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Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: BitPost on January 03, 2015, 02:17:31 PM



Title: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: BitPost on January 03, 2015, 02:17:31 PM
Hey guys,

There were many thoughts expressed by Bitcoin experts about 2015 forecasts. But we'd like to hear the voice of community. What do you think will happen to Bitcoin in the upcoming year? Are you optimistic or pessimistic? What makes you think so? Please, speak out. We'd like to hear more opinions.

Started a thread on Reddit as well:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2r7cy2/bitcoin_in_2015_your_predictions/


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Flashman on January 03, 2015, 02:24:49 PM
I'm going to go with the cast iron solid prediction that price will go sideways, better than 50% of the time.  ;D


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: H.W.Z on January 03, 2015, 02:30:47 PM
I think many consumer killer applications will come out in 2015, the ecosystem will be getting more comprehensive and perfect, fundamental factors will come out to increase its intrinsic value to support its price.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: BitPost on January 03, 2015, 02:35:23 PM
Hey guys,

There were many thoughts expressed by Bitcoin experts about 2015 forecasts. But we'd like to hear the voice of community. What do you think will happen to Bitcoin in the upcoming year? Are you optimistic or pessimistic? What makes you think so? Please, speak out. We'd like to hear more opinions.


Optimistic or pessimistic about the price or the technology and the developments happening?

Actually, it may concern anything. Starting from the Bitcoin price, and ending up with more in-depth issues, such as technology & developments


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Q7 on January 03, 2015, 02:49:46 PM
I try to be optimistic. I mean what else can go wrong from here. There is no more Mt Gox. People are gaining trust in the system. Microsoft is trying it out to see if it works. Not to mention Paypal. Forget about the price. If it drops, I'm sure there are many who are willing to buy at lower price, pushing it back up once again.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: okae on January 03, 2015, 02:53:16 PM
well, im optimist, i think the key is that more and more companys are accepting the btc, and thats pretty good for all of us.

just look at companys like microsoft who is trying it now.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: rayson on January 03, 2015, 03:06:19 PM
bitcoin 2015


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: LOBSTER on January 03, 2015, 03:16:24 PM
Currently feeling that it drops to 220$. I've never seen the drop comin' so fast.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: QuestionAuthority on January 03, 2015, 03:24:29 PM
The price will go up and down and up and down. Someone will come up with a new thin SPV client (as if I want to trust a full node other than my own) and no one will prune the blockchain to reduce its ridiculous torrent worthy size. Someone will release the news of another portable device, phone interface or card that holds Bitcoins to use at a store but the userbase won't grow enough for new devices to have value. Someone will release the news of a new Bitcoin NFC creation because all the phones are headed that way. 50 new scammers will be caught. At least 1/3 or more of them will be businesses. A couple of exchanges will fail either due to regulations or fraud/incompetence of the owner. The Bitcoin Foundation will be involved in another major scandal. A handful of new bugs will be discovered in the main client and it will be updated a half dozen more times but remain in beta. The forum will become more and more of a resource for law enforcement and the admin will get an increasing number of subpoenas for information to support current cases. BitPay will convince another handful of large corporations to accept Bitcoin using a zero fee deal. Small miners will continue to be pushed out of the market as technology changes and old pools die focusing the mining effort into the hands of fewer large pools and large farms. At least one country in the world will ban Bitcoin and one will welcome it. There will be 200 or more new "who's satoshi" threads.  

I can't wait to come back here in a year and check this.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: pozmu on January 03, 2015, 03:27:38 PM
Bitcoin will go more mainstream, everyday I see more and more online sites accepting it as a payment method, hopefully with bigger volume price will stabilise bit more or even go up slightly. On the other hand I see more and more sites accepting Paypal (not such popular in my country) so it will be a fierce competition as it's still much, much easier to fund Paypal account than buy BTC.
I wonder when one of the banks will offer direct buying BTC via their internet banking system, if ever  ???


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: dmugetsu on January 03, 2015, 03:58:41 PM
it will sky rocketed because of the positive respond from big company


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: ensurance982 on January 03, 2015, 04:38:49 PM
After last year, I really believe we will at least stabilize a lot and I expect the price to be at least above $500 at the end of the year - although this is just pure speculation on my side...


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: SmoothCurves on January 03, 2015, 04:41:05 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: carlosiness on January 03, 2015, 04:42:08 PM
I believe it will be more stabilized as more and more companies get involved into it


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: ensurance982 on January 03, 2015, 04:43:40 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be truly awesome, could you name some reasons why you believe this is going to happen? If this really holds true, I believe it will happen due to pure speculation and the typical increase of media attention at some point, followed by a new influx of money.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: ikydesu on January 03, 2015, 04:59:28 PM
My Predictions is around $500-$600 in the mid of this year.

