Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ineededausername on July 26, 2012, 11:16:29 PM



Title: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on July 26, 2012, 11:16:29 PM
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=1&cv=0&ps=0&l=1&p=0&

Though many people say that we are going down short-term, I believe that we may be experiencing a correction similar to last May's correction at around this price level.  I still think this rally has legs, and wouldn't be surprised to see $10 or $11 soon.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=30&i=Hourly&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=1&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=0&

Note that we have broken out of the July triangle ever since the move from $8.4 to $8.9.  $8.9 seems to be short-term resistance, but I think we might go back to $9.2 or $9.5 soon.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 26, 2012, 11:19:22 PM
I predict the market will go either up or down... :D


I WIN!


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: adamstgBit on July 26, 2012, 11:22:01 PM
I believe that we may be experiencing a correction similar to last May's correction at around this price level.  I still think this rally has legs, and wouldn't be surprised to see $10 or $11 soon.

I agree


I predict the market will go either up or down... :D


I WIN!

the market remains unchanged
you lose

:D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 26, 2012, 11:22:59 PM
I believe that we may be experiencing a correction similar to last May's correction at around this price level.  I still think this rally has legs, and wouldn't be surprised to see $10 or $11 soon.

I agree


I predict the market will go either up or down... :D


I WIN!

the market remains unchanged
you lose

:D

Damn....I lose  :D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on July 27, 2012, 12:23:35 AM
Last 24 hours: twice as many buys as sells (buy = buy into asks, same for sell)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: OgNasty on July 27, 2012, 02:04:45 AM
It will be interesting if the market cap breaks to a new short term high.

60 Day Market Cap Chart (http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap?timespan=60days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 27, 2012, 02:10:22 AM
I agree, $10 seems very near with the daily buys we've been seeing.

Perhaps its does it $10...based on what? Speculation?

Well speculation is fun when you're making bank.  :D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: proudhon on July 27, 2012, 02:49:29 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: thezerg on July 27, 2012, 03:02:17 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.

Sorry, proudhon I think your wish won't be granted.  Bids above 5 moved to approx 1.5 million today from approx 1 million, so it looks like buying pressure is returning...


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 27, 2012, 03:15:01 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.

Sorry, proudhon I think your wish won't be granted.  Bids above 5 moved to approx 1.5 million today from approx 1 million, so it looks like buying pressure is returning...

You cant gauge market direction from the order book alone. The orders can be cancelled at a moment's notice.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: John (John K.) on July 27, 2012, 04:44:43 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.
Spoken like a true bear.  ;)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 27, 2012, 04:47:54 AM
I agree with proudhon, stability in the price is what counts (i.e. we build a base on pricing over time, not skyrocketing too the moon in terms of price...).


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: adamstgBit on July 27, 2012, 04:56:12 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.

i agree a good 6 months at 8 would be excellent

anyway if you buy at 8.90 or 8$ it wont make much diff once we break 100$ ...  in about 17.52364 months.  :D

UP UP UP
http://bitcoinme.com/files/cache/f08b38a183ccfe3a867d55f3c0546564.jpg
Bitcoin Speed!


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 27, 2012, 05:02:02 AM
I hope not.  The best thing that could happen is months long stability around $8.

i agree a good 6 months at 8 would be excellent

anyway if you buy at 8.90 or 8$ it wont make much diff once we break 100$ ...  in about 17.52364 months.  :D

UP UP UP
http://bitcoinme.com/files/cache/f08b38a183ccfe3a867d55f3c0546564.jpg
Bitcoin Speed!

Oh god not him..........

"The only way it can go is UP UP UP!"


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ElectricMucus on July 27, 2012, 05:19:04 AM
Go on at some point people will take you guys serious and really start panicking  :P


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: farfiman on July 27, 2012, 06:15:58 AM
I agree with proudhon, stability in the price is what counts (i.e. we build a base on pricing over time, not skyrocketing too the moon in terms of price...).

I agree- stability at 10$ would be just fine  :)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: molecular on July 27, 2012, 06:23:35 AM
I agree with proudhon, stability in the price is what counts (i.e. we build a base on pricing over time, not skyrocketing too the moon in terms of price...).

I agree- stability at 10$ would be just fine  :)


I'd like to hear you say that when we're trading at $11.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: waspoza on July 27, 2012, 09:27:24 AM
I agree, stability at $1k would be nice.  :P


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: molecular on July 29, 2012, 10:41:26 AM
I agree, stability at $1k would be nice.  :P

I'd like to hear you say that when... WAIT! What?!?


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on July 29, 2012, 06:50:02 PM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: Serge on July 29, 2012, 07:21:19 PM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)

give us moar hints =)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: miscreanity on July 29, 2012, 07:45:52 PM
Daily transaction volume fell below 20k a few weeks before the move up from the USD$5 level. During the period from May through the recent spike above $9, volume fell below 20k ten times, each instance occurring after a fairly significant move up relative to the prior low volume point.

I would think that this time we'll see either a comparable period of a few weeks before a resumed rise, or as little as half that time. So far we've already had a one week respite and avoided the beginning of a bubble. Good news all around.

Looking forward to "something interesting" tomorrow, INAU :)

Edit: Forgot to mention, daily transaction volume was ~16k yesterday...


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: adamstgBit on July 29, 2012, 07:46:39 PM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)

give us moar hints =)

is their a rally coming up that idk about?


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: jojo69 on July 29, 2012, 09:44:04 PM
the pirate party is vanishingly unlikely to tip us off as to the direction of their planned move


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: Realpra on July 30, 2012, 04:19:39 PM
Just keep in mind that lots of BTC have been created since the 11 high 25-30$ which means that the total BTC capitalization is reaching for the current "roof".

