Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: usagi on March 02, 2013, 11:39:30 AM



Title: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: usagi on March 02, 2013, 11:39:30 AM
http://kongzi.ca/silver/misc/20130302bouncechart.png

It appears as if we will bounce back to ~10% over support just like we did the last three times.

Target price in 2-3 weeks: who knows, who cares?

Target price in 2-3months: just under $20


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: nguoinhaque on March 02, 2013, 11:51:23 AM
History repeats itself but not in the way we thought. That explains why predictions are wrong ;D


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: usagi on March 02, 2013, 11:59:02 AM
History repeats itself but not in the way we thought. That explains why predictions are wrong ;D

I wouldn't be so sure. I'm getting a meow reading of 28 with this chart. here's the same chart with the patented NYAN technical indicator I'm using:

http://kongzi.ca/silver/misc/20130302catshot.jpg

Are you seeing what I am seeing? I think the indicator here speaks for itself.

I think it's pretty obvious we're in a speculative bubble. So while we can't predict the top (and therefore cannot cash out at the top) we know the price will be lower 2 or 3 months from now. My speculation is that it might be best to start cashing out slowly. Like dollar cost averaging but in reverse. That's how I am approaching this market now.

Meow.


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: Rothgar on March 02, 2013, 01:13:39 PM
http://cdn.memegenerator.net/instances/400x/35594989.jpg


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: druid on March 02, 2013, 01:39:41 PM
As we all know animals can predict great catastrophes, like earthquakes, volcano activities, meteor showers, bubble pops....
THERE IS A PANIC IN THOSE CATS EYES! SELL, SELL, SELL!


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: gimme_bottles on March 02, 2013, 02:03:09 PM
http://i.qkme.me/361r52.jpg


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: niko on March 02, 2013, 04:22:43 PM
In other words, OP is saying that the support has been increasing ~10% per 2-3 month rally.
https://i.imgur.com/chceH7z.png
I'm saying it's more like ~100%, and will continue to do so until it doesn't. It will all make sense in hindsight ;)


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: phatsphere on March 02, 2013, 04:33:20 PM
you have to do this logarithmic ... your linear scaling doesn't catch the magnitudes.


Title: Re: mtgoxUSD bounce to $41 drop to $20
Post by: Francesco on April 09, 2013, 11:50:56 PM
Nice thread  :D