|
Title: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 02:01:11 PM streaks do not effect the result of the next roll.
Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: jambola2 on September 13, 2014, 02:23:55 PM What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak) No, no, it won't work unless you buy my super ultra script that auto-bets for you and will make you win all the time ! (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy) Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: Bitcoinexp on September 13, 2014, 02:33:10 PM Go for it! You either make it big or you lose it all. That's what i always say to myself when i feel an urge to gamble xD
Or if you're betting a large sum. Just do this: 1. Get a coin. 2. Gamble for heads, Don't gamble for tails or anyway you like it. 3. Before you flip it, cover it. Whatever you wish the coin to show. Follow it, because that's what your eally want. xD Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: FanEagle on September 13, 2014, 03:01:25 PM then try it if statistically is hard to get, on the internet it's easier to get!
Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: B4RF on September 13, 2014, 04:36:49 PM The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place? What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak) Some guys don't get the math behind gambling ::) There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %. You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet. And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true, you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time. Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: ttman on September 14, 2014, 03:21:54 AM The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place? What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak) Some guys don't get the math behind gambling ::) There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %. You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet. And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true, you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time. So what you're trying to say is that this streak could go on to 20, then 30, then 40 in a row? the problem with you guys and your gambler fallacy crap is that the odds defeat your arguments. i've never seen over 15 streak on manual bet on PD hence why I say 3 more goes and I doubt it'll go under 49.5 again. Besides, who said 49.5% was the chance I would use? since I hit a 49 just then, I would probably use 1.85-1.92x which is around 52.5% chance. This my 25 streak in a row haha ;D http://prntscr.com/4i8u84 Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: ttman on September 14, 2014, 04:06:15 AM The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place? What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak) Some guys don't get the math behind gambling ::) There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %. You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet. And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true, you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time. So what you're trying to say is that this streak could go on to 20, then 30, then 40 in a row? the problem with you guys and your gambler fallacy crap is that the odds defeat your arguments. i've never seen over 15 streak on manual bet on PD hence why I say 3 more goes and I doubt it'll go under 49.5 again. Besides, who said 49.5% was the chance I would use? since I hit a 49 just then, I would probably use 1.85-1.92x which is around 52.5% chance. This my 25 streak in a row haha ;D http://prntscr.com/4i8u84 So sorry i dont get u . i just continue playing till balance run out and deposit to continue . :D Title: Re: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy Post by: jambola2 on September 14, 2014, 04:09:42 AM What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak) No, no, it won't work unless you buy my super ultra script that auto-bets for you and will make you win all the time ! (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy) That is what gambler's fallacy is. THE NEXT ROLL DOES NOT DEPEND ON THE PREVIOUS ONES. |