Has BTC really had that much natural growth supporting what was once a crazy bubble?

... I suppose the halving is coming.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: capsqrl on July 30, 2012, 04:37:04 PM
Just broke 9!


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on July 30, 2012, 06:14:06 PM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)

It's starting ;D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ElectricMucus on July 30, 2012, 07:06:38 PM
false alarm.

at least for now


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on July 30, 2012, 07:07:52 PM
Just broke 9!

peek-a-boo


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on July 31, 2012, 02:03:08 AM
Another large buy has put us around $9.2... depth to $10 is now 45k BTC (it peaked at around 90k, so it has halved).


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: Yuhfhrh on July 31, 2012, 02:49:22 AM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)

Are you the btc-e hacker?!?


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: Bjork on July 31, 2012, 05:45:01 AM
Tomorrow, we will see something interesting :)

Are you the btc-e hacker?!?

lmao +1


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on August 01, 2012, 02:04:32 PM
The predicted ramp continues... 9.54 high, and I see no reason to believe that it's stopping.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: adamstgBit on August 01, 2012, 06:42:33 PM
The predicted ramp continues... 9.54 high, and I see no reason to believe that it's stopping.

bitcoin rallied from 5 to 9 in 2 months
now for 2 weeks we have been at 9
isn't clear we have topped off?

even if this rally pushes higher... how much higher?  the higher the fewer coins are needed to crash it.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: thezerg on August 01, 2012, 07:33:52 PM
We pushed over 9 2 weeks ago in an unhealthy situation that many attribute to a particular market manipulator.

Take a look at this graph and tell me if you see a top:

http://blockchain.info/charts/market-price?timespan=60days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address= (http://blockchain.info/charts/market-price?timespan=60days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=)

I just see an artificial spike...

There was 60k btc for sale at or below 10 yesterday and 35k now.  This is a healthy amount (shows market conviction), but the trend remains bullish.  And these pushes and stalls are another healthy indicator in comparison to the kind of rise irrational exuberance produces.  These smaller dumps and sell walls look to me like short-term speculators calling a top and then getting eaten by long term investors who are going to put the coins in the freezer.


But its ok I know you sold your coins... keep trying to retroactively justify the choice  ;)



Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on August 01, 2012, 08:16:18 PM
The predicted ramp continues... 9.54 high, and I see no reason to believe that it's stopping.

bitcoin rallied from 5 to 9 in 2 months
now for 2 weeks we have been at 9
isn't clear we have topped off?

even if this rally pushes higher... how much higher?  the higher the fewer coins are needed to crash it.

We spent two weeks below 6.8... woe to those who sold below 7 (or 8, or 9).


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: miscreanity on August 01, 2012, 08:19:33 PM
We pushed over 9 2 weeks ago in an unhealthy situation...

Exactly. If the investment and speculative capital continues to steadily flow into Bitcoin, that wealth won't be easily spooked with the lack of technical bid vacuum areas. Most are only looking at the purely speculative aspect of the Bitcoin markets without taking into account real world business activity.

As a market grows toward the 9-10 digit size, it starts attracting 'legitimate' businesses that see a potential client/consumer market that can be tapped. So at some level not too far above the USD$100mm market size, real businesses should start waking up to Bitcoin's presence and seek ways to tap into it. With that happening, the chances of Bitcoin's exchange rate collapsing becomes even more remote.


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: jojo69 on August 02, 2012, 04:06:54 AM


These smaller dumps and sell walls look to me like short-term speculators calling a top and then getting eaten by long term investors who are going to put the coins in the freezer.


bitcoins in the freezer

please her with a tweezers


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: FreeMoney on August 02, 2012, 04:33:03 AM
We pushed over 9 2 weeks ago in an unhealthy situation...

Exactly. If the investment and speculative capital continues to steadily flow into Bitcoin, that wealth won't be easily spooked with the lack of technical bid vacuum areas. Most are only looking at the purely speculative aspect of the Bitcoin markets without taking into account real world business activity.

As a market grows toward the 9-10 digit size, it starts attracting 'legitimate' businesses that see a potential client/consumer market that can be tapped. So at some level not too far above the USD$100mm market size, real businesses should start waking up to Bitcoin's presence and seek ways to tap into it. With that happening, the chances of Bitcoin's exchange rate collapsing becomes even more remote.

9-10 digit size? Like $857,499,185 and $1,320,419,443? :-)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: miscreanity on August 02, 2012, 04:41:41 AM
9-10 digit size? Like $857,499,185 and $1,320,419,443? :-)

Yes! Exactly those numbers! :)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: foo on August 03, 2012, 02:22:08 AM
Congratulations OP, you have a well-functioning crystal ball. Now tell us what happens next? ;D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on August 03, 2012, 02:44:32 AM
Spike to $10,000 then $0  ;D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: ineededausername on August 03, 2012, 03:03:10 AM
Congratulations OP, you have a well-functioning crystal ball. Now tell us what happens next? ;D

4 digits coming soon ;)


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: smoothie on August 03, 2012, 03:21:39 AM
Congratulations OP, you have a well-functioning crystal ball. Now tell us what happens next? ;D

4 digits coming soon ;)

0.001 four digits  :D


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: miscreanity on August 03, 2012, 03:26:02 AM
4 digits coming soon ;)

Select one:

<18mo
<16mo
<12mo


Title: Re: Next breakout coming soon! Here comes $11.
Post by: sunnankar on August 03, 2012, 04:06:07 AM
Congratulations OP, you have a well-functioning crystal ball. Now tell us what happens next? ;D

Well, looking at the chart I would wager for a continued rise to around $13-15 then a steady consolidation for 3-4 months.