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Bitcoin => Mining speculation => Topic started by: philipma1957 on June 08, 2016, 02:57:21 AM



Title: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 08, 2016, 02:57:21 AM
We had a rollover.  new prize is .20 btc


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Code:
Difficulty History

Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate


[color=red][b]Jun 08 2016 196,061,423,940 -1.63% 1,403,462,340 GH/s   [/b][/color]



May 24 2016 199,312,067,531 2.60% 1,426,731,353 GH/s
May 11 2016 194,254,820,283 8.73% 1,390,530,167 GH/s
Apr 28 2016 178,659,257,773 -0.01% 1,278,892,782 GH/s
Apr 14 2016 178,678,307,672 7.09% 1,279,029,147 GH/s
Apr 01 2016 166,851,513,283 0.82% 1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   197,347,028,121 (+0.66%)
Adjust time:   After 2011 Blocks, About 13.4 days>>>>>>>>   start picks  at blocks  1116
Hashrate(?):   1,591,093,592 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.7 minutes
Updated:   22:55 (14.5 minutes ago)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   197,347,028,121 (+0.66%)
Adjust time:   After 2011 Blocks, About 13.4 days >>>>>>>>>>>>> end picks at 716
Hashrate(?):   1,591,093,592 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.7 minutes
Updated:   22:55 (14.7 minutes ago)


rules remain the same.

the most important rule is this is free contest  I give away the coins so I have final say  in any argument over payout.













please ignore this
Code:


quote author=philipma1957 link=topic=893133.msg15307596#msg15307596 date=1466523025]
Well nicehash has a value for renters and for sellers of hash .

Nicehash sometimes, but only sometimes is a very good deal.


If you are selling to nicehash and want to earn more then standard you really need to understand how to do it .

 First go here {see screen shot below}

 and check the rates for 1000th
 for now 2.401 is the break even number.

So if you sell to nicehash you need to sell at  2.521 you will be paid about 101 percent.

this means you must set your p=2.521
and actually more like 2.55  and put nicehash first and kano or any pool you want second.

for me I use nicehash and set well above the thresh hold number of 2.521  I set at 2.777

which is 10% over
so  I consider the posting by nicehash to lack some needed transparency.

this is selling your hash to them

buy from them.  2.401 x .95 = 2.281  so if you can rent as low as 2.281  it would be good.

my rentals from them were quite a bit   50 coins a year.  no longer so. as they did something I thought was wrong to the winner of a solo block last fall.

ever since then I have rented less. there are the only company in the world of crypto coins that i know of that run the way they do.

So I give them some support as I think their business model should exist.
I do think they are a bit stupid in that they lack transparency and they would still do well by being more transparent.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

[img]https://i.imgur.com/O7iVInj.png[/img]
[/quote]







Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 2 picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: NeuroticFish on June 08, 2016, 06:53:04 AM
You may want to change the title if still possible. You meant "to june 20", right?


It was a rare period with fall in difficulty and quite a rise on the price. Will the diff rise a lot? Or maybe not? It will be interesting! And the prize rose too because of rollover.
I love this game!



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 2 picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 08, 2016, 08:16:06 AM
So interesting last Period and congrats to those who were the closest. Nice to have another negative and it does make you wonder about these spikes?

Particularly when a period is Zero or Negative are we sure that it's not just variance with this being a "not much happened Period" with the couple of high days towards the end just bringing us back close to zero?

We would BTW have been much closer to zero if Bitfury had not been offline, as d57heinz reported, 4 days ago.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 08, 2016, 10:21:53 AM
well what will this mean:

Hello everyone,

Please note that it is a 3-day National Holiday in China from June 9 to June 11, 2016 so we will neither be able to respond to queries nor be able to carry out shipping of any orders or repairs during this time.

You may email us at info@bitmaintech.com for any urgent issues.

Wishing you all a merry time during the Dragon Boat Festival.

Regards,

the Bitmain team



this starts in 6 hours


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Cashew on June 08, 2016, 10:24:20 AM
I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 08, 2016, 10:51:54 AM
well what will this mean:

Please note that it is a 3-day National Holiday in China from June 9 to June 11, 2016 so we will neither be able to respond to queries nor be able to carry out shipping of any orders or repairs during this time.

their site says s9 b1 will ship 12 july.. was this always the ship date? or did it change with this announcement?

course someone there could switch "on" the stockpile of waiting to be shipped s9s just before the party starts.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 08, 2016, 10:54:10 AM
I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...

picks are only open during a window in the middle of each difficulty period. just keep an eye on the thread.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 08, 2016, 11:17:58 AM
well what will this mean:

Please note that it is a 3-day National Holiday in China from June 9 to June 11, 2016 so we will neither be able to respond to queries nor be able to carry out shipping of any orders or repairs during this time.

their site says s9 b1 will ship 12 july.. was this always the ship date? or did it change with this announcement?

course someone there could switch "on" the stockpile of waiting to be shipped s9s just before the party starts.

The ship date was always the 12th. Hopefully Bitmain took the festival into account when they planned their S9 ship dates. It would be a shame for the early buyers if this was a repeat of the S7 B1 late shipping debacle.

My guess is that they will start shipping when they get back after the festival smack dab on the 12th, but nothing else will happen until then, including no new S9 batch announcements.

What this translates to is the S9 public release will have no impact on the hash rate till somewhere around the 15th. That means a little over half this adjustment period will be unaffected by the S9.

Unless of course they're already shipping to the big farms and letting the little guys wait.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 08, 2016, 11:58:43 AM
I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...

the picks stay open for about 3 days.  they will open in around 6 days


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ingiltere on June 08, 2016, 01:35:15 PM
I think nobody expected a negative difficulty last time. S9's are shipped so they are not working, is this the main reason? I don't really know who speculate this market. Mining is like a gambling, hard to even make ROI but some big players always win something. Next difficulty will be positive, probably.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 08, 2016, 04:27:07 PM
I think the negative is gear shutting off to make way for the new stuff.  My conspiracy theory of a ~30% attack to control difficulty is just that, a conspiracy theory.  Realistically I think this is the calm before the storm before the halving.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 08, 2016, 07:50:25 PM
I think the negative is gear shutting off to make way for the new stuff.  My conspiracy theory of a ~30% attack to control difficulty is just that, a conspiracy theory.  Realistically I think this is the calm before the storm before the halving.

My hope for having is it finnaly get's some of the old machines off the network.  A cut in in profits will hurt us all... but old gear that has remained  on network might finnaly come off who knows.   I do agree we will see postive eventually as some will replace with new gear like S9 and for same amount of electricity will get a heck of a lot more hash. 

The biggest thing I don't believe the conspiracy for is I think if someone has 30 percent they would want it online hashing away before having.  Just a lot of profit lost if they leave it turned off. 

As far as value this period were starting around 580 on coinbase. So still a decent gain from last period hopefully we see some positive movement on price this time to.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 08, 2016, 11:23:13 PM
My guess is that they will start shipping when they get back after the festival smack dab on the 12th, but nothing else will happen until then, including no new S9 batch announcements.

Looks like I was wrong. Bitmain says they're going to announce a 12.9 TH/s variant of the S9 tonight.

I thought that Chinese companies took their festivals seriously. The fact that someone at Bitmain is working during a national holiday is interesting.

Maybe the uptake for the overpriced S9 just before the halving has been less than they expected. It will be very interesting to see the price of this new slightly lower powered S9 batch.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 09, 2016, 12:42:43 AM
My guess is that they will start shipping when they get back after the festival smack dab on the 12th, but nothing else will happen until then, including no new S9 batch announcements.

Looks like I was wrong. Bitmain says they're going to announce a 12.9 TH/s variant of the S9 tonight.

I thought that Chinese companies took their festivals seriously. The fact that someone at Bitmain is working during a national holiday is interesting.

Maybe the uptake for the overpriced S9 just before the halving has been less than they expected. It will be very interesting to see the price of this new slightly lower powered S9 batch.

been drinking tonight so all comments could make 0 sense at all.

but I have 6 coins burning a hole in my pocket for gear.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 09, 2016, 01:27:54 AM
My guess is that they will start shipping when they get back after the festival smack dab on the 12th, but nothing else will happen until then, including no new S9 batch announcements.

Looks like I was wrong. Bitmain says they're going to announce a 12.9 TH/s variant of the S9 tonight.

I thought that Chinese companies took their festivals seriously. The fact that someone at Bitmain is working during a national holiday is interesting.

Maybe the uptake for the overpriced S9 just before the halving has been less than they expected. It will be very interesting to see the price of this new slightly lower powered S9 batch.

been drinking tonight so all comments could make 0 sense at all.

but I have 6 coins burning a hole in my pocket for gear.

LOL! Maybe you should hand your Trezor (or whatever wallet you use) to your wife for tonight ;)

I'm in Japan now so I'm almost in the same timezone as Bitmain. But I left my Trezor at home,  so unless the new model is less than I'm carrying on my phone (i.e. dirt cheap) I won't be buying one today.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 09, 2016, 02:44:42 AM
My guess is that they will start shipping when they get back after the festival smack dab on the 12th, but nothing else will happen until then, including no new S9 batch announcements.

Looks like I was wrong. Bitmain says they're going to announce a 12.9 TH/s variant of the S9 tonight.

I thought that Chinese companies took their festivals seriously. The fact that someone at Bitmain is working during a national holiday is interesting.

Maybe the uptake for the overpriced S9 just before the halving has been less than they expected. It will be very interesting to see the price of this new slightly lower powered S9 batch.

been drinking tonight so all comments could make 0 sense at all.

but I have 6 coins burning a hole in my pocket for gear.

LOL! Maybe you should hand your Trezor (or whatever wallet you use) to your wife for tonight ;)

I'm in Japan now so I'm almost in the same timezone as Bitmain. But I left my Trezor at home,  so unless the new model is less than I'm carrying on my phone (i.e. dirt cheap) I won't be buying one today.

still buzzed no purchases tonight. ;D ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: petahashminer on June 09, 2016, 07:43:18 AM
this diff rise will be interesting, with the arrival of new equipments it may be 10-15 %

but still diff is calm, i think shipped equipments has not arrived.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 09, 2016, 11:28:05 AM
still buzzed no purchases tonight. ;D ;D

so did you  make it through till today without buying anything ?  ;D

trick question actually if you cant remember last night too clearly you might not know until something comes in the mail heh


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 09, 2016, 03:20:33 PM
still buzzed no purchases tonight. ;D ;D

so did you  make it through till today without buying anything ?  ;D

trick question actually if you cant remember last night too clearly you might not know until something comes in the mail heh
 

I woke up slightly hungover at 9:15 am New Jersey time   went to bitmaintech page and no batch 2 in sight.

