Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: neymarjunior50 on January 31, 2018, 08:00:56 PM



Title: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: neymarjunior50 on January 31, 2018, 08:00:56 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: swogerino on January 31, 2018, 08:09:59 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

Holding is for long time. If some people are cashing out it is in their right to do so as in the bitcoin ecosystem the user has 100% freedom in deciding what's best for him.

The crash is a standard happening in the bitcoin ecosystem too, and the true winners are people who are not afraid of crashes and still hold their bitcoins. When price of bitcoin will reach new highs during this year or the next one as many do predict those people will be some happy people for sure.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Samarkand on January 31, 2018, 08:10:20 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

You have to take into account that many long-term investors (= people, who HODL) donīt have
their coins on exchanges, but rather store them in hardware wallets, other cold wallet solutions
or even with a custodial service for institutional investors. Therefore their holdings arenīt really
influencing the day-to-day price development except by the fact that they arenīt really traded
and therefore artificially reduce the liquidity on the exchanges.

In general the amount of Bitcoins that is traded on the exchanges is a fraction of the total outstanding
BTC supply. Besides, the volume numbers on these exchanges are highly misleading for newbies,
because the same coins are being traded over and over again (bots, arbitrage, ...). In order to
illustrate that point you could take a look at a random Bitcoin exchange of your choice. E.g. Bitfinex had
a trading volume of 1,588,052.80 BTC at the BTC/USD trading pair in the last 30 days. However, the total
balance of the Bitfinex cold wallet hasnīt exceeded 145,000 BTC during that timeframe. This isnīt even
10 % of the traded amount. Additionally, some exchanges offer trading on margin, which distorts
the volume statistics even more.

Iīd argue that you canīt really draw conclusions on the behavior of long-term investors / HODLers
by viewing the short-term price development.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: minldem on January 31, 2018, 08:18:19 PM
i think their motivation behind "don't sell, hodl" is to warn people for excessive loss. even if bitcoin falls sharply time to time, it can rise again much stronger. but this can take time of course. if you need cash or if you believe you will more loss if you don't cash out, so you can think about to leave.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Xavofat on January 31, 2018, 08:26:52 PM
People who frequently say "HODL" or express their determination on here and Reddit are only a small fraction of people who hold Bitcoin.

A lot of the people who do that have been holding since a much lower price and are not particularly afraid of the recent fall in price.  Those that aren't are often deeply immersed in their echo chamber and I suspect that most of them are not selling.

You would be correct in suggesting that saying "HODL" a lot will not prevent the price from fluctuating, but I don't think that the majority of these people are being dishonest.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Vannie12 on January 31, 2018, 08:33:16 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

I think it's rather funny reading you should hold to keep the prices up and I will cash out.

Let them, bitcoin is created to control our own money. If they wanted to cash their money then decisions are up to them.
I just do not want reading those who are saying How can I earn more. It's like they earn and cashout for monetary means.

I salute those who HODL HODL HODL .


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: peterthegreat on January 31, 2018, 08:39:32 PM
The people who are selling are not the people who say HODL


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Ris88 on January 31, 2018, 08:44:03 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

That's how to manipulate all prices, so as not to get too much dump, and keep a good price to play the price, and share the benefits to everyone.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: lizardbtc on January 31, 2018, 08:48:19 PM
The people who are selling are not the people who say HODL

True, some people simply like to take out their profits or loses and theres nothing much we can do about it. I am holding my coins, not because I expect to be rich in future but because I believe in crypto being able to replace fiat by merchants starting to accept it as a currency, heck I even use to buy some services online because I can with it. Holding is like doing nothing productive, if you want to hold then simply buy some coins put them in paper wallet and come back to check price in few years - this is real holding, not like people today "I am gona hold" next thing he sees is crypto crashing he is looking for a way to exchange back to fiat....


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: lienfaye on January 31, 2018, 08:48:51 PM
Usually these people who are keep saying to hodl and dont panic are a long term hodler (just like me) who dont care of the dips/corrections happening currently. Weak investors cant stand to see the value opposite of what they expected it to be so they want to get back their capital and wait until the price recover again thats usually their mindset. I can comprehend with their acts because we cant coerce them to hodl if they dont want to its their choice by the way.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: ralle14 on January 31, 2018, 09:18:05 PM
If the overall marketcap is decreasing then it's not just bitcoin they're selling. We can't blame them if they want to sell their investment, people always change their decision they can come and go whenever they want. Experiencing some losses is just the part of the process. Last year almost all coins had too much ups now it's beginning to balance things out.

The people who are selling are not the people who say HODL
They could if they can't afford to lose everything from their investments. It's always easy to say hold.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: npredtorch on January 31, 2018, 09:41:28 PM
i think their motivation behind "don't sell, hodl" is to warn people for excessive loss. even if bitcoin falls sharply time to time, it can rise again much stronger. but this can take time of course. if you need cash or if you believe you will more loss if you don't cash out, so you can think about to leave.

I agree with this but not entirely. I could say that the term hodl is for people to avoid ANY loss on btc investments (not an excessive one) due to quick dips/corrections.
If you strongly believe that bitcoin will rise up again, then there is no reason to panic sell. You have nothing to lose if you'll just be patient.  FUD > HOLD  ;)


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: nioctiB#1 on February 01, 2018, 04:12:51 AM
I think those who say that you should just hold your coins are long term investors who believe that coin will grow more in the future. but nowadays people prefer to do short term trade or investment because it is also a good way to avoid losses whenever there is a crash or price correction happening and you can always buy the dips.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: pooya87 on February 01, 2018, 05:04:40 AM
i don't know what market capitalization has anything to do with anything directly that you keep repeating it but the thing about people is that those who know what to do, usually never keep announcing it. if they wanted to sell they would have done it a while back at a much higher price and those who don't want to do that simply won't and keep holding.

it is the panic sellers who are always most vocal and panic sell into pockets of the whales and they always do it way too late when price is already lower than the price they should have sold.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Ewox on February 01, 2018, 05:40:59 AM
Some may not be holding but there are also others that are holding their coins for some time now. The current price drop basically are because these whales are playing with the market, so for newbies who barely does not know how the market works and sees bitcoins price going down some can not control their emotions and would panic then would sell their holdings thus pulling the price down even more.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Vaskiy on February 01, 2018, 05:47:04 AM
It is obvious to suggest to keep hold of the bitcoin expecting for a bigger profit as the price is expected to increase at the earliest. Particularly most of the small volume holders continue to keep hold of it while the whales try to manipulate. Because what the small holders invested is very small and only the price pumping could profit them unlike the whales who profit by bulk moves.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: bocyaj on February 01, 2018, 06:32:57 AM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

It's there own wish to hold.But the people who are saying to hold, surely will hold their coin.If they want money in any emergency means,they will sell the Bitcoin for the FIAT. Holding is the best option when the price is dump.Unless you hold ,you won't get any additional dollars when the price is pump.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: BrewMaster on February 01, 2018, 07:15:47 AM
saying HODL or DUMP or ... is not really a good suggestion.

a better suggestion which can be with the title of HODL, is to warn newcomers to not make irrational decisions based on emotions and the lies they read on the internet.

and most important of all never sell at the bottom which seems to me like the biggest problem that most newcomers face which we then call "panic sell". they always act too late and that means losing a lot of money.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Izarok on February 01, 2018, 08:07:26 AM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

Some are holding but most the weak hands are still selling out meaning there are greater amount of weak hands compared to those are hodling. Take note also that most are just saying hodl to counteract some FUD that is spreading too much around the cryptoworld.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: babygun on February 01, 2018, 09:12:02 AM
With the prices going down, there will be many people that start panicking and sell their bitcoin with loss. If you believe in bitcoin and you think prices will go up in the future than you just need to hold.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Wilhelm on February 01, 2018, 09:22:37 AM
Holding here  ;D.
Yes went from $19k to <$10k but then again I came from the three digit era so I'm not panicking since this isn't my first crash.

It is true that holders like me have their bitcoins as far away from the internet or trading sites as possible :)
Don't want to become a statistic (MtGox, BTCe, etc..). Lost some at BTC-e :'(

HODL has another great upside and that's what I will call "Coinbreeding" which is the art of holding Pre-Fork coins like BTC and gaining on not only BTC but also all the forks...  8)

FORKS ARE COMING !! .... (insert Game of Thrones meme)


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: AnonBitCoiner on February 01, 2018, 09:24:11 AM
With the prices going down, there will be many people that start panicking and sell their bitcoin with loss. If you believe in bitcoin and you think prices will go up in the future than you just need to hold.

Many people have trust in bitcoin,this is the reason for bitcoin holding.Only due to holding , price of Bitcoin will increase. So I suggest the Bitcoin trader to just hold and avoid of panic selling,to get profit in your future.If you have believe in bitcoin,just hold your bitcoin.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: TERA2 on February 01, 2018, 09:25:09 AM
They might not neccessarily be selling. They might just be locked into hodling either becauser theyd have to pay 50% taxes on a sell (so its pointless), theyre a criminal, or theyre a whale with 10,000+ coins who couldnt sell even if they wanted to. Theyre forced to hodl so they want you to hodl too.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: yanesna3 on February 01, 2018, 04:40:36 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

Holding is for long time. If some people are cashing out it is in their right to do so as in the bitcoin ecosystem the user has 100% freedom in deciding what's best for him.

