Title: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on September 30, 2014, 05:10:29 AM :)
according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) info : the amount of days needed to generate 1 bitcoin presumed around 34 days Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: williamevanl on September 30, 2014, 05:14:06 AM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) I just spent 700$ to acquire some stock. Let's say it is 10 dollars a piece so I have 70. If you think it doesn't make sense that I will sell it for 8$ just because it cost me 10$ to acquire then you don't understand what happens everyday in the stock market. It doesn't matter what it cost to purchase/create etc.. if it becomes worth less than that you will still sell it if it obviously losing value. So two things, yes they will sell for less than it cost to acquire and yes they will stop mining. Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on September 30, 2014, 05:40:34 AM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) I just spent 700$ to acquire some stock. Let's say it is 10 dollars a piece so I have 70. If you think it doesn't make sense that I will sell it for 8$ just because it cost me 10$ to acquire then you don't understand what happens everyday in the stock market. It doesn't matter what it cost to purchase/create etc.. if it becomes worth less than that you will still sell it if it obviously losing value. So two things, yes they will sell for less than it cost to acquire and yes they will stop mining. Thank you for your trading tip. but if they stopped mining, then selling pressure also reduced. btw if Power Cost ($/kWh) at 0.3 1 bitcoin is 372 just for the electricity ATM. :'( so sad for them miner there Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on September 30, 2014, 06:01:46 AM ^ but won't mining difficulty also decrease if there are fewer miners? This would lead to there always being some miners, and selling pressure anyway. Still, I don't believe we will see a much lower value than what it is now, so no $200 a bitcoin this year. (or ever, I hope) Also, depending on where you live, you can have cheaper electricity. (or even free in some cases) are you bull or bear or both ? ;D Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: fewcoins on September 30, 2014, 08:52:14 AM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) I just spent 700$ to acquire some stock. Let's say it is 10 dollars a piece so I have 70. If you think it doesn't make sense that I will sell it for 8$ just because it cost me 10$ to acquire then you don't understand what happens everyday in the stock market. It doesn't matter what it cost to purchase/create etc.. if it becomes worth less than that you will still sell it if it obviously losing value. So two things, yes they will sell for less than it cost to acquire and yes they will stop mining. Finally some real input here!!! +1[/b] Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: AtheistAKASaneBrain on September 30, 2014, 12:51:44 PM In my opinion is a very valid posibility, I think we will see it lower than we can expect before we hit ATH again.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 12:54:18 PM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) I just spent 700$ to acquire some stock. Let's say it is 10 dollars a piece so I have 70. If you think it doesn't make sense that I will sell it for 8$ just because it cost me 10$ to acquire then you don't understand what happens everyday in the stock market. It doesn't matter what it cost to purchase/create etc.. if it becomes worth less than that you will still sell it if it obviously losing value. So two things, yes they will sell for less than it cost to acquire and yes they will stop mining. I won't sell at a loss... it would appear many BTCers are king bag holders as well.. this same concept is why gold is still worth something... I and many others never sell our mind coins. Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: Hunyadi on September 30, 2014, 01:02:59 PM In my opinion is a very valid posibility, I think we will see it lower than we can expect before we hit ATH again. You just want to buy even cheaper coins, c'mon ;) Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: Undefeatable on September 30, 2014, 01:51:06 PM $366 is the bottom, no way its going lower..
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 02:00:11 PM $366 is the bottom, no way its going lower.. It is possible but very low odds. IMO there are too many people like you and I that will buy BTC at $366 but who knows. Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: mestar on September 30, 2014, 03:07:42 PM I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. Except that market does not care about the cost of production. If your miner holds Bitoins and price keeps falling every day, then your miner can indeed sell even for $10, and somehow still remain rational. Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: fewcoins on September 30, 2014, 04:06:19 PM You miscalculated the cost of production by A LOT! Those numbers are pretty close for individual miners but def not for those huge mining farms.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: Unbelive on September 30, 2014, 04:14:22 PM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) info : the amount of days needed to generate 1 bitcoin presumed around 34 days what kind of electricity you used here? you pedal it on your bike? Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: yayayo on September 30, 2014, 04:40:13 PM While it is possible that miners behave irrational for some time - that is selling Bitcoin below cost base - I doubt they'll do for an extended period. So a panic sell-off is a possibility, but it would be a short term event.