An hour later the listing for  s-9 posted up and while I could have purchased 2 s-9 batch twos I ordered 1 batch 2.

So I have 3 s-9's coming  2 batch 1's and 1 batch 2.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 09, 2016, 04:04:42 PM
So I have 3 s-9's coming  2 batch 1's and 1 batch 2.

Very nice, really looking forward to hearing how these go?

So Yesterday was virtually a full Day in the new Difficulty Period and we did exactly 144 Blocks. I think with the way the last Period went that the correction will have been close to correct. Today we are tracking in a +4% to +8% band but way too few blocks in the Period to Date for that to mean anything.

I am still intrigued by the Day last Period that Bitfury was down which dropped the Period to Date down from -4% to -5%. It was then in the following 2 days that we saw the steady climb up to -2%?

The coin recovered some of it's previous Days loss. I guess breaking through $600 is going to take a few attempts.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 10, 2016, 12:57:23 PM
Morning Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    199,935,750,265 (+1.98%)
Adjust time:    After 1654 Blocks, About 10.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,447,205,112 GH/s

So if it is right I would still be happy with a small positive.  BTC prices have been pretty stable really over past few day's.  It may go up or down a little but it's remained at high 570's for most of the current period.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 10, 2016, 01:36:58 PM
Yesterday was +14.58% with  165 Blocks and the period to Date Run Rate is moving in the +4% to +8% band for the moment.

Coin had another loss Yesterday and seems to have entered a small downtrend, let's hope the uptrend can return.

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ezeminer on June 10, 2016, 03:23:28 PM
So we only have two or three more adjustments till halving?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 10, 2016, 03:29:09 PM
So we only have two or three more adjustments till halving?

July 9-13

 so  I guess 2 or 3


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 10, 2016, 10:01:26 PM
So we only have two or three more adjustments till halving?

July 9-13

 so  I guess 2 or 3

For some reason I thought the halving would line up with the end of difficulty period. But with a cycle of 2016 for difficulty adjustment, that doesn't go into 420,000 without a fraction. So as I figure it, well finish the current adjustment period, and then get another full 2016 block period, and then the "halving" will happen a third of the way through that period.

Just an interesting fact (assuming I did the math right).


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 11, 2016, 06:52:36 AM
Yes I too had expected Halving to be at a period end, but agree that is not what the maths tell us.

So Yesterday another flat Day with exactly 144 blocks. Period to Date we seem settled in the +4% to +5% band. Coin had a good day Yesterday and Today we are on the rise again. Hopefully we will have another crack at $600 in the next few Days.


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 11, 2016, 01:59:48 PM
Yes I too had expected Halving to be at a period end, but agree that is not what the maths tell us.

So Yesterday another flat Day with exactly 144 blocks. Period to Date we seem settled in the +4% to +5% band. Coin had a good day Yesterday and Today we are on the rise again. Hopefully we will have another crack at $600 in the next few Days.


Rich

It's been really good I thought it would be huge numbers going up to having.  But so far I am happy I was wrong.  Bitwisdom does show us at a positive but if we are between 4-5 at end that is not to bad at all:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    204,875,025,503 (+4.50%)
Adjust time:    After 1493 Blocks, About 9.6 days
Hashrate(?):    1,485,420,827 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 11, 2016, 10:51:02 PM
Yes I too had expected Halving to be at a period end, but agree that is not what the maths tell us.

So Yesterday another flat Day with exactly 144 blocks. Period to Date we seem settled in the +4% to +5% band. Coin had a good day Yesterday and Today we are on the rise again. Hopefully we will have another crack at $600 in the next few Days.


Rich

It's been really good I thought it would be huge numbers going up to having.  But so far I am happy I was wrong.  Bitwisdom does show us at a positive but if we are between 4-5 at end that is not to bad at all:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    204,875,025,503 (+4.50%)
Adjust time:    After 1493 Blocks, About 9.6 days
Hashrate(?):    1,485,420,827 GH/s

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   204,884,210,916 (+4.50%)
Adjust time:   After 1426 Blocks, About 9.2 days
Hashrate(?):   1,494,811,959 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.5 minutes
Updated:   19:45 (3.0 minutes ago)


592  made so far

been too busy to do  a real world number


415888 (Main Chain)   2016-06-11 23:48:40

415296 (Main Chain)   2016-06-08 02:41:58


3 days    = 432
21 hours = 126
10 min   =      1

559 = 0%

592/559-1 =   +5.90339%


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 12, 2016, 04:02:56 AM
Coinbase is looking GREAT right now we blew through 600.  Which was surprising I was expecting some big sell walls.  But at 635 USD per BTC right now... its a good time to be holding.  And we have not even made it to having yet how high can it go could be fun to watch.

Considering that bitwisdom looks not to bad:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    204,771,025,649 (+4.44%)
Adjust time:    After 1397 Blocks, About 9.0 days
Hashrate(?):    1,506,950,576 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 12, 2016, 04:29:28 AM
At a price of $630+, there is plenty of gear which is viable to run for the next 4 weeks. SP20's and S5's have to still have legs at this price, assuming they are paid for. Or perhaps it's the best time to SELL some older gear. In my experience, when BTC price is high, older gear fetches a better price (in fiat).

This will NOT be a negative difficulty adjustment this round. Those might be gone until after the halving.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 12, 2016, 06:15:51 AM
So Yesterday was +8.33% with 156 Blocks and the Hash rate is gradually pushing up with the Period to date now at +6.4%. However the big news, as alh has said,  is on the Price... Big rise Yesterday and continuing on up Today. This may be the push that sees us convincingly through $600.  :) Here's hoping...


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 12, 2016, 04:03:07 PM
So Yesterday was +8.33% with 156 Blocks and the Hash rate is gradually pushing up with the Period to date now at +6.4%. However the big news, as alh has said,  is on the Price... Big rise Yesterday and continuing on up Today. This may be the push that sees us convincingly through $600.  :) Here's hoping...


Rich


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,137,665,988 (+3.61%)

Adjust time:   After 1329 Blocks, About 8.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,472,725,231 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes
Updated:   11:55 (5.1 minutes ago)


           ;D ;D ;D Coinbase is 648 usd!   ;D ;D ;D


I sold 0.80 btc  at 642   just to know I was able to sell at a price this high.

The diff is hanging in there  pretty high  we look to do  over 200 easy this jump


http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png

almost always over 0%
https://i.imgur.com/L9BrKzz.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: pogress on June 12, 2016, 04:23:11 PM
Anyone knows how many S9 batch 1 were sold? These S9s should be received before this difficulty ends thus impacting this difficulty. But 1000 S9s is just about 1%, and I doubt much more were sold thus not big impact at all?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 12, 2016, 05:25:00 PM
Anyone knows how many S9 batch 1 were sold? These S9s should be received before this difficulty ends thus impacting this difficulty. But 1000 S9s is just about 1%, and I doubt much more were sold thus not big impact at all?


I am lazy  but here is the btc addy.


Some fun with bitmaintech master btc addy


https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V


first orders

Code:

https://blockchain.info/tx/b8af612b665c50e22d7fac09b69d7a19a714673f0451ab0e2e84e3bd2fd401e4   9.906


https://blockchain.info/tx/800eba8a97d69b360723d36a534626db1e6bb3c7b82db7b39e780a5fb5e1cd54  4.007
https://blockchain.info/tx/6815fe3a880fff73725ac6fbeae17447931b79708c573f165a4a39d5ac6c5151      4.014
https://blockchain.info/tx/007ee4c061744ae9bf9f098fef3d155b23a5d9c70c420317698514a1cad64e68     7.901
https://blockchain.info/tx/00768ea6e10b00b36128cfc371a6c7015f6cc9a19046e4dea50fb55a92947748    3.996
https://blockchain.info/tx/df36110d761329593c6a3eea0a2d491c3e4d346fa8a7c37be3caa3cdab5ba986  18.373
https://blockchain.info/tx/f9b12a49c258461983a50116a0ebca41a0f268cded28c1f45ca6e64861055189   12.799
https://blockchain.info/tx/789d495b8638127dda5cc9223b40a87490a88edcf6cf92592c3793e97aa5fd95   19.808
https://blockchain.info/tx/c6789a6dcd0f8f272b4689c6177f4ee80dff1e58cae5deca0ce9e3b4ccd5a7fe       19.769
https://blockchain.info/tx/1234c695cc1a42f927ba7a2b3eae8f9ac08d487997a0d723390d0ea585f0b8e8     3.996
https://blockchain.info/tx/feb24794abb5272172615b7d1935b8cb446e473e8c38a40d46f9da9c186bfb95     4.012

above was about 160 coins 37 to 40 pieces depends on how many psus purchased

https://blockchain.info/tx/974ec95695346a04174dc60565ebe52ccb28837399c43269d89b51a96921cdf9 19.741
https://blockchain.info/tx/a0a791ae1daacbaeafa3e01968583052810b693faf33191471f614c04540d017     3.995
https://blockchain.info/tx/4f171d5d371cd517b4d8760989a45d3a93f6ef061655a071c09087ed6bf4e772  19.8
https://blockchain.info/tx/d13bded6bb0647d6aab21f44ec9b624da8b1f24be17d46dcf9c2cdf57c3cb4fb      8.63
https://blockchain.info/tx/b411964fbb16d1fd09aa81ddd4093be2b52947f154486e32713f94380cd7d766  7.985
https://blockchain.info/tx/d7cd8aba35b4c0abb6906a75aec6fab391dc399d0d6eedf29b039e3772b70a62  20.616
https://blockchain.info/tx/abf15c65065ce587cc0f96f5efc06b050622d7a687507a75f68af759a20f0479       4.018
https://blockchain.info/tx/7464ee7043c8c0ac3421603b5835d2a78d5122333d1b444bce0ef61c2c80086c   7.917
https://blockchain.info/tx/ed07efe73561e9848e5110ae291d66ca533c9cf2759b6328e60677baccc94bb2     4.5
https://blockchain.info/tx/e59945d6a1bcfdd5b9ae83908fe6f9ac526471eb2fa19c9f1a1899beea998020      7.225
https://blockchain.info/tx/39cad480fe50e8c13cffaab0e4f780a2f59c50493283cabe78bd6b595f8f3417       7.877

I will work on this later today   but section 2 is 112 coins  about 26 to 28 units   or 63 to 68 units





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: pogress on June 12, 2016, 10:54:58 PM
Anyone knows how many S9 batch 1 were sold? These S9s should be received before this difficulty ends thus impacting this difficulty. But 1000 S9s is just about 1%, and I doubt much more were sold thus not big impact at all?


I am lazy  but here is the btc addy.

https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V


Thank you for the addy, since 2016-05-30 to 2016-06-08 (not many 3+ BTC deposits since 2016-06-06) I counted about 392 possible S9 batch 1 ; I counted 1 S9 = about 4 BTC when 3+ BTC deposit (so 15 BTC deposit = 4x, 6.5 BTC = 2x and so on). I did not included one massive 4811 BTC deposit though, but I added 3 times about 80 BTC deposit even though the max should be 20 BTC with 5 units.

Since 2016-06-09 to now I counted additional 228 possible S9 (batch 2?)


So the 600 S9s does represents about half percent of additional network hashrate - nothing to worry about at all - it seems pretty insignificant number of S9 sold so far.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 12, 2016, 11:40:26 PM
Anyone knows how many S9 batch 1 were sold? These S9s should be received before this difficulty ends thus impacting this difficulty. But 1000 S9s is just about 1%, and I doubt much more were sold thus not big impact at all?


I am lazy  but here is the btc addy.

https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V


Thank you for the addy, since 2016-05-30 to 2016-06-08 (not many 3+ BTC deposits since 2016-06-06) I counted about 392 possible S9 batch 1 ; I counted 1 S9 = about 4 BTC when 3+ BTC deposit (so 15 BTC deposit = 4x, 6.5 BTC = 2x and so on). I did not included one massive 4811 BTC deposit though, but I added 3 times about 80 BTC deposit even though the max should be 20 BTC with 5 units.

Since 2016-06-09 to now I counted additional 228 possible S9 (batch 2?)


So the 600 S9s does represents about half percent of additional network hashrate - nothing to worry about at all - it seems pretty insignificant number of S9 sold so far.

Thanks for doing this math. If it's accurate, they really haven't sold many units.

There are probably a lot of folks on the sidelines waiting for the BTC cost of the S9s to go down. I'm one of them. I really want to buy, but can't justify spending more BTC on a miner than it will likely make in a year.

Bitmain must know that their pricing choices have limited sales. So it's either intentional and part of their master plan, or out of their control (maybe they can't produce enough chips).

My guess is that they're happy to mine with their own S9s up to the halving, while at the same time enjoying the premium that they're getting from early adopters of a limited release. If BW ever does release publicly, Bitmain can respond then with lower priced batches, killing the competition (again). Until then they can cruse into the halving with high S9 unit prices.

In the meantime, BTC prices have shot up resulting in a new high point in mining profitability. If this price holds (or goes up) my original estimate of around 140 PH/s going offline after the halving is probably too high. Older machines will remain profitable, so why turn them off. So people who are depending on a significant difficulty reduction after the halving for their ROI calculations are probably in for a surprise. But with higher BTC prices maybe they won't care.

As an aside, why does Bitmain reuse receive addresses? Seems lazy on their part and possibly dangerous because it leaks sales information.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 01:35:16 AM
Anyone knows how many S9 batch 1 were sold? These S9s should be received before this difficulty ends thus impacting this difficulty. But 1000 S9s is just about 1%, and I doubt much more were sold thus not big impact at all?


I am lazy  but here is the btc addy.

https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V


Thank you for the addy, since 2016-05-30 to 2016-06-08 (not many 3+ BTC deposits since 2016-06-06) I counted about 392 possible S9 batch 1 ; I counted 1 S9 = about 4 BTC when 3+ BTC deposit (so 15 BTC deposit = 4x, 6.5 BTC = 2x and so on). I did not included one massive 4811 BTC deposit though, but I added 3 times about 80 BTC deposit even though the max should be 20 BTC with 5 units.

Since 2016-06-09 to now I counted additional 228 possible S9 (batch 2?)


So the 600 S9s does represents about half percent of additional network hashrate - nothing to worry about at all - it seems pretty insignificant number of S9 sold so far.

Thanks for doing this math. If it's accurate, they really haven't sold many units.

There are probably a lot of folks on the sidelines waiting for the BTC cost of the S9s to go down. I'm one of them. I really want to buy, but can't justify spending more BTC on a miner than it will likely make in a year.

Bitmain must know that their pricing choices have limited sales. So it's either intentional and part of their master plan, or out of their control (maybe they can't produce enough chips).

My guess is that they're happy to mine with their own S9s up to the halving, while at the same time enjoying the premium that they're getting from early adopters of a limited release. If BW ever does release publicly, Bitmain can respond then with lower priced batches, killing the competition (again). Until then they can cruse into the halving with high S9 unit prices.

In the meantime, BTC prices have shot up resulting in a new high point in mining profitability. If this price holds (or goes up) my original estimate of around 140 PH/s going offline after the halving is probably too high. Older machines will remain profitable, so why turn them off. So people who are depending on a significant difficulty reduction after the halving for their ROI calculations are probably in for a surprise. But with higher BTC prices maybe they won't care.

As an aside, why does Bitmain reuse receive addresses? Seems lazy on their part and possibly dangerous because it leaks sales information.

Not sure and they now have more then 25 million usd in that address!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   201,802,916,705 (+2.93%)

Adjust time:   After 1272 Blocks, About 8.4 days>>>  we start in 156 blocks  so some time monday nite eastern standard time.


Hashrate(?):   1,446,261,937 GH/s


Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes
Updated:   21:35 (4.7 minutes ago)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 13, 2016, 05:56:51 AM
Bitwsidom still looks pretty good.  A few month's ago I would have never guessed low numbers leading into having... but it's nice:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    201,541,650,244 (+2.80%)
Adjust time:    After 1246 Blocks, About 8.3 days
Hashrate(?):    1,446,710,566 GH/s

Coinbase is currently 692  that is right we are approaching 700.  Just again going into having if this continues... it is a good time for bitcoin.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 13, 2016, 05:58:37 AM
Yesterday was +1.39% with 146 Blocks and the Period to Date Run Rate seems to have settled at +5% for the moment. Three up Days on the Coin whereas only Yesterday I was wondering if the break trough $600 would hold we are now close to testing $700  :) All sorts of ROI maths and older Miner profitability calculations need to be redone....


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 13, 2016, 06:06:45 AM
Yesterday was +1.39% with 146 Blocks and the Period to Date Run Rate seems to have settled at +5% for the moment. Three up Days on the Coin whereas only Yesterday I was wondering if the break trough $600 would hold we are now close to testing $700  :) All sorts of ROI maths and older Miner profitability calculations need to be redone....


Rich

Exactly I am looking at all my excel sheets (I love excel) and having to update with number I just did not see coming so quick.   That 600 barrier I thought there would be some sales walls and drawn out.   But we have just been blowing through my predictions which is great.  I tend to be a realistic investor a month ago I did was not even playing with almost 700 USD in my sheets.

And the amazing thing is we have around a month till having.... so I sitting back loving watching this.   Going to be a interesting month for sure.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 10:02:05 AM
Yesterday was +1.39% with 146 Blocks and the Period to Date Run Rate seems to have settled at +5% for the moment. Three up Days on the Coin whereas only Yesterday I was wondering if the break trough $600 would hold we are now close to testing $700  :) All sorts of ROI maths and older Miner profitability calculations need to be redone....


Rich

Exactly I am looking at all my excel sheets (I love excel) and having to update with number I just did not see coming so quick.   That 600 barrier I thought there would be some sales walls and drawn out.   But we have just been blowing through my predictions which is great.  I tend to be a realistic investor a month ago I did was not even playing with almost 700 USD in my sheets.

And the amazing thing is we have around a month till having.... so I sitting back loving watching this.   Going to be a interesting month for sure.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   201,133,073,029 (+2.59%)
Adjust time:   After 1218 Blocks, About 8.1 days   >>>>> 102 blocks to go
Hashrate(?):   1,446,897,988 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.6 minutes
Updated:


I am going to change  prize level .

At 600 .1 btc is  60 usd

at 700 .1 btc is 70 usd

I think prize will be $50  then $100 then $150 then $200

not .1 then .2 then .3    then .4

This will not take effect   this period if someone hits.. they get .20 btc

when this contest was started coins were around 200 so prize was

20 then 40 then 60 then 80

now prize is 70 then  140 then 210 then 280

So I will pay .20 btc this round.

Next round we convert to USD paid in btc.

So next round is $50 if we have a winner this round.

Next round is $150 if it is a carryover based on 50 then 100 then 150.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 13, 2016, 10:33:13 AM
with a price increase like that sounds very reasonable.

loving the price, we were going to sell some btc a couple months ago for some toys but used fiat instead. while i hodl a good percentage i do sell coins here and there.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Kexkey on June 13, 2016, 10:42:01 AM
I am going to change  prize level .

At 600 .1 btc is  60 usd

at 700 .1 btc is 70 usd

I think prize will be $50  then $100 then $150 then $200

not .1 then .2 then .3    then .4

This will not take effect   this period if someone hits.. they get .20 btc

when this contest was started coins were around 200 so prize was

20 then 40 then 60 then 80

now prize is 70 then  140 then 210 then 280

So I will pay .20 btc this round.

Next round we convert to USD paid in btc.

So next round is $50 if we have a winner this round.

Next round is $150 if it is a carryover based on 50 then 100 then 150.

That makes sense.  Maybe someday the prize will be around 0.00005 btc (woohoo!) and we'll say "Do you remember when you were giving 0.1 btc every round?  That was insane, we can buy a car today with that!"