The crash is a standard happening in the bitcoin ecosystem too, and the true winners are people who are not afraid of crashes and still hold their bitcoins. When price of bitcoin will reach new highs during this year or the next one as many do predict those people will be some happy people for sure.
Hodling (holding for a very long time) is the policy of a minority, but as statistic shows, these are exactly hodlers who get the best profits.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: imapessimist on February 01, 2018, 04:48:57 PM
I think people should sell at least part of whatever they hold.  Because if they keep holding on they might lose absolutely everything.  It is very poor nobody saw this coming and kept predicting big gains and saying the floor was reached. 


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: sjefdeklerk on February 01, 2018, 06:20:17 PM
Only real idiots will HODL this thing to death.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: European Central Bank on February 01, 2018, 07:02:31 PM
Yes. The market would be zero if everyone sold.

I find it kinda weird how it's almost always nobodies who diss holders.

It's a valid strategy and beats chasing every ta moron or shitcoin pump.

People like that wind up with nothing, or more likely they had nothing to begin with.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: dmamigo on February 01, 2018, 07:35:38 PM
I doubt completely holding what you got or holded earlier would be a great choice but you never know it can be. Better is to sell as much as you can and want as you know it can get worse as people will or might continue to sell. So holding might become regretful.

Also you may channel you BTC to some other altcoins which has potential.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Leahhhh on February 01, 2018, 07:47:06 PM
Yes, I'm hodling but wishing I had sold at least a small portion of my investment  :(


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: yrreg ger on February 01, 2018, 08:01:19 PM
Holding here  ;D.
Yes went from $19k to <$10k but then again I came from the three digit era so I'm not panicking since this isn't my first crash.

It is true that holders like me have their bitcoins as far away from the internet or trading sites as possible :)
Don't want to become a statistic (MtGox, BTCe, etc..). Lost some at BTC-e :'(

HODL has another great upside and that's what I will call "Coinbreeding" which is the art of holding Pre-Fork coins like BTC and gaining on not only BTC but also all the forks...  8)

FORKS ARE COMING !! .... (insert Game of Thrones meme)

Right, possible profit is nit just the benefit of holding bitcoin but is also gaining forked coins. There have been many forks before that created new coins wherein some had successfullly built their status.

Regarding the OPs question, I am one of those people who keeps saying to hold and I definitely hold especially at times like this when the prices are not looking good. I know that we can't be sure if who is holding but come to think of it, it doesn't matter whether they are holding or not because its your own choice that will matter the most. To hold or to not hold totally depends on you.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: MMA on February 01, 2018, 11:58:15 PM
I think people should sell at least part of whatever they hold.  Because if they keep holding on they might lose absolutely everything.  It is very poor nobody saw this coming and kept predicting big gains and saying the floor was reached.  
I think the experience investors will never like to sell their bitcoin in such a low price. They know the nature of bitcoin and therefore i think that they will surely hold their bitcoin, may be some portion of their investment they are also using for trading altcoin therefore therefore they may be managing to sell some bitcoin so that they can do investment in altcoin also, but overall they will give preference to holding their bitcoin.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: seoincorporation on February 02, 2018, 12:32:36 AM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

A Lot of people is actually holding until the BTC price rise again. But, of course, some need to sell their BTC in order to get money and buy stuff. That depends on how much money do you have and how do you earn the money.

In the forum we see a bunch of publications of people asking “should I quit my job to get totally into BTC?” Well, it depends on how much BTC do you have.

In my case, I try to hold as much as possible, but when I need cash I usually wait until BTC rises a little and then I sell them. If I had all the money, I would never sell my BTC, instead, I would wait for years holding them, but such is life!!!


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: Apekool on February 02, 2018, 01:10:23 AM
Wall is being eaten slowly. computer is lagging just from checking binance charts.

Tether seems pretty however ...


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: omonuyak on February 02, 2018, 07:58:14 AM
Many are selling and that is why price is dropping and without selling price will not get dump. Many are saying holding and that is why bitcoin and other coins are getting dump.
holding is one of the only thing that can actually sustain bitcoin and we should see holding as the only thing that will stop this bearish moment.


Title: Re: People keep saying HODL but are they really hodling?
Post by: gabmen on February 02, 2018, 01:11:00 PM
I think not because if they hodling you won't see this correction/dip/crash(whatever you want to call it) many people are getting out of the boat because if not overall marketcap will stay the same even if they move from coin to coin to profit but instead marketcap is decreasing which tells me that people are actually cashing out.

Cashing out at a loss? This probably is a purge to remove bandwagoners and start fresh for another good run. I believe people are actually holding, well experienced traders that is, probably not in exchanges. There's really nothing mkre logical to do in this situation unless you want to follow a "buy high, sell low" policy lol