Title: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: pandacoin on October 14, 2015, 09:29:14 PM Hi everyone, Let's discuss how to gamble on sportsbook, Shall we?
For instance, I've choosen Brasil Serie A for my strategy. Tonight's games: https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Campeonato I mostly play for the total goal counts, How to decide how many goals will be scored? For isntance: Match Odds Atletico MG @ 1.45 Internacional @ 6.8 The Draw @ 4.3 When I see those odds, I can say there'll be 2.5+ goals. When a team's odds to win is less than 1.5, then I play 2.5+, if it's less than 1.8 then I play 1.5+ if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals. My picks: Atletico MG v Internacional - Over 2.5 WON Sport Recife v Avai - Over 1.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 2.32 Won : 0.00928 BTC. Figueirense v Flamengo - Under 2.5 LOST (3 goals scored) Joinville v Coritiba - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 2.5 To Win : 0.01 BTC. LOST Palmeiras v Ponte Preta - Over 2.5 LOST (only 1 goal scored) Atletico PR v Cruzeiro - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 2.88 To Win : 0.01152 BTC. Fluminense v Sao Paulo - Under 2.5 WON (2 goals scored) Corinthians v Goias - Over 2.5 WON (3 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 3.33 WON 0.01332 BTC. Vasco da Gama v Chapecoense - Under 2.5 WON (2 goals scored) Gremio v Santos - Over 1.5 LOST (only 1 goal scored on the 27th minute...) Confirmed Odds : 2.11 To Win : 0.010339 BTC. So I've played 4 mbtc each on those parlays (last one is 4.9 mbtc), total 20.9 mbtc. Let's see & discuss what's gonna happen. So far; 2 parlays won, 3 parlays lost. 5 games won 5 games lost Paid: 0.021 BTC, Recieved so far 0.01332+ 0.00928= 0.0226 BTC +7.6% Profit from 5 parlays. I'm looking for the second round. Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: hua_hui on October 15, 2015, 06:27:14 AM Hi everyone, Let's discuss how to gamble on sportsbook, Shall we? For instance, I've choosen Brasil Serie A for my strategy. Tonight's games: https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Campeonato I mostly play for the total goal counts, How to decide how many goals will be scored? For isntance: Match Odds Atletico MG @ 1.45 Internacional @ 6.8 The Draw @ 4.3 When I see those odds, I can say there'll be 2.5+ goals. When a team's odds to win is less than 1.5, then I play 2.5+, if it's less than 1.8 then I play 1.5+ if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals. My picks: Atletico MG v Internacional - Over 2.5 WON Sport Recife v Avai - Over 1.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 2.32 Won : 0.00928 BTC. Figueirense v Flamengo - Under 2.5 Joinville v Coritiba - Under 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.5 To Win : 0.01 BTC. Palmeiras v Ponte Preta - Over 2.5 Atletico PR v Cruzeiro - Under 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.88 To Win : 0.01152 BTC. Fluminense v Sao Paulo - Under 2.5 Corinthians v Goias - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.33 To Win : 0.01332 BTC. Vasco da Gama v Chapecoense - Under 2.5 Gremio v Santos - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.11 To Win : 0.010339 BTC. So I've played 4 mbtc each on those parlays (last one is 4.9 mbtc), total 20.9 mbtc. Let's see & discuss what's gonna happen. woa that is a very interested stragety you have. it sure sounds reasonable. i would like to see how well this turns out as if it works well, we can use this for other matches too. what do you mean by 'if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals. '? you mean u bet 1goal to 2goals? Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: yanka50 on October 15, 2015, 06:55:53 AM First time I ever hear of such strategies at sports betting :D Good luck to you!
Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: Joel_Jantsen on October 15, 2015, 08:24:14 AM You're strategy seems fine .However I'am curious to see if it works for all your predictions.If it does you can generate an algoritham to do that and sell it . Some insane money making scheme right here . ;D
Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: fox19891989 on October 15, 2015, 10:15:30 AM "When I see those odds, I can say there'll be 2.5+ goals. When a team's odds to win is less than 1.5, then I play 2.5+, if it's less than 1.8 then I play 1.5+ if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals."
It seems a good strategy but football is unexpected, we may see many no goal matches between a best team and a weak team, look real madrid drew 3 times this season, 2 draw were against weak teams, so RM got much lower odds than 1.5 but both teams didn't score(if you chose over 2.5 goals that bet was lost), only 1 draw against good team-atl madrid, that match was 1-1 so your pick would be correct. Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: LFC_Bitcoin on October 15, 2015, 10:20:55 AM I don't think there's any real science or fool proof strategy involved. I like to think I'm mildly successful at sports betting & to be honest I just go with what I think is right & will happen on any given day. I don't follow a strategy or rule book.
Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: plost24 on October 15, 2015, 10:27:11 AM you have win the bet for the first match i'm really excited for the final result of your prediction ;) it seems fine and safe good luck ;)
Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: pandacoin on October 15, 2015, 03:51:27 PM woa that is a very interested stragety you have. it sure sounds reasonable. i would like to see how well this turns out as if it works well, we can use this for other matches too. what do you mean by 'if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals. '? you mean u bet 1goal to 2goals? You're strategy seems fine .However I'am curious to see if it works for all your predictions.If it does you can generate an algoritham to do that and sell it . Some insane money making scheme right here . ;D Haha, I don't think to sell anything. This can be done by anyone :)you have win the bet for the first match i'm really excited for the final result of your prediction ;) it seems fine and safe good luck ;) Well, when it comes to Brasil Leauge, you never know. For instance I lost 4 bets ;D (I'm waiting for the last 3 games tonight to see what's gonna happen).Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: Omikifuse on October 15, 2015, 04:04:10 PM There are other factors that you must take into account when you bet about goals. For example, if it is a decisive match for at least one team, if some team needs to win or needs not to lose, the players in the match, etc.
I prefer decide by myself what would be the most likely outcome then bet when I see my guess pays good Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: pandacoin on October 15, 2015, 04:10:08 PM There are other factors that you must take into account when you bet about goals. For example, if it is a decisive match for at least one team, if some team needs to win or needs not to lose, the players in the match, etc. I prefer decide by myself what would be the most likely outcome then bet when I see my guess pays good I'm checking those stats too: http://www.livescore.in/standings/St13Wg6P/tUUYejNl/#over_under;overall;1.5 Almost all matches have at least 2 goals for the last 5 weeks :) Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: absy on October 15, 2015, 04:13:36 PM Hi everyone, Let's discuss how to gamble on sportsbook, Shall we? For instance, I've choosen Brasil Serie A for my strategy. Tonight's games: https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Campeonato I mostly play for the total goal counts, How to decide how many goals will be scored? For isntance: Match Odds Atletico MG @ 1.45 Internacional @ 6.8 The Draw @ 4.3 When I see those odds, I can say there'll be 2.5+ goals. When a team's odds to win is less than 1.5, then I play 2.5+, if it's less than 1.8 then I play 1.5+ if the odds are over 1.9 for both teams I play 2.5- goals. My picks: Atletico MG v Internacional - Over 2.5 WON Sport Recife v Avai - Over 1.