Bitcoin Forum

Sell. Target 300-200. NB! When aproach target, will post next target.
Everything happens as expected. (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=757013)

Sell at 483. STOP 495. (short therm)
Sell at 500 STOP 505   (mid-short therm)


Support - must break.

480 Suport. current. xx:32
470 Support. low.
445-420 Support. medium-low.


Result on JAN.16.2015
http://s18.postimg.org/6hk9c83rd/Ssdd.png

so let me get this straight.... we were stable @ around $140 before silk road crash with hardly any ATMs - not actually 1 i dont think, BTC asics just on the market, hardly any china interest, mtgox running the show, no overstock, no dish, no dell, no Expedia, no official mentioning of how to bring BTC "legally" into the mainstream.....  and you think we somehow are going back to $200-$300 ?

Best you could hope for is some wild crash where you have 1 hour window to pick up.

Same sentiment this would be on the level of a USA Russia, or UK and  unanimously banning non-state entities from using Virtual currency in commerce
In other words a big step backwards
Thinking along the lines of they are pulling off an Ecuador.

In my opinion, there will be another dip and possibly a real despair phase this time around. I don't know if we we'll go as low as 200 to me it seems a bit exaggerated, but the area around there is on my radar aswell. I am almost certain we will see sub 400$ in the next few weeks and possibly 350$ so I spent a bit in the last month.

I tend to agree that sub $400 is possible but think we may not stay there for long
Trend presently certainly downwards

Wow such pessimism. Hard to see it dip below 450 at this moment it is 485 on coinbase. I am debating if I should purchase a coin today.

 I  made up my mind I purchased .5 at  $242.53 or 485 a coin.

Sentiment is low, the market is sluggish. Need to see if around 475/440 holds. I think we may see $440 in the next week.

The 200-300$ target is too low in my opinion, there's no reason for the price to crash so low.

How can it drop to 200 dollars, it's impossible because there would be a really high buying pressure eating all the (little?) sell walls.

I disagree and say that we've already seen the bottom. Sentiment is bearish (too bearish), but fundamentals are good (bitcoin is used by an increasing number of businesses). The last selloff (to $360) was sharp but short lived and buyers quickly eliminated the loss.

I don't expect a major uptrend yet. That will happen when Wallstreet buys in via investment vehicles like the Winklevoss ETF, which will also be followed by increased media attention.

ya.ya.yo!

up

I'm with ^^

Strong BUY.

Last support aproaching "445-420" , when broken fastly moves to diretion of target.

So we should sell now?

Yes sell, the more weak hands the better  ::)

Someone says we are going to the moon, some others that we will go to zero, so... make yourself agree!

Zero will only happen if another cryptocurrency completely takes all of the market from Bitcoin because it is technically superior. Since this is unlikely, and because crypto will be a major part of society in the not so distant future, the price of Bitcoin should go to what most people here would refer to as "the moon".

after 6 months + of bear market surely the weak hands have all been shook out?

Now it seems like shorters just attacking despite positive developments.

I have been thinking for a while that the supposed capitulation panic is missing. This is my first bubble so I might be wrong, but there just seems to be too much optimism. It's probably deliberate that this bear market is dragging on for as long as it is. They want us regular folks out I think.

The price is still dropping, it's $452 at the moment, can't believe it.

what is there not to believe in ?
bitcoin as a pay-service doesnt neet to have high value to be used.
bitcoin will survive, but your investments may not.

I dont think even then. zero could happen if there would be some technical flaw, that would make btc totally unusable. But for most people that BTC is 1 USD is same as zero.

Even if another cryptocurrency completely takes all of the market from Bitcoin I expect there would be a small hard core group of supporters trading it at very low prices.

LOL

How in the fuck Bitcoin can be a success without mass usage? and how isn't this directly related to high prices? give me a break.

We can have positive developments and infrastructure investment for a long time and continue to be in a bear market. These things are not necessarily directly related, nor do they occur in a vacuum. The relationship between BTCUSD and the infrastructure of the BTC economy is not immediately clear. People can cite things like Metcalfe's law, but it is not clear that user adoption is (at all) happening to the extent that justifies a valuation on that basis.

Both transaction volumes and wallet numbers have risen throughout the year. Infrastructure and seed capital has rocketed in the last twelve months.

What metrics other than declining price are you using to justify a falling valuation for bitcoin going forward?

Transaction volumes and wallet numbers are horrible data points for accurately measuring user adoption. We may be able to glean something, but taking those metrics to assume that exponential growth in adoption is happening would be a huge leap of faith.