:-D

Reminds me the pizza for ...how much?  30000 btc?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 13, 2016, 11:30:48 AM
And coinbase is officially hitting 700!  Seeing 700.98 cent's can't not make you smile in the morning.   I am surprised again no big sell wall it appears....  just like with 600 we passed through it pretty easy.   

How high do you think we will hit this period?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 13, 2016, 11:45:18 AM
I just don't know.... For Days now I have been thinking of selling half, but not getting round to doing it. I feel we must get a big pull back at some point? Fear & Greed are just fighting in my head. Greed and Laziness winning at the moment....

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 13, 2016, 12:43:58 PM
I just don't know.... For Days now I have been thinking of selling half, but not getting round to doing it. I feel we must get a big pull back at some point? Fear & Greed are just fighting in my head. Greed and Laziness winning at the moment....

Let laziness win! Do nothing! Hodl!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 01:43:35 PM
I just don't know.... For Days now I have been thinking of selling half, but not getting round to doing it. I feel we must get a big pull back at some point? Fear & Greed are just fighting in my head. Greed and Laziness winning at the moment....

Rich

 sell 20% of your coin now!  

 hodl the rest

 if coins go to 800 usd sell 15%

if coins go to 1000 usd sell 15%

hold remaining 50% of coins till we hit 1500 usd

Taking profits on btc is very difficult. The method above  or something like it allows for you to be partly correct no matter what happens.

It makes it impossible to be fully wrong.  being fully wrong when you can avoid it must never be allowed to happen.

Fully wrong can happen two ways

1) sell it all  and coins jump to 1000
2) hodl it all and coins drop to 500

you can avoid both above with a partial sale.


I sold .8 btc at 644
I sold .8 btc at 697
I will sell again at 750




back to picks  they open very soon block 1116

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   202,515,148,047 (+3.29%)


Adjust time:   After 1185 Blocks, About 7.8 days     we are 59 blocks away.


Hashrate(?):   1,481,138,865 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes
Updated:   9:45 (4.1 minutes ago)


 This round will be the last round prizes are in btc.  so .20 will go to a winner

next round  will be $50 usd if we have a winner or $150 usd if we have a carryover.
I will still pay in BTC no matter what. Just that the btc will soon be based on $ amounts.


Hey  see how I did $    how do I type BTC like that?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 13, 2016, 02:16:19 PM
Taking profits on btc is very difficult. The method above  or something like it allows for you to be partly correct no matter what happens.

This is very true I kinda find it hard to part with my BTC unless it is for miners, or I do pull out electricity from it.  I figure worst comes to worst I am not out electricity which adds up.   I cash it out once a month for it.

But I like to hold I have sold some coins over time here and there for something fun.  But I enjoy holding I find it hard to pick a target to sell at.   But with around a month till having I predict I don't sell much.   And I could look like a idiot in two months but time will tell.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 03:15:07 PM
Taking profits on btc is very difficult. The method above  or something like it allows for you to be partly correct no matter what happens.

This is very true I kinda find it hard to part with my BTC unless it is for miners, or I do pull out electricity from it.  I figure worst comes to worst I am not out electricity which adds up.   I cash it out once a month for it.

But I like to hold I have sold some coins over time here and there for something fun.  But I enjoy holding I find it hard to pick a target to sell at.   But with around a month till having I predict I don't sell much.   And I could look like a idiot in two months but time will tell.

well you can sell 20%  of them  and hodl the rest.  thus insuring that you can not be completely wrong.

you would be either 20% wrong- 80% correct     or 80% wrong -20% correct.


which is better then 100% wrong 0% correct.


I am 59  I have been around long enough to know  doing the 20/80  or 80/20 move is better then the 100/0 or 0/100 move.

The ฿ is a useful symbol
The ฿ is a useful symbol
The ฿ is a useful symbol

How do I type ฿  rather then click and drag it?
I am on a mac.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ATguy on June 13, 2016, 04:44:15 PM
The ฿ is a useful symbol

How do I type ฿  rather then click and drag it?
I am on a mac.


Its btc tag, you type

Code:
[btc]

You might try type it in the subject line as well, but I never tried it if it works there.

BTW the price is good, time to start mining with older equipment again - hopefully the price wont crash.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 13, 2016, 04:44:46 PM
It's much easier to sell BTC when it's nearly $700 than when it was $250. Since my current view of BTC is primarily one of a "volatile, speculative commodity", I don't want to hold it until it falls. My last sale of BTC was in 2013 when it was $800. While I missed selling it at $1200, I also skipped selling it at $250.

I am generally in Phil's camp. Not always optimum, but not a terrible disaster either. If it were to make it to $1000, I am sure I would sell more. I doubt that I am unique in this regard.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 05:34:18 PM
It's much easier to sell BTC when it's nearly $700 than when it was $250. Since my current view of BTC is primarily one of a "volatile, speculative commodity", I don't want to hold it until it falls. My last sale of BTC was in 2013 when it was $800. While I missed selling it at $1200, I also skipped selling it at $250.

I am generally in Phil's camp. Not always optimum, but not a terrible disaster either. If it were to make it to $1000, I am sure I would sell more. I doubt that I am unique in this regard.

yeah it is nice to max your sale the highest day of the bull run.  but really hard to happen.

i did the sale at 643 or so.  and one at 697 or so.

 waiting for an uptick to 750   or a down tick to 650 . for next sale.

 So I will do 3 sales of .8 btc    and they will be at 643, 697,   650-750 .  if it is a long rise up  after i do the 750.  I will then sell at 850.

These patterns do not max profit  but always insure some profit.

we have about 35 blocks for picks to open.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 13, 2016, 06:40:50 PM
Well I missed the guessing for this round, but that's find because I think these next couple adjustments are going to be anyone's guess.  I mean sure they all have been, but at least if felt like you could logic some stuff out about what is happening.  But now with the price exploding and new hardware and all it seems to me almost anything can happen.

My goal when I got into mining a little over a year ago was to have 1BTC to hold onto through the halving and see what happens.  I am happy to report that I have a little more than that stashed away, so here's to the continued success of bitcoin and an unknown future!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 07:12:06 PM
Well I missed the guessing for this round, but that's find because I think these next couple adjustments are going to be anyone's guess.  I mean sure they all have been, but at least if felt like you could logic some stuff out about what is happening.  But now with the price exploding and new hardware and all it seems to me almost anything can happen.

My goal when I got into mining a little over a year ago was to have 1BTC to hold onto through the halving and see what happens.  I am happy to report that I have a little more than that stashed away, so here's to the continued success of bitcoin and an unknown future!

you did not miss a guess.  Guesses start later today.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 13, 2016, 07:22:20 PM
Well hey, how about that!  I started reading/posting before caffeine and see what happens?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 07:57:59 PM
Well hey, how about that!  I started reading/posting before caffeine and see what happens?

now pick the winner   ;D ;D ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 13, 2016, 08:00:14 PM
The ฿ is a useful symbol

How do I type ฿  rather then click and drag it?
I am on a mac.


Its btc tag, you type

Code:
[btc]

You might try type it in the subject line as well, but I never tried it if it works there.

BTW the price is good, time to start mining with older equipment again - hopefully the price wont crash.

BTC  got it thanks. So we are now having fun with

BTC

BTC  as it grows in value. ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 14, 2016, 12:31:49 AM
Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: blindminer on June 14, 2016, 12:38:58 AM
+3.9 = blindminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 14, 2016, 12:40:07 AM

Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.



+3.9 = blindminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Erumara on June 14, 2016, 01:08:17 AM
+4.2 = Erumara


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: VRobb on June 14, 2016, 01:09:56 AM
Let's do this!

+5.2 = VRobb

Thanks philip for keeping us degenerates happy!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 14, 2016, 02:05:57 AM

Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.



+3.9 = blindminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+5.2 = VRobb


coins are dropping now at 690

and diff is moving up.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   205,027,227,093 (+4.57%)
Adjust time:   After 1104 Blocks, About 7.2 days
Hashrate(?):   1,507,625,073 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes
Updated:   22:5 (1.6 minutes ago)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: PPOC on June 14, 2016, 03:29:08 AM
What the heck, I'll put one in.

6.3+ =PPOC


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: valkir on June 14, 2016, 03:46:38 AM
My first post as a Legendary member!  ;D

I will take :
+2.2 = Valkir

My lucky number! 22


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ezeminer on June 14, 2016, 04:43:51 AM
My first post as a Legendary member!  ;D

I will take :
+2.2 = Valkir

My lucky number! 22
Congrats and good luck :D

+5.0 = ezeminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: HerbPean on June 14, 2016, 04:57:38 AM
My first post as a Legendary member!  ;D

Ho nice ! :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: veves1 on June 14, 2016, 05:23:29 AM
+5,5 = Veves1


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: lindin99 on June 14, 2016, 05:27:41 AM
+4.8 = LinDin99


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Amph on June 14, 2016, 05:50:23 AM
+5.0 = Amph


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 14, 2016, 07:04:53 AM
So we pushed up a little bit Yesterday with +11.81% and 161 Blocks. Today Period to Date we are at +5.6%.

The coin peaked at $720 Yesterday, closed at $705 and had pulled back a little this Morning to just under $700. Amazing that 2 Days ago we closed at $675 and only 4 Days ago we were at $579.


Rich




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: adaseb on June 14, 2016, 07:56:20 AM
0.0 = adaseb


Crazy that the difficulty isnt going up when the price went up 50%. Maybe everybody is busy mining ETH instead.



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 14, 2016, 08:09:45 AM
+8.3 = edonkey

I'm out of town so I can't ask our cats this time. I'm on my own.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: mocacinno on June 14, 2016, 08:10:52 AM
+3.2 = mocacinno

Thanks :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: leowonderful on June 14, 2016, 11:02:14 AM
So we pushed up a little bit Yesterday with +11.81% and 161 Blocks. Today Period to Date we are at +5.6%.

The coin peaked at $720 Yesterday, closed at $705 and had pulled back a little this Morning to just under $700. Amazing that 2 Days ago we closed at $675 and only 4 Days ago we were at $579.


