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Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: proudhon on March 23, 2013, 04:35:33 PM



Title: Totally called it!
Post by: proudhon on March 23, 2013, 04:35:33 PM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: zoinky on March 23, 2013, 04:36:26 PM
You really think its gonna crash? I thought you were a bull.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: 01BTC10 on March 23, 2013, 04:40:21 PM
Well played.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Bitobsessed on March 23, 2013, 04:59:03 PM
Cards are shown.  You made a pile of cash.  Enough said.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: phantastisch on March 23, 2013, 05:07:36 PM
We're probably going to see an acceleration of attempts to take profit and/or increase positions since the short term price is clearly trending down now.  I think we'll see an over correction into the 5s and maybe below that before the price goes any higher.  And, again, I still think we've already seen the 2012 high.

Proudhon at 6 USD.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: smoothie on March 23, 2013, 05:14:41 PM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.

Your calls mean nothing. Your track record is so bad that it is used as a contrarian indicator.

Troll on though lol.

Weren't you the one that called single digits to be a reality for April 2013? How's that prediction working out for ya?  :D


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Ozymandias on March 23, 2013, 05:17:03 PM
What a brutal crash all the way down to just 65usd... I don't think we'll ever recover!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: GIANNAT on March 23, 2013, 05:19:00 PM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.

Your calls mean nothing. Your track record is so bad that it is used as a contrarian indicator.

Troll on though lol.

Weren't you the one that called single digits to be a reality for April 2013? How's that prediction working out for ya?  :D

1) Do the opposite of what proudhon says
2) ??
3) Profit


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: ElectricMucus on March 23, 2013, 05:19:23 PM
Eventually proudhon will be right, if it isn't this time it will be some time down the road.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: MaxCoins on March 23, 2013, 05:23:04 PM
Just announced: 18%-22% Haircut on all Bank of Cyprus deposits over 100,000 euros. Hold.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Dargo on March 23, 2013, 05:24:26 PM
First, not sure what OP has "called," since it's not clear we have topped out yet. Second, with enough tries, I could guess a random number between 1 and 1000, but that wouldn't reflect any skill or insight. Similarly, since OP has been calling the top over and over again since $6, it doesn't reflect any skill or insight if $75 does turn out to be a long term top. I'll give OP props though if his prediction of hitting single digits again comes to pass, but I don't think that will happen.  


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: sgbett on March 23, 2013, 05:27:10 PM
I think this time he is right. Confidence is shaken. Dead cat bounce. Euphoria all over the boards, prime time for a real and prolonged shakedown imho.

I'm super-bullish long term, have even taken a punt on a BFL miner.

However, I've been waiting for a correction for some time now (not as long as proudhon) but 32 still hasn't been retested...

Not so I can "buy cheaper" short term trading isn't really my bag. Just because I think going this high this fast seems just a bit *too* good to be true. I'm sure we will get to $100, then a $1000 and who know $10k or $100k a coin, it seems inevitable based on the fundamental paradigm changing nature of what is happening, barring the catastrophic failure scenarios.  

Almost as inevitable as the fact that the growth needed to get there will cause periodical insane euphoric buying, that must surely lead to hard deep corrections....

I expect exponential growth, but exponential growth of the exponent!! thats a bit much even for me :)



Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: BTC Books on March 23, 2013, 06:18:44 PM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.

Your calls mean nothing. Your track record is so bad that it is used as a contrarian indicator.

Troll on though lol.

Weren't you the one that called single digits to be a reality for April 2013? How's that prediction working out for ya?  :D

Yes - that's one way to do it.

You can frequent the boards with predictions and advice; and if you're usually right (like cypherdoc, for example) people will listen and base some of their actions on what you say.

But that's hard work.  And it's really difficult to be right often enough for it to matter.  It takes skill and devotion and a tremendous amount of experience.

On the other hand, you can be so massively wrong all the time, about everything, that you become - as you say, smoothie - a contrarian indicator.  That's much easier, isn't it?

But the results are the same:  people listen, and base some of their actions on what you say.

Interesting...