Infrastructure and seed capital can continue to rocket for some time while we continue in a bear market. There is absolutely no reason why not. If you build it, they will come...... or...... maybe not. VCs make fail investments all the time. :P

 cool kids are selling now.

Will load up 10 bitcoin if it really hit 200 for a short term trade.

Note!! that I will post next forecast when target is aproaching!!
Price could go under 200 easily! I for exemple, currently really want to see 1 btc per $50

Stay in touch via twitter. https://twitter.com/guy_wonderful (Forecasts posts synchronized)

anyway chart analysis worked very well for btc in the past...

Fallin like a rock.. :(.

5 usd left. (424 current)

420 is floor, buy up till $500 while you can!

Must admit that there has been a bit lower bears pressure as expected. Thought price 400 will break two hours ago... But that's nothing special. We just met 400 - Psihological price level, which also acts as, and already reached - new lows from April 10. What can be better? If you still not in the shorts, greatest time to do so...


P.S.
I really wonder why this my thread was moved from Economics to Sub section speculations.... Pfffff.

Next important price - 344, which is "historical low."
That's the last bastion before moving to the target. When 344 broken, let's say reaches 320, could very fast (in two days), reach 2xx per 1btc.

Here also we can make a trading recomandation. Sell at 320, STOP at 340-360 380 Target same. That's also is a short therm.

Some speculations.. and a bit of controversy.
344 important fundamentaly. "That's the new prices from time anybody talked about regulations of bitcoin for first time" For many that could mean that price enters in a new phase. For next few years we could trade in a halway of 50-200.< but that's just "speculation" for today, just a fast look to the posible real future of btc. Real forecast could be made just when target price reached.

So that I could find it. ^^

$200 is possible, maybe caused by margin call. Long term, it will be higher.

there won't be any 200, we are stable, expect a rise, not anytime soon though

Thx, im really appreciate it.


2xx by end of tomorows evening.


That's one of reasons which causes this.

Oh, great, a solid prediction. I love those. Really wanted to bet something but seeing that you are a strong psychic I'll just watch in awe.

I'll do him one better and say xxx by tonight.

It should be yyy in one hour. Don't miss your opportunity!

psychic? heh.. try to watch charts hours in a roof. Like for 10 hours non stop. Day, week or month.. I'ts almos like to see the "matrix" you almost feel every movement. And if we admit that I trade almost for 10 years.. Then,.. I would say maybe experience... or at the last.. intuition. But sure not some PSUHICS.. I hate religios stuff! And I know the TRUTH. Monii - that's what's matter. If you discard all things but monii, whole system looks much, much easier and simpler.

I'm wonder how someone really buys now for "long therm" investment. Not I, not HE, not even GOD knows now such "long" therm prices. They simply do not exist in the nature. Like a future does not exists.
In worst I can be wrong in fundamental things, for exemple I could forget something or miss some fundamentaly important event. Which I think I miss not. (there is no many fundamentaly things like on others markets and my memory as I knew is OK)
If you so sure that price will go high PLEASE tell me what fundamentaly matters for that. And I would gladly and thankfully to you, buy. Other ways any "long" therm investment is nothing more like a "speculation" or 50/50 (which, must admit, together with poor money managment have in orders smaller chance to win compared to casino for exemple). No one knows that price will go up for today. It raised at beginning on the basis of uncertainty but today we know much more about bitcoin and can look at it more realistically. And thing which we know isn't much bull optimistic.

So, to answer shorter.
Science yes please, religion hell no.

P.S.
piramida - still ignored, i will not unignore no matter what.

...Or down tomorrow. But you are claiming you know. Which you don't :)

As for long-term, true, you can't figure that out from price history. That you can only guess based on fundamentals - you make your own judgement based on facts, and believe in it. Some believe it has a basically infallible foundation for future growth. Others think it's a scam which will get somehow ruined or forgotten. Can respect both opinions. But *knowing* that it will jump 25% down tomorrow? That's psychic, sorry :)

so, where is your prediction now?

there is no sub $350, like i said in many thread already, bitcoin is still 400% vs last year

To be fair, as some around here have noted over the past several months, the moves are much slower than back in 2013. $350 and below very well may come in time. In fact, I'm still betting on it. :)

I missed those 2xx Bitcoins. Screw you, dream world >:(

Seriously, if it goes to 2xx range I will buy more with my savings.

You'll have to have fiat on exchanges when it happens, if I had to guess. If we get down into the $200s, I don't think we're gonna stay long. That's the kind of deep plunge into support that could launch a very strong rally, very quickly.

Somehow I do not think there will be a plunge this time. It looks like everybody is holding ammo for the plunge, but if it can stable for a bit they will start buying and it may rise faster than thought.

