Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: LiteCoinGuy on August 16, 2014, 01:17:07 PM



Title: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: LiteCoinGuy on August 16, 2014, 01:17:07 PM
Did Margin Trading Crash the Price of Bitcoin?

But while there were many theories as to what news events could have caused bitcoin’s value to fall into such a steep decline, some market observers believe that this most recent movement may have been caused not by external factors, but by the actions of bitcoin traders.

This theory, perhaps most notably posed by Raffael Danielli, posits that out-of-control margin trading caused a flash crash in at least one major bitcoin exchange market, a development that had a cascading effect across the larger bitcoin market.


http://www.coindesk.com/margin-trading-crash-price-bitcoin/


Bitfinex: cascading margin calls resulting in flash crash

Today Bitcoin prices took a dive as margin traders on one of the largest exchange Bitfinex got their orders liquidated. For many close market observers and more sophisticated traders this did not come as a surprise. In fact, long positions have been building up continuously over the last couple of months in anticipation of a new bubble in Bitcoin prices and reached as high as $30m in outstanding swap positions on Bitfinex.

http://www.matlabtrading.net/main/2014/08/14/bitfinex-margin-call-cascade-algorithm-explained/


interesting to see that there occur such events even in our little bitcoin world...but maybe bitcoin world is maturing  :) ? good or bad?


-LiteCoinGuy-


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: 311 on August 16, 2014, 01:19:52 PM
But while there were many theories as to what news events could have caused bitcoin’s value to fall into such a steep decline, some market observers believe that this most recent movement may have been caused not by external factors, but by the actions of bitcoin traders.

Isn't it always caused by bitcoin traders? The news might be from external sources but its the panic sellers and buyers that cause the crashes.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: Stery on August 16, 2014, 01:23:02 PM
Well the btc price is somewhere stuck in the 500 USD level mark.

Sites like OKCoin and BTC-e don't have clear answers on the margins.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: pazor_true on August 16, 2014, 01:24:58 PM
ethereum liquidate their presales bitcoins


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: whydifficult on August 16, 2014, 01:36:04 PM
ethereum liquidate their presales bitcoins

nope, the coins are untouched.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: lihuajkl on August 16, 2014, 02:13:25 PM
Bitstamp change its bank!


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: Nerazzura on August 16, 2014, 03:44:40 PM
Did Margin Trading Crash the Price of Bitcoin?

But while there were many theories as to what news events could have caused bitcoin’s value to fall into such a steep decline, some market observers believe that this most recent movement may have been caused not by external factors, but by the actions of bitcoin traders.

This theory, perhaps most notably posed by Raffael Danielli, posits that out-of-control margin trading caused a flash crash in at least one major bitcoin exchange market, a development that had a cascading effect across the larger bitcoin market.


http://www.coindesk.com/margin-trading-crash-price-bitcoin/


Bitfinex: cascading margin calls resulting in flash crash

Today Bitcoin prices took a dive as margin traders on one of the largest exchange Bitfinex got their orders liquidated. For many close market observers and more sophisticated traders this did not come as a surprise. In fact, long positions have been building up continuously over the last couple of months in anticipation of a new bubble in Bitcoin prices and reached as high as $30m in outstanding swap positions on Bitfinex.

http://www.matlabtrading.net/main/2014/08/14/bitfinex-margin-call-cascade-algorithm-explained/


interesting to see that there occur such events even in our little bitcoin world...but maybe bitcoin world is maturing  :) ? good or bad?


-LiteCoinGuy-
Can you give an opinion or reference the experts how to order bitcoin prices back to normal.
then we can spread the info to the forums or other bitcoin group


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: LiteCoinGuy on August 16, 2014, 03:56:49 PM
Bitstamp change its bank!

nobody cared about that. i doubt that this is the answer.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: Sheldor333 on August 16, 2014, 04:30:30 PM
Check Chinese exchanges selling unbacked btc, I think you'll find your answer there. In my opinion that is what is driving the price down. It's like a lot of forged money is around and sure it will drive the price down, since there is more then should be.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: odolvlobo on August 16, 2014, 05:18:54 PM
This theory, perhaps most notably posed by Raffael Danielli, posits that out-of-control margin trading caused a flash crash in at least one major bitcoin exchange market, a development that had a cascading effect across the larger bitcoin market.

The person writing this article doesn't know what a "flash crash" is. I doubt the accuracy of the article.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: ajareselde on August 16, 2014, 06:07:27 PM
Check Chinese exchanges selling unbacked btc, I think you'll find your answer there. In my opinion that is what is driving the price down. It's like a lot of forged money is around and sure it will drive the price down, since there is more then should be.

Price is also a bit controlled by large master trading accounts, and the waves dont hold for long , they are mostly short term.
I believe the manipulation wont be able to go much longer. Also its funny just how much large exchanges have controll over the price, just by their decision to keep their trading profits in bitcoin, or selling them for fiat instantly..


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: Beliathon on August 16, 2014, 06:58:42 PM
Relax. It's all just a little bit of history repeating. See for yourself:

https://i.imgur.com/FnJShDU.png


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: DurbanPoison on August 16, 2014, 08:44:09 PM
Margin trading on Bitfinex is certainly the most likely cause for the recent decline. I hope Bitcoin doesn't go the way of wall street full of highly leveraged trading and high frequency algorithms.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: gogxmagog on August 16, 2014, 11:13:14 PM
I fear that it will. Greed and a highly unregulated market are a dangerous mix. It would be a shame to see btc ruined this way.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: Beliathon on August 16, 2014, 11:18:05 PM
I fear that it will. Greed and a highly unregulated market are a dangerous mix. It would be a shame to see btc ruined this way.
The difference is bitcoin is global, tradable by anyone with a computer or even DUMB cell phone. It doesn't really matter here, it doesn't cause major economic damage the way derivatives trading does.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: zedicus on August 16, 2014, 11:47:52 PM
Check Chinese exchanges selling unbacked btc, I think you'll find your answer there. In my opinion that is what is driving the price down. It's like a lot of forged money is around and sure it will drive the price down, since there is more then should be.
I think panic selling by people on Chinese exchanges realizing that their bitcoin in their account is not backed by anything would cause a much larger drop in price. Look at what happened on Gox when it was clear that they did not have BTC to back their trading positions; the price fell as low as ~150/BTC when other exchanges were trading ~700-800/btc. If this was panic selling like this then we would see a much larger drop (IMO) and there would be a much larger divergence in the prices on various exchanges.


Title: Re: Margin Call in Bitcoin World
Post by: KeyserSozeMC on August 17, 2014, 04:29:24 AM
How about we call it Summer Effect?