Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Elwar on October 09, 2014, 03:20:07 PM



Title: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: Elwar on October 09, 2014, 03:20:07 PM
Using this site you can model some of thing aspects of the market that you believe will take place and get a price from there.

http://worldbitcoinnetwork.com/BitcoinPriceModel-Alpha.html

Based on the model, what price do you think we will be at in one year?


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: okthen on October 09, 2014, 03:27:22 PM
Got around 33000 per coin, only significantly moving the ecommerce percentage. Quite a fun toy :)


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: derpinheimer on October 09, 2014, 06:05:03 PM
I got $620 for 1 years, and $390 for 3 years.


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: SmoothCurves on October 09, 2014, 06:33:13 PM
50k (maybe 100k). The fall from $1200 -> $270 marked the end of an era and the beginning of a new one. I think we could see close to $1M by 2018 and then a huge retraction down to $200k. Then a slow and steady climb back to $1M in late 2020.


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: Kluge on October 09, 2014, 06:54:45 PM
$5.5k now, $14.2k in 5 years with ~1/2 of value coming from black market adoption, with remittances making up the other large chunk.

Assuming "fundamental value" increases proportional to exchange rate (market value a bit under 7% of "fundamental value"), market value "should be" ~$970.76 five years from now, with possible price range of $823.60-$2426.91 (using this year's low and high close prices).

.... Oh, I didn't answer the question. ~$505.70-$1490.16 in one year.


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: exocytosis on October 09, 2014, 07:05:48 PM
$ 0.02


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: Chef Ramsay on October 09, 2014, 07:14:30 PM
Just using the available standard metrics I came up w/ $1700+ and that's w/o increasing hedge fund or panic buy worldwide mania setting in at any point. If that happens, an extremely violent upswing would commence and go 5 digits.


Title: Re: What is your modeled price in one year?
Post by: Wilhelm on October 09, 2014, 07:18:25 PM
I don't understand the site but got $100000/coin using the "Self-fulfilled-prophecy" method 8)