Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: mskryxz on January 01, 2015, 04:16:23 PM



Title: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on January 01, 2015, 04:16:23 PM
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497



Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: God27 on January 01, 2015, 04:37:31 PM
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497




$157.23


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: SOAD on January 01, 2015, 04:41:18 PM
I'd like to think it will be in excess of $1,000+ but this may just be wishful thinking, but I'll stick with that officially.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on January 05, 2015, 07:49:29 PM
Cmon let's break 1k this year!


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mlferro on January 05, 2015, 07:54:10 PM
I'd like to think it will be in excess of $1,000+ but this may just be wishful thinking, but I'll stick with that officially.
also wanted this. And likewise, difficult imagine.
But who knows?


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Pecunia non olet on January 05, 2015, 08:17:58 PM
exchange the plus for minus and i can vote.
I want to vote 'less than 100$' but that option is not there.
Thread is obviously too bulish.
The poll as it stands now is useless as only bulls can vote in a meaningful way.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: ravenjt on January 05, 2015, 08:48:21 PM
I reckon 49 usd, so I voted less than 50.
here cometh the pain.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: nwfella on January 05, 2015, 08:50:15 PM
Cmon let's break 1k this year!
Heck, at this point I'd be happy with $500 by the end of the year :/


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: worldtreasurefinders on January 05, 2015, 08:53:13 PM
Cmon let's break 1k this year!
Heck, at this point I'd be happy with $500 by the end of the year :/

I think there will be some recovery this year, so I'm guessing between $500 and $600.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: AT101ET on January 05, 2015, 08:55:28 PM
This is all subjective and nobody actually knows what's going to happen.
I can't predict but I'm hoping for $1k+


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Prelude on January 06, 2015, 12:55:57 AM
Here's to hoping for $1k+, but I voted $500+.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: ravenjt on January 06, 2015, 01:36:40 PM
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on January 06, 2015, 08:05:11 PM
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


I hope we get more than the 497 votes last year.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: fish731 on January 06, 2015, 09:56:29 PM
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: ravenjt on January 07, 2015, 10:03:16 AM
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?

It depends on your desired level of precision in the results. Pollsters usually go for at least 1,000 respondents, but we don't need such precision.
I would say that the 497 votes achieved last time is plenty.
Less than 200 would be dodgy.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: sgbett on January 07, 2015, 10:41:36 AM
140,000


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: ravenjt on January 08, 2015, 03:35:46 PM
140,000

We don't need that many respondents for a good sample.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: justinetime on January 08, 2015, 03:40:51 PM
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497



I'd like to see over $600 at the end of this year.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: spazzdla on January 08, 2015, 03:42:21 PM
$65


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: poncho32 on January 08, 2015, 05:06:33 PM
$7,500+

I predict we are at the start of a new rocket ride because of all the despair here.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Dexter770221 on January 08, 2015, 05:11:26 PM
500$+
2016 becuse of halving will be a year of new ATH. Earlier we will see price movements up and down due to more and more adoption and propably due to ETF.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: ravenjt on January 09, 2015, 09:16:03 AM
I see others are starting identical threads, so this needs bumping...


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: dnaleor on January 09, 2015, 11:19:02 AM
140,000

 ;D


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: DeadCoin on January 09, 2015, 11:37:19 AM
Most bullish scenario, another spike to $450, and deflating toward low $200s, or 100s by the end of the year
double digits - realistic scenario
single digits or abandonment - bearish scenario


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Morecoin Freeman on January 09, 2015, 06:14:18 PM
My wild guess is $457 USD per coin so I voted 250+.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: HarmonLi on January 09, 2015, 07:25:49 PM
I'll just re-state what I said in the other thread: I think it will be $2.3k. We will have seen another bubble, but most likely have gone down quite a bit again. The bubble will be caused by the next block-reward halving everyone anticipates.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: MrBig on October 29, 2015, 11:57:06 PM
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: coinplus on October 30, 2015, 08:20:13 AM
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

Yes with current price rally we can see $500 to $600 levels by the end of this year 2015. But new need more good news to push the bitcoin price further to make it possible with ease. But when we are considering the halving, at least $500 levels are very much possible.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: 1Referee on October 30, 2015, 08:23:56 AM
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: MrBig on October 30, 2015, 03:15:28 PM
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.

Reminds me of 2013, when Gox was leading the other exchanges up into the stratosphere. Hopefully we don't run into any 'mechanical failures' this time around :D


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Mickeyb on October 30, 2015, 03:19:23 PM
Crap, for the first time I don't know what to put. Everything is really possible the way Bitcoin has moved the last few weeks.

But before this movement, if someone has offered me $500 at the new year's eve I would have taken it without even thinking, so I will say that I would be happy if we get to the stable $500.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: aajtak on October 30, 2015, 03:32:16 PM
I will predict a conservative $400. Just a few days ago that would have sounded overly optimistic, now it sounds on par, haha.

I like the $100,000 predictions in the poll, I wish  ;D


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: dothebeats on October 30, 2015, 03:32:35 PM
Voted $1000+.