My wishful thinking ;D

Are you ready KIDS?
YES CAPTAIN!
I DONT HEEEAAAR YOUU
YES CAPTAIN!

WHOOOOOOOOOOO LIVES AT THE BOTOM OF CHART
-PRICE OF BIT COIN.

WHOOOOOOOOOOO IS THE GREATEST THING ONT THE MARS (?? ??)
-PRICE OF BIT COIN.




IF SERIOUSLY, what a great sell walls observed currently. on btc e. DELICIOUS


http://img1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20100710003950/spongebob/images/archive/0/01/20120715222257!Christmas_Who_002.jpg

I see so many posts about another drop coming, that it's bound to happen, especially if we don't break above $430 within 48-72 hours. I've sold half my btc's, so I'm hoping we drop and I buy more below $400. I'm in it for the long run, but holding from buying in at $4xx to $680, then down to $300, isn't the smartest investment plan. Gain btc's when the market presents you with the opprotunity.

careful, please be careful, Josh....

Either psychic failed or he was right but just does not know the difference between 2 and 4.

Yes, came all the way here just to make fun of you. Now bye again.

okay. some consalidation. so? just means my stops was closed at 395.
And I'm again in short at 440. with stop at 452
Nothing makes me to buy before market touches area of 50-250.

corrective 344 340

340 also can act as psyhological price.  new historical low in general.

$18 left . 358 current
If not in short already SELL. Thanks to you for attention.

The best trading advice is, sell ORDERS at 330 with stops at 360-380

330 currently. New historical low reached. Congratulations!
WHat seen now on graph called "agony" in next feew days there will be smaller and smaller amount of buyers.
I'm wondering now actualy, why market not at 280 already. Because holidays?

Opsie. I see I was too early. 2 of 4 exchanges has not reached boiling point jet. So rare! Still must wait. 2 Hours?

Why are you so sure tho? where is the evidence. Im gonna put my cards on something in betwee, like say 250... this is my limit. We are all gambling with this anyway, so its your responsability.

330 where? it should be 330 on every exchnage to be classified as "hystorical low reached", if you see 330 on btc-e only, that does not count


i have my crystal ball, i was already expecting around 350,(i said that in some thread one week ago)

my crystal ball say 236 now, but i'm not sure if is 236 or 2360(my crystal ball have problem predicting when there are zeros), and my crystal ball doesn't say "when"

????????????????
post #60 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=763844.msg9079022#msg9079022

could reach 240-250 tomorow.

That a trade recommendation?

yap, today not good time to cover shorts.

shorts now, 327
342 stops
target same.

short 327
stop 352
target same

Will cover all shorts at 352.
And waiting for the best moment to reopen them. Market very unpredictable currently. And can be very bullish.

High probability to jump to 410 in a seconds if 350 will be broken.

Shorts covered.

Worst time to cover!! People are opening more at 350, the stop is 370... Possible to hit 380-400 if strong bullishness is shown but right now market is already turning bearish. 350 was when you should have opened your shorts. PM ME!

Great advice man lol. I guess that spike to $377.75 was you covering your short on Finex. :P

No sir, I am not shorting in this market... too many short getting squeezed!

Back at short!
That was soon, that's sometimes hapends.

Short at 351
Stop at 385

Target 200.

Finaly in short. Great time to go to short right now - to sell.
Very short position, with great stops.


Position Short at 376
STOP 388
Target 200

When aproach target will post next target.


Second position.
"Mid therm" (if so can be called at btc markets)
Short at 376
Stop 418
Target 200

How did that work out?


Or that one?



Fuck it , i think  your newest prediction will finally gone work out!

Did you read "short covered" post #70? Exactly the same happend to the stops order.
I'm certainlty was too excited over uncovered floating profit. But lost less than 10% of gained profits.. soo.
Important thing is that now we are going realy down.
Bitcoin is officially dead..

That is almost a 10% loss? If leveraged, which most shorts are, even 20-30+%???

Dont mix this with the money managment. That's your homework. I said how much these trades costed to me.

Nice 200 target. Mines 205.

General trend is up if BTC survive next two years.

The OP shouldn't be edited in this kind of thread. :)

Not editing my posts. :P almost, some grammer sometimes..  so..

As I promised to post near target 200 There is new target.


Target is much lower than 200.


Cant realy make any prediction at current situation cuz market reeaching new lows/highs and therfore just forming.
Techincaly important price, of course, is 120, which could be reached before february 12.
If market stays  at this point or lower until february 12, will be cosidered new target : 120.

Will close this topic after a week because don't really see an need for it anymore.

P.S.
Of course 64 is really possible!

Result
http://s18.postimg.org/6hk9c83rd/Ssdd.png

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