Rich



Probably due to a large amount of people selling (can't even call dumping at this point) their bitcoins, because only a month ago it was near 300$. Still, it looks like old miners are being turned on, because shortly before and after the price rose, we saw a small peak of hashrate. This'll probably be normal throughout the days before the halving, then we'll see a huge drop of hashrate and difficulty as old miners become turned off, and because there's just a higher ratio of old miner hashrate than s9 hashrate, at least as of now. Later past the halving,  we'll probably see a return of hashrate as Bitmain's S9's get turned on, but it'll be a slow climb.
That said, I think hashrate will cap or keep a slow climb, so +2.74 = leowonderful is my guess.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 14, 2016, 11:11:37 AM
my pick is my usual 5.5% please

vapourminer=5.5%

sell 20% of your coin now! 

 hodl the rest
[...]
Taking profits on btc is very difficult. The method above  or something like it allows for you to be partly correct no matter what happens.

It makes it impossible to be fully wrong.  being fully wrong when you can avoid it must never be allowed to happen.

yup my strategy is close to that; sell some, hodl most. i have profited well even with high electric cost.

after all, BTC is only worth what you sell it for at the time, not what it used to be or might be.

EDIT: corrected my username.. DOH!




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: albertamining on June 14, 2016, 11:18:06 AM


+5.8 = albertamining

good luck all


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: slastar on June 14, 2016, 11:45:02 AM
+3,5 = slastar


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 14, 2016, 12:34:45 PM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.5 = slastar
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.8 = LinDin99
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.5 = Veves1
+5.5 = vapourminer I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.8 = albertamining
+6.3 = PPOC
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: PPOC on June 14, 2016, 02:46:05 PM
0.0 = adaseb


Crazy that the difficulty isnt going up when the price went up 50%. Maybe everybody is busy mining ETH instead.



Calm before the S9 storm, 1st batch online within a few days and then 2nd batch shortly after. Also Bitmain will be putting them online as soon as off assembly line. So I think its a little like when S7 first started shipping, the 2 months after release we shot up 50%


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ingiltere on June 14, 2016, 03:13:43 PM
+3.6 = ingiltere
I wanted 3.50 but somebody filled that gap already.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: topiOleg on June 14, 2016, 03:40:52 PM
+6.0 = topiOleg

There is some chance for two digit increase in difficulty this time, but around +6% is current stat so I would like to try this


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 14, 2016, 03:56:45 PM
+4.6 = Notlist3d

I am hoping for a under 5 percent week either way it's hard to complaign with BTC's current price on coinbase in 670.  So a little up/down with getting so close to 700 but still some good numbers.   Hopefully we push it even further would really like to crush through 700 by end of period and have it as new base.  But even if we are high 600's I will be pretty happy.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Ankara on June 14, 2016, 04:08:26 PM
+3.3 = Ankara
I'm not the favorite though, I picked just because it's closer to estimated diff now, mining game is crazy.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 14, 2016, 05:23:02 PM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick

+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.9 = blindminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.8 = LinDin99

+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = Veves1   
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.8 = albertamining
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.3 = PPOC
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: DanielRo on June 14, 2016, 07:09:18 PM
+5.3 = DanielRo


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: oturanbilboa on June 14, 2016, 09:23:02 PM
+4.7= oturanbilboa


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: talks_cheep on June 14, 2016, 09:40:11 PM
+4.5 = talks_cheep


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 14, 2016, 09:49:47 PM
+5.4 = mikestang

I'm guessing this will be the last "normal" adjustment before the halving.  From here on out craziness ensues.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 14, 2016, 10:51:56 PM



+5.5 = vapourminer I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken

Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

hey i just appreciate the chance to play the game. i was in a hurry this morning (that dang real life thing) and posted too quick. you could of changed it to anything you want and get no complaint from me :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Kexkey on June 15, 2016, 12:32:15 AM
I'm guessing this will be the last "normal" adjustment before the halving.  From here on out craziness ensues.

That's also my guess.  Big miners plan to turn on their new gear farm when the halving happens but they will be tempted to do it before.  And my guess is they will do it before.

When we think about it, with the difficulty increases we got since Nov. (x3), when they say "the halving is already priced in" they're wrong.  ;)



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 01:53:54 AM



Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick

+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.9 = blindminer
+4.2 = Erumara

+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7= oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99

+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1   
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken

+5.8 = albertamining
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.3 = PPOC
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: redhack on June 15, 2016, 02:09:45 AM
+4.3 = redhack


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 02:17:01 AM



Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick

+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.9 = blindminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack

+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7= oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99

+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken

+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Psi on June 15, 2016, 02:44:14 AM
+6.6 = psi


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 15, 2016, 03:51:41 AM
Today was kinda all over a little bit on value dipped into mid 660's today.   Currently ended up around 684 which is not mad still - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  So we can see there are some selling which is not surprising people wanting some cash.   But I would still rate it a decent day on it.

Bitwisdom still under 5 percent which would be nice if it remain's true:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    205,281,080,087 (+4.70%)
Adjust time:    After 958 Blocks, About 6.3 days
Hashrate(?):    1,460,938,481 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alfacro on June 15, 2016, 05:39:30 AM
+4.0 = alfacro


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 15, 2016, 06:27:14 AM
Today was kinda all over a little bit on value dipped into mid 660's today.   Currently ended up around 684 which is not mad still - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  So we can see there are some selling which is not surprising people wanting some cash.   But I would still rate it a decent day on it.

What was surprising to me was how we blasted through $600, so to have a bit of a pull back around $700 is I guess to be expected. So we lost a little Yesterday but that was after 4 Days with positive gains.

Hash wise Yesterday was quiet with -8.33% and only 132 Blocks. period to date Run Rate, 6 Hours in Today, sits at +4.3%. Let's see where we go from here?


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Cuidler on June 15, 2016, 08:13:37 AM
Im surprised considering the quick price rise from under $500, there is no huge spike in difficulty as well from the older mining equipment not profitable under $500 price, but maybe there is not much of this older mining equipment offline and people just sold it instead to those already mined with it even under $500 price, which makes sence.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: petahashminer on June 15, 2016, 08:30:41 AM
It seems, it is about to happen between 2% and 9% rise in difficulty.

so my guess is,

+4.1 = petahashminer

thx.




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 11:49:50 AM




Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick

+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack

+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken

+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,675,977,466 (+3.88%)

Adjust time:   After 910 Blocks, About 6.1 days << Picks will end at 716  that is 194 blocks away


Hashrate(?):   1,436,928,908 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   7:45 (3.4 minutes ago)


At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: wlefever on June 15, 2016, 12:33:11 PM
+3.0 = wlefever thank you sir!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: wpt1wpt1 on June 15, 2016, 01:04:27 PM
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1 please


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 01:11:39 PM




Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken

+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,675,977,466 (+3.88%)

Adjust time:   After 910 Blocks, About 6.1 days << Picks will end at 716  that is 194 blocks away


Hashrate(?):   1,436,928,908 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   7:45 (3.4 minutes ago)


At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: pusttiu on June 15, 2016, 01:36:27 PM
+3.8 = pusttiu


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: drazah on June 15, 2016, 02:37:14 PM
+5.7 = DRAZAH


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 02:48:33 PM





Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere

+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,675,977,466 (+3.88%)

Adjust time:   After 910 Blocks, About 6.1 days << Picks will end at 716  that is 194 blocks away


Hashrate(?):   1,436,928,908 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   7:45 (3.4 minutes ago)


At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: zebedee on June 15, 2016, 03:33:19 PM
+3.7 = zebedee

tqvm


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 03:35:45 PM





Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara

+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number


Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,675,977,466 (+3.88%)

Adjust time:   After 910 Blocks, About 6.1 days << Picks will end at 716  that is 194 blocks away


Hashrate(?):   1,436,928,908 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   7:45 (3.4 minutes ago)


At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: HerbPean on June 15, 2016, 04:36:20 PM
+2.5 = HerbPean

thanks !


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: dukeneptun on June 15, 2016, 05:04:24 PM
+3.1 = dukeneptun


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: tertius993 on June 15, 2016, 05:17:06 PM
+4.4=tertius993


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 05:45:55 PM
Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0 = adaseb
+2.2 = Valkir

+2.5 = HerbPean

+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick

+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining

+6.0 = topiOleg

+6.3 = PPOC
+6.6 = Psi
+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours



Those three numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty




Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,621,284,862 (+3.86%)

Adjust time:   After 879 Blocks, About 5.9 days  >>>>>  picking ends at 716 about 1 day

Hashrate(?):   1,410,983,854 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   13:45 (2.5 minutes ago)






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: radiumsoup on June 15, 2016, 06:05:59 PM
+2.9 = radiumsoup


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: indiemax on June 15, 2016, 06:21:48 PM
+3.4 = Indiemax

thanks ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: tertius993 on June 15, 2016, 07:30:28 PM
Picks are open.

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours


Thanks, that is fine, not sure how I missed that.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: gkv9 on June 15, 2016, 07:51:43 PM
+1.2 is what I think will be the change...

Thanks... :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: sunbreak on June 15, 2016, 08:23:44 PM
Put me down for 2.8


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: -droid- on June 15, 2016, 08:41:18 PM
+2.6 = -droid-


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: pogress on June 15, 2016, 08:57:26 PM
+5.9 = pogress

It is pretty crowded around +4 where I wanted to pick, and +2.4 seems too low, so +5.9 seems better choice.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: NeuroticFish on June 15, 2016, 09:55:45 PM
+6.2 = NeuroticFish

If people starts putting their new toys to work the diff will rise a lot.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 15, 2016, 10:01:56 PM

Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0   = adaseb
+1.2 = gkv9
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC

+6.6 = Psi

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,801,713,834 (+3.95%)
Adjust time:   After 850 Blocks, About 5.7 days >>    we stop at 716   134 blocks    from now
Hashrate(?):   1,448,087,769 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:   18:0 (2.7 minutes ago)





and coinbase is now at 392.80






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open.

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 15, 2016, 11:21:41 PM
Coinbase seems to be inching up little by little currently at 694.5X.  So slowly heading twords 700 again (hopefully).  Last 12 hours or so have been pretty good hopefully that continues: http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  Around 12 hours ago was the last dive down since then it's all been up.