New ATH in 2015 around $5500

Wow you're so very optimistic :D


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Guido on January 03, 2015, 04:59:41 PM
I think by late spring we will see ATH


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: SmoothCurves on January 03, 2015, 05:03:24 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be truly awesome, could you name some reasons why you believe this is going to happen? If this really holds true, I believe it will happen due to pure speculation and the typical increase of media attention at some point, followed by a new influx of money.

Heavily manipulated market. Lots of newbie selling low into strong hands. In order for Bitcoin to prove to the world how resilient it is we need to head into the low $200's - perhaps lower. Then rebound with great strength to around $5000. Anyone who sold or made fun of Bitcoin in 2014 will look like a fool. This same exact thing happened in during the bubble/crash of 2011-2012


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: ensurance982 on January 03, 2015, 05:18:53 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be truly awesome, could you name some reasons why you believe this is going to happen? If this really holds true, I believe it will happen due to pure speculation and the typical increase of media attention at some point, followed by a new influx of money.

Heavily manipulated market. Lots of newbie selling low into strong hands. In order for Bitcoin to prove to the world how resilient it is we need to head into the low $200's - perhaps lower. Then rebound with great strength to around $5000. Anyone who sold or made fun of Bitcoin in 2014 will look like a fool. This same exact thing happened in during the bubble/crash of 2011-2012

Yeah, this is mostly what I'm thinking as well. We had 2 serious bubbles in 2013 and I do get why the price at the beginning of 2014 may not have been sustainable at that time, but I do believe that we are undervalued at this time. If we go above $2500, I'd be content :)


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Guido on January 03, 2015, 06:06:01 PM
the last major spike was extinguished very quickly by china and mtgox
they are out the way now

low price is manipulation, miners dumping , very thin exchange volumes and new large adopters autoselling

when the major price rises come they will be sustained imo and bottom out at a MUCH higher price than now
because of the shortlived nature of last spike, when we get anywhere near $1k again, people will sell everything so as not to get caught out twice
this is when the bullwhales corner the market imo
people will never be able to get back in again without paying a premium imho

good times ahead in 2015


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: mayax on January 05, 2015, 04:23:05 PM
you should say "thanks" if it would be  1 BTC = 100 USD


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: MGMT on January 05, 2015, 05:11:17 PM
I have absolutly no idea, though I do know more merchants will get involved which is good, but will the price reflect this? Who knows but I'm looking forward to finding out. I'm sure it'll be an exciting year regardless.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: ChuckBuck on January 05, 2015, 05:15:49 PM
If Bitstamp doesn't get their shit together and those 18K coins disappear somehow, you can book a new 1 to 2 year new Low.

I know BTC shouldn't revolve around it's USD yada yada, but a 2nd compromised exchange in 2 years is not a good look no matter how you slice it.

Cautiously Hoping for the best for BitStamp and BTC.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: elephantas1 on January 05, 2015, 07:54:36 PM
If Bitstamp doesn't get their shit together and those 18K coins disappear somehow, you can book a new 1 to 2 year new Low.

I know BTC shouldn't revolve around it's USD yada yada, but a 2nd compromised exchange in 2 years is not a good look no matter how you slice it.

Cautiously Hoping for the best for BitStamp and BTC.
doesnt bitcoin price increase when coins disappear and are not being used? i think the price will raise instead of falling


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Dafar on January 05, 2015, 08:05:10 PM
If Bitstamp doesn't get their shit together and those 18K coins disappear somehow, you can book a new 1 to 2 year new Low.

I know BTC shouldn't revolve around it's USD yada yada, but a 2nd compromised exchange in 2 years is not a good look no matter how you slice it.

Cautiously Hoping for the best for BitStamp and BTC.
doesnt bitcoin price increase when coins disappear and are not being used? i think the price will raise instead of falling


No, bad publicity hurts bitcoin more.... the amount of coins lost from GOX were less than a week's worth of mining (bitstamp's is like a days worth), but the negative damage caused to bitcoin's reputation lasted months and still on-going  


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: jwcastle on January 05, 2015, 08:45:12 PM
Currently feeling that it drops to 220$. I've never seen the drop comin' so fast.

Yikes! Almost there!


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: uvt9 on January 05, 2015, 08:46:27 PM
doesnt bitcoin price increase when coins disappear and are not being used? i think the price will raise instead of falling

sadly, those 18k coins was stolen by hacker, not disappeared. This mean this amount might be dumped to the market in the future when the hacker finish mixing/laundering.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: jwcastle on January 05, 2015, 08:52:40 PM
I think BTC will stabilize around $100 - 200 USD.
Why?