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 2.32 Won : 0.00928 BTC. Figueirense v Flamengo - Under 2.5 LOST (3 goals scored) Joinville v Coritiba - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 2.5 To Win : 0.01 BTC. LOST Palmeiras v Ponte Preta - Over 2.5 LOST (only 1 goal scored) Atletico PR v Cruzeiro - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 2.88 To Win : 0.01152 BTC. Fluminense v Sao Paulo - Under 2.5 WON (2 goals scored) Corinthians v Goias - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.33 To Win : 0.01332 BTC. Vasco da Gama v Chapecoense - Under 2.5 Gremio v Santos - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.11 To Win : 0.010339 BTC. So I've played 4 mbtc each on those parlays (last one is 4.9 mbtc), total 20.9 mbtc. Let's see & discuss what's gonna happen. This has to be the coolest strategy ever.. i will give it a try.. i was always confused about over/under goals.. i am gonna try this..thanks mate. Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: hua_hui on October 15, 2015, 11:19:51 PM There are other factors that you must take into account when you bet about goals. For example, if it is a decisive match for at least one team, if some team needs to win or needs not to lose, the players in the match, etc. I prefer decide by myself what would be the most likely outcome then bet when I see my guess pays good I'm checking those stats too: http://www.livescore.in/standings/St13Wg6P/tUUYejNl/#over_under;overall;1.5 Almost all matches have at least 2 goals for the last 5 weeks :) nice stat you have there. you may like to bring in to the long run where you can see much more clearer picture, because at different stage of the matches, there is different approach. So you can consider adding in reasons why the bet is won or lose so you can analysis better. Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: jaberwock on October 16, 2015, 12:06:13 AM You should make an algorithm to see if your method works or not. I woul add other variables.
Is there a way to get game data with a bot? Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: pandacoin on October 16, 2015, 12:50:02 AM You should make an algorithm to see if your method works or not. I woul add other variables. We can code a bot to get game data but what data you exactly look for? Is there a way to get game data with a bot? Odds only? So far; I've paid: 0.021 BTC for the 5 parlays, and recieved so far 0.01332+ 0.00928= 0.0226 BTC (Also 0.010339 btc will come if Gremio or Santos scores one goal) Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: hua_hui on October 16, 2015, 01:42:40 AM You should make an algorithm to see if your method works or not. I woul add other variables. We can code a bot to get game data but what data you exactly look for? Is there a way to get game data with a bot? Odds only? So far; I've paid: 0.021 BTC for the 5 parlays, and recieved so far 0.01332+ 0.00928= 0.0226 BTC (Also 0.010339 btc will come if Gremio or Santos scores one goal) congratz, a small profit is consider a gd start. however, better to have more data to support your stand to make it even more convincing. Title: Sportsbook Strategies - 2nd Round Post by: pandacoin on October 16, 2015, 02:18:10 AM First round; I Made 7.6% profit. (21 mbtc on bets, 22.6 mbtc returned)
I'm choosing Austria Erste Liga for the 2nd round; https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Erste%20Liga Mostly over 1.5 http://www.livescore.in/standings/G29xpEgP/z1qv2rED/#over_under;overall;1.5 and over 2.5 & under 2.5 are almost equal). And Bayern Regionalliga (Mostly over 1.5 & under 3.5: http://www.livescore.in/standings/p0t54EGd/tUS5N4Zt/#over_under;overall;1.5 ) https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Regionalliga%20Bayern Austria Salzburg v FC Liefering - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) Austria Lustenau v FAC Team fur Wien - Over 2.5 LOST (1 goals scored) ;D I wish I played the reverse Confirmed Odds : 4.25 To Win : 0.02125 BTC. FC Wacker Innsbruck v St Polten - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals scored) KSV Superfund v FC Wiener Neustadt - Over 2.5 LOST (1 goal scored) ;D I wish I played the reverse Confirmed Odds : 2.88 To Win : 0.0144 BTC. Austria Klagenfurt v LASK Linz - Over 1.5 Bayern Munich II v Schweinfurt - Over 2.5 LOST (0 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 1.66 To Win : 0.0083 BTC. Burghausen v Amberg - Over 2.5 Memmingen v Jahn Regensburg - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.59 To Win : 0.01295 BTC. 8 Match parlay: (If the match is over 2.5 then I chose over 1.5, if it's under 2.5 then I choose under 3.5) LOST. Confirmed Odds : 4.01 To Win : 0.02005 BTC. I've played 25 mbtc total on those bets, Let's see how it's gonna be. Title: Sportsbook Strategies 3rd Round Post by: pandacoin on October 18, 2015, 12:15:24 AM 2nd round was a shame, all of them lost :( 25 mbtc on 2nd round).