And bitwsidom still under 5... so looking to be a great period so far in my eyes:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    204,550,244,473 (+4.33%)
Adjust time:    After 836 Blocks, About 5.5 days
Hashrate(?):    1,448,760,046 GH/s

*Edit deleted a post as I felt better as a edit.  But as of 12:17:24 AM it had made it in to 707 area.  Now it's around 730 which is awesome.  I love watching it go up.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Brob12321 on June 16, 2016, 04:02:30 AM
+6.7 = Brob12321

The S9's will be turning on, I've seen someone already mining on one ! Diff will likely sky rocket.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 16, 2016, 06:12:25 AM
So looks like they woke up in China this Morning and decided the Coin needed to go higher  :) Plateaued a bit at the moment but sitting at a nice $731.

Looks like it may be one of those Periods when leaving the pick late is not a good idea, still some Hours to go but will have to choose between very low or very high....  ;D


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: ATguy on June 16, 2016, 07:46:46 AM
Price is like crazy and halving still yet to come. I doubt many will turn off miners after halving, the price should be big enought for most miners to continue with mining. Seems like earlier Luke-jr concerns about halving and downspiral of the mining industry and difficulty should not happen.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: testerman on June 16, 2016, 07:51:10 AM

+6.4 = testerman





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 16, 2016, 08:42:11 AM
Not a lot of choices left at this late hour.

+6.1 = alh

I hope it isn't that high, but with S9's being deployed, the hash rate won't decline. My best is that somebody more in the 4-5 range is most likely. In any event, thanks to Phill for continuing this!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Cashew on June 16, 2016, 10:29:45 AM
I'm glad that you sent me reminder, that's a nice attention from you ;D !

+6,9 = Cashew

I'm not very used to guess the difficulty change, but maybe this time I'll be lucky :P...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 10:54:23 AM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0   = adaseb
+1.2 = gkv9
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321
+6.9 = Cashew

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,535,451,786 (+3.81%)
Adjust time:   After 763 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,462,201,851 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   6:50 (3.3 minutes ago)





and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open. and you are now in the game.!!

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: vapourminer on June 16, 2016, 11:15:51 AM
I'm glad that you sent me reminder, that's a nice attention from you ;D !
+6,9 = Cashew
I'm not very used to guess the difficulty change, but maybe this time I'll be lucky :P...

hey! glad to see you here!

this contest is totally phils and its his BTC that he sends. no one elses. he rules this thread and contest.

btw +/- nn.n =[your bitcointalk username] is proper format, that way phil can just cutnpaste stuff here. we try to make it as easy as possible to for him.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Kexkey on June 16, 2016, 11:17:46 AM
+6.8 = Kexkey

Wow to the price!  Surprising there's not a surge in hashrate with that price.  I would have thought more retired miners replug their gears...



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 16, 2016, 11:35:28 AM
....

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,535,451,786 (+3.81%)
Adjust time:   After 763 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,462,201,851 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   6:50 (3.3 minutes ago)


and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D

...


What a great way to wake up.  See bitwisdom is still pretty dang low (considering having much lower then I though we would have). So good luck continues there.

And coinbase keeps going up up up!  We hit 750.... maybe we can see close to 800 by end of this period?  That would be a hell of a week.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 12:46:29 PM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0   = adaseb
+1.2 = gkv9
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321
+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,535,451,786 (+3.81%)
Adjust time:   After 763 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,462,201,851 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   6:50 (3.3 minutes ago)





and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open. and you are now in the game.!!

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Lituation on June 16, 2016, 12:56:27 PM
+2.3 = Lituation
I can't find any space between 3.0 and 4.0 so this is the closest one. :D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 12:57:48 PM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0   = adaseb
+1.2 = gkv9
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = Lituation
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321
+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,535,451,786 (+3.81%)
Adjust time:   After 763 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,462,201,851 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   6:50 (3.3 minutes ago)





and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open. and you are now in the game.!!

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Amph on June 16, 2016, 02:02:25 PM
i was thinking, how do you deal with multiple account entering this game? i see plenty of member and other rank, i suspect some of those are the same person...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: nizamcc on June 16, 2016, 02:19:22 PM
+7.2 according to me, as with rise in price, so rise in difficulty too a lot.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 16, 2016, 03:57:06 PM
So for once it looks like leaving my Pick to the last minute was not the right strategy, so only decision is Go High or Go Low? Well I am going to Go Low cos that is what I want to happen. :) So the highest Low spot available is.

+2.1 = RichBC

I think about 15 Blocks to go. Thanks again to Phil and good luck everyone particularly those with low picks.  ;D


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 04:07:33 PM


Picks are open.


-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.
0.0   = adaseb
+1.2 = gkv9
+2.1 = RichBC
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = Lituation
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321
+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+7.2 = nizamcc

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,348,248,093 (+3.72%)

Adjust time:   After 731 Blocks, About 4.9 days >>> picks end at 716!
Hashrate(?):   1,475,705,544 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.1 minutes
6 blocks: 58.1 minutes
Updated:   12:5 (1.5 minutes ago)











and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D






At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open. and you are now in the game.!!

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...





i was thinking, how do you deal with multiple account entering this game? i see plenty of member and other rank, i suspect some of those are the same person...

When we do the ½ ing I am going to restructure the game.
First step is to change prize to $50 each jump that starts next jump.
I have some other ideas on what to do.
At $50 a jump it is a $1300 a year loss leader for me to promo the coin.





Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: HerbPean on June 16, 2016, 04:12:40 PM
it feels like we are having a 0.5 BTC prize.

So many guesses :P


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 04:18:44 PM
it feels like we are having a 0.5 BTC prize.

So many guesses :P

well  this is the last it is based on btc.  and with 4 days to go if coins shoot to 1000 it would be a 200 dollar prize.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 16, 2016, 04:28:35 PM
This price surge is pretty amazing.  I mean, sure, we hypothesized about it but no one was sure which way the price was going to go.  Will be interesting to see if the value holds after the halving.  I hope so, and glad I have coin in the bank so to speak!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 16, 2016, 04:36:25 PM
This price surge is pretty amazing.  I mean, sure, we hypothesized about it but no one was sure which way the price was going to go.  Will be interesting to see if the value holds after the halving.  I hope so, and glad I have coin in the bank so to speak!

And we still have 23 day's or so till having - http://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ .  So this amount of surging up in price with this amount left looks very nice.   It's hard to tell what high end will be at the end of this. 

It makes me glad I have some being held aswell.   Fun to wake up to a gain in USD hopefully it continues.  And mining has been amazing not surging high with hash... which I was kinda surprised.   But mining also looks great.  So it's good news kinda all the way around.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 04:42:23 PM
I am hoping to get over 1k and stay over 1k.

and we have 11 blocks to the close of picks


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: HerbPean on June 16, 2016, 05:22:39 PM
I am hoping to get over 1k and stay over 1k.

and we have 11 blocks to the close of picks

That would be freaking awesome


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 16, 2016, 06:04:08 PM
I am hoping to get over 1k and stay over 1k.

and we have 11 blocks to the close of picks

That would be freaking awesome
Considering most of my coin was made when it was valued around $200, I concur.  ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: mybannedaccount on June 16, 2016, 06:22:49 PM
+7.1 = tss


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: 2double0 on June 16, 2016, 06:39:02 PM
As everyone thinks difficulty would go up, I am going with them.

+1.8 is my prediction, trying my luck for the first time here.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: bitba.org on June 16, 2016, 06:41:11 PM
+3 --> bitba.org


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: nizamcc on June 16, 2016, 06:42:58 PM
I am hoping to get over 1k and stay over 1k.

and we have 11 blocks to the close of picks

Pretty good.
Waiting for the results, hope I win. Good luck to everybody.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: lolxxxx on June 16, 2016, 07:38:14 PM
3.5% = lolxxxx


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 09:01:56 PM
3.5% = lolxxxx
  this pick was made too late and someone picked it.

so no go.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 09:02:52 PM
+3 --> bitba.org

this pick was too late.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 09:03:30 PM
As everyone thinks difficulty would go up, I am going with them.

+1.8 is my prediction, trying my luck for the first time here.


this pick was too late


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are open!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 09:06:08 PM
+7.1 = tss

this pick was made in time and was the last pick for the contest.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 09:06:19 PM
Picks are closed final picks below.

-1.2 = philipma1957  If I win I will roll it over.

0.0   = adaseb


+1.2 = gkv9

+2.1 = RichBC
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = Lituation
+2.4 = Indiemax  note 3.4 was picked so I gave you this
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = -droid-
+2.7 = leowonderful    I changed you to 2.7  as 2.74 is not a legal pick
+2.8 = sunbreak
+2.9 = radiumsoup
+3.0 = wlefever
+3.1 = dukeneptun
+3.2 = mocacinno
+3.3 = Ankara
+3.4 = tertius993    note 4.4 was picked i gave you this
+3.5 = slastar
+3.6 = ingiltere
+3.7 = zebedee
+3.8 = pusttiu
+3.9 = blindminer
+4.0 = alfacro
+4.1 = petahashminer
+4.2 = Erumara
+4.3 = redhack
+4.4 = wpt1wpt1
+4.5 = talks_cheep
+4.6 = Notlist3d
+4.7 = oturanbilboa
+4.8 = LinDin99
+4.9 = Cuidler
+5.0 = ezeminer
+5.1 = Amph    I changed you to 5.1 as 5.0 was taken
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = DanielRo
+5.4 = mikestang
+5.5 = Veves1  
+5.6 = vapourminer      I changed you to 5.6 as 5.5 was taken
+5.7 = DRAZAH
+5.8 = albertamining
+5.9 = pogress
+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321
+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+7.1 = tss
+7.2 = nizamcc

+8.3 = edonkey


Note  I made 3   4 5 changes:

   leowonderful  2.7 not 2.74   this change is proper format and gives him his pick and more
   Amph            5.1 not 5.0     too late so I assigned the closest number
   vapourminer  5.6 not 5.5     too late so I assigned the closest number

+4.4=tertius993  was already picked so +3.4 is yours
 Indiemax  3.4 was already picked so +2.4 is yours


Those five numbers are there to stay  as I had a few people  try to be tricky a while back.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,826,676,612 (+3.96%)

Adjust time:   After 698 Blocks, About 4.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,447,717,296 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.0 minutes
6 blocks: 58.0 minutes
Updated:   17:15 (3.3 minutes ago)

and coinbase is now at 740!!! ;D ;D

At Cashew I sent a pm to you that the game is open. and you are now in the game.!!