#1: My gut feeling
#2: No new large investors
#3: Small / home miners turning off their rigs
#4: Mostly controlled by a few large players
#5: Investors & home miners who lost money will speak negatively about their experience with BTC.
#6: Because of #5, no new home miners due to their friend's advice.
#7: Slow innovation of new ASICs due to low BTC value.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: philiveyjr on January 05, 2015, 11:42:05 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: QuestionAuthority on January 05, 2015, 11:45:34 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 

It's funny that everyone is predicting an ATH while the price is plummeting because of the Bitstamp news.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: turvarya on January 05, 2015, 11:49:42 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 

It's funny that everyone is predicting an ATH while the price is plummeting because of the Bitstamp news.
Have you actually looked at the price?
The price decreased before this news and haven't moved much since this news.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Netzer on January 06, 2015, 12:06:28 AM
$750 by June 2015.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: crazyearner on January 06, 2015, 12:16:35 AM
I think BTC will stabilize around $100 - 200 USD.
Why?

#1: My gut feeling
#2: No new large investors
#3: Small / home miners turning off their rigs
#4: Mostly controlled by a few large players
#5: Investors & home miners who lost money will speak negatively about their experience with BTC.
#6: Because of #5, no new home miners due to their friend's advice.
#7: Slow innovation of new ASICs due to low BTC value.

The way the markets going it could well indeed go to them prices. it all depends on if more people actually start buying. But right now given the time of the year, Jan most people are selling out doing taxes paying off unwanted stuff and generally causing prices to go right down. I generally do not expect prices to go up for at least 3 to 4 months and even then it is going to take some doing to get the prices back into the mid $400 to $600 range. It would not surprise me if a alt coin comes along and wipes BTC off the 1st spot as theirs lots of people moving their coin around too so it could go anyway up or down.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: myohmy81 on January 06, 2015, 12:20:38 AM
$750 by June 2015.

I agree and to da Moon by 2016


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: mlferro on January 06, 2015, 05:48:35 AM
$750 by June 2015.
I hope and would like to see. But i think is kind of hard (maybe even the end of the year).


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: QuestionAuthority on January 06, 2015, 05:49:48 AM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 

It's funny that everyone is predicting an ATH while the price is plummeting because of the Bitstamp news.
Have you actually looked at the price?
The price decreased before this news and haven't moved much since this news.

No, I don't look at it everyday anymore. Isn't it kind of unusual for one of the few major Bitcoin exchanges to be closed, even without a theft, and the price not move at all?


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: btckold24 on January 06, 2015, 06:44:17 AM
400$ before feb. So I think right now is a great time to buy


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: turvarya on January 06, 2015, 10:49:38 AM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 

It's funny that everyone is predicting an ATH while the price is plummeting because of the Bitstamp news.
Have you actually looked at the price?
The price decreased before this news and haven't moved much since this news.

No, I don't look at it everyday anymore. Isn't it kind of unusual for one of the few major Bitcoin exchanges to be closed, even without a theft, and the price not move at all?
So, just look at it now.
The amount of people who write BS without looking at the actual (easy to find) data, is too damn high.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: NeuroticFish on January 06, 2015, 10:53:56 AM
I think that 2015 will be for Bitcoin a "stabilization" year: the price will get to a "stable point" and will start fluctuate - but not too much - around that point.

This stability will increase the adoption and will make it work as a currency, not as a speculative investment.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: sandykho47 on January 06, 2015, 11:24:15 AM
Not too good, since it's just new year & BitStamp already have big problems
Maybe this year there are more bitcoiner without better price :(

So i call this year defend mode for bitcoin


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: turvarya on January 06, 2015, 01:02:55 PM
New ATH in 2015 around $5500

That would be crazy.. n every early adopter will be immensely profited by that if it happens. but as per what I feel.. even reaching 500$ would be a challenge in itself! 

It's funny that everyone is predicting an ATH while the price is plummeting because of the Bitstamp news.
Have you actually looked at the price?
The price decreased before this news and haven't moved much since this news.

No, I don't look at it everyday anymore. Isn't it kind of unusual for one of the few major Bitcoin exchanges to be closed, even without a theft, and the price not move at all?
The funny thing is: The price actually went up since this incident. It is not much and it is for sure not because of this incident, but still.


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Amph on January 06, 2015, 01:09:30 PM
200-250 range now and then probably a boom before first half 2015, not returning 1k anytime soon though


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: Agestorzrxx on January 06, 2015, 01:34:26 PM
It's may over than $10000 ;D ;D ;D ;D


Title: Re: Bitcoin in 2015: Your Predictions
Post by: aleandromagno on January 06, 2015, 01:42:47 PM
I think that problem is global banking system: they want tracking all transaction and want control price of crypto as other money value ($-€-£, ecc ecc)
For me the biggest scams have been created to a  banks!
Think: as you can "lose" a big quantity of million dollars if all transaction is a control tracking!??! Quickly, if the big bank want hide money, they do!
In 2014 all big exchange want we documents, just like a bank!
I think that now, behind to bitcoin market there are banks and bitsmas be the last "victim" of the system to take over the bitcoin by banks ..