Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Trading Discussion => Topic started by: unk1911 on June 28, 2012, 12:46:39 AM



Title: SatoshiDice Issue
Post by: unk1911 on June 28, 2012, 12:46:39 AM
i have noticed something off regarding SatoshiDice a couple fo days.  on june 25th, 2012, it appears they made some modifications to the system and it appears that if i add up all of the bets that i have sent to the following address: 1dice7fUkz5h4z2wPc1wLMPWgB5mDwKDx

that the payout odds coming back, were on average  1:7.91. however, if you look on the main page,  the advertised payout is 24.4141%:

lessthan 16000   1dice7fUkz5h4z2wPc1wLMPWgB5mDwKDx    24.4141%   3.958x   3.000%   97.000%   0.0010   5.0000

something seems to be broken and i am kind of disappointed (mostly in myself), because it took approx 100 BTC of losses for me to realize that something was seriously wrong here.  when i actually sat down and counted up the # of wins vs # of losses (regardless of the bet amount), i saw that 1:7.91 ratio, instead of the expected 1:4 ratio... 


Title: Re: SatoshiDice Issue
Post by: Jake on June 28, 2012, 02:41:55 AM
Why would you gamble 100 BTC...


Title: Re: SatoshiDice Issue
Post by: unk1911 on June 28, 2012, 02:46:13 AM
because prior to june 25th, i was up about the same,  so i was playing with this thing for quite some time... i agree that it shouldn't have taken me this long that something was broken.   i hope they can reverse out all the transactions since this occurred. 


Title: Re: SatoshiDice Issue
Post by: Jake on June 28, 2012, 02:52:08 AM
If I'm not mistaken, doesn't Satoshi dice run with bet's? So your 100BTC is with a ton of other people right now?


Title: Re: SatoshiDice Issue
Post by: unk1911 on June 28, 2012, 03:19:30 AM
when i get a chance i will try to do some analysis on my tx's against "dice 4x" address = 1dice7fUkz5h4z2wPc1wLMPWgB5mDwKDx   
if there's a clear pattern for ALL of the bets and it shows 1:8 i will then like to analyze every bet sent to 1dice7fUkz5h4z2wPc1wLMPWgB5mDwKDx and every reply it sent back since 25-jun.  if there's a larger pattern showing 1:8   (instead of 1:4), then i think everyone deserves to know this and get reimbursed, it only sounds fair, no?