I don't know why but each time I see one of your thread about difficulty predictions, picks are already closed :-\...


i was thinking, how do you deal with multiple account entering this game? i see plenty of member and other rank, i suspect some of those are the same person...

When we do the ½ ing I am going to restructure the game.
First step is to change prize to $50 each jump that starts next jump.
I have some other ideas on what to do.
At $50 a jump it is a $1300 a year loss leader for me to promo the coin.


Three picks below were all past 716
None are allowed
3.5% = lolxxxx
 this pick was made too late and someone picked it.

so no go.


+3 --> bitba.org

this pick was too late.



As everyone thinks difficulty would go up, I am going with them.

+1.8 is my prediction, trying my luck for the first time here.


this pick was too late




All picks above are final 3 people picked too late and two of them picked taken picks.

mybannedaccount was tss and is allow in as his pick was in the same minute as the 716th block.

Since doing this game more then 40 x .1 has been given for free no cost attached.

I have noticed 11 to 20 attempts to do wrong or twist the odds in players favors.

Next jump  prize will be based on usd so if we rollover  prize will be 150 usd paid in btc. not 0.30 btc.

I will need to change a few things zero corrections will be made if you error and pick a used pick.
I will quote each pick before I enter it.

And I will change rules to try to prevent multiple accounts.

with that this game is for fun and I know for some cheating and not getting caught is fun.
 I also know that double and triple and quadruple accounts are very tempting to enter here.

this is one reason I changed prize to usd based.
I may need to alter the  rules more.

with that lets hope coins go to 1200 by the fourth of July.








Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: radiumsoup on June 16, 2016, 10:54:35 PM
this is such a fun little distraction, I look forward to each one of these if for nothing more than testing my prestidigitational predictory prowess. So far, I suck, but it's still fun :) thanks for doing it, big turnout this time


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 16, 2016, 11:03:09 PM
this is such a fun little distraction, I look forward to each one of these if for nothing more than testing my prestidigitational predictory prowess. So far, I suck, but it's still fun :) thanks for doing it, big turnout this time

yeah this one is a milestone as it will be the last one in btc steps of 0.10 btc.

  the high btc price has attracted many players.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 16, 2016, 11:41:56 PM
this is such a fun little distraction, I look forward to each one of these if for nothing more than testing my prestidigitational predictory prowess. So far, I suck, but it's still fun :) thanks for doing it, big turnout this time

yeah this one is a milestone as it will be the last one in btc steps of 0.10 btc.

  the high btc price has attracted many players.
Happy to say I've been playing since diff was down in the 30G range.  It's been a fun ride up to the halving!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Biodom on June 17, 2016, 12:23:54 AM
this is such a fun little distraction, I look forward to each one of these if for nothing more than testing my prestidigitational predictory prowess. So far, I suck, but it's still fun :) thanks for doing it, big turnout this time

yeah this one is a milestone as it will be the last one in btc steps of 0.10 btc.

  the high btc price has attracted many players.

funny, I always want to play more when there are less players-did not go for it this time, saved phil $150  ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: fr4nkthetank on June 17, 2016, 12:28:18 AM
noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo I missed the pick.  :(  I always bet way off anyways lol.  well good luck everyone.  all i can say, is diff is going through the roof soon :)

edit:  announce .10btc as the prize, but keep the real amount secret :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 17, 2016, 03:21:25 AM
noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo I missed the pick.  :(  I always bet way off anyways lol.  well good luck everyone.  all i can say, is diff is going through the roof soon :)

edit:  announce .10btc as the prize, but keep the real amount secret :)

That is part of the fun of this I have found is when you guess.  I have never won but still had lot's of fun.  There is SOO much stratagy in some wait till last minute watching... taking chance numbers fill up or missing it.  And there are some throwing random numbers with little thought.  But it's fun to see it all come together.

I'm not so sure on the difficulty going crazy I thought it would have a few month's ago but I was very wrong.  Right now if we get another under 5 before having I would just be thrilled.

Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    205,038,646,442 (+4.58%)
Adjust time:    After 661 Blocks, About 4.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,434,006,101 GH/s

Coinbase currently at 776 we still have a chance of getting closer or even crossing 800 this period which would be amazing to see.  We BLEW through 700 which was great.   I feel like no one lost this period with BTC's gain's in value.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 17, 2016, 04:31:51 AM
noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo I missed the pick.  :(  I always bet way off anyways lol.  well good luck everyone.  all i can say, is diff is going through the roof soon :)

edit:  announce .10btc as the prize, but keep the real amount secret :)

That is part of the fun of this I have found is when you guess.  I have never won but still had lot's of fun.  There is SOO much stratagy in some wait till last minute watching... taking chance numbers fill up or missing it.  And there are some throwing random numbers with little thought.  But it's fun to see it all come together.

I'm not so sure on the difficulty going crazy I thought it would have a few month's ago but I was very wrong.  Right now if we get another under 5 before having I would just be thrilled.

Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    205,038,646,442 (+4.58%)
Adjust time:    After 661 Blocks, About 4.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,434,006,101 GH/s

Coinbase currently at 776 we still have a chance of getting closer or even crossing 800 this period which would be amazing to see.  We BLEW through 700 which was great.   I feel like no one lost this period with BTC's gain's in value.

I sold off some more btc.  May sell more in a few days.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 17, 2016, 07:16:59 AM
noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo I missed the pick.  :(  I always bet way off anyways lol.  well good luck everyone.  all i can say, is diff is going through the roof soon :)

edit:  announce .10btc as the prize, but keep the real amount secret :)

That is part of the fun of this I have found is when you guess.  I have never won but still had lot's of fun.  There is SOO much stratagy in some wait till last minute watching... taking chance numbers fill up or missing it.  And there are some throwing random numbers with little thought.  But it's fun to see it all come together.

I'm not so sure on the difficulty going crazy I thought it would have a few month's ago but I was very wrong.  Right now if we get another under 5 before having I would just be thrilled.

Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    205,038,646,442 (+4.58%)
Adjust time:    After 661 Blocks, About 4.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,434,006,101 GH/s

Coinbase currently at 776 we still have a chance of getting closer or even crossing 800 this period which would be amazing to see.  We BLEW through 700 which was great.   I feel like no one lost this period with BTC's gain's in value.

I sold off some more btc.  May sell more in a few days.

Yea there definitely is some selling going on we took a decent dive and it is around 720 on coinbase.  So not not fun to drop but still hard to fell bad when it seems we might have a new base at 700.

Quite interesting for those who are still awake to watch it - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  Hopefully the dive is done and settled a little guess we will see.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 17, 2016, 09:06:33 AM
noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo I missed the pick.  :(  I always bet way off anyways lol.  well good luck everyone.  all i can say, is diff is going through the roof soon :)

edit:  announce .10btc as the prize, but keep the real amount secret :)

That is part of the fun of this I have found is when you guess.  I have never won but still had lot's of fun.  There is SOO much stratagy in some wait till last minute watching... taking chance numbers fill up or missing it.  And there are some throwing random numbers with little thought.  But it's fun to see it all come together.

I'm not so sure on the difficulty going crazy I thought it would have a few month's ago but I was very wrong.  Right now if we get another under 5 before having I would just be thrilled.

Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    205,038,646,442 (+4.58%)
Adjust time:    After 661 Blocks, About 4.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,434,006,101 GH/s

Coinbase currently at 776 we still have a chance of getting closer or even crossing 800 this period which would be amazing to see.  We BLEW through 700 which was great.   I feel like no one lost this period with BTC's gain's in value.

I sold off some more btc.  May sell more in a few days.

Yea there definitely is some selling going on we took a decent dive and it is around 720 on coinbase.  So not not fun to drop but still hard to fell bad when it seems we might have a new base at 700.

Quite interesting for those who are still awake to watch it - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  Hopefully the dive is done and settled a little guess we will see.

Just woke up to see it.  I am happy I sold some at 777.
So far my S-9's have earned back  0.1835  which prompted me to sell at the 777 price.  Have a long way to go to roi.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 17, 2016, 09:22:20 AM
I guess we had to have a dive at some point, good that we were well clear of $700 when it happened. Seems to have bounced just before we hit $700. I guess a lot of people wanted to catch the bottom, let's hope we can hold above $700 and build again. I sold some Yesterday and the Day before.


So Yesterday was +3.47 with 149 Blocks and we seem to be settled into a nice rut between +4% & +5%. Period to date we are at +4.35% however with the recent price rise a lot of stuff that may have been switched off will surely be coming back up?


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 17, 2016, 01:03:01 PM
BTC 778.5-------10:25pm eastern standard June 16
BTC 709.1------- 2:30 am  eastern standard June 17
BTC 753.8 ------ 8:59 am  eastern standard June 17

nice bounce  it could mean 800 will get topped.

BTW ETH coin  was similar

0.0279 BTC
0.0200 BTC
0.0220 BTC

Not sure what it all means  but action for sure.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: albertamining on June 17, 2016, 01:35:00 PM
price is increasing but i cant understand , while price increasing , why diff is steady.

even s5 s can be profitable too with that price.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 17, 2016, 03:43:02 PM
price is increasing but i cant understand , while price increasing , why diff is steady.

even s5 s can be profitable too with that price.

We have gained to around 740's in BTC again so not a huge drop but a little last night.  Could have been a lot worse.   Sadly Ether took a dive to to a hack on DOA - http://www.coindesk.com/dao-attacked-code-issue-leads-60-million-ether-theft .  Price of it - http://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/

The hack is not fun at all for ether.  Only possible good thing is BTC rise a little possibly if people move a little from Ether to BTC worrying about further drop.

Bitwisdom still looks really good:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    204,447,947,047 (+4.28%)
Adjust time:    After 589 Blocks, About 3.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,407,871,249 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 18, 2016, 07:42:49 PM
So much Eth coin action ugh!

Back to this game


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   205,610,290,232 (+4.87%)
Adjust time:   After 409 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,471,316,090 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.0 minutes
6 blocks: 58.0 minutes
Updated:   15:35 (4.9 minutes ago)



coinbase at   775


and we are hanging in at about  %5 up tick.

For real world  my kitchen is fully gutted.  Some electrical is done.

