Bitcoin Forum

Other => Beginners & Help => Topic started by: Artofficial on June 05, 2013, 09:38:42 PM



Title: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Artofficial on June 05, 2013, 09:38:42 PM
Unless a Jedi can brute-force or guess the keys ;D.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: WuLabsWuTecH on June 05, 2013, 09:43:12 PM
no one knows. You can figure out how many BTC are lying dormant, but you have no idea if their owners still control their keys or not!


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Kaepora on June 05, 2013, 09:50:29 PM
Unless a Jedi can brute-force or guess the keys ;D.

When bitcoin first started I had quite a few and felt they were going nowhere so I deleted the wallet and everything along with it.  :'(


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: vinne81 on June 05, 2013, 09:52:15 PM
Unless a Jedi can brute-force or guess the keys ;D.

When bitcoin first started I had quite a few and felt they were going nowhere so I deleted the wallet and everything along with it.  :'(

How many BTC in that wallet?  :)


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: utarinues on June 05, 2013, 09:59:24 PM
My guess: I assume most users dont have backups so probably at least 1% already lost or 100.000 BTC


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: CKJ411 on June 06, 2013, 12:17:42 AM
What would be the best place to determine where the dormant coins are lying about?


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: worldinacoin on June 06, 2013, 12:20:32 AM
For me alone I guess 10 - 20 BTC, in the early days when Bitcoin wasn't worth much.  Too troublesome to backup when changing computers, just delete :(


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: BurtW on June 06, 2013, 12:24:53 AM
Why do you ask?


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: edd on June 06, 2013, 02:06:09 PM
Unless a Jedi can brute-force or guess the keys ;D.

There are other options.

Deleted wallets on old computers might one day be salvaged by "bitcoin treasure hunters." Heirs might eventually have the tools to extrapolate enough information from an old hard drive to recover a deleted wallet.dat.

Bitcoins sent to black hole addresses are probably gone for good, however.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: notung on June 06, 2013, 02:14:32 PM
Once I read that due to the fact that some bitcoins are lost they will gain more value, as less coins are available. I don't see how if it's not possible to know how many are lost...


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Alexander The Great on June 06, 2013, 02:24:44 PM
Id say a good million are lost forever.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: r3wt on June 06, 2013, 02:26:56 PM
i believe that something must be done immediately to deny addresses that havent been seen on the network payments over a very small amount. i think some groups are probably buying bitcoin and sending them to nonexistant addresses to devalue and kill the coin.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: artos on June 06, 2013, 02:27:59 PM
i believe that something must be done immediately to deny addresses that havent been seen on the network payments over a very small amount. i think some groups are probably buying bitcoin and sending them to nonexistant addresses to devalue and kill the coin.
Divisible down to 8 decimal places. They can destroy all they want, it won't accomplish anything.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Alexander The Great on June 06, 2013, 02:45:49 PM
Prices are going to go up for every bitcoin lost.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Alexander The Great on June 06, 2013, 02:55:03 PM
ive hears stories about people losing thousands in the early days so I bet theres quite a fair amount gone forever.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: darkryoushii on June 06, 2013, 02:57:13 PM
i believe that something must be done immediately to deny addresses that havent been seen on the network payments over a very small amount. i think some groups are probably buying bitcoin and sending them to nonexistant addresses to devalue and kill the coin.
Divisible down to 8 decimal places. They can destroy all they want, it won't accomplish anything.

I'm sure a similar thing was said about IPv4..


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: BurtW on June 06, 2013, 04:12:20 PM
You can read about that somewhere in this paper: http://eprint.iacr.org/2012/584.pdf
If i remember correctly i think about 2 million BTCs is lost for ever.
A ton are lost forever..

So that means that each Bitcoin must weigh (2,000 pounds lost) / (2,000,000 BTC lost) = 0.001 pounds / BTC


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: freq on June 07, 2013, 12:51:48 AM
There should be a recovery system in place that they go to


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: STT on June 07, 2013, 12:59:14 AM
A recovery system might be a way to recover what is not yours.  Every exception they add to the rules makes for easier corruption.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Alexander The Great on June 07, 2013, 01:03:33 AM
Is say 500,000 - 1 million


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: renkcub on June 07, 2013, 01:04:58 AM
its easy to lose em. 3 million


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: JimCGSavings on June 07, 2013, 01:07:42 AM
42


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: instoftech on June 07, 2013, 01:33:00 AM
Check out the following report and plots about "What happened to early bitcoins?" https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=215946.0
It shows whether early coins are being traded in exchanges (hint: very few).

Someone estimated there are at least 1 million lost coins.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: coingun on June 07, 2013, 01:34:26 AM
Can't find secret notepad with all passwords...FML!


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Eva Braun on June 07, 2013, 02:00:01 AM
This is not good for bitcoin... increases price yes? Long term bitcoin is affected by available number tho.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: CKJ411 on June 07, 2013, 02:00:40 AM
i believe that something must be done immediately to deny addresses that havent been seen on the network payments over a very small amount. i think some groups are probably buying bitcoin and sending them to nonexistant addresses to devalue and kill the coin.
Divisible down to 8 decimal places. They can destroy all they want, it won't accomplish anything.

I'm sure a similar thing was said about IPv4..

Exactly. Way too many people hyping this as some infallible system at the moment.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Eva Braun on June 07, 2013, 02:15:36 AM
There is so many lost forever..


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Peacefrog on June 07, 2013, 05:37:06 AM
a buddy of mine lost his password and username to a wallet with like 55 btc in it


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: sealberrder on June 07, 2013, 08:28:25 AM
1 mil is a lot. I feel sorry for people who lost bitcoins in early days and thinking what the heck its just few pennies, only now realizing how big loss it was


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: edd on June 07, 2013, 11:39:59 AM
The 21 million limit imposed by Satoshi was just an arbitrary number.

Let's say one million coins have been "lost forever." If Satoshi had made the limit 20 million and no one lost any, the network would be in exactly the same place it is now.

Even if we take into consideration the fact that more coins may be lost, as the value increases (for whatever reason), the precautions users take to avoid losing them will increase accordingly.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: Artofficial on June 09, 2013, 09:16:22 AM
I'm almost sure (well, not really) Satoshi went crazy not having access to millions of early btc and simply quit.

Satoshi is one wealthy hobo ::)


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: ArcticWolf on June 09, 2013, 09:48:12 AM
Well I lost my very first ever bitcoin when I formatted my pc :(


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: cryptocyprus on June 09, 2013, 10:09:38 AM
I'm sure Bitcoin is infinitely divisible, the more destroyed the higher the value of the remaining coins.

However transactions of BTC0.000000000000000000001 would become somewhat annoying for day to day use.


Title: Re: Approximately, how many bitcoin are lost FOREVER!!!
Post by: tlo on June 09, 2013, 11:20:47 AM
I guess several 100k BTC are lost forever.

I remember this story:
"In July 2011, the operator of Bitomat, the third largest bitcoin exchange, announced that he lost access to his wallet.dat file with about 17,000 bitcoins (roughly equivalent to 220,000 USD at that time). He announced that he would sell the service for the missing amount, aiming to use funds from the sale to refund his customers."

Taken from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin