoin is not mined by small miners anymore, and I think the big miners look for profit, that can be only achieved if they sell their coins.

They are already sold on contract.  When difficulty rises to the point where they are unprofitable the contracted deliveries will cease,and the buyers will be forced onto the exchanges.


Title: Re: Love this quote. Do you?
Post by: kingama on August 10, 2014, 07:09:30 AM
One does not simply flush out the "To the moon" crowd. One does however keep educating the uninitiated and building the infrastructure.