I may show a few photos of it.

before the gutting June  16th

https://i.imgur.com/tYSoNl9.png

gutted June 17
https://i.imgur.com/wO16OIV.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: edonkey on June 19, 2016, 03:41:19 AM
So I guess you and your wife are eating out for a while. Or maybe grilling in the backyard?

While OT, I'd like to see it when it's done.

Good luck with the remodel!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 19, 2016, 04:12:28 AM
So I guess you and your wife are eating out for a while. Or maybe grilling in the backyard?

While OT, I'd like to see it when it's done.

Good luck with the remodel!

Pizza tonight .

Steaks at local steak house in Friday.

Sunday I will grill steaks.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 19, 2016, 06:44:58 AM
Yesterday was +9.72% with 158 Blocks and this Morning we are off to a brisk start which has pulled us out of the nice +4% to +5% rut we were in. Period to Date now at + 5.25% and there may have been some Hash added this Morning? Couple of Days to go for the period, how time fly's....

The Coin seems to have found a floor around $750, let's hope we can build again from there.


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 19, 2016, 08:52:01 AM
Yesterday was +9.72% with 158 Blocks and this Morning we are off to a brisk start which has pulled us out of the nice +4% to +5% rut we were in. Period to Date now at + 5.25% and there may have been some Hash added this Morning? Couple of Days to go for the period, how time fly's....

The Coin seems to have found a floor around $750, let's hope we can build again from there.


Rich

I feel pretty good about the floor it is not the around 800 it surge up to for just a bit.    We have done great this period getting this new floor, and still have around 3 weeks or so till having.  So a not a ton of time but still enough to make it  interesting. 

Bitwisdom has us over 6 percent at this point which again considering so close to having is not really bad in my eyes:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    208,053,828,911 (+6.12%)
Adjust time:    After 305 Blocks, About 2.0 days
Hashrate(?):    1,527,809,018 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 19, 2016, 10:34:23 AM
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   208,066,508,947 (+6.12%)

Adjust time:   After 292 Blocks, About 1.9 days
Hashrate(?):   1,528,612,427 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.3 minutes
Updated:   6:30 (3.1 minutes ago)

coinbase = $752


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: TheYankeesWin! on June 19, 2016, 04:50:38 PM
We are getting closer to the end of the difficulty time.  It looks like we are doing a lot more blocks yesterday and today. Maybe we will go over 7 or 8 %.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 19, 2016, 06:40:56 PM
The Spike is back!


<<<<<<<<<<<<<

https://i.imgur.com/L0K97mk.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 20, 2016, 04:08:25 AM
Bitwisdom actually went down a little:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    207,642,908,138 (+5.91%)
Adjust time:    After 173 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?):    1,570,383,048 GH/s

So not a huge amount down but still would be nice if we end up in 5's that would be a sucess to me.    And price at coinbase 761, so still not bad there.  If we could get that as a new base over 750 even 10 dollars is fun to see to me.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Mikestang on June 20, 2016, 06:04:48 AM
The Spike is back!

Yup, I noticed that just today, too.  Looks like the afterburners are on again, or I guess at this point they're not afterburners, but rather just the soon to be status quo.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 20, 2016, 06:20:59 AM
Yes Big Day yesterday with 22.92% and 177 Blocks. Period to Date Run Rate now up to +6.9% and if we continue at the rate we are at now we could see something between +7% and +9% for the Period....


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 20, 2016, 11:58:46 AM
Yes Big Day yesterday with 22.92% and 177 Blocks. Period to Date Run Rate now up to +6.9% and if we continue at the rate we are at now we could see something between +7% and +9% for the Period....


Rich



yeah  a rollover saves me money   since this prize is the last one based in btc .  

0.1 = 75 usd
0.2 = 150 usd


 The next jump is 150 usd in btc

based on jumps of

 50

100

150

200


So I am rooting for a rollover ;D ;D ;D

we have about 106 blocks left to go

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,839,784,051 (+7.03%)
Adjust time:   After 106 Blocks, About 16.3 hours
Hashrate(?):   1,632,881,047 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.7 minutes
6 blocks: 55.4 minutes
Updated:   8:10 (3.7 minutes ago)

The closest contenders are below:

+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321


+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+7.1 = tss
+7.2 = nizamcc




+8.3 = edonkey




Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 20, 2016, 09:41:08 PM
While I don't know how to capture the fragment of the bitcoinwisdom graph, it kinda looks like maybe the "spike" is over for a bit. The Grey line looks like it has peaked. In a non-graphical form:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    209,476,355,740 (+6.84%)
Adjust time:    After 50 Blocks, About 7.7 hours
Hashrate(?):    1,601,862,310 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.5 minutes
   
Updated:    16:35 (5.1 minutes ago)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 20, 2016, 10:17:16 PM
While I don't know how to capture the fragment of the bitcoinwisdom graph, it kinda looks like maybe the "spike" is over for a bit. The Grey line looks like it has peaked. In a non-graphical form:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    209,476,355,740 (+6.84%)
Adjust time:    After 50 Blocks, About 7.7 hours
Hashrate(?):    1,601,862,310 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.5 minutes
   
Updated:    16:35 (5.1 minutes ago)


The spike did drop  so we may have a winner


https://i.imgur.com/8Fgwu2c.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: Brob12321 on June 21, 2016, 01:36:16 AM
OMG I might win ! I put 6.7


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 21, 2016, 02:12:44 AM
Well the value of BTC is dropping some at end of difficulty period so not exactly way we wanted to go out.  We hit under 700 on coinbase.    So been a drop of decent amount - http://www.coindesk.com/price/   But it also could be worse at around 700 value still has rised a lot.

Difficulty did not go to crazy at end so bitwisdom does not look horrible:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    196,061,423,940
Estimated Next Difficulty:    208,709,397,356 (+6.45%)
Adjust time:    After 24 Blocks, About 3.7 hours
Hashrate(?):    1,612,115,017 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 21, 2016, 03:15:51 AM

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   196,061,423,940

Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,041,984,628  (+6.62%)

Adjust time:   After 18 Blocks, About 2.8 hours
Hashrate(?):   1,615,563,864 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.5 minutes
6 blocks: 55.0 minutes
Updated:   23:10 (4.3 minutes ago)


The closest contenders are below:

+6.0 = topiOleg
+6.1 = alh
+6.2 = NeuroticFish
+6.3 = PPOC
+6.4 = testerman
+6.5 = ATguy
+6.6 = Psi
+6.7 = Brob12321


+6.8 = Kexkey
+6.9 = Cashew

+7.1 = tss
+7.2 = nizamcc


1-4 hours to go.  good luck to the winner.



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: alh on June 21, 2016, 06:00:19 AM
Looks to me like it's Kexkey

Jun 21 2016    209,453,158,595    6.83%    1,499,324,110 GH/s

Obviously Phil is is the final judge.

Unfortunately, it looks like BTC price has tumbled a bit, down to about $700. :(


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: notlist3d on June 21, 2016, 07:02:54 AM
Looks to me like it's Kexkey

Jun 21 2016    209,453,158,595    6.83%    1,499,324,110 GH/s

Obviously Phil is is the final judge.

Unfortunately, it looks like BTC price has tumbled a bit, down to about $700. :(


There is good and bad.  The bad is we lost some value which does stink 740-750 was nicer to see.  But the positive thing I see is 700 seemed like new base.   It has hanged around it. Which if that is new base and we still have 18 plus a little or so day's till having - http://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ .  So great to see I think a new possible base.

But around 6 hours or so ago it did dive some for sure - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  And slowly up a little bit after.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: RichBC on June 21, 2016, 07:53:27 AM
It's not surprising after such a meteoric rise that we are seeing some pull backs and it's not yet clear what the new floor is. Had hoped it would be around $750 but we seem to be testing $700 again, bounced off that to around $710 at the moment, here's hoping.....

Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 21, 2016, 11:11:19 AM
Looks to me like it's Kexkey

Jun 21 2016    209,453,158,595    6.83%    1,499,324,110 GH/s

Obviously Phil is is the final judge.

Unfortunately, it looks like BTC price has tumbled a bit, down to about $700. :(


just woke up  so +6.83% is the right number  and Kexkey is the winner.   @ Kexkey please give me a btc addy to pay the  0.20 btc to.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate


Jun 21 2016   209,453,158,595   6.83%   1,499,324,110 GH/s


Jun 08 2016   196,061,423,940   -1.63%   1,403,462,340 GH/s
May 24 2016   199,312,067,531   2.60%   1,426,731,353 GH/s
May 11 2016   194,254,820,283   8.73%   1,390,530,167 GH/s
Apr 28 2016   178,659,257,773   -0.01%   1,278,892,782 GH/s
Apr 14 2016   178,678,307,672   7.09%   1,279,029,147 GH/s
Apr 01 2016   166,851,513,283   0.82%   1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016   165,496,835,118   4.46%   1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016   158,427,203,767   -3.10%   1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016   163,491,654,909   13.44%   1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016   144,116,447,847   20.06%   1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016   120,033,340,651   5.89%   859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016   113,354,299,801   9.12%   811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015   103,880,340,815   11.16%   743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015   93,448,670,796   18.14%   668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015   79,102,380,900   8.77%   566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015   72,722,780,643   10.44%   520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015   65,848,255,180   5.77%   471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: petahashminer on June 21, 2016, 11:40:49 AM
so, will there be a new thread ?



Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 21, 2016, 11:47:18 AM
so, will there be a new thread ?



yes  I am a bit off today as we are in the middle of the kitchen gut-job rehab.  My back is hurting and I am still tired.  Contractor is coming in 15-20 minutes.

But I have time to start new thread with  50  dollar  steps not 0.10 steps.  This will lock once I pay kexkey.


New thread:


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1521664.new#new


Title: Re: Diff thread june 7 to june 20 -picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.20 btc
Post by: philipma1957 on June 22, 2016, 11:16:11 AM

Kexkey is our only 3 time winner.  He asked to me paid .1 vs the .2 he was entitled to.

His payment is below.

The .1 btc  will come in handy as I am about to be charged import fees for my 2 s-'s arriving on thurs.



kexkey's payment below.

https://blockchain.info/tx/b0db5e51895ef169845a53ee7c14ba72c74ee797128f38fcb79789647a5c2ed1