I'm gonna play for these matches as 3rd round: https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Campeonato Ponte Preta v Coritiba - Over 1.5 WON (3 goals scored) Cruzeiro v Fluminense - Over 1.5 WON (2 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 1.87 - 9.35 mbtc won Atletico PR v Corinthians - Under 2.5 LOST (5 goals scored ;D ) Flamengo v Internacional - Over 1.5 LOST (1 goal :( ) Confirmed Odds : 2.04 Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama - Over 2.5 WON Gremio v Chapecoense - Over 2.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 4.24 - 21.2 mbtc won! Sport Recife v Atletico MG - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals so far :'( 55th minute) ) Santos v Goias - Over 2.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 3.5 4 parlays and 5mbtc bet on each one. On the 3rd round I've made 53% profit. But in total I've negative balance. 1st: 21 mbtc bet, 22.6 mbtc return 2nd: 25 mbtc bet, 0 mbtc return 3rd: 20 mbtc bet, 30.55 mbtc return So far total: 67 mbtc bet, 53.15 mbtc return. 18% loose. Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: cakir on October 18, 2015, 09:52:44 PM 2nd round was a shame, all of them lost :( 25 mbtc on 2nd round). I'm gonna play for these matches as 3rd round: https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=Campeonato Ponte Preta v Coritiba - Over 1.5 WON (3 goals scored) Cruzeiro v Fluminense - Over 1.5 WON (2 goals scored) Confirmed Odds : 1.87 - 9.35 mbtc won Atletico PR v Corinthians - Under 2.5 LOST (5 goals scored ;D ) Flamengo v Internacional - Over 1.5 LOST (1 goal :( ) Confirmed Odds : 2.04 Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama - Over 2.5 WON Gremio v Chapecoense - Over 2.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 4.24 - 21.2 mbtc won! Sport Recife v Atletico MG - Under 2.5 LOST (4 goals so far :'( 55th minute) ) Santos v Goias - Over 2.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 3.5 4 parlays and 5mbtc bet on each one. On the 3rd round I've made 53% profit. But in total I've negative balance. 1st: 21 mbtc bet, 22.6 mbtc return 2nd: 25 mbtc bet, 0 mbtc return 3rd: 20 mbtc bet, 30.55 mbtc return So far total: 67 mbtc bet, 53.15 mbtc return. 18% loose. When I check your looses on those bets I've seen this; If the team is on the top 3, this match will be over 2.5. Sport Recife v Atletico MG - Under 2.5 LOST (Atletico MG is the second) Atletico PR v Corinthians - Under 2.5 LOST (Corinthians is the second) http://www.flashscore.com/soccer/brazil/serie-a/standings/ You should consider this for the next rounds ;) Title: 4th Round Post by: pandacoin on October 21, 2015, 01:05:40 PM I've chosen the CL for the 4th round, matches;
https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=UEFA%20Champions%20League Parlay 1: Atletico Madrid v FC Astana - Over 2.5 WON CSKA Moscow v Man Utd - Over 1.5 WON Confirmed Odds : 1.94 - 11.64 mbtc WON Parlay 2: Galatasaray v Benfica - Under 2.5 LOST Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 LOST 0 goals. Confirmed Odds : 3.45 Parlay 3: Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 LOST 0 goals. Malmo FF v Shakhtar - Over 2.5 LOST 1 goal. Confirmed Odds : 3.29 Parlay 4: Man City v Sevilla - Over 2.5 WON 0 goals. Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 1.5 LOST 0 goals. Confirmed Odds : 1.98 Parlay 5: Wolfsburg v PSV - Over 2.5 LOST 2 goals. Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 2.5 LOST 0 goals. Confirmed Odds : 2.93 I've bet 6 mbtc on each parlay. GL everyone! Title: Re: 4th Round Post by: lexuz on October 21, 2015, 02:01:19 PM I've chosen the CL for the 4th round, matches; You only place a bet over/under, look interesting to follow your bet but not all match parlay. I would mix from your picks to make other parlay bethttps://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=UEFA%20Champions%20League Parlay 1: Atletico Madrid v FC Astana - Over 2.5 CSKA Moscow v Man Utd - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.94 Parlay 2: Galatasaray v Benfica - Under 2.5 Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.45 Parlay 3: Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Malmo FF v Shakhtar - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.29 Parlay 4: Man City v Sevilla - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.98 Parlay 5: Wolfsburg v PSV - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.93 I've bet 6 mbtc on each parlay. GL everyone! Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: shanem on October 21, 2015, 02:21:56 PM There is no method in sportsbook gambling but you can notice some ' trends ' during sports betting. If you can notice them, there will be a good chance you can win many of your games.