With the way the market moved the past few weeks, I can say that this one is really going to the moon! With several attempts to take down the price and large amount of coins being shorted, still this bull run didn't seem to care and kept on surging forwards. With that kind of reaction to the markets, do you think the bulls will settle for only three digits by the end of this year? No, I don't think so.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: notbatman on October 30, 2015, 03:35:58 PM
My prediction for December 31st, 2015: BTC at par with XAU.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: uki on October 30, 2015, 03:51:38 PM
My prediction for December 31st, 2015: BTC at par with XAU.
You predict that gold will drop below $500? well that is a very brave prediction!
I would expect the lowest low of this bear in gold to be put in the three-digit territory, but even in the wildest dreams I wouldn't go below $850-900.
I doubt that Bitcoin can go that high in what reminds this year, then the only option is for gold to go that low. The sell-off in gold just started after last fed headlines, but we are still in the $1140 region.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: richardsNY on October 30, 2015, 06:51:29 PM
Voted $1000+.

With the way the market moved the past few weeks, I can say that this one is really going to the moon! With several attempts to take down the price and large amount of coins being shorted, still this bull run didn't seem to care and kept on surging forwards. With that kind of reaction to the markets, do you think the bulls will settle for only three digits by the end of this year? No, I don't think so.

With the current trend reaching $1000 is not that impossible. Especially when people continue with buying heavily as they do right now. I really hope we'll go over $400 in November.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: jaberwock on October 30, 2015, 06:55:20 PM
$600

$5 rise by day, almost 2 months and some slow weekends and holidays


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on December 18, 2015, 07:54:19 PM
I'll be posting another Poll on Jan 1, 2016. Just wanted to bump to show others the results earlier in 2015.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: n691309 on December 18, 2015, 07:56:57 PM
The bitcoin price i think will be from $250+ and up to $500 but i don't think will be $500+ as there are only 12-13 days left.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on December 18, 2015, 08:00:00 PM
500$+
2016 becuse of halving will be a year of new ATH. Earlier we will see price movements up and down due to more and more adoption and propably due to ETF.

You're pretty damn close with your prediction seeing how it was $276 on January 8, 2015 and that we still have about 2 weeks left in December and are at $460.

What are your thoughts for 2016?


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: HarryKPeters on December 18, 2015, 08:25:51 PM
I go for 250, since i expect it will not reach the 500 value. If it will a draw back to 400 is very likely.
Seeing the results i think most of us are very optimistic or they took a sip of whisky before voting.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: worhiper_-_ on December 18, 2015, 08:27:54 PM
I put 250+ because 500 is literally double than that. I think 250 is more realistic than 500 still but I'd wish there was a vote for 350, imo it's realistic as well, as it's near where the price used to be prior to the rise.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Oscoda on December 18, 2015, 08:28:23 PM
I would like to predict higher, but in December 31 won't go that high for now.
I think in 2016 will just go to 1000 dollars, we just need to wait what will happen.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: smiletyson on December 18, 2015, 08:29:56 PM
I think it'll be around $400, voted for 250$+
Remember last year, price crashed hard. I hop this time it won't be like that.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: bitcoinboy12 on December 18, 2015, 08:52:36 PM
For me the price will be below $400 after christmas ends.
The price now still stable until 25 after that the price will become low..


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: notbatman on December 18, 2015, 09:13:41 PM
For me the price will be below $400 after christmas ends.
The price now still stable until 25 after that the price will become low..

Short BTC much?


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: Nimbulan on December 18, 2015, 09:23:09 PM
i predict that the price will be over 500 dollars per bitcoin the price has a lot of potential to row now and in my opinion pretty soon the price will start booming again and will easily get over 500 dollar prank what means that i will make a lot of money


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: randy8777 on December 18, 2015, 10:42:29 PM
my guess is that the price will either be $20 higher or lower than $500 at december 31. i think that's a more than reasonable price to end this year with. that means we have gained over 100% value in less than a year. not bad  8)


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: angaper on December 18, 2015, 11:36:25 PM
my guess is that the price will either be $20 higher or lower than $500 at december 31. i think that's a more than reasonable price to end this year with. that means we have gained over 100% value in less than a year. not bad  8)

Well, this poll was opened the first day of this 2015. Answering these days is more advantageous because this 2015 is about to end. All of you are disqualified!!!  ;D


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: avw1982 on December 19, 2015, 03:13:34 PM
I think it'll be around $400, voted for 250$+
Remember last year, price crashed hard. I hop this time it won't be like that.

Yup Op's prediction is apart Just see that voting pool Its majority to 500$ and more only. Even Many predictor reported as Bitcoin will fall again If its fall also We will not see a fall like that in previous years. Hope for the price to go up. that only good for us.


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: vendetahome on December 19, 2015, 03:25:57 PM
i predict that it will be somewhere between 400 and 500 marks because the price looks like to be stable right now it would be great if it could go more than 500 though i dont think its possible


Title: Re: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015
Post by: mskryxz on December 31, 2015, 09:22:51 PM
Any last minute votes :) ???