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Dargo on March 23, 2013, 06:29:40 PM
But the results are the same:  people listen, and base some of their actions on what you say.

Interesting...

Most investors are followers. Not sure why. Maybe too lazy or too spineless to develop their own plan.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: BTC Books on March 23, 2013, 06:33:29 PM
But the results are the same:  people listen, and base some of their actions on what you say.

Interesting...

Most investors are followers. Not sure why. Maybe too lazy or too spineless to develop their own plan.

Eh.  I don't mine anymore.  I buy and hold and spend.

But I'm just a little guy.  Last night I picked up about 15 coin - averaged out to around $58.  It's been awhile since that opportunity presented itself.  There's time though.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: CurbsideProphet on March 23, 2013, 06:46:08 PM
"If you're going to forecast, forecast often."

http://cache.boston.com/bonzai-fba/Third_Party_Graphic/2011/01/07/guywhocalledthebigone400__1294429913_8815.jpg


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: NamelessOne on March 23, 2013, 06:59:07 PM
If you call it every single time the price rises of course you are going to be right eventually. You just had to be wrong every single time before that and then finally get lucky. We shall see if that time is now or later.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: yokosan on March 23, 2013, 08:09:18 PM
The day I met proudhon.

https://i.imgur.com/kBLu68z.jpg

A day I will never forget.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: smoothie on March 23, 2013, 08:28:02 PM
The day I met proudhon.

https://i.imgur.com/kBLu68z.jpg

A day I will never forget.

Okay...either you are the little kid or the glass encased bear ....either way this is a funny picture.  ;D


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: oakpacific on March 24, 2013, 12:53:02 AM
Yeah, congrats on successfully predicting there will be snow in the winter when it's only summer, weatherman. :D


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Melbustus on March 24, 2013, 01:36:34 AM
OP, in no way can you claim that you called anything meaningful unless we hit single digits. I think you were calling for such to occur by the end of 2012, so you're already pretty wrong, but I think allowing you to extend the duration through 2013 is ok.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Buffer Overflow on March 24, 2013, 02:06:13 AM
Don't think people are buying your claim OP.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: randrace on March 24, 2013, 02:30:09 AM
Single Digits or it didn't happen!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: mccorvic on March 24, 2013, 02:32:14 AM
Single Digits or it didn't happen!

Single digits for *years* none the less.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: zoinky on March 24, 2013, 02:38:47 AM
Single Digits or it didn't happen!

Single digits for *years* none the less.

I hear Mt Gox is switching over to mBTC soon, anticipating the $1 = mBTC.  Single digits aren't too far away.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: mccorvic on March 24, 2013, 02:40:27 AM
Single Digits or it didn't happen!

Single digits for *years* none the less.

I hear Mt Gox is switching over to mBTC soon, anticipating the $1 = mBTC.  Single digits aren't too far away.

Oh...oh god. PROUDHON WAS RIGHT THE WHOLE TIME!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: aurora on March 24, 2013, 03:07:44 AM
I can say exactly when this rally is over:
When whoever started it done selling his coins.
Hey you , rally starter, how long before you done?


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: adamstgBit on March 24, 2013, 03:40:25 AM
I can say exactly when this rally is over:
When whoever started it done selling his coins.
Hey you , rally starter, how long before you done?

10,000years ;)


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: bitcoinBull on March 24, 2013, 04:13:01 AM
Proudhon, will you please wait until single digits (even for a split second) before saying you "called it". I'll eat my dirty socks, if it turns out you did.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: ineededausername on March 24, 2013, 04:24:53 AM
I can say exactly when this rally is over:
When whoever started it done selling his coins.
Hey you , rally starter, how long before you done?

Whoever started the rally is not the one fueling it now.  Euro volume on the latest leg up was huge.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: smoothie on March 24, 2013, 04:59:59 AM
Proudhon, will you please wait until single digits (even for a split second) before saying you "called it". I'll eat my dirty socks, if it turns out you did.

quoted...need some entertainment if we ever get to single digits. lol  :D


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Bitsaurus on March 24, 2013, 06:47:50 AM
How long has he sat there waiting to say "See I called it"?