Given the negative sentiment in contrast to positive news, I'm quite sure we are near the bottom. Still, I don't think we will enter a new mania phase right away. I think an extended stabilization phase will follow. ya.ya.yo! Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: pizza77 on September 30, 2014, 07:58:27 PM Early adopters with millions of dollars worth of bitcoins might push the price lower. some of them probably just want a million dollars now, rather than more than that in five years time.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: rohnearner on September 30, 2014, 08:10:02 PM $366 is the bottom, no way its going lower.. Would you like to substantiate your claims..? I heard same thing when we hit 420$ few months back then it went upto 650$ then fell down to 600$ , 550$ 500$ 450$ 400$ and now again to 366$ and on each stage they said its not going to sink further low but again next week it goes down ..! I hope you are correct here and things do turn around and I'll not deny the possibility of that happening, but I will not deny the possibility of opposite happening either.Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 08:17:47 PM $366 is the bottom, no way its going lower.. Would you like to substantiate your claims..? I heard same thing when we hit 420$ few months back then it went upto 650$ then fell down to 600$ , 550$ 500$ 450$ 400$ and now again to 366$ and on each stage they said its not going to sink further low but again next week it goes down ..! I hope you are correct here and things do turn around and I'll not deny the possibility of that happening, but I will not deny the possibility of opposite happening either.The low point of the massive sell off from earlier this year.... How does no one get this... ~$260 was the last all time high hence peoples idea if we break 366 that would be the next "bottom". Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: RodeoX on September 30, 2014, 08:25:04 PM No one knows man. Your asking a question that will get lots of answers, but no one knows.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: Morguk on September 30, 2014, 08:51:38 PM absolutely not.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: r3wt on September 30, 2014, 08:55:37 PM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) I just spent 700$ to acquire some stock. Let's say it is 10 dollars a piece so I have 70. If you think it doesn't make sense that I will sell it for 8$ just because it cost me 10$ to acquire then you don't understand what happens everyday in the stock market. It doesn't matter what it cost to purchase/create etc.. if it becomes worth less than that you will still sell it if it obviously losing value. So two things, yes they will sell for less than it cost to acquire and yes they will stop mining. Thank you for your trading tip. but if they stopped mining, then selling pressure also reduced. btw if Power Cost ($/kWh) at 0.3 1 bitcoin is 372 just for the electricity ATM. :'( so sad for them miner there Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: catena5260 on September 30, 2014, 08:59:12 PM For me it is more likely than a miracle happens and all of sudden we get 1000+ this year.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on October 01, 2014, 02:01:52 AM :) according to http://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/bitcoin-mining-calculator/?h=2000.00&p=1500.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=34661425923.97690000&r=25.00000000&er=378.50000000&hc=1500 which i use to compare price of 1 bitcoin and the price of electricity to generate 1 bitcoin, using latest bitcoin miner spec on the market. I get result that 1 bitcoin at this moment cost around 125usd in electricity alone. this without maintenance/internet/human cost. this mean no rational miner should be selling under 200 usd. but do you think btc trader will sell under 200 usd. Thanks for your input ;) info : the amount of days needed to generate 1 bitcoin presumed around 34 days what kind of electricity you used here? you pedal it on your bike? http://shrinkthatfootprint.com/average-electricity-prices-kwh Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on October 01, 2014, 02:08:26 AM You miscalculated the cost of production by A LOT! Those numbers are pretty close for individual miners but def not for those huge mining farms. great... so can you show me the true ELECTRICITY cost of production of 1 BTC ? or should the electricity be free ? Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: POM on October 01, 2014, 02:32:54 AM You miscalculated the cost of production by A LOT! Those numbers are pretty close for individual miners but def not for those huge mining farms. great... so can you show me the true ELECTRICITY cost of production of 1 BTC ? or should the electricity be free ? Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: cinder on October 01, 2014, 03:25:56 AM Coin trend is switching PoS and PoI type. As more coins enter the market, market cap will get spread to some lesser known coins.
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: Reynaldo on January 14, 2015, 11:55:19 AM I feel this post should be bumped. Price is 195 and as low as 185 at btce
Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on January 14, 2015, 02:39:01 PM I feel this post should be bumped. Price is 195 and as low as 185 at btce honestlyi hate this price Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: nomoreheroes7 on January 14, 2015, 02:46:50 PM I feel this post should be bumped. Price is 195 and as low as 185 at btce honestlyi hate this price You were only off by 14 days, Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: kuusj98 on January 14, 2015, 03:21:32 PM Haha I remember this thread, went for a yes on the poll.
Anyway, I'd much rather see it rise than duck below 180 which it is at ATM. Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: sukamasoto on January 14, 2015, 04:18:36 PM Well take a look on the graph
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/btce/btcusd The trend is down and it is not possible that bitcoin will reach under $ 200 Just checked preev.com and it hit $ 188,9 :-\ Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: pereira4 on January 14, 2015, 06:41:35 PM Well take a look on the graph Dude check bitcoinwisdom and check for the lowest price, we've touched $ 154, so thats the current wall, with this trend tho I see it being broken... hope im wrong.https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/btce/btcusd The trend is down and it is not possible that bitcoin will reach under $ 200 Just checked preev.com and it hit $ 188,9 :-\ Title: Re: will bitcoin hit under 200 usd this year ? Post by: noobtrader on January 14, 2015, 06:55:15 PM Well take a look on the graph Dude check bitcoinwisdom and check for the lowest price, we've touched $ 154, so thats the current wall, with this trend tho I see it being broken... hope im wrong.https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/btce/btcusd The trend is down and it is not possible that bitcoin will reach under $ 200 Just checked preev.com and it hit $ 188,9 :-\ if 154 being broken, i wonder who will still be mining ? well maybe we will all mining with cpu again just like teh old times ??? |