Title: Re: 4th Round Post by: poplolnman on October 21, 2015, 02:22:14 PM I've chosen the CL for the 4th round, matches; I believe if all of this pick separate to single bet would be very nice profit. Btw your strategy logic and make sense enough but on sports there is always suprised result even we have a very very good analyst the game could changed and finished unexpected.https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=UEFA%20Champions%20League Parlay 1: Atletico Madrid v FC Astana - Over 2.5 CSKA Moscow v Man Utd - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.94 Parlay 2: Galatasaray v Benfica - Under 2.5 Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.45 Parlay 3: Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Malmo FF v Shakhtar - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.29 Parlay 4: Man City v Sevilla - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.98 Parlay 5: Wolfsburg v PSV - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.93 I've bet 6 mbtc on each parlay. GL everyone! Title: Re: 4th Round Post by: dinda22 on October 21, 2015, 03:05:36 PM I've chosen the CL for the 4th round, matches; I believe if all of this pick separate to single bet would be very nice profit. Btw your strategy logic and make sense enough but on sports there is always suprised result even we have a very very good analyst the game could changed and finished unexpected.https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=UEFA%20Champions%20League Parlay 1: Atletico Madrid v FC Astana - Over 2.5 CSKA Moscow v Man Utd - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.94 Parlay 2: Galatasaray v Benfica - Under 2.5 Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.45 Parlay 3: Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Malmo FF v Shakhtar - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.29 Parlay 4: Man City v Sevilla - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.98 Parlay 5: Wolfsburg v PSV - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.93 I've bet 6 mbtc on each parlay. GL everyone! Title: Re: Sportsbook Strategies Post by: hua_hui on October 21, 2015, 03:49:30 PM I've chosen the CL for the 4th round, matches; https://directbet.eu/Events.cshtml?EventType=Soccer&Competition=UEFA%20Champions%20League Parlay 1: Atletico Madrid v FC Astana - Over 2.5 CSKA Moscow v Man Utd - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.94 Parlay 2: Galatasaray v Benfica - Under 2.5 Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.45 Parlay 3: Juventus v Mgladbach - Over 2.5 Malmo FF v Shakhtar - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 3.29 Parlay 4: Man City v Sevilla - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 1.5 Confirmed Odds : 1.98 Parlay 5: Wolfsburg v PSV - Over 2.5 Paris St-G v Real Madrid - Over 2.5 Confirmed Odds : 2.93 I've bet 6 mbtc on each parlay. GL everyone! gd luck. by the way, i dont think it is nice to keep change your betting amount just to justify your method will earn $$. if want to purely prove that your method works, then only base on individual matches, no diff in mbtc bet, but with all these factors added in, it is like you also trying to show that you can earn $$ by switch the bets amount for matches that is more likely to win. So it added a lot of other factors and no longer is the pure method of odd -> goals. |