After a while it just becomes "well crap, huh, it actually might happen this time"


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: dakiller on March 24, 2013, 06:49:46 AM
You've been predicting a crash every day since it was $12 and even before that, you cannot call squat!

A broken clock is right twice a day.

Even a blind squirrel occasionally finds a nut.

etc.

Oh, and your so called crash didn't continue long at all, mostly recovered to the price of only a few days prior. Merely profit taking and correction from the over-exuberance rally. $100 in less than 2 weeks time I say.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Buffer Overflow on March 24, 2013, 07:56:17 AM
A broken clock is right twice a day.

LOL. I think that statement pretty much sums up this whole thread.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Luno on March 24, 2013, 08:43:53 AM
Just to bloat, I did the last dip quite well also:

Woke up 11 PM local time (with my working hours, I usually take a nap after dinner) and discovered that my Bitcoin alarm hung because of a JS error. Checked Clarkmoody and saw that there had been a dip to $63 an hour ago. I had sold 5BTC at $72 yesterday and sold the rest at the top of the bounce back at $69.65. Total loss $80 compared to yesterdays high.

Buy for 10BTC dead cat at $52.10 (close to the bottom at 52.01) and place a sell for the same 10BTC at $64. They sell for $64 2 minutes later i.e. I'm plus $100, up $24 now ;D.

Watch the price go to $67.something, loosing momentum and slowly sliding back to the double bottom at $60-62 buying 60% in long at $62.80 and now currently up $255 compared to yesterday ;D ;D.

So yeah, a wild ride, great fun.



Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: oakpacific on March 24, 2013, 08:46:26 AM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.

The question is: did you sell? If you didn't sell what the use of making a right call? ;D


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Bowjob on March 24, 2013, 09:24:54 AM
Guys, proudhon is actually a very useful market indicator. If he turns into a bull, then it's a bear market!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Piper67 on March 24, 2013, 11:46:15 AM
Guys, proudhon is actually a very useful market indicator. If he turns into a bull, then it's a bear market!

Nah. Proudhon is a joke. In a best case scenario, he knows it. Worst case, the joke's even on him.


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Luno on March 24, 2013, 02:06:17 PM
Guys, proudhon is actually a very useful market indicator. If he turns into a bull, then it's a bear market!

Nah. Proudhon is a joke. In a best case scenario, he knows it. Worst case, the joke's even on him.

After massive growth this week, and a hefty weekend dip, do you believe we'll keep going up next week? Or is it time to consolidate or go downwards?

Down

Not a bull in all threads!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Lethn on March 24, 2013, 02:15:01 PM
Cards are shown.  You made a pile of cash.  Enough said.

Translation for Proudhon's topic: I made lots of money selling my Bitcoins and now I want the price to crash again so I can buy them cheaply again and make even more money, you suckers need to hurry up and sell!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Luno on March 24, 2013, 02:43:08 PM
BTW, Wiki hits through the roof, literally. http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin (http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin)


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Mike Christ on March 24, 2013, 02:46:00 PM
BTW, Wiki hits through the roof, literally. http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin (http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin)

Wow!  What on earth spurred that?


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: ineededausername on March 24, 2013, 02:58:54 PM
BTW, Wiki hits through the roof, literally. http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin (http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin)

Wow!  What on earth spurred that?

whatever it is, triple digits by may!


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: mccorvic on March 24, 2013, 02:59:54 PM
BTW, Wiki hits through the roof, literally. http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin (http://stats.grok.se/en/latest30/bitcoin)

Wow!  What on earth spurred that?

The only thing I can really think of is the Cyprus news confirming they are going to tax some accounts. 


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Buffer Overflow on March 24, 2013, 03:59:37 PM
Just putting this in place ahead of the continuing crash.

http://s8.postimg.org/4elax5gl1/eggface.jpg


Title: Re: Totally called it!
Post by: Tomatocage on March 24, 2013, 09:41:25 PM
Wait, Proudhon predicted BTC in the mid 60s? Is he a bull now?