Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: bradbrad on April 29, 2013, 07:17:09 AM



Title: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: bradbrad on April 29, 2013, 07:17:09 AM
Got a feeling we are in for a ride! Just dont know if it'll be up or down, but excited anyway!


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: arepo on April 29, 2013, 07:21:38 AM
it's hard to say, but some fractal analysis suggests that we're going to see a quick rise to about the last high ($165), a sudden correction, and then consolidation in that range for at least the short-term.

--arepo


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: Frozenlock on April 29, 2013, 07:35:19 AM
it's hard to say, but some fractal analysis suggests that we're going to see a quick rise to about the last high ($165), a sudden correction, and then consolidation in that range for at least the short-term.

--arepo

Well that's quite detailed. More power to you if you nail it!  ;)


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: AmazonStuff on April 29, 2013, 07:38:34 AM
We are going back to reality, just pick the flavor of reality you like.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: bradbrad on April 29, 2013, 07:54:50 AM
Like I say, either way, I'm excited, just a damn shame bitstamp is down (all my coins are stuck there!)


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: superduh on April 29, 2013, 08:26:09 AM
volumes have been extremely LOW.
$2 purchases swing the market a million dollars either way. strange


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: Krabby on April 29, 2013, 08:29:57 AM
Do you guys remember bitcoin?


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: notme on April 29, 2013, 08:43:48 AM
volumes have been extremely LOW.
$2 purchases swing the market a million dollars either way. strange

False

Buying Bitcoin
Amount to spend in USD: $2
Estimated purchase: ฿0.01474313
Slippage: ฿0.0000000

in fact, a million USD would get you ฿7228.77413498
Slippage: ฿136.08077738

and would only take us up $5


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: elebit on April 29, 2013, 08:53:53 AM
some fractal analysis suggests

Is there such a thing, or is it like astrological analysis?


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: massivebitman on April 29, 2013, 08:57:07 AM
BOOM!!!


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: arepo on April 29, 2013, 09:00:45 AM
some fractal analysis suggests

Is there such a thing, or is it like astrological analysis?

not sure anyone else uses that term, it's a method i've developed myself as an alternative to Elliot Waves.

Eliot waves are a type of fractal analysis. it is analysis under the assumption that the price function exhibits self-similarity (like fractals).


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: notme on April 29, 2013, 09:04:27 AM
some fractal analysis suggests

Is there such a thing, or is it like astrological analysis?


“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.”


― J.P. Morgan


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: Ivanhoe on April 29, 2013, 09:34:05 AM
it's hard to say, but some fractal analysis suggests that we're going to see a quick rise to about the last high ($165), a sudden correction, and then consolidation in that range for at least the short-term.

--arepo
This was excact my thought on it, but my thought was just based on feelings.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: elebit on April 29, 2013, 10:02:02 AM
Eliot waves are a type of fractal analysis. it is analysis under the assumption that the price function exhibits self-similarity (like fractals).

Do you have reason to believe such self-similarity should exist and what it would look like?


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: arepo on April 29, 2013, 10:07:57 AM
Eliot waves are a type of fractal analysis. it is analysis under the assumption that the price function exhibits self-similarity (like fractals).

Do you have reason to believe such self-similarity should exist and what it would look like?

yes, i've cataloged quite a few shapes, the ones for which i have the most evidence being triangle formations and bubble patterns. these patterns seem to exist on every scale and have common properties across these scales.

the above outline is based on a bubble pattern atop a trend that i found in May 2011 price data. while it is not as rigorous as other methods, i have already used a fractal model with great success to anticipate the shape of this most recent movement up from and back to $120. this is the second test.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: centove on April 29, 2013, 10:13:44 AM
Staring into my coffee grounds this morning tells me things will change today... Definitively change!


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: superduh on April 29, 2013, 03:31:52 PM
volumes have been extremely LOW.
$2 purchases swing the market a million dollars either way. strange

False

Buying Bitcoin
Amount to spend in USD: $2
Estimated purchase: ฿0.01474313
Slippage: ฿0.0000000

in fact, a million USD would get you ฿7228.77413498
Slippage: ฿136.08077738

and would only take us up $5

i wasn't referring to slippage necessarily.
i was referring to the .01/.02 orders that get executed either direction as a buy or sell just to get the price to change


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: GigaCoin on April 29, 2013, 07:31:45 PM
seems to rise nice and steady today, which is good. $150 - $165 range doesn't seem to difficult by Wednesday if the buying trend continues.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: mgio on April 29, 2013, 07:39:19 PM
seems to rise nice and steady today, which is good. $150 - $165 range doesn't seem to difficult by Wednesday if the buying trend continues.

yes, a slow and steady rise is best because people are less likely to panic sell thinking that it's a bubble.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: notme on April 30, 2013, 03:26:12 AM
volumes have been extremely LOW.
$2 purchases swing the market a million dollars either way. strange

False

Buying Bitcoin
Amount to spend in USD: $2
Estimated purchase: ฿0.01474313
Slippage: ฿0.0000000

in fact, a million USD would get you ฿7228.77413498
Slippage: ฿136.08077738

and would only take us up $5

i wasn't referring to slippage necessarily.
i was referring to the .01/.02 orders that get executed either direction as a buy or sell just to get the price to change

Those only alter the difference between weighted moving averages (which neutralize such manipulation attempts) and other forms of moving average.  It's because bitcoin has so many inexperienced traders that it has any influence at all.


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: noedaRDH on April 30, 2013, 04:09:12 AM
Where was this madness that I was promised?  ???


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: seleme on April 30, 2013, 04:30:40 AM
Where was this madness that I was promised?  ???

Words are cheaper than bitcoins mate, when you see some posts here you'd think all of them are prophets :)


Title: Re: Today is gonna be madness!
Post by: notme on April 30, 2013, 06:25:16 AM
Where was this madness that I was promised?  ???

Words are cheaper than bitcoins mate, when you see some posts here you'd think all of them are prophets :)

I'm